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WarMonitor
Fallout alone would trigger devastating consequences throughout the Middle East and the world.

A Nuclear Strike On Iran? It Sounds Absurd Because It Is. Let’s Talk About It

If this were entertained within the administration, it would face a far greater disaster than the Strait of Hormuz being closed.

https://www.twz.com/nuclear/a-nuclear-strike-on-iran-it-sounds-absurd-because-it-is-lets-talk-about-it
- Tyler Rogoway
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OSINTtechnical
Ukrainian attack drones struck Russia's Yaroslavl oil refinery tonight, one of the country's largest, setting multiple parts of the facility on fire.

This is the fifth major Russian oil installation hit in as many days, as Ukraine resumes its strike campaign. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2117464544004231275/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Canada's University of Toronto in Canada said Monday night that shots were fired at the Mississauga dormitory. Police have secured the area. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2117472308189352333/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
One person was killed and another injured after two helicopters collided into each other at Pheriche helipad in Solukhumbu, Nepal. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2117486488577589575/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Update 1: NAVAREA IX 425/26 STRAIT OF HORMUZ TUG BOAT SELAT STORM REPORTED INVOLVED IN A SECURITY INCIDENT HAS SUNK AT 26-22.55N 056-20.47E APPROXIMATELY 0.6NM WEST JAZIRAT UM AL GHANAM.

JUST IN: On 2 November, the vessel MSV AL JUSUF (dhow) was attacked by an unknown projectile. India’s shipping minister, Sarbananda Sonowal, says this Indian cargo dhow was hit by an “unidentified aerial object” near the coast of Oman. One of its 14 Indian crew was killed. Oman’s coast guard rescued the other 13.
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Open Source Intel
CNN reports that a U.S. fighter jet was targeted by an Iranian surface-to-air missile, after that the launch site on the island was hit.

Contributed by @Conflict_Radar https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2117496554542055908/photo/1

The United States struck radar detectors and missile launchers in Iran's Qeshm Island, per NewsNation.
- Open Source Intel
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Open Source Intel
Footage from IRGC reportedly shows thermal targeting of a US drone MQ-9 Reaper near Qeshm Island over the Strait of Hormuz. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2117499568917192935/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Iran executed two men over the alleged killing of police officers during the January 2026 protests.

Fars
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Open Source Intel
Saudi Arabia's Asian Cup moved from early 2027 to late 2027.

Behind the delay: the Saudi fight with the Houthis in Yemen and a possible return to U.S.-Iran fighting.

- Kann
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Open Source Intel
The U.S. may need to strike Pickaxe Mountain, President Trump told Fox News, adding that it would not be a problem and could be done within an hour.
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Open Source Intel
Iranian Parliament Speaker Qalibaf:

"Our military and strategic response to any miscalculation by the enemy will be unpredictable."

The response will disregard geographic limits and target the enemy's material and non-material assets.

The Commander-in-Chief has defined Iran's military strategy against a possible attack. The Americans and their regional proxies learned in the last two imposed wars that the era of excess is over.

Threats and military action will not force Iran to surrender.
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Open Source Intel
Iranian Parliament Speaker Qalibaf: Tehran has answered the U.S. and "now the ball is in America's court to prevent war."

He warns any new "strategic mistake" by Washington means "a new field of war." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2117507747411579007/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi:

In my interview with Al Jazeera network, I affirmed that we harbor no hostility toward the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council, and we appreciate the positive role played by Qatar and Oman, and we continue the dialogue with Saudi Arabia. Our goal is to reach new regional security arrangements carried out by the countries of the region themselves, away from any foreign military presence.
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Open Source Intel
Nuclear talks will begin once the Strait of Hormuz reopens, a senior Iranian official told Reuters. The official added that Iran is prepared to respond forcefully to American strikes, whether in the region or beyond it.
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OSINTtechnical
Russia’s Yaroslavl oil refinery, seen here heavily burning this morning after multiple Ukrainian attack drones slammed into the facility. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2117510443908640884/photo/1
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RT @laraseligman: EXCLU: The U.S. attacked Iran’s Qeshm Island on Monday, U.S. officials said, in the latest of a series of limited strikes Washington has secretly carried out against the country in recent weeks as President Trump touted the possibility of a diplomatic deal. W @alexbward @shelbyholliday https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-strikes-irans-qeshm-island-as-trump-talks-down-war-risks-79d73d3d?st=AcsApS&reflink=article_copyURL_share
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Open Source Intel
Trump on Iran:

We might have to go after Pickaxe, but that's not a big deal. We can do it in literally one hour. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2117513190711931088/video/1
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Open Source Intel
President Trump:

“Iran is an evil nation that has killed many of our people. Soleimani is an example. He’s no longer with us, but they have killed many of our people.

We cannot let them have a nuclear weapon, and we won't.”
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Open Source Intel
Tehran will not accept the "excessive demands" coming from Washington, according to a senior Iranian official. Speaking to Reuters, the official said an agreement between Iran and the United States is still out of reach.
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