📣Ranging (sideways) movement is a market situation where the price is neither rising nor falling, but moving within a relatively narrow range.

In simple terms, the price moves back and forth without a clear direction. Traders often refer to this phase as a range or a sideways market.

💡How can you tell the market is moving sideways?

The price rises and falls several times but remains around the same level.

⚠️Why does this happen?

— market activity is low
— traders are waiting for important news
— buying and selling pressure is balanced

ℹ️What should a trader keep in mind?

During a sideways market, conditions can stay calm for a long time. This is where patience becomes essential, as rushed decisions often lead to mistakes.

A sideways market is not a flaw or a problem. It is a normal phase that occurs quite often.

Be more cautious if you expect quick price moves — sideways conditions usually last longer than expected.

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🔼💥Welcome Bonus 100%!

Don’t miss the OnFin promotion — get a 100% bonus on your initial deposit.
Open a Standard account, deposit $100 or more, and start trading with double your capital.

📣⚠How to claim:

Register as a new client.
Open a Standard account.
Make a deposit of $100 or more — the bonus will be credited automatically.

💬The bonus is available to new clients only.

👉Registration Link

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👀Sometimes positive news is released, yet the price falls instead of rising.

It may seem illogical, but for the market, this reaction is completely normal.

➡️Here’s why this can happen:

📌 Good news was already expected
Market participants often position themselves in advance. Prices may rise before the news is released and decline once it becomes official.

📌 Profit taking
When expectations are confirmed, some traders close positions and lock in profits, creating downward pressure on prices.

📌 The market expected more
The news may be positive, but weaker than anticipated. In this case, disappointment drives the reaction.

📌 The macro context matters more than one headline
The overall economic environment, central bank policy, and global risks often have a stronger impact on prices than a single positive event.

What should a trader remember?

📣The market reacts not to the news itself, but to the gap between expectations and reality.

Good news does not guarantee price growth.

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💡TRADING SCHEDULE

From March 8, the US will switch to Daylight Saving Time (DST).

From March 29, Europe will adopt Daylight Saving Time (EDT).

As a result, the trading hours will be adjusted as follows:

💬March 9 - March 29:
DowJones30, Nasdaq100, S&P500, WTI, NGAS, Metals – 00:05-22:55 EET
ASX200 – 00:50-07:30 EET, 08:10-22:00 EET
Brent – 02:05-22:55 EET
CFD Stocks US – 15:30-22:00 EET

💬From March 30:
DowJones30, Nasdaq100, S&P500, WTI, NGAS, Metals – 01:05-24:00 EET
ASX200 – 01:50-08:30 EET
Brent – 03:05-23:55 EET
CFD Stocks US – 16:30-23:00 EET
All other trading sessions will continue as usual.

✔️We recommend considering these changes when planning your trades. If you have any questions, please contact our support team.

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✨Today we celebrate International Women’s Day

March 8 is not only a day of celebration, but also a reminder of the long journey toward equality, opportunity, and recognition of women’s achievements around the world.

✖️For decades, women have made a significant contribution to science, business, finance, and trading. Today, thousands of women work as analysts, investors, and traders, helping shape the global financial markets.

🧘‍♀️We are proud to see more women entering the world of Forex — building their own strategies, managing risk, and proving every day that trading knows no boundaries.
On this day, we wish all women confidence in their decisions, strength in pursuing their goals, and success in the markets.

Happy International Women’s Day!

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✨Final Day: Spring 128%

Today is the final day of the Spring 128% promotion.

Fund your Standard account with $50 or more and receive a 128% bonus to boost your trading capital.

🔥This offer is available exclusively for clients from Vietnam and China.

🕯Trading conditions remain unchanged.

👉For more information, visit our website

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ℹ️Dear Traders,

We would like to inform you that scheduled maintenance will take place on March 13th, 2026. Some services will be temporarily unavailable during the maintenance period from approximately between 03:00 PM and 05:00 PM UTC.

⚠️Please plan your activities accordingly by taking these temporary disruptions into account.

Thank you for your understanding and cooperation.

If you have any questions or need further information, our support team is always ready to assist you — feel free to write to support@onfin.io.

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📊Key Forex Market Updates

Midweek trading in the forex market remains cautious as investors assess the strength of the US dollar, movements in oil prices, and prepare for the release of key macroeconomic data from the United States. These factors could shape market direction in the upcoming trading sessions.

⚡️ The US dollar remains resilient
The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to hold above the 103 level, demonstrating resilience amid cautious investor sentiment. Meanwhile, yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds remain around 4.1–4.2%, continuing to support demand for the US currency.

⚡️ EUR/USD remains under pressure
The EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.08 level as markets evaluate the outlook for monetary policy. Economists expect the European Central Bank may begin its rate-cutting cycle earlier than the Federal Reserve, which is limiting the euro’s upside potential.

⚡️ Oil prices add to market volatility
Brent crude has climbed above $82 per barrel, becoming one of the factors contributing to increased volatility in currency markets. Rising energy prices typically influence inflation expectations and the currencies of oil-importing countries.

⚡️ US inflation in focus
The key event this week will be the release of US CPI inflation data. Market forecasts suggest annual inflation around 3.1–3.2%, while core inflation is expected to come in near 3.7–3.8%. These figures could significantly influence expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy.

📈What does this mean for traders?

The market remains highly sensitive to macroeconomic data. Inflation figures, movements in bond yields, and trends in commodity markets could set the tone for major currency pairs in the upcoming trading sessions.

Traders should closely monitor key economic releases and the market’s reaction to new macroeconomic signals.

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🔼Breakout and False Breakout

One of the fundamental concepts of technical analysis is support and resistance levels. Price often changes direction or begins a strong move around these levels.
Today we will look at two important terms from the trader’s glossary: breakout and false breakout.

❓What is a breakout?
A breakout occurs when the price confidently moves through a support or resistance level and holds beyond it. This usually indicates that:
1) strong momentum has entered the market
2) one side (buyers or sellers) has gained control
3) the price may continue moving in the direction of the breakout

For example: if the price has been unable to break a resistance level for a long time but then moves above it and closes higher, this may signal the start of an upward move.

Many traders use breakouts as an entry signal for a trade.

❓What is a false breakout?
A false breakout occurs when the price moves beyond a level but quickly returns back. This usually means that:
1) the market did not have enough strength to continue the move
2) large market participants may have collected liquidity
3) traders entering on the breakout may get trapped

After a false breakout, the price often moves in the opposite direction.

⚠️How to distinguish a real breakout from a false one? Beginners should pay attention to several factors:

• Candle closing beyond the level
• Increasing trading volume
• Strong momentum after the breakout
• Level retest (price returning to the level after the breakout)

👀If the price only briefly pierces a level and quickly returns, the probability of a false breakout is higher. A breakout can signal the beginning of a new move, while a false breakout often leads to a reversal. Avoid entering a trade based on a single touch of a level. A better approach is to wait for confirmation and apply proper risk management.

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👀 MARKET ANOMALIES OF THE WEEK (March 9–13)

Global markets delivered several unusual — and at times contradictory — moves this week, catching the attention of traders worldwide.

1️⃣ Oil: a sharp spike and pullback in a single session
Early in the week, the oil market experienced one of its strongest intraday reactions in recent years.
Amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, oil prices initially surged nearly 29% at their peak, before quickly retracing part of the move. By the end of the session, prices were still up around 7%.

2️⃣ Oil back above $100
By mid-week, Brent crude climbed back above the $100 per barrel level, marking the first time since 2022. The rally was driven by concerns over potential supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, a key route that carries roughly 20% of global oil supply.

3️⃣ Unusual behavior of safe-haven assets
During geopolitical stress, traditional safe havens — the USD, JPY and CHF — typically strengthen together.

This week, however, the market showed a different picture:
• USD strengthened sharply
• CHF gained against the euro
• JPY weakened, with USD/JPY rising above the 157 level

4️⃣ Market shrugs off weak labor data
Late last week, weak US labor market data was released — something that would normally weigh on the dollar.
However, the USD remained resilient, and several currency pairs continued moving in the same direction.

5️⃣ Volatility on the rise
Against this backdrop, overall market volatility increased.
The VIX volatility index jumped roughly 28%, reflecting stronger demand for hedging strategies and options.
For traders, this means wider price ranges — and higher risk.

At OnFIn, we closely monitor these market conditions, as they often become key moments for trading decisions.

Which market moves surprised you the most this week?

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🚀Not seeing the right role at the moment? Let’s still connect.

At Onfin, we’re always keen to connect with strong professionals worldwide.
That’s why we’ve created the Onfin Talent Community – a way to stay in touch and reach out when the right opportunity comes up.

Even if there isn’t a perfect role today, it doesn’t mean there won’t be one tomorrow.

We regularly hire for:
• Sales & Account Management
• Partnerships & Business Development (IB)
• Client Support
• Marketing & Growth

✈️ Remote-first team, global scope, and growing fast.

📩Send your CV to careers@onfin.io to join our Talent Community!

By submitting your CV, you agree that your information may be processed for recruitment purposes.
All applications are handled with strict confidentiality.

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💵A limit order is an order to buy or sell at a specific price.

Simply put, you set your entry price and wait for the market to reach it.

👛 How does it work?

If the price reaches your level, the order is filled automatically.

❗️Why do traders use limit orders?

— to avoid entering a trade at an unfavorable price
— to plan entry points in advance
— to avoid constantly watching the market

🤯What should you keep in mind?
The price may not reach your level — and the order won’t be filled.

🖥 When it’s better NOT to use a limit order:

— if you expect sharp price movements
— if the market is highly volatile
— if you need to enter the market immediately

A limit order is a tool for more precise and controlled market entry.

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Global markets operated under elevated uncertainty last week, with geopolitical risk and a repricing of monetary policy expectations acting as the primary drivers.

🕯 Commodities
Oil markets saw pronounced volatility, with intraday gains reaching approximately 29%, while the week closed around +7%.
Brent crude held above the $100 per barrel level for the first time since 2022, driven by concerns over potential supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.

🕯 FX Market
The US dollar remained resilient despite weaker US labor market data.
USD/JPY traded above 157, reflecting a widening rate differential and sustained pressure on the yen.
The Swiss franc showed relative strength versus the euro, indicating selective safe-haven demand.

🕯 Volatility & Positioning
The VIX index rose approximately 28%, pointing to increased demand for hedging and a build-up in short-term risk.
Intraday ranges widened, with price action becoming more reactive to news flow.

🕯 Key Theme
Markets exhibited a degree of divergence from fundamentals, with FX price action driven primarily by expectations and capital flows rather than macro releases.
Overall, the week signaled a shift toward a regime where geopolitical risk and rate expectations dominate macro fundamentals.

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➡️ ECONOMIC CALENDAR (MARCH 23–27)

Markets enter the week in a repricing phase following the Fed decision, with focus on US macro data, Asian signals, and an intensifying geopolitical backdrop.

🌐 Asia

March 24–25 — PMI (Japan, Australia)
Expectations: 50–51
Readings above 50 would indicate improving business activity and may support JPY and AUD, while weaker prints could weigh on regional currencies.

March 26 — Australia CPI
Expectations: ~3.2–3.4% YoY
A higher reading would reinforce expectations of a tighter RBA stance and support AUD.
Japan remains in focus as markets continue to reassess the policy outlook and JPY trajectory.

💵 US

March 24 — PMI
Expectations: 50+
Stronger data would confirm economic resilience and support USD.

March 26 — Jobless Claims
Expectations: ~210–220K
An increase may pressure the dollar, while stable readings would reinforce current USD strength.

March 27 — GDP & Consumer Sentiment
GDP (final): no material revisions expected
Consumer Sentiment: moderate recovery
Stronger data would shift expectations toward a more hawkish rate path, supporting the dollar.

💸 Europe & UK

PMI releases from Germany, the UK, and the Eurozone are expected.
Forecast: below 50 (contraction territory)
Weak prints may weigh on EUR and GBP, reinforcing divergence with the more resilient US economy.

🔥 Geopolitics (key driver)
US President Donald Trump has given Iran 48 hours to:
• fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz
• ensure safe navigation
Failure to comply could trigger US strikes on energy infrastructure.

⏰Deadline: night of March 24 (Tehran time)
Geopolitical tensions are already driving higher volatility and supporting commodities and USD.

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✨ What is RR (Risk / Reward)?

In trading, it’s not just about finding an entry — it’s about knowing how much you’re willing to risk and how much you aim to make.
This is what defines trade quality and long-term consistency.
RR (Risk / Reward) measures how much you risk for potential profit in a trade.

➡️ RR is defined before entering a position:
• set your Stop Loss — where the setup is invalid
• define Take Profit — a realistic target
• calculate the ratio: reward / risk
• factor in market structure and volatility

If you risk $10,
a reasonable target is $20–30
That’s RR 1:2 or 1:3

Even with a lower win rate, the strategy can remain profitable.

ℹ️ What’s considered solid:
• RR of at least 1:2
• potential reward exceeds risk
• defined before entry

⚠️ Red flags:
• RR at 1:1 or lower
• entering without a defined RR
• adjusting targets emotionally
RR is the foundation of risk management.

Traders who use it consistently manage outcomes — not guess the market.

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📰 STRAIT OF HORMUZ: MARKETS SEE SIGNS OF DE-ESCALATION

Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz were one of the key market drivers this week, but the situation eased as the deadline approached.
Following the ultimatum from Donald Trump, Iran avoided a full escalation:
the strait remained open and no direct military response followed.

📊 Market reaction:
• oil pulled back after the initial spike
• Brent held near $100, but failed to extend the rally
• demand for safe-haven assets eased
• overall market volatility started to decline

💵 FX market:
• USD remained firm, though without a fresh catalyst
• JPY recovered part of its recent losses
• CHF stabilized
• risk assets saw short-term support

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The situation remains fluid, with developments shifting almost daily.
The initial 48-hour ultimatum from Donald Trump was set to expire on Monday, but was extended by five more days.
With around three days left, markets are closely watching the next move.

👉 The key demand remains the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
The news flow, however, is mixed:
• Trump signaled a potential deal with Iran
• Iran denied it, accusing him of attempting to influence financial markets

📊 What else is in focus:
• Pakistan has offered to host negotiations
• United Arab Emirates is reportedly considering involvement alongside Israel
• China is said to be pressuring Tehran, as stable energy supply remains critical

📈 What it means for markets:
Right now, headlines are driving price action.

👉 Any new development could shift sentiment:
• toward escalation
• or de-escalation

💵 Market impact:
• escalation → USD strengthens
• easing tensions → USD weakens, flows rotate into risk assets

📌 Bottom line:
Markets are in a high-uncertainty phase, where geopolitics outweighs macro data.

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☀️ FOREX NEWS: MARKETS NEAR PEAK VOLATILITY

Global markets remain under pressure as sharp price moves and a repricing of rate expectations continue to drive flows.

📊 What’s driving the market:

• oil continues to push higher, trading above $100–104 per barrel
• March gains have exceeded +40%
• rising commodity prices are reinforcing inflation risks

• the bond market remains under stress
→ Treasury volatility is approaching yearly highs
→ spreads have widened by roughly 30%

• the US dollar remains firm
→ supported by expectations of tighter-for-longer policy

📉 Equities:

• Asian indices are lower
→ Nikkei −0.7%, Hang Seng −1.7%

• global risk sentiment remains fragile

💵 FX market:

• USD holds firm
• EUR/USD remains under pressure (around 1.14)
• USD/JPY continues to grind higher on rate differentials

The market is in a phase where rising commodity prices are feeding into inflation, reinforcing “higher for longer” expectations. This dynamic continues to support the USD while capping upside in risk assets.

Volatility remains elevated, and markets are shifting into a regime where macro conditions and energy prices are the primary drivers of FX.

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🚀 MACRO CONTEXT: WHY ARE ALL MARKETS CONNECTED?

Many beginner traders focus on a single pair, like EUR/USD, trying to understand price action in isolation. But markets don’t work that way — they function as a unified system where all assets are interconnected.

Currencies, commodities, equities, bonds, and interest rates constantly influence each other because capital is always moving. Money flows to where conditions are more attractive or perceived as safer.

📊 How does this connection work?

Rising oil prices push inflation higher. This forces central banks to keep rates elevated for longer, which supports the US dollar. As a result, pressure builds on other currencies, as well as equities and gold — one move can trigger a chain reaction across the entire system.

Similarly, when equity markets decline, investors reduce risk and rotate into safe-haven assets. This increases demand for USD, JPY, and CHF, even in the absence of direct news.

📌 Three key market drivers:

• interest rates
• inflation
• risk sentiment (risk-on / risk-off)

Understanding which factor is dominant at any given time already gives you an edge.

💡How to use it?

Before entering a trade, ask yourself: what is actually driving the market right now — rates, commodities, or risk sentiment?
This helps you understand the context behind the move. The chart shows the outcome, while macro context explains the cause. Markets are not a collection of isolated instruments, but a connected system where capital flows shape price action.

Understanding macro doesn’t make trading easier — but it makes it more logical.

What do you think is the main market driver right now?

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🧠 SATURDAY PSYCHOLOGY: WHERE THE MARKET PAID

This week, the key move was the rally in oil and the strengthening of the USD.

• March 24–25 — initial impulse driven by news
• oil rallied from ~$78–80 to $100+ (peaking at around +25–30% within the move)
• the week closed near $100–104
• the dollar index held above 104–105
• USD/JPY stabilized above 157

A classic chain reaction played out:
rising commodities → inflation → “higher for longer” expectations → demand for the dollar

📌 Best approach:
Avoid entering during the impulse. The optimal setup was to wait for the pullback on March 26 and enter in line with the trend.

⚠️ Common mistakes:
• entering at the top of the move
• emotional trading
• lack of a clear RR
• moving or not placing a stop loss

🕯 The market rewards patience. The best trades come after the impulse, not during it.

How did you trade this move — did you enter the impulse or wait for a pullback?

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⚡️ECONOMIC CALENDAR (March 30 — April 3)

The week is driven by US macro data and labor market signals. The main focus is on the dollar and interest rate expectations.

🌐 ASIA

📍 Monday–Tuesday
PMI (Japan, China) — 01:30–02:00 GMT
Reflect overall business activity

📍 Wednesday
Inflation (Australia CPI) — 01:30 GMT
Impacts RBA rate expectations

💵 USA

📍 Monday
Powell speech — key signal for Fed policy

📍 Wednesday
ADP (labor market) — 12:15 GMT
GDP (final reading) — 12:30 GMT
ISM Manufacturing / Services — 14:00 GMT
Retail Sales — 12:30 GMT
This data block may significantly increase USD volatility

📍 Thursday
Initial Jobless Claims — 12:30 GMT
Reflect current labor market conditions

📍Friday
NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) — 12:30 GMT
ISM — 14:00 GMT
The main driver of the week for USD and global FX

💸 EUROPE
PMI (Germany, Eurozone) — 07:00–08:00 GMT
Weak readings are expected, increasing pressure on EUR
ECB rate decision — 12:15 GMT
A key factor for EUR dynamics

🕯 UNITED KINGDOM
PMI — 08:30 GMT
Weak data may put pressure on GBP

The market is focused on US data. Strong figures will reinforce expectations of tighter Fed policy and support the dollar, while weak data may trigger a correction and a recovery in risk assets

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