Open Source Intel
The UAE is secretly moving crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz despite Iran's closure threat. At least four ADNOC tankers shipped 6 million barrels of Upper Zakum and Das crude in April with tracking systems switched off. Cargoes were transferred offshore, stored in Oman, or routed to South Korea and Malaysia, according to Reuters.
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The UAE is secretly moving crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz despite Iran's closure threat. At least four ADNOC tankers shipped 6 million barrels of Upper Zakum and Das crude in April with tracking systems switched off. Cargoes were transferred offshore, stored in Oman, or routed to South Korea and Malaysia, according to Reuters.
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OSINTdefender
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt announced that her baby, Viviana, was born on the first of May. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2052399252144304445/photo/1
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White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt announced that her baby, Viviana, was born on the first of May. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2052399252144304445/photo/1
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Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: Every single vessel that infiltrates the US blockade buys Iran more time until they are forced to shut-in.
This is completely unacceptable from the United States. + 1 day… +1 day… +1 day… over and over and over again.
Unacceptable.
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RT @BrettErickson28: Every single vessel that infiltrates the US blockade buys Iran more time until they are forced to shut-in.
This is completely unacceptable from the United States. + 1 day… +1 day… +1 day… over and over and over again.
Unacceptable.
Cargo-empty, US-sanctioned tankers are still arriving.
Today, the VINA/VALLEY (9157478), which routinely delivers Iranian LPG to the Houthis in Yemen, managed to enter the blockade perimeter; and she's pinging on AIS. A larger Iranian oil tanker arrived as well. It's empty tankers like these that buy Tehran more time.
#OOTT #IranWar #Tankers tweet
OSINT
Video
Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: Speaking with @NewsNation earlier this week, I answered the question of whether or not the blockade has been successful.
There are two critical aspects to this:
Has the blockade resulted in a lessening of traffic from Iran to the global economy?
And
… So what?
@connellmcshane, correctly I might add, actually pushed back slightly just prior to my response, stating that they’ve had other guests on the show say that the blockade HAS been successful.
And guess what? That’s TRUE! … in a way…
From an inflow/outflow perspective, the blockade absolutely has had an impact on Iran. 100%. Has it been “totally” effective where zero vessels have been unable to infiltrate or exfiltrate? No, but it certainly has resulted in a net lowering of overall Iranian traffic.
But here’s the kicker: So what?
In order for the blockade to be deemed a success, one of two outcomes must result from it:
1) Iran capitulates at the negotiating table, which does not seem to be what they are doing.
Or
2) Mass uprisings take place due to oil well shut-ins and hyperinflation that topple the regime.
This is where it is abundantly clear the blockade has FAILED.
If the blockade and overall economic warfare campaign does not produce one of those two results, what is the actually outcome we will see?
A furthering of pain incurred by the Iranian bystander. Someone that only wants to feed their family, but must now pay higher prices to do so. Someone that wants to get medical supplies, only to find that the wealthy elites in Tehran have already stocked up. Someone wanting to continue to operate their business, but nobody is able to spend outside of necessities.
One can make the argument, as many have, that the blockade and economic warfare campaign is a necessary evil, even if it means additional short-term pain for the average Iranian. But with the oil well shut-in timeline being demonstrably false, it is clear Washington employed this strategy under delusional pretenses.
Unless the blockade topples the regime, or produces diplomatic outcomes we were unable to achieve through military action, the only thing it will have accomplished is adding yet more suffering to the Iranian civilians just trying to survive.
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RT @BrettErickson28: Speaking with @NewsNation earlier this week, I answered the question of whether or not the blockade has been successful.
There are two critical aspects to this:
Has the blockade resulted in a lessening of traffic from Iran to the global economy?
And
… So what?
@connellmcshane, correctly I might add, actually pushed back slightly just prior to my response, stating that they’ve had other guests on the show say that the blockade HAS been successful.
And guess what? That’s TRUE! … in a way…
From an inflow/outflow perspective, the blockade absolutely has had an impact on Iran. 100%. Has it been “totally” effective where zero vessels have been unable to infiltrate or exfiltrate? No, but it certainly has resulted in a net lowering of overall Iranian traffic.
But here’s the kicker: So what?
In order for the blockade to be deemed a success, one of two outcomes must result from it:
1) Iran capitulates at the negotiating table, which does not seem to be what they are doing.
Or
2) Mass uprisings take place due to oil well shut-ins and hyperinflation that topple the regime.
This is where it is abundantly clear the blockade has FAILED.
If the blockade and overall economic warfare campaign does not produce one of those two results, what is the actually outcome we will see?
A furthering of pain incurred by the Iranian bystander. Someone that only wants to feed their family, but must now pay higher prices to do so. Someone that wants to get medical supplies, only to find that the wealthy elites in Tehran have already stocked up. Someone wanting to continue to operate their business, but nobody is able to spend outside of necessities.
One can make the argument, as many have, that the blockade and economic warfare campaign is a necessary evil, even if it means additional short-term pain for the average Iranian. But with the oil well shut-in timeline being demonstrably false, it is clear Washington employed this strategy under delusional pretenses.
Unless the blockade topples the regime, or produces diplomatic outcomes we were unable to achieve through military action, the only thing it will have accomplished is adding yet more suffering to the Iranian civilians just trying to survive.
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Open Source Intel
The IDF says it destroyed a 30-meter Hezbollah tunnel in southern Lebanon's Labbouneh area during 146th Division operations. A weapons cache was also captured at a Hezbollah command center. The military released footage of an FPV drone strike on a Hezbollah operative fleeing by motorcycle.
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The IDF says it destroyed a 30-meter Hezbollah tunnel in southern Lebanon's Labbouneh area during 146th Division operations. A weapons cache was also captured at a Hezbollah command center. The military released footage of an FPV drone strike on a Hezbollah operative fleeing by motorcycle.
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Nuno Felix
This is awesome from Poland. Trying to get IS troops rotating out of Germany
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This is awesome from Poland. Trying to get IS troops rotating out of Germany
We hear U.S. troops may need a new place to hang their hats in Europe. Our modest proposal: https://twitter.com/FortPoland/status/2052145638012281143/video/1 tweet
Disclose.tv
JUST IN - 2 men found guilty of spying for China in UK, one man was a former Border Force officer and both were "dual Chinese and British nationals." — Sky https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/2052400971712512328/photo/1
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JUST IN - 2 men found guilty of spying for China in UK, one man was a former Border Force officer and both were "dual Chinese and British nationals." — Sky https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/2052400971712512328/photo/1
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Nuno Felix
Que descanse em paz
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Que descanse em paz
É com profundo pesar que o Exército Português comunica o falecimento do Furriel Ismael José Silva Lamela, na sequência do incidente ocorrido ontem, em Tancos, durante a realização de um salto de paraquedas, no âmbito do Curso de Paraquedistas.
Descansa em Paz, Camarada. https://twitter.com/Exercito_pt/status/2052359490029203461/photo/1 tweet
Open Source Intel
Multiple IDF strikes across southern Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052401205838594063/photo/1
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Multiple IDF strikes across southern Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052401205838594063/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
The Israeli Air Force carried out a massive strike on the village of Kharrouf in southern Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052402781449810144/photo/1
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The Israeli Air Force carried out a massive strike on the village of Kharrouf in southern Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2052402781449810144/photo/1
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OSINTdefender
Iranian state-backed media has released footage of the MSC Francesca, which was interdicted and taken back to Iran by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps Navy (IRGC-N) two weeks ago. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2052403012451139900/video/1
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Iranian state-backed media has released footage of the MSC Francesca, which was interdicted and taken back to Iran by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps Navy (IRGC-N) two weeks ago. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2052403012451139900/video/1
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OSINTtechnical
Overnight, Ukrainian attack drones penetrated roughly 1000 km of Russian airspace to hit a Russian Navy Karakurt-class corvette operating in the Caspian Sea.
The Karakurt had been launching Kalibr cruise missiles at Ukraine. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2052403223961694489/photo/1
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Overnight, Ukrainian attack drones penetrated roughly 1000 km of Russian airspace to hit a Russian Navy Karakurt-class corvette operating in the Caspian Sea.
The Karakurt had been launching Kalibr cruise missiles at Ukraine. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2052403223961694489/photo/1
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OSINTdefender
Israel and Lebanon are set to hold talks again next Thursday in Washington centered on the cessation of hostilities in southern Lebanon and the disarmament of Lebanese Hezbollah. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2052404071366066226/photo/1
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Israel and Lebanon are set to hold talks again next Thursday in Washington centered on the cessation of hostilities in southern Lebanon and the disarmament of Lebanese Hezbollah. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2052404071366066226/photo/1
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