Make hay while the market’s sunny. June-August = smooth sailing. But September flips the script — more geopolitical friction, higher inflation, US vs China vs Russia in the mix. If that escalates, stocks take a hit. This feels like a war for global dominance. Get positioned now.
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Make hay while the market’s sunny. June-August = smooth sailing. But September flips the script — more geopolitical friction, higher inflation, US vs China vs Russia in the mix. If that escalates, stocks take a hit. This feels like a war for global dominance.…
Ride the stock rally while it’s here. From September, things get messy: geopolitics heats up, inflation climbs, and US-China-Russia tensions could trigger a market crash. June-August should be smooth, September onwards looks chaotic. I’m calling this a war for global power. Position accordingly.
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Central banks worldwide will announce rate decisions next week, with many expected to act cautiously amid uncertain inflation effects from the Middle East conflict. Japan sets its rate on June 16, US on June 17, Brazil, Switzerland, and UK on June 18.
🇯🇵The Bank of Japan officially raises interest rates to the highest level since 1995 amid rising inflation.
You’re overtrading because you’re bored.
Not because there are setups.
Most of your job is waiting.
If you can’t sit still, you’ll lose money.
Not because there are setups.
Most of your job is waiting.
If you can’t sit still, you’ll lose money.
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I expect Oil to drop to $70/60 per barrel
This is actually playing out nicely
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I expect Oil to drop to $70/60 per barrel
🚨 US #Oil price has dropped 7% 🔻today, falling below $76 per barrel, following news suggesting an expectation for sanctions relief to be included in the US-Iran agreement.
#Oil #Gold
#Oil #Gold
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📊MARKETS BET FED WILL HIKE AGAIN
Investor expectations for a Fed rate hike are rising. Bank of America’s June fund manager survey shows 40% expect at least one hike in the next 12 months, up from 16% in May. Rate-cut hopes fell sharply, with only 28% expecting cuts versus 50% last month. Prediction markets also show growing odds of a Fed hike before 2027.
Investor expectations for a Fed rate hike are rising. Bank of America’s June fund manager survey shows 40% expect at least one hike in the next 12 months, up from 16% in May. Rate-cut hopes fell sharply, with only 28% expecting cuts versus 50% last month. Prediction markets also show growing odds of a Fed hike before 2027.
What do you think will happen in FOMC meeting tonight?
Anonymous Poll
100%
Rate Hike
0%
Rate cut
0%
Rate unchanged
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What do you think will happen in FOMC meeting tonight?
Kindly vote your choice here if you're active 🤝
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What do you think will happen in FOMC meeting tonight?
🚨 JUST IN: Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged in first policy decision under Kevin Warsh.
This marks the initial rate decision with Warsh as Fed Chairman.
This marks the initial rate decision with Warsh as Fed Chairman.
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🚨 FOMC STATEMENT COMPARE. #USD #Gold
This FOMC statement is basically “USD supportive, but with some internal drama”.
Here’s what it means for the US Dollar:
*1. Hold rates at 3.5% - 3.75% = USD stays strong-ish*
Higher interest rates = higher yields on US bonds/T-bills. That attracts foreign money looking for returns. So holding rates steady instead of cutting keeps USD more attractive vs EUR, JPY, etc.
If they’d cut rates, USD would usually weaken because the “yield advantage” shrinks.
*2. “Strong economy + strong productivity” = USD tailwind*
The green text talks up the economy: solid expansion, strong productivity, investment. Markets read that as “US doesn’t need emergency rate cuts”. A resilient US economy supports USD because it reduces recession risk vs other countries.
*3. “Will deliver price stability” = hawkish tone*
That new line is Fed-speak for “we’re serious about killing inflation”. Hawkish = pro-higher rates/longer hold. That’s USD bullish short term because traders price in rates staying higher for longer.
*4. But 3 dissenters = USD uncertainty*
1 member wanted a rate cut NOW. 3 others didn’t like the “easing bias” language. Translation: the Fed isn’t unified. If more members flip to the “cut soon” camp, USD could weaken fast because markets will bet on lower rates ahead.
*Net effect for USD pairs like USD/NGN:*
Short term: Slightly bullish. Hold + hawkish language props up USD.
Medium term: Depends on inflation + jobs data. If inflation keeps falling, the dissenters might win and USD softens. If inflation stays hot, Fed holds and USD stays firm.
Here’s what it means for the US Dollar:
*1. Hold rates at 3.5% - 3.75% = USD stays strong-ish*
Higher interest rates = higher yields on US bonds/T-bills. That attracts foreign money looking for returns. So holding rates steady instead of cutting keeps USD more attractive vs EUR, JPY, etc.
If they’d cut rates, USD would usually weaken because the “yield advantage” shrinks.
*2. “Strong economy + strong productivity” = USD tailwind*
The green text talks up the economy: solid expansion, strong productivity, investment. Markets read that as “US doesn’t need emergency rate cuts”. A resilient US economy supports USD because it reduces recession risk vs other countries.
*3. “Will deliver price stability” = hawkish tone*
That new line is Fed-speak for “we’re serious about killing inflation”. Hawkish = pro-higher rates/longer hold. That’s USD bullish short term because traders price in rates staying higher for longer.
*4. But 3 dissenters = USD uncertainty*
1 member wanted a rate cut NOW. 3 others didn’t like the “easing bias” language. Translation: the Fed isn’t unified. If more members flip to the “cut soon” camp, USD could weaken fast because markets will bet on lower rates ahead.
*Net effect for USD pairs like USD/NGN:*
Short term: Slightly bullish. Hold + hawkish language props up USD.
Medium term: Depends on inflation + jobs data. If inflation keeps falling, the dissenters might win and USD softens. If inflation stays hot, Fed holds and USD stays firm.
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🚨 United States Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims Index
Actual 226K🔺
Expected 225K
Previous 229K
🚨 Continuing Unemployment Claims Index
Actual 1810K🔺
Expected 1800K
Previous 1795K
🚨 Philadelphia Business Index Monthly Changes for June
Actual 10.3🔺
Expected 10
Previous number -0.4
Actual 226K🔺
Expected 225K
Previous 229K
🚨 Continuing Unemployment Claims Index
Actual 1810K🔺
Expected 1800K
Previous 1795K
🚨 Philadelphia Business Index Monthly Changes for June
Actual 10.3🔺
Expected 10
Previous number -0.4
Iran has reportedly suspended the entire 60-day negotiation period with the US, citing Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon as a breach of the MOU’s first clause, less than 24 hours after signing.
Iran’s delegation was preparing to depart for Switzerland before the trip was called off, and talks remain suspended until Israeli attacks stop and the US adheres to first-clause obligations.
Iran’s delegation was preparing to depart for Switzerland before the trip was called off, and talks remain suspended until Israeli attacks stop and the US adheres to first-clause obligations.