Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: There is one irrefutable fact that the Trump Administration needs to accept:
Iran HAS TO be significantly compensated in order to reopen the Strait of Hormuz... even temporarily.
Washington has no viable avenues to achieve victory in Iran. This is clear to everyone. Military strikes failed to achieve any significant strategic objectives, and the Gulf countries clearly fear Iranian retaliation if future US strikes take place.
Iran's economy, while experiencing constriction as a result of the US blockade and economic warfare campaign, is not "on the verge of collapse". Their oil wells are not about to "explode". The are not "almost out of storage".
Iran holds all the cards right now. They have complete control over the Strait of Hormuz. They have a higher pain threshold economically and politically than the United States and the rest of the world. Their population has rallied around the flag significantly after the United States slaughtered hundreds of schoolchildren in Minab, only further increasing when President Trump threatened to destroy their "entire civilization", and reaching a crescendo when he posted imagery of the borders of Iran overlaid with the American flag.
Iran will take whatever economic pain they need to in their war against the "Great and Little Satan". No amount of denial from Trump's inner circle will change this.
The military campaign failed. The economic warfare campaign failed. The United States HAS NO LEVERAGE.
It doesn't matter if you think the Iranian regime is evil. It doesn't matter if you think they are pursuing nuclear weapons. It doesn't matter what moral or ethical argument you want to make against the United States making concessions to a terrorist regime.
This is what happens when you lose... catastrophically. You have to make incredibly unsavory concessions. You will look like a fool. You will be ridiculed. Your legacy will forever be tarnished.
But as President of the United States, it is time for Donald J. Trump to do the right thing and end this conflict. It is over. We are boxed in with no pathway to victory.
It is time to provide Iran the necessary sanctions relief, unfreeze the necessary assets, and open the Strait of Hormuz while there is still hope of saving the global economy.
This reality may suck, but it is the reality nonetheless.
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RT @BrettErickson28: There is one irrefutable fact that the Trump Administration needs to accept:
Iran HAS TO be significantly compensated in order to reopen the Strait of Hormuz... even temporarily.
Washington has no viable avenues to achieve victory in Iran. This is clear to everyone. Military strikes failed to achieve any significant strategic objectives, and the Gulf countries clearly fear Iranian retaliation if future US strikes take place.
Iran's economy, while experiencing constriction as a result of the US blockade and economic warfare campaign, is not "on the verge of collapse". Their oil wells are not about to "explode". The are not "almost out of storage".
Iran holds all the cards right now. They have complete control over the Strait of Hormuz. They have a higher pain threshold economically and politically than the United States and the rest of the world. Their population has rallied around the flag significantly after the United States slaughtered hundreds of schoolchildren in Minab, only further increasing when President Trump threatened to destroy their "entire civilization", and reaching a crescendo when he posted imagery of the borders of Iran overlaid with the American flag.
Iran will take whatever economic pain they need to in their war against the "Great and Little Satan". No amount of denial from Trump's inner circle will change this.
The military campaign failed. The economic warfare campaign failed. The United States HAS NO LEVERAGE.
It doesn't matter if you think the Iranian regime is evil. It doesn't matter if you think they are pursuing nuclear weapons. It doesn't matter what moral or ethical argument you want to make against the United States making concessions to a terrorist regime.
This is what happens when you lose... catastrophically. You have to make incredibly unsavory concessions. You will look like a fool. You will be ridiculed. Your legacy will forever be tarnished.
But as President of the United States, it is time for Donald J. Trump to do the right thing and end this conflict. It is over. We are boxed in with no pathway to victory.
It is time to provide Iran the necessary sanctions relief, unfreeze the necessary assets, and open the Strait of Hormuz while there is still hope of saving the global economy.
This reality may suck, but it is the reality nonetheless.
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Nuno Felix
https://twitter.com/Felix_Nuno/status/2058638391634239625/photo/1
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https://twitter.com/Felix_Nuno/status/2058638391634239625/photo/1
If he strikes tonight, I'll follow him to the hell and back :)) tweet
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OSINT
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇦👊 Z-blogger “Voiennyi Osvedomitel” writes about Ukraine’s destruction of the so-called “Road of Life”:
🗣️ “Let me remind you that blocking the R-280 Novorossiya highway, which is vital for Crimea, was one of the goals of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ unsuccessful counteroffensive in the summer of 2023.
Now, in the summer of 2026, Ukraine is trying to disrupt the peninsula’s logistics not directly, but by using medium-range kamikaze drones operating via Starlink.
Thousands of vehicles move along this route and adjacent roads every day. In order to actually collapse the logistics, Ukraine would need to use hundreds of drones per day on this section, which is still unachievable at this stage.
However, even now it is possible to significantly complicate this logistics. The cost of movement along the land corridor will increase due to destroyed vehicles, drivers will have to be paid much more, and some may refuse to use such a dangerous route altogether. This will force companies to expand both their staff and vehicle fleet.
In addition, it will be necessary to install anti-drone nets on the roads, organize safe night stops for vehicles, and deploy fire teams along the routes to cover the movement. An additional problem may be the need to transfer extra air defense systems, which are already needed everywhere and are in short supply.
The alternative route for supplying Crimea remains the Crimean Bridge. However, after the 2022 terrorist attack, civilian cargo traffic on it has been virtually stopped. Their flow was redirected to the R-280 highway, where Ukrainian drones are now hunting them. Therefore, in a negative scenario, the authorities will have to choose between two options: partially lift the ban on cargo trucks crossing the bridge, despite the risk of it being blown up, or maintain the ban and accept the worsening problems with fuel and goods supply to Crimea.
Another way to supply the peninsula is by ferry, which operated before the bridge was built. However, Ukraine also has the ability to strike them with Starlink-operated kamikaze drones, as these drones operate virtually freely over the Black Sea and Crimea.
In summary: Ukraine already has the resources to complicate logistics to Crimea and the new territories. In the future, this pressure will only increase and will require more and more financial and military resources to contain the problems, which will inevitably affect other areas as well.”
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇦👊 Z-blogger “Voiennyi Osvedomitel” writes about Ukraine’s destruction of the so-called “Road of Life”:
🗣️ “Let me remind you that blocking the R-280 Novorossiya highway, which is vital for Crimea, was one of the goals of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ unsuccessful counteroffensive in the summer of 2023.
Now, in the summer of 2026, Ukraine is trying to disrupt the peninsula’s logistics not directly, but by using medium-range kamikaze drones operating via Starlink.
Thousands of vehicles move along this route and adjacent roads every day. In order to actually collapse the logistics, Ukraine would need to use hundreds of drones per day on this section, which is still unachievable at this stage.
However, even now it is possible to significantly complicate this logistics. The cost of movement along the land corridor will increase due to destroyed vehicles, drivers will have to be paid much more, and some may refuse to use such a dangerous route altogether. This will force companies to expand both their staff and vehicle fleet.
In addition, it will be necessary to install anti-drone nets on the roads, organize safe night stops for vehicles, and deploy fire teams along the routes to cover the movement. An additional problem may be the need to transfer extra air defense systems, which are already needed everywhere and are in short supply.
The alternative route for supplying Crimea remains the Crimean Bridge. However, after the 2022 terrorist attack, civilian cargo traffic on it has been virtually stopped. Their flow was redirected to the R-280 highway, where Ukrainian drones are now hunting them. Therefore, in a negative scenario, the authorities will have to choose between two options: partially lift the ban on cargo trucks crossing the bridge, despite the risk of it being blown up, or maintain the ban and accept the worsening problems with fuel and goods supply to Crimea.
Another way to supply the peninsula is by ferry, which operated before the bridge was built. However, Ukraine also has the ability to strike them with Starlink-operated kamikaze drones, as these drones operate virtually freely over the Black Sea and Crimea.
In summary: Ukraine already has the resources to complicate logistics to Crimea and the new territories. In the future, this pressure will only increase and will require more and more financial and military resources to contain the problems, which will inevitably affect other areas as well.”
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Nuno Felix
Just for you @Mupper41 ….
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Just for you @Mupper41 ….
Parte da vigilância do Atlântico Norte, é realizada por forças da @fap_pt 🇵🇹 e @MarinhaPT 🇵🇹, com recurso a satélites, submarinos, fragatas, navios de patrulha e aviões de vigilância. https://twitter.com/PortugalDefense/status/2058639170369708442/photo/1 tweet
Nuno Felix
RT @PortugalDefense: Parte da vigilância do Atlântico Norte, é realizada por forças da @fap_pt 🇵🇹 e @MarinhaPT 🇵🇹, com recurso a satélites, submarinos, fragatas, navios de patrulha e aviões de vigilância. https://twitter.com/PortugalDefense/status/2058639170369708442/photo/1
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RT @PortugalDefense: Parte da vigilância do Atlântico Norte, é realizada por forças da @fap_pt 🇵🇹 e @MarinhaPT 🇵🇹, com recurso a satélites, submarinos, fragatas, navios de patrulha e aviões de vigilância. https://twitter.com/PortugalDefense/status/2058639170369708442/photo/1
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OSINTdefender
U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday told his representatives not to rush into any deal with Iran, as his administration played down hopes of an imminent breakthrough in the three-month-old war that had been raised just yesterday during public statements and calls with allies in the Middle East, according to Reuters.
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U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday told his representatives not to rush into any deal with Iran, as his administration played down hopes of an imminent breakthrough in the three-month-old war that had been raised just yesterday during public statements and calls with allies in the Middle East, according to Reuters.
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WarMonitor
This comes after Trump’s meeting with China, where once again he appears willing to undermine U.S. interests and security through concessions just so he can claim an artificial victory.
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This comes after Trump’s meeting with China, where once again he appears willing to undermine U.S. interests and security through concessions just so he can claim an artificial victory.
U.S. arms sales to Taiwan have been “paused” to preserve supplies for the Iran war, fueling concerns that Trump’s support for Taiwan may be wavering. — The Washington Post https://twitter.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/2058643086792655037/photo/1 tweet
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OSINTtechnical
Footage of a Russian Shahed 136 attack drone hitting a Ukrainian home in the Kyiv region last night. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2058647868659949640/video/1
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Footage of a Russian Shahed 136 attack drone hitting a Ukrainian home in the Kyiv region last night. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2058647868659949640/video/1
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WarMonitor
Congress is getting increasingly frustrated with the Trump administration over delayed Ukraine and Eastern Europe aid, with bipartisan senators now pushing the Pentagon to release $600 million that’s currently being held up. https://twitter.com/TheWarMonitor/status/2058653984735281203/photo/1
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Congress is getting increasingly frustrated with the Trump administration over delayed Ukraine and Eastern Europe aid, with bipartisan senators now pushing the Pentagon to release $600 million that’s currently being held up. https://twitter.com/TheWarMonitor/status/2058653984735281203/photo/1
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