OSINTtechnical
Russia is shipping drone components and other goods to Iran via the Caspian Sea, bypassing the US blockade -US officials to the NYT https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2053157185384026385/photo/1
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WarMonitor
Trump keeps sending negotiators while threatening Iran if no deal is reached, while Iran’s repeated delays and “no-shows” seem aimed at showing they think Trump wants the deal more than they do.

The bigger issue is credibility. Tehran has watched Trump back away from threats several times already, so they likely see this more as politics than a real ultimatum. He may launch a limited strike now and then to save face, but Iran clearly doesn’t seem intimidated or to be taking his threats seriously.

Trump: I expect to receive a response from Iran very soon. - EndGameWW3 🇺🇸
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WarMonitor
A CDC official said the federal government does not plan to quarantine the repatriated American cruise ship passengers when they arrive in Nebraska. (ABC) https://twitter.com/TheWarMonitor/status/2053162963180175732/photo/1
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Nuno Felix
This is absolutely amazing post on Europe day!

Today is Europe Day.
So here is a thread about Europe’s most underrated achievement:
Not that it became perfect.
But that it turned centuries of war, borders and rival empires into one of the most functional civilizational networks on Earth.
A lot of Europe’s miracles became boring.
🧵 - MagellanQuest 🇪🇺/acc
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OSINTdefender
According to the New York Times, citing officials with knowledge on the matter, in addition to shipments of drone components to Iran, via the Caspian Sea, Russia is shipping additional goods to Iran that would normally be delivered via the Strait of Hormuz. The increase in trans-Caspian trade between the two nations is due to two main factors, Ukrainian operations against shipping in the Black Sea and the more recent U.S. blockade of vessels traveling to and from Iranian ports.
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Nuno Felix
RT @KampfmitKette: Hab beide lieb 🫶 https://twitter.com/KampfmitKette/status/2053052984251068637/photo/1
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OSINTdefender
Following on from the previous post, we covered reports from the Financial Times back in March when news that Russia was sending drone components to Iran broke.

According to the Financial Times, citing officials briefed on the matter, Russia is preparing to send a phased shipment of drones, medicine, and food to its embattled ally Iran. The deliveries began in early March and were in the process of being completed. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2036933661891690993/photo/1 - OSINTdefender
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Nuno Felix
Say the author of that banger: “13 days to total collapse” on day 26…..

Intelligence leaks of national security information are political warfare by unelected bureaucrats. I'm very confident based on my first-hand experience, that the leaks on Iran cherry picks a partial assessment that fits whatever narrative the leaker wants to convey, and buries the confidence caveats.

People who leak classified intelligence are not civil servants, they are politically motivated operatives selectively feeding reporters partial assessments. - Miad Maleki
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OSINTdefender
More context, including Israel’s strikes on the key Iranian Caspian Sea port of Bandar Anzali during joint U.S.-Israeli combat operations against Iran.

This is notable, as earlier today, news broke that Israel struck a key node for Russo-Iranian trade networks, the Bandar Anzali port on the Caspian Sea, striking C2 hubs, warships, and shipyard infrastructure.

Additionally, to those who think that Russia sending drones back to Iran is foolish due to Iran being the original producer, Russia has onshored production for much of its Shahed supply during the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War, and such measures have allowed them to produce and field Shaheds at scale in a LSCO environment. - John M. Larrier
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @JavierBlas: Notable shipping movement in the Strait of Hormuz.

Qatar is sending a laden LNG tanker (if sucesfull, it would be 1st crossing for Qatar since the start of the war).

Crucially, the Al Kharaitiyat tanker is following the new Iranian shipping lanes. Her destination is Pakistan. https://twitter.com/JavierBlas/status/2053134189701079312/photo/1
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Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: I’m not trying to be rude here, but resorting to a rebuttal of “Nuh uhhh” is generally not all that effective…

Intelligence leaks of national security information are political warfare by unelected bureaucrats. I'm very confident based on my first-hand experience, that the leaks on Iran cherry picks a partial assessment that fits whatever narrative the leaker wants to convey, and buries the confidence caveats.

People who leak classified intelligence are not civil servants, they are politically motivated operatives selectively feeding reporters partial assessments. - Miad Maleki
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Open Source Intel
A U.S. military task force struck a narco-terrorist vessel in the Eastern Pacific, killing 2 and leaving 1 survivor, SOUTHCOM says. The strike was ordered by SOUTHCOM Commander Gen. Francis Donovan. Coast Guard search and rescue followed. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2053171959253320124/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to zero. AIS data from MarineTraffic shows no vessel transits in the past 24 hours. The pre-Operation Epic Fury average was 130 per day. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2053172396824170987/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
CENTCOM:

The U.S. Naval blockade against Iran continues be to fully enforced. As of today, CENTCOM forces have redirected 58 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13 to prevent the ships from entering or leaving Iranian ports. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2053173152457412836/photo/1
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WarTranslated
Putin started his evening press appearance. He said the military will brief him later about "possible Ukrainian provocations" on May 9.
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Open Source Intel
Péter Magyar has officially taken office as Hungary’s Prime Minister. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2053177915051815168/video/1
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WarMonitor
I'm sure at least a few credible doctors would have noticed.

Sen. Ron Johnson claims preposterously that as many as 3.9 MILLION (!!!) Americans died as a result of the covid vaccine

Complete insanity https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/2053170946286985317/video/1 - Aaron Rupar
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WarTranslated
There was no special message from Zelensky, Putin claims. He heard again that Zelensky is ready for a personal meeting and "whoever wants to meet can come to Moscow."

Russia and Ukraine are working on prisoner exchange lists today and may start swapping if they agree.

🤡 Russia and US held two-day ceasefire talks for Victory Day. Putin is ready to receive Zelensky in Moscow, Ushakov claims. - WarTranslated
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WarTranslated
The US clearly doesn't need the Ukrainian conflict and has many other priority tasks, Putin claims.
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Faytuks News
Israel set up a secret military base in Iraq to support its air campaign against Iran and launched airstrikes against Iraqi troops who almost discovered it early in the war, US officials say -WSJ https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/2053180745099747617/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
WSJ: U.S. officials say Israel established a covert base in western Iraq to support strikes on Iran, and carried out airstrikes against Iraqi forces that came close to uncovering the site early in the conflict.
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