Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: Ok. Let’s set the record straight here once and for all…

Russia is NOT earning +$4B per month PURELY as a result of the sanctions being lifted. It’s ~$2.58B… but the TOTAL revenues they’re making now per month are up $9.42B per MONTH.

To be clear, I think the lifting of sanctions on Russia was/is insane, but let’s actually do our best to reasonably calculate the increased revenue flows as a result of the unsanctioning of Russian oil over the past 2 months.

The most useful data for this comes from Bloomberg and Reuters.

Prior to the start of the Iran War, and resultant unsanctioning of Russian energy products, Russian Urals was trading at a ~$10-$13 DISCOUNT to Brent Crude.

After GL-133, GL-134A, and GL-134B, we have seen Russian Urals trading at a $5-$15 PREMIUM to Brent Crude.

Assuming that ~240M barrels of Russian oil fell under GL-133, GL-134A, and GL-134B, and using the midpoints of each of these price points, we can calculate a swing of:
240M/2(months) x ($10 - -$11.50) = $2.58B per month in additional revenues.

Now, you can CERTAINLY argue that you should also include the rapid increase in global energy prices that resulted from the Iran War.

While May numbers obviously have not been released, we can reasonably estimate the oil and gas tax revenues due to the price allocated by the Russian economic ministry. This basis rose to $98.32, from previously $77/barrel in March. This is an increase of 27.69%.

Published data on Russia’s oil and gas tax revenues tell a damning story:

January: $5.3B
February: $5.83B
March: $8.32B
April: $11.53B
May (Projected): $14.72B

So while the cleanest data we can produce to examine the “sanctions premium” is $2.58B/month, the overall revenues Russia will receive from their oil and gas tax revenues will have increased a whopping 177.74%… in 4 months…

HEGSETH: We know Russia is a nefarious actor and account for tha--

SHAHEEN: All evidence to the contrary. We're not accounting for that if we're giving Russia the opportunity to earn $4 billion a month by leaving sanctions lifted https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/2054236617070510224/video/1 - Aaron Rupar
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Visioner
🇮🇱🇱🇧 The Israeli military says it has killed around 15 Hezbollah operatives "who posed a threat to troops" in southern Lebanon over the past day.

Several rocket launchers were struck as well. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2054260693247963411/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Armed Hamas operatives blocked Gazan contractors from entering Rafah to carry out construction work tied to the planned new Palestinian city, using weapons threats to turn them away.

- Channel 13
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Nuno Felix
RT @tom_nuttall: Bardella again makes it clear no love lost btwn the National Rally & the AfD in this FAZ interview. "Many AfD positions are incompatible with our principles...The AfD has a strong anti-European wing that demands EU withdrawal. That's not our position."

https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/ausland/jordan-bardella-im-f-a-z-interview-ueber-migration-merz-und-die-afd-accg-200822399.html
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WarTranslated
Putin stated that today Russia conducted a launch of the "Sarmat" - the world’s most powerful missile system. The missile can travel up to 35,000 km and can be equipped with a nuclear warhead. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2054261138376765825/video/1
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Open Source Intel
President Trump: “Iran’s leaders will either do the right thing, or we will finish the job.”
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OSINTdefender
Speaking to press outside the White House, U.S. President Donald J. Trump said that Chinese President Xi Jinping will come to the U.S. for a state visit later this year. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2054262380025057362/photo/1
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Visioner
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Reporter: At what point are you done negotiating with Iran?

Trump: We're going to see what happens. We're only making a good deal.

I believe that one way or the other, it's going to be very good for the American people, and I think actually very good for the Iranian people.
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Visioner
🇺🇸🇵🇰🇮🇷 Reporter: Are you reconsidering the Pakistanis as mediators?

Trump: No, they are great. The field marshal and the prime minister of Pakistan have been absolutely great. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2054262985216987518/video/1
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OSINTdefender
U.S. President Donald J. Trump had two key messages for embattled UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer: Open up oil in the North Sea and deal with the UK’s immigration problem. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2054263006486241490/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
BIG REPORT 🔴

Saudi Arabia reportedly conducted covert strikes against Iran during the war. - Reuters reporter
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Visioner
🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 Reporter: What is your message to President Xi as it relates to the Iran war?

Trump: I think number one, we're going to have a long talk about it. I think he's been relatively good, to be honest with you. We've had no problem. And he's been a friend of mine.

I think you're going to see that good things are going to happen. This is going to be a very exciting trip.
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Visioner
🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷 Reporter: Do you think Xi needs to intervene at all with the Iranians? Do you think he can help in any way?

Trump: I don't think we need any help with Iran. We'll win it one way or the other. We'll win it peacefully or otherwise. Every single element of their war machine is gone.
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Visioner
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦 In response to a question by a reporter, Trump said there is no understanding with Russia on eastern Ukraine's Donbas (Luhansk&Donetsk) https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2054263568481005581/photo/1
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OSINTdefender
President Donald J. Trump is now taking off from the White House for Joint Base Andrews, where he will leave for his summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, China.
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Faytuks News
BREAKING: Saudi Arabia carried out airstrikes on Iran during the war in retaliation for Iranian attacks, sources say -Reuters
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Open Source Intel
Netanyahu out casually juggling football. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2054264101174427870/video/1
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Instant News Alerts
#BREAKING: Reuters now reporting Saudi Arabia also secretly carried out military strikes on Iran during the war

WSJ Exclusive: The United Arab Emirates has carried out military strikes on Iran, people familiar with the matter said, casting the Gulf monarchy as an active combatant in a war in which it has been Iran’s biggest target. - Instant News Alerts
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Open Source Intel
MORE: Saudi Arabia Secretly Struck Iran During the War

The Saudi Air Force launched direct, unpublicized strikes on Iranian soil in late March 2026. First time in history.
The strikes were retaliation for Iranian attacks that pierced the U.S. military umbrella inside the kingdom.

Riyadh told Tehran the strikes were coming. A calculated warning: stop, or face far worse.

It worked. Weekly Iranian strikes on Saudi territory dropped from over 105 to roughly 25. Iran shifted remaining attacks through Iraqi proxies to avoid direct attribution.

A quiet deal was reached the week before the broader U.S.-Iran ceasefire on April 7th.

BIG REPORT 🔴

Saudi Arabia reportedly conducted covert strikes against Iran during the war. - Reuters reporter - Open Source Intel
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OSINTtechnical
President Trump responding to questions about increasing prices: "Every American understands that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon." https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2054265124412940691/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Trump on Iran: "We'll win it peacefully or otherwise" https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2054265357913723224/video/1
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