WarTranslated
Russians claim a Ukrainian drone allegedly struck the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2060741921606181076/photo/1
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OSINTtechnical
Aftermath of a Ukrainian mid-range drone strike on the key crossing between occupied Crimea and the mainland earlier today.

Ukrainian drones continue to nearly paralyze Russian rear area logistics in the south. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2060745266966208952/video/1
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OSINTtechnical
Russians have started painting their logistics vehicles with dazzle camouflage in an attempt to confuse AI-assisted targeting systems used by Ukrainian mid-range strike drones. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2060755420122124325/photo/1
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇦Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, General Oleksandr Syrskyi:
🇷🇺⚓️ “The presence of the Russian military fleet in the Black and Azov Seas has been practically reduced to zero.”
📌 “During a working visit to Odesa, I met with the leadership and officers of the Naval Forces. I inspected the strike units of the Naval Forces — coastal anti-ship missile complexes ‘Neptune’, as well as units responsible for the protection of ports and maritime communications.”
📌 “The role of unmanned systems is becoming decisive in all domains, including at sea. Therefore, our task is to increase the scale of production, rapidly implement new solutions, and act ahead of events.”
📌 “Another important direction is the creation of an Integrated Maritime Awareness System, which will combine all sensors from Ukrainian ministries and agencies operating in the maritime domain.”
Syrskyi’s statement is both a confident assessment of the current situation and a clear roadmap for the future. The near-elimination of the Russian Black Sea Fleet’s operational presence is a major strategic achievement for Ukraine. The emphasis on scaling up unmanned systems and building an integrated maritime awareness network indicates that Ukraine is preparing for long-term dominance in the Black Sea.

Video is generated by grok AI
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇦 Ukraine has established itself as the world’s leading nation in technological advancement and the mass, effective use of drones in warfare — a reality now openly acknowledged by the military leadership of the world’s leading countries.
🇺🇸🗣️ U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth stated:
📌 “We continue to learn from what Ukraine has done on the battlefield. We have learned a great deal from Ukraine and how they operate.”
📌 “Where we could help Ukraine, we have. Where we could enable Europe to do more, we have.”
📌 “If you look at the amount of money spent, Europe has stepped up, and Ukraine has been just as effective — if not more — in this process.”
📌 “In President Trump’s 2027 budget, you will see a $56 billion investment aimed at achieving dominance in the field of drones.”
Hegseth’s statement is a significant recognition of Ukraine’s military innovations, particularly in drone warfare. The planned $56 billion U.S. investment in drones for 2027 clearly shows that America is seriously studying and adopting Ukrainian battlefield experience to strengthen its own capabilities.

Video is generated by grok AI
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WarTranslated
Ukraine's 19th Radio Intelligence Brigade mobile fire group shot down a Russian Shahed. The downed drone nearly fell on a neighboring unit but everyone made it out fine. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2060769450299629632/video/1
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Nuno Felix
So, @FDD CEO, are you telling us that we went from “13 days to collapse” to 2 and a half years ?
Strong advice, sound strategy, no repercussions at all…. And then you lot complain that you are treated as an Israeli lobby firm….

If the goal is to cripple the Iranian regime, we are closer today than at any point in 47 years. The opportunity is real, but so is the risk of squandering it. President Trump will need the strategic patience and staying power to finish the job over the next two and a half years. - Mark Dubowitz
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Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: The United States is doomed in their War against Iran. Not because the Trump Administration is unable to reach outcomes that could have the veneer of credible victory, but because anything short of complete and total regime change is insufficient for the Trump inner circle.

The Democrats, inevitably, will tear Trump to shreds even if he was able to get Iran to become a U.S. vassal and hand over all their oil to America. This is the reality of a heavily polarized political environment.

That's not the issue. Democrat, and likely Independent, backlash is inevitable. That's survivable for Donald Trump. What is not survivable is to lose the support of his most ardent supporters, and that is the risk he is facing if he is unable to achieve complete regime change in Iran.

But that's not going to be possible.

With the current economic warfare campaign being waged against Iran, mostly being carried out through the combination of the blockade and sanctions, this was meant to produce one of two primary strategic objectives in this conflict:

1) Toppling of the Regime
2) Major Concessions at the Negotiating Table

Here is the key problem though facing President Trump...

Major concessions are insufficient to satisfy his inner circle that controls and dominates the media landscape that will shape American perception of this conflict.

Nuclear concessions? Trump's inner circle doesn't believe that Iran won't squirrel away some of their Uranium or Plutonium. They don't trust that Iran will not immediately begin rebuilding their nuclear program. It's not good enough for them.

Funding their proxies in the region? I'm not sure anyone truly believes that Iran will stop funding these groups after a peace deal is reached, and even if they do, Trump's inner circle will not. "They chant Death to America! Death to Israel! They're terrorists to their core!"

Dismantle their missile and drone production? You mean the facilities that even the United States admits they have been able to rebuild and replenish at a rate far faster than we expected? No, completely unacceptable says the inner circle.

It is clear that no amount of concessions, no agreements, no promises will be enough to satisfy the Iran Hawks and inner circle that surround President Trump. And if this is the end outcome? You better BELIEVE that they will be right on Fox News and Newsmax ripping the President to shreds. Their entire career is over. There is no longer any credible threat that the United States will attack Iran again, not after this debacle. They have nothing left to lose, and they will go on the offensive against the President in the same way we saw them do just one week ago when leaked MOU terms hit the internet.

So the only acceptable outcome that will satisfy the Trump inner circle is regime change... But this is simply not possible anymore.

Perhaps, pre-February 28th, there MAY have been hope of seeing a public uprising that toppled the regime... but even this was wildly optimistic. Just in January, mass uprisings were brutally put down by the Iranian regime to the score of thousands dead. The regime holds all the guns... it is delusional to think that the population would be willing to once again take up sticks and stones after this most recent slaughter has been seared into their memories.

But POST-February 28th? Forget about it.

On the very first day of the Iran War, the United States conducted airstrikes that targeted the Shajareh Tayyebeh Elementary School in Minab.

The United States did not bomb the elementary school just one... not just twice... but THREE TIMES.

These abhorrent and indefensible strikes against CHILDREN killed 120 kids. Defenseless. Innocent. Children. And on top of this, another 36 others were killed.

How would we American's react if this was done to our own children? The United States is as divided and polarized as it has ever been in our entire history. But if Iran bombed and slaughtered our sons and da[...]

ughters? You'd better believe we'd rally around the flag and set our sights on the monsters who did this.

But then President Trump took it a step further.

On the morning of April 7th, President Trump took to Truth Social to threaten to wipe out Iran's entire civilization. You know, the exact people Trump claimed to care so much about? The one's who he asked to take back their country? Those same people are now being threatened by the President of the United States.

If the Minab Bombing was not enough to turn the Iranian population against the United States, surely this would do the trick.

But then the United States not only doubled down... We tripled down by launching an economic warfare campaign that disproportionately harms those we claimed to care so much about. The average Iranian citizen.

What needs to be understood about economic hardship is that it is not evenly distributed. Nowhere is this more evident that it is currently in the United States.

If you are a wealthy individual in the USA, you are able to invest into US energy companies. US artificial intelligence companies. These investments are able to significantly offset any pain that would otherwise be incurred by the rapidly rising gas prices. Rapidly rising grocery prices.

But what about the vast majority of American's that do not have thousands and thousands of dollars free to invest into the markets right now? They don't GET that same benefit. They don't GET to offset their rising expenses. They just get SCREWED.

This is the exact same in Iran under the pain of the United States' blockade and sanctions targeting.

What would happen in the United States if there was not enough food to go around? Do you think Jeff Bezos would go hungry? Do you think his loved ones would starve? Of course not. Not in a million years. But the average American? They would be the ones paying the ultimate price.

What would happen in the United States if Mark Zuckerberg faced a medical emergency, but there was a shortage of medical supplies? Do you think he would not be able to secure the necessary equipment and supplies to save himself? Of course he would. But the same question asked to your average American? Different answer.

This is the exact same situation taking place in Iran. The regime elites? Sure, they're hurt a bit from the sanctions that have targeted them, but they went from ludicrously wealthy to... SLIGHTLY less ludicrously wealthy. Do you think the regime elites are going hungry? Do you think they struggle to get medical supplies? Struggle to get drinking water? Of course they don't.

But the average Iranian sure does.

It is for this combination of reasons:
1) The Minab Bombing
2) Threatening to wipe out their civilization
3) Uneven distribution of economic pain

That the Iranian people have ZERO interest in toppling the regime. And even if they DID want to? The likelihood that they would be able to do so successfully is exceptionally low.

So the goal of regime change... the ONLY goal that is an acceptable outcome for Trump's inner circle... the ONLY goal that will allow Trump to escape this conflict without complete destruction of his legacy as a President? It's an impossibility.

It is for this reason that President Trump needs to take the hardest step of all for a man that values his public image and legacy above all else.

President Trump needs to abandon the guidance of his inner circle that is pushing impossibilities. He needs to abandon his own legacy. His own reputation. His own ego.

President Trump needs to put the AMERICAN PEOPLE FIRST...

And end this conflict before it is too late.
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U.S. Central Command
U.S. Forces Disable Non-Compliant Vessel in Gulf of Oman to Prevent Blockade Violation
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Nuno Felix
So… you mean @FDD will shut up?

It would be refreshing to see more reporting and analysis on Iran that isn’t filtered through the partisan warfare consuming America’s political tribes. - Mark Dubowitz
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Open Source Intel
JUST IN

CENTCOM says U.S. forces disabled a Gambia flagged vessel, M/V Lian Star, in the Gulf of Oman after it ignored more than 20 warnings and continued toward an Iranian port in violation of the blockade. A Hellfire missile struck the ship’s engine room, stopping its transit. CENTCOM says 5 commercial vessels have now been disabled and 116 redirected under the blockade.
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Nuno Felix
RT @UkraineDailyUpd: Kostyantynivka.

Summary: Recent videos confirm additional Russian infiltrations in the northern part of the city, while Ukrainian forces continue to hold positions in the south.

Geolocated footage from southern Kostyantynivka shows Ukrainian soldiers under fire, consistent with reports from both Russian and Ukrainian sources that Russian forces are infiltrating via the western flank at Illinivka.
Recent footage confirms Ukrainians still hold a presence in Illinivka while Russian forces have taken control of Berestok.

Notably, some Russian channels, such as creamy_caprice, are labeling large areas as “under full Russian control”, overlooking Ukrainian positions in the south and the fact that Russian infiltrations are coming from the west, and not (!) the south.

Kostyantynivka is divided into two parts, separated by a river and partially demolished industrial facilities, which hinders movement between them. Russian soldiers have been repeatedly observed along the main access road to the western section, which could complicate Ukrainian withdrawals from the southern part of the western area, as they no longer have a supply and rotation route through Ukrainian-held territory. Troop movements now require passage through contested zones.

Similar, albeit smaller-scale, developments are observed in the eastern part of the city. In isolated cases, Russian soldiers penetrated deep into Ukrainian-held territory and have even been spotted once in the high-rise district. However, the primary incursion appears to be in the western part of the city.

The origins of the current situation remain unclear. The loss of a relatively stable line of contact is reminiscent of the battles for Toretsk in early 2025 and Pokrovsk in mid-2025. If this pattern continues, the battle for Kostyantynivka may last several more months. There are currently no indicators that the city will fall into Russian hands anytime soon.

We will continue to monitor the situation and have just updated the map!
https://map.ukrdailyupdate.com
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Nuno Felix
RT @tochnyi: Read the full article here : https://tochnyi.info/2026/05/logistics-lockdown-disrupting-the-road-logistics-network-of-russia-in-the-occupied-territories-of-ukraine/

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