OSINT
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @yarotrof: Ukraine is now operating in the Caspian Sea, hunting the Russian cruise missile ships. Caspian.

⚡️У районі пункту базування “Каспийск” (Каспійськ, Республіка Дагестан, рф) уражено багатоцільовий малий ракетний корабель проекту 22800 “Каракурт”, який, зокрема, має можливості для запуску крилатих ракет "Калібр".
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1BAvxTB7EJ/ https://twitter.com/GeneralStaffUA/status/2052378131520991608/photo/1
- Генеральний штаб ЗСУ
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Disclose.tv
JUST IN - CIA delivers analysis to White House this week concluding that Iran can survive the U.S. naval blockade for at least three to four months before facing severe economic hardship — WaPo
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Open Source Intel
NEW 🔴

Jerusalem Post: Israel confirms first detected case of hantavirus in the country.
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Michael A. Horowitz
New round of Israel-Lebanon talks to take place next Thursday & Friday
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Nuno Felix
RT @John_Hudson: SCOOP: A confidential new CIA analysis delivered to policymakers this week concludes that Iran can survive the U.S. naval blockade for at least 3 to 4 months before facing more severe economic hardship, a finding that contradicts those hailing an imminent collapse
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Nuno Felix
This will age very poorly.

I’m always amused when our critics publish hit pieces portraying FDD as the puppet master of America’s Iran policy. It’s quite flattering — and helpful for fundraising. There are too many of them to thank individually, but please know: your contributions are deeply appreciated.
- Mark Dubowitz
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Open Source Intel
WAPO REPORT CLAIMS:

A confidential CIA assessment obtained by The Washington Post concludes Iran could withstand a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz for 90 to 120 days, and possibly longer. The report finds Tehran retains much of its missile and drone arsenal despite sustained U.S. and Israeli strikes, and has enough oil stockpiles and alternative smuggling routes to avoid immediate economic collapse.

Take this report with caution.
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OSINTtechnical
Iran is still reviewing the latest US offer to end the war, and has not yet responded -Foreign Ministry Spokesman
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Open Source Intel
Iran's Foreign Ministry says Tehran has not yet made a decision on the U.S. proposal and no response has been sent to Washington.
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Open Source Intel
Iran imposes new rules for Strait of Hormuz passage

Ships must complete application to ensure passage - CNN https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052414459637809459/photo/1
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WarTranslated
Russian television has broadcast potential targets for a "retaliatory strike" on Kyiv if the Moscow parade is disrupted. The list includes the Verkhovna Rada, the government quarter, the Cabinet of Ministers, the Office of the President, and nearby embassies. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2052415447287402722/video/1
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Open Source Intel
NEW: Senior Iranian official Mohsen Rezaei said Iran will not reopen the Strait of Hormuz without war reparations and rejected the U.S. proposal, saying Tehran will continue its "resistance."
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OSINTdefender
According to the Washington Post, citing people with knowledge on the matter, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) delivered a confidential assessment to administration officials with the key judgment that Iran can weather the U.S. blockade for at least three to four months. Additionally, the assessment reportedly says that Iran still retains significant ballistic missile stockpiles despite U.S.-Israeli strikes on underground facilities. Per the report, and tracking with past reporting on the subject, “75 percent of its prewar inventories of mobile launchers and about 70 percent of its prewar stockpiles of missiles.”
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Open Source Intel
IDF releases footage of an FPV drone strike on a Hezbollah operative attempting to flee by motorcycle in southern Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052420862020575482/video/1
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OSINT
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
Russian Defense Ministry:

- All groupings of the Russian Armed Forces will cease combat operations against Ukraine from May 8 to 10 within the framework of an armistice;

- Strikes by missile troops and artillery, long-range maritime and air-based high-precision weapons, attack UAVs at AFU deployment areas, and infrastructure facilities connected to military industry and the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the depths of Ukraine will be stopped at the same time;

- We call on the Ukrainian side to follow this example;

- Should Ukraine violate the truce and carry out attempts to launch strikes against settlements and facilities on the territory of the Russian regions, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will deliver an adequate response;

- In the event of attempts by Ukraine to disrupt the celebration of the 81st anniversary of the Victory in the Great Patriotic War in Moscow, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will launch a massive missile strike on the centre of Kyiv;

- Once again, we warn the civilian population of Kyiv and members of foreign diplomatic missions to leave the city in a timely manner.
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OSINTdefender
It has now been a full day since the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) Centre reported an incident in the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2052421470752538695/photo/1
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Visioner
🇷🇺 Official statement from the terrorist Russian Ministry of Defense:

📌 "From 00:00 on May 8 until May 10, we declare a ceasefire and call on Ukraine to observe it — in case of attacks, “retaliatory strikes” will be carried out, and this will happen even if Kyiv launches an assault not on the parade but on any populated areas".

Video is made Grok AI
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OSINTdefender
U.S. President Donald J. Trump received Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to the White House today. The two leaders are set to discuss the current U.S. tariffs regime, cooperation on rare earth metals, and cooperation on combating organized crime. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2052423242095194572/video/1
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WarTranslated
The Russian Ministry of Defense announced that Russian forces will cease hostilities from May 8 to May 10 due to a truce. However, they will continue to resort to intimidation because they are desperate to hold that pathetic parade. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2052424777868914763/photo/1
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