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Open Source Intel
Al Arabiya sources: The U.S.–Iran draft deal includes a 60-day renewable ceasefire, mine clearance and fee-free passage through the Strait of Hormuz, authorization for Iranian oil exports, and ongoing nuclear negotiations for a long-term agreement.
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Nuno Felix
The same people who will be complaining when Ukraine bombs out Moscow

Russian military source Fighterbomber:

We're going to destroy Kyiv. https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/2058923268149506329/photo/1
- Clash Report
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇦 The 118th Mechanize Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which defended the settlement of Mala Tokmachka on the Zaporizhzhia front and repelled hundreds of attacks, has been entered into the Book of Records of Ukraine.
🔷 The soldiers have been holding positions on this section of the front for more than 1,500 days — under constant assaults, air strikes, artillery fire, and drone attacks.
🎖️ In the brigade, they say that their main reward is not the record, but every meter of Ukrainian land they have managed to preserve
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WarTranslated
Lavrov is claiming that the enemy, under the banners of Nazism and revanchism, is creating an all-European assault group to attack Russia. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2058958910896091561/video/1
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WarTranslated
While they were bragging about capturing Kyiv and all of Ukraine, the Kremlin is now closing the skies over its own capital and a massive part of Russia. A flight ban for altitudes up to 5,100 meters will take effect in July, affecting small aviation, business jets, and other civilian flights.
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Open Source Intel
Iran's World Cup team will stay in Tijuana after the U.S. denied them entry to Arizona. Mexican President Sheinbaum confirmed the arrangement. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2058959765141676329/photo/1
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇦🇲🇷🇺 “It seems they consider us fools,” — Medvedev accused Armenia of trying to repeat Ukraine’s path.

🗣️ Russia’s former president launched a sharp attack on Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, claiming that he is leading the country toward breaking ties with Russia.

📌 “Think about it: as a result of the actions of this very specific person, the entire Armenian people will lose — they will lose the Russian market, the entire Eurasian Economic Union, and economic ties that have been built over decades,” — Medvedev stated.

Video is generated by grok AI
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OSINT
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Open Source Intel
Which way MBS?

The bill for American action has arrived at the Saudi door. Last night, Donald Trump reportedly demanded that in exchange for finalizing the current ceasefire deal with Iran—the one desperately needed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz—the Gulf states would have to pay a massive premium: immediate normalization with Israel. According to my sources, the ultimatum was met with literal silence. The Arab leaders were so thoroughly stunned by the audacity of the request that Trump actually had to break the silence with a follow-up: “Are you still there?”

For months, we have watched a narrative form: Israel deceived the United States into a disastrous war that only empowered Iran. This narrative ignores multiple factors, including but not limited to the fact that it was Trump’s choice, Trump did not follow the Israeli plan, and—perhaps most of all—the presence of another major player calling for war: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

In late February, The Washington Post reported that the decision to go to war had been reached after encouragement from two key allies: Israel and Saudi Arabia. Throughout the war, they reinforced this support. A few weeks later, when Trump was claiming that the war would be over in a few days, The New York Times reported that both nations heavily encouraged a continuation of the conflict. Prince Mohammed reportedly argued that the United States should consider putting troops in Iran to seize energy infrastructure and force the government out of power.

But things have changed.

The Saudis never expected to put their core energy infrastructure on the line for this conflict, assuming a covert nod to Washington would yield a painless destruction of the Iranian threat. Instead, the smoking ruins of the Ras Tanura refinery, a staggering $33.5 billion first-quarter deficit, and a hull-to-hull backup in the Strait of Hormuz served as a brutal awakening. With the United Arab Emirates stepping aggressively into the vacuum—gladly absorbing the role of America’s primary, hardline Gulf ally—Riyadh is executing a frantic tactical retreat. For the past month and a half, MBS has been beating a different drum: diplomacy. “Okay,” said Trump last night, but constantly shifting positions comes with a cost: normalization.

This is about far more than Trump extracting a quick return on investment. By demanding normalization as the price for a ceasefire, he is forcing the Saudis to grab Israel’s other arm to physically restrain Jerusalem from striking Iran alone.

It underscores a truth that Trump understood and Obama never did: the most effective way to control Israel isn’t to push them away, but to wrap them in a bear hug. By locking Jerusalem into a close alliance, Washington doesn’t just protect them—it places its hand directly over the Israeli trigger finger. Washington needs its hand over that trigger because Israel has little incentive to hold back when the current deal appears to leave Iran in a stronger position than before.

That is the Iranian impression as well. In The Art of the Deal, Trump writes: “The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you’re dead.” Sensing American eagerness for a diplomatic off-ramp, Tehran has smelled exactly that, aggressively upping its demands before any Memorandum of Understanding can be printed.

Despite draft stipulations requiring a return to free transit, the IRGC is leveraging its tactical position to normalize a permanent, permission-based transit regime in the Strait of Hormuz—boasting that 33 commercial vessels were forced to register and coordinate with the IRGC Navy in a single 24-hour window. Meanwhile, Iran has flatly rejected a Pakistani compromise to defer unresolved issues, flipping the entire sequencing of the talks by refusing any nuclear-related commitments or stockpiling concessions at this stage. Instead, an emboldened Tehran is demanding immediate economic rewards[...]
OSINT
Open Source Intel Which way MBS? The bill for American action has arrived at the Saudi door. Last night, Donald Trump reportedly demanded that in exchange for finalizing the current ceasefire deal with Iran—the one desperately needed to reopen the Strait…
, including the unfreezing of blocked assets, while conditioning the entire agreement on an “all fronts” ceasefire that would effectively force Washington to strip Israel of its freedom of action against Hezbollah in Lebanon.

At the end of the devastating Iran-Iraq War, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini famously declared that accepting peace was like “drinking a poison chalice.” Today, his successor’s successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, is facing no such bitter brew. Instead, Benjamin Netanyahu is being asked to swallow the fatal mixture this time around. Much to his relief, Donald Trump is trying to mix in a Saudi sweetener to help the medicine go down. - Amit Segal tweet
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Open Source Intel
Footage allegedly published by a U.S. soldier shows HIMARS missile launches against Iranian targets from an unknown Gulf country during the recent U.S.-Iran conflict. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2058962679738269808/video/1
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Disclose.tv
NOW - Trump at Arlington National Cemetery: "In Operation Epic Fury, we lost 13 wonderful souls, wonderful, special people. These incredible men and women gave their lives to ensure that the world's number one state sponsor of terror will never have a nuclear weapon." https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/2058962904771105153/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Israel is reportedly seeking a green light for a major strike on Beirut in response to Hezbollah’s drone threat.

As of now, President Trump holds the cards.
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Open Source Intel
Tasnim: Iran denies the Al-Arabia report

REPORT: High-ranking sources tell Al-Arabiya that Iran is willing to send its highly enriched uranium stockpile to China, seeking guarantees from Beijing before entering any agreement with the U.S.

Take this report with caution.
- Open Source Intel
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Nuno Felix
I have no idea what these morons are doing but its definitely a disaster in the making.

This is a disaster waiting to happen.

Proof that just because you have camo and a Gucci'd out rifles, it doesn't mean you know what you're doing. https://twitter.com/GunloverClub1/status/2058691810243825810/video/1
- Gun Lovers Club
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Nuno Felix
RT @derrickvanorden: If I had a dollar for every time we did this drill in the SEAL Teams, I would have zero dollars.

This is a disaster waiting to happen.

Proof that just because you have camo and a Gucci'd out rifles, it doesn't mean you know what you're doing. https://twitter.com/GunloverClub1/status/2058691810243825810/video/1
- Gun Lovers Club
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Open Source Intel
Tasnim, Iran's state-affiliated news agency, denies an Al Hadath report claiming Tehran is prepared to export its highly enriched uranium. Tasnim says no nuclear commitment exists in the current agreement text and calls the Saudi outlet's claim of Iranian sourcing a fabrication tied to U.S. psychological operations.
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Nuno Felix
RT @alexplitsas: ‘How the Strait of Hormuz Became the World’s Most Contested Waterway:
Over centuries, the narrow channel between the Persian Gulf and the Indian Ocean changed hands between Portuguese conquerors, Safavid shahs, Arab seafarers and British naval forces’
https://newlinesmag.com/essays/how-the-strait-of-hormuz-became-the-worlds-most-contested-waterway/
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Open Source Intel
Seven Ebola patients escaped a hospital in Mongbwalu, Congo, after relatives attacked the facility. The third incident of its kind in recent days.

Via RFI/BNO
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