Status-6 (War & Military News)
The three-day ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia has just entered into force.

Let's see?
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Nuno Felix
RT @eu_eeas: Rights and values do not defend themselves. In the skies, at sea, online. The EU is out there every day, far from the headlines but close to the people who need it most.

Happy Europe Day. 🇪🇺 https://twitter.com/eu_eeas/status/2052775672263967163/video/1
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Visioner
🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israeli airstrikes were carried out on western Gaza City a short while ago.

➡️ Several casualties have been reported. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2052859035204878505/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Tehran Governor Mohammad Sadegh Motamedian says all government office personnel in the province, including ministries and executive agencies, will return to in-person work starting tomorrow. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052859995746627766/photo/1
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The Spectator Index
Adviser to Iranian Supreme Leader says control of Strait of Hormuz 'represents an opportunity as precious as an atomic bomb'.
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The Spectator Index
World Health Organization says number of confirmed Hantavirus cases have reached six, with another two cases probable.
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Open Source Intel
U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth:

"The Biden administration’s experimental COVID-19 vaccine mandate was wrongfully forced onto our warfighters.

It was unjust, and we are doing EVERYTHING we can to make it right." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052870799590072512/video/1
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Nuno Felix
Let me get this straight, the same organization that spouted 13 days to “total collapse” of Iranian oil infrastructure is now stating this will not be short or easy.

Defeating the Islamic Republic won't be a quick or easy process.

📺 Watch the full @FDD Morning Brief episode with @Norman_Roule here: https://bit.ly/4u0dpKj https://twitter.com/JSchanzer/status/2052869493169226128/video/1 - Jonathan Schanzer
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
RT @MT_Anderson: 🚨SOC Mothership at Diego Garcia🚨
Sentinel 2 from May 7 reveals a highly significant arrival at NSF Diego Garcia

🔸Likely spot of Spec Ops Command (SOC) mothership, MV Ocean Trader, safely anchored inside the atoll.
🔸USNS Pililaau & an Arleigh Burke also in the lagoon.

My last definitive spot was way back in Nov 2025 off the coast of Puerto Rico. I had a potential sighting on Apr 13 2026 in the Med approaching the Suez Canal. This spot in the Indian Ocean strongly validates that earlier track.

When the Ocean Trader slides into theatre—much like what we saw with previous posturing around Venezuela—more complex operations tend to follow.

Does her arrival indicate SOCOM elements are actively gearing up for the next phase?

@sentdefender
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The Spectator Index
CIA assessment is that that Iran would ‌'not suffer severe economic pressure from a U.S. blockade of Iranian ports for about another four months', according to Reuters report.
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Open Source Intel
U.S. President Donald Trump on hantavirus:

"We have it. We have very good people looking at it. It seems to be okay. They know the virus very well. They've worked with it for a long time. They know it very well. Not easy to pass on. So we hope that's true." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052883468179145198/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Reporter: Do you think Iran is intentionally slow rolling the process?

U.S. President Donald Trump: "We'll find out soon enough." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052884634090852731/video/1
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Nuno Felix
The State Visit to Beijing is weighing heavily on all of this

Moments ago, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced a new tranche of Iran-related sanctions designations. Here are my takeaways:

These new sanctions primarily target Iran's UAV and missile precursor supply chains. How can someone possibly hate that!

Great question my friend.

Scott Bessent and Donald Trump have been aggressively pushing the narrative that the United States is employing a "maximum pressure" campaign on Iran, meant to pair with the US blockade to economically devastate Iran to the point of regime change or substantial concessions at the negotiating table.

Over the past week, we have seen a WHOPPING two tranches of sanctions targeting Iran. The first, more or less, imposed sanctions on Iraq's Deputy Oil Minister. Headline grabbing... entirely insignificant in the grand scheme of things.

This tranche, as I alluded to, targets the UAV and missile precursors. But wait a minute... Didn't a report come out just yesterday from The Washington Post that stated that Iran still retains ~70% of their missile capacity? And didn't The New York Times state that Iran has roughly 40% of their drone capacity (likely closer to 50% now during the 25 day ceasefire)?

If the United States was planning to fight a war against Iran for another 10 months, this is a great strategy.

If the United States is planning to utilize economic warfare to expedite the timeline to a resolution of this conflict... This literally accomplishes nothing...

While Bessent may shout it from the rooftops that the United States is applying a "maximum pressure" campaign on Iran, the reality is that there are several moves they could make NOT including the politically challenging move of sanctioning Chinese banks, and yet they continue to just "dip their toes" into economic warfare.

Believe it or not, you cannot be "half-way in" to a "maximum pressure campaign". - Brett Erickson
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Open Source Intel
Reporter: You announced the three-day ceasefire in the Ukraine-Russia war. Do you anticipate that would be any longer than three days?

U.S. President Donald Trump: "It could be. I mean, it could be. It'd be nice. I'd like to see it stop.

Russia, Ukraine. It's the worst thing since World War II, in terms of life. 25,000 young soldiers every month. It's crazy. So, it could very well be."
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Open Source Intel
U.S. President Donald Trump on the April jobs report:

"We have more people working today than we ever had working in this country. The job numbers today were incredible."

Contributed by @AZ_Intel_. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052886576967963083/video/1
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
US President Trump says "it'd be nice" if the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine ceasefire extends beyond 3 days.

https://x.com/i/status/2052884112352973061/video/1
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Open Source Intel
U.S. President Donald Trump:

"We'll go a different route if everything doesn't get signed up, buttoned up... We may go back to Project Freedom if things don't happen - but it'll be Project Freedom Plus, meaning Project Freedom plus other things." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052887254427713852/video/1
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
US President Trump suggests US troops might be relocated from Germany to Poland.

"Poland would like that. We have a great relationship with Poland. I have a great relationship with the President... so that's possible...I might."

https://x.com/i/status/2052884865872245218/video/1
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Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: The gaslighting from FDD is CRAZYYYY.
"I hear people calling for a quick and easy end to the war, and I have to ask: have any of them ever read a history book?"

Uhhh... prettyyyyyy sure it was FDD that put out the "13 days to flatten Iran's oil" pipe dream...

Defeating the Islamic Republic won't be a quick or easy process.

📺 Watch the full @FDD Morning Brief episode with @Norman_Roule here: https://bit.ly/4u0dpKj https://twitter.com/JSchanzer/status/2052869493169226128/video/1 - Jonathan Schanzer
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