Open Source Intel
IAF hit Hezbollah launchers aimed at Israel and IDF forces across southern Lebanon this morning. Over the past 24 hours, roughly 15 Hezbollah operatives were eliminated near Israeli forces in the area.

- IDF https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2054252358754869490/video/1
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Disclose.tv
JUST IN - U.S. appeals court temporarily pauses trade court ruling against Trump's 10% tariffs.
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Open Source Intel
U.S. appeals court temporarily stays the trade court decision that struck down Trump's 10% tariffs under Section 122.
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Open Source Intel
Hezbollah air defense member wounded in an Israeli airstrike a month ago. Returned to the battlefield. Killed by a drone strike two days ago.

@qalaatm https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2054253570204016784/photo/1
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Visioner
🇦🇪🇮🇱 A UAE Air Force CL-600 jet just landed at Ben Gurion Airport in central Israel.

The UAE has reportedly been quietly carrying out strikes on Iran since the ceasefire took effect, while Israel has been assisting by deploying Iron Dome air defense batteries to the UAE. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2054253988451668190/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
IRGC drill in Tehran used an FPV drone to hit a Black Hawk banner, taunting the Isfahan incident where Black Hawks were destroyed.

The IRGC is pathetic. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2054254803912376824/video/1
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) using an illustration of a US-made UH-60 Black Hawk helicopter as a target for FPV drones during training. https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/2054254902591783248/video/1
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Open Source Intel
ICYMI: An Iranian parliamentarian says 90% uranium enrichment is being considered as a response option if Iran is attacked again. The issue is under discussion in parliament.
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OSINTdefender
Fox News confirms that among other tech and industry CEOs traveling to China with U.S. President Donald J. Trump, Space X and Tesla CEO Elon Musk will also be traveling to China with President Trump. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2054256295826370933/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Iraq's Chief of Staff visited the Najaf desert site where a secret Israeli base reportedly operated during the Iran war, according to a Wall Street Journal report. Iraq's Defense Ministry says the area is now under full Iraqi military control and surveillance. The base went undetected by Iraqi forces for the duration of the conflict.
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OSINTdefender
U.S. President Donald J. Trump is set to leave the White House soon for Joint Base Andrews for his trip to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, China. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2054257525327855727/video/1
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Visioner
🇫🇷🇰🇪 French President Emmanuel Macron in Nairobi:
Whoever ignores Africa today is mistaken and is giving up on their own future. Africa is here, present, and strong.

All those who do not work with the African continent, all those who continue to take resources from it to value them elsewhere, and all those who neglect them in situations of imbalance or distress—all of this simply hinders their own future.
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Open Source Intel
UAE to Israel: The new Rafah city will only move forward if Hamas is neutralized and Israel guarantees the project stays protected if fighting resumes.

Kan News.
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Visioner
French President Emmanuel Macron vibing to "Jerusalema" at the Africa Forward Summit in Nairobi. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2054259889124323492/video/1
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Open Source Intel
The UAE struck Iranian targets multiple times before and after the ceasefire, Bloomberg reports. One April 8 strike knocked an oil refinery on Lavan Island offline for months. Abu Dhabi also coordinated with Israel on an April 6 hit on the South Pars Petrochemical complex in Asaluyeh, which produces roughly 50% of Iran's petrochemicals, in response to Tehran's attack on the Borouge plant.
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OSINTdefender
Speaking to press outside the White House, U.S. President Trump said both he and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, are looking forward to the meeting in Beijing, China and that he has spoken to President Xi in preparation for the meeting. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2054260265617588265/video/1
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Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: Ok. Let’s set the record straight here once and for all…

Russia is NOT earning +$4B per month PURELY as a result of the sanctions being lifted. It’s ~$2.58B… but the TOTAL revenues they’re making now per month are up $9.42B per MONTH.

To be clear, I think the lifting of sanctions on Russia was/is insane, but let’s actually do our best to reasonably calculate the increased revenue flows as a result of the unsanctioning of Russian oil over the past 2 months.

The most useful data for this comes from Bloomberg and Reuters.

Prior to the start of the Iran War, and resultant unsanctioning of Russian energy products, Russian Urals was trading at a ~$10-$13 DISCOUNT to Brent Crude.

After GL-133, GL-134A, and GL-134B, we have seen Russian Urals trading at a $5-$15 PREMIUM to Brent Crude.

Assuming that ~240M barrels of Russian oil fell under GL-133, GL-134A, and GL-134B, and using the midpoints of each of these price points, we can calculate a swing of:
240M/2(months) x ($10 - -$11.50) = $2.58B per month in additional revenues.

Now, you can CERTAINLY argue that you should also include the rapid increase in global energy prices that resulted from the Iran War.

While May numbers obviously have not been released, we can reasonably estimate the oil and gas tax revenues due to the price allocated by the Russian economic ministry. This basis rose to $98.32, from previously $77/barrel in March. This is an increase of 27.69%.

Published data on Russia’s oil and gas tax revenues tell a damning story:

January: $5.3B
February: $5.83B
March: $8.32B
April: $11.53B
May (Projected): $14.72B

So while the cleanest data we can produce to examine the “sanctions premium” is $2.58B/month, the overall revenues Russia will receive from their oil and gas tax revenues will have increased a whopping 177.74%… in 4 months…

HEGSETH: We know Russia is a nefarious actor and account for tha--

SHAHEEN: All evidence to the contrary. We're not accounting for that if we're giving Russia the opportunity to earn $4 billion a month by leaving sanctions lifted https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/2054236617070510224/video/1 - Aaron Rupar
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Visioner
🇮🇱🇱🇧 The Israeli military says it has killed around 15 Hezbollah operatives "who posed a threat to troops" in southern Lebanon over the past day.

Several rocket launchers were struck as well. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2054260693247963411/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Armed Hamas operatives blocked Gazan contractors from entering Rafah to carry out construction work tied to the planned new Palestinian city, using weapons threats to turn them away.

- Channel 13
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Nuno Felix
RT @tom_nuttall: Bardella again makes it clear no love lost btwn the National Rally & the AfD in this FAZ interview. "Many AfD positions are incompatible with our principles...The AfD has a strong anti-European wing that demands EU withdrawal. That's not our position."

https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/ausland/jordan-bardella-im-f-a-z-interview-ueber-migration-merz-und-die-afd-accg-200822399.html
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