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WarMonitor
This is not looking good.

The number of suspected Ebola cases in Congo has risen to 395, including 106 people who died, according to Africa CDC.
- BNO News
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OSINTtechnical
Locals report that Russia's Yaroslavl oil refinery, one of the largest in the country, has been hit by Ukrainian attack drones this morning.

AAA fire, smoke, and explosions were visible near the facility. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2056574618215879082/photo/1
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The Spectator Index
Japan’s economy grew by 0.5% in the first quarter of 2026, beating expectations and the strongest growth since 2024. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/2056579089969123574/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
The United States on Monday sanctioned 11 Cuban officials and 3 government entities, accusing them of supporting repression in Cuba and threatening U.S. national security. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2056581603778867217/photo/1
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The Spectator Index
An American doctor has tested positive for Ebola after working in the Democratic Republic of Congo and is being evacuated to Germany for treatment.
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WarMonitor
Trump Moves to Admit Thousands More White South Africans as Refugees. (NYT)

The administration argues that an “emergency refugee situation” in S. Africa merits bringing more Afrikaners to America, at a cost of some $100 million. https://twitter.com/TheWarMonitor/status/2056600318159245425/photo/1
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WarMonitor
This also means the president lied to us (again) when he claimed the strikes were paused because a deal was near.

1) Iran is clearly getting outside help.

2) The way this war is being carried out may also be exposing U.S. weapons vulnerabilities and operational tactics to other adversaries.
- WarMonitor
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WarMonitor
The Trump administration has rolled back key Biden-era regulations meant to protect America’s drinking water from dangerous PFAS chemicals, which have been linked to cancer, thyroid disease, liver damage, fertility issues, and other serious health conditions. https://twitter.com/TheWarMonitor/status/2056608512885637237/photo/1
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WarMonitor
Choosing between a democratic ally and a strategic adversary shouldn’t be difficult. Even the hesitation invites disaster.

"... when asked whether he would follow through on new arms sales to Taiwan, Trump demurred, explaining that he had not yet made that decision and that the arms package is “a very good negotiating chip for us.” That’s a disastrous policy change."
https://michaelmcfaul.substack.com/p/happy-talk-in-beijing-but-few-gains
- Michael McFaul
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Open Source Intel
A senior member of the Iranian parliament:

"The Americans must submit to our conditions - or submit to the power of our missiles."
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Open Source Intel
Iran's deputy foreign minister:

Lifting sanctions, releasing frozen funds, and ending the blockade are included in Iran's recent proposal to the US https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2056620850770567199/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Two Iron Dome interceptors were launched in western Galilee, with debris from one landing near a kibbutz. No casualties, per the IDF.
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Open Source Intel
New York Times: Iran took advantage of the ceasefire to repair dozens of bombed ballistic missile sites, move mobile missile launchers and adjust its tactics to resume fighting.
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Open Source Intel
Russia began scheduled nuclear force drills running through May 21, practicing preparation and potential deployment of nuclear weapons based in Belarus. The exercises span Strategic Missile Forces, long-range aviation, multiple fleets, and two military districts, involving more than 200 missile launchers, 140 aircraft, 73 surface ships, and 13 submarines.
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Open Source Intel
Update on Somaliland and Israel relationship.

I’m expecting additional countries to recognize Somaliland

Somaliland president receives traditional Jewish candelabra from the Israeli delegation… and reveals he spoke to @netanyahu on the phone today https://twitter.com/JakeWSimons/status/2056401874019135852/video/1
- Jake Wallis Simons
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Open Source Intel
Trump suggested to Xi that the U.S., China, and Russia cooperate against the ICC. - FT
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Open Source Intel
Former Palestinian cabinet member and Fatah official Qadura Fares:

Israel fabricated the Holocaust narrative, and those who challenge it are accused of antisemitism and prosecuted. He further alleged Israel enlisted "unscrupulous" directors to film October 7 documentation to control the historical record.
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Open Source Intel
Araghchi to Pakistan's Interior Minister: U.S. behavior is a "serious obstacle" to diplomacy. - Al Mayadeen
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Open Source Intel
I’m now hearing what appears to be non stop interceptions, no sirens can be heard, I’m assuming it’s Hezbollahs rocket attacks in southern Lebanon towards IDF positions. Will know soon

I am 8 KM from Lebanons border today.
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WarMonitor
That would require an actual strategy, which this conflict has lacked from the start. Instead, it looks like Trump is blindly making it up as he goes, then retroactively calling it “misdirection” whenever things don’t go as planned.

🔴US officials say Trump's delay of military actions on Iran could be a misdirection and he may still move ahead with strikes - report
- i24NEWS English
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