OSINT
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WarMonitor
RT @Osinttechnical: Powerful regional-level jamming has hit the Strait of Hormuz again, with major location and AIS spoofing seen over the last couple of hours.

Seen here, AIS ship tracks on @MarineTraffic disappearing and jumping around. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2051545569764733148/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Maybe.

2Mbpd for domestic use brings zero export cash. Iran needs $60โ€“80B a year.

In Trump 1.0 there was no blockade, China was still buying.

Maybe they can still pump oil but they wonโ€™t be able to fund the state.

The ongoing narrative that Iran's oil storage will fill up ASAP and cause production to shutter is wrong. If we look back to the Trump 1.0 era, Iran scaled back production to just under 2Mbpd. Fact is that they can refine that entire amount of oil just for domestic consumption. https://twitter.com/TankerTrackers/status/2051458207990616158/photo/1
- TankerTrackers.com, Inc.
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Open Source Intel
NEW ๐Ÿ”ด

Romania's government collapsed after losing a no-confidence vote.
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท In the Arabian Sea, near the Strait of Hormuz, within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility, the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush is currently deployed (alongside the USS Abraham Lincoln).

Video is generated by grok AI https://twitter.com/NSTRIKE1231/status/2051629301187956864/video/1
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Open Source Intel
U.S. Embassy Baghdad issued a security alert. Iraqi airspace has reopened with limited flights, but the embassy warns of continued missile, drone, and rocket threats. The Level 4 "do not travel" advisory remains in place. Iran-aligned militias continue planning attacks on American citizens and U.S.-linked targets throughout Iraq. Land routes and commercial flights from Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey are available.
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
Footage showing the launches of Ukrainian domestic-produced FP-5 Flamingo long-range cruise missiles against targets in Russia's deep rear last night.

From 6 Flamingo missiles that were fired yesterday, 1 is known to made its to its intended target, that was the VNIIR-Progress electronic warfare and navigation research and development institute located in the Russian city of Cheboksary, around 900km from the border with Ukraine.
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OSINTdefender
Department of War presser begins in 10 minutes. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2051630916380807407/photo/1
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WarTranslated
Zelenskyy declared that Ukraine has received no official offers regarding a truce for May 9th. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2051631775072337997/video/1
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OSINTdefender
It has now been just under 20 hours since the last reported Iranian strikes against the United Arab Emirates. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2051631787261018248/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
IRAN STATE MEDIA IRIB:

โ€œThe vessels that the U.S. claimed yesterday belonged to Iranโ€™s military were in fact two small boats owned by local people, and five civilians were killed in the incident.โ€

Do not take this report at face value.
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Open Source Intel
Ukraine fired six of its domestically built FP-5 Flamingo cruise missiles into Russia overnight. One struck the VNIIR-Progress electronic warfare and navigation R&D institute in Cheboksary, about 900 km from the border. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051631978093384143/video/1

Footage of a Ukrainian Flamingo heavy cruise missile hitting Russia's VNIIR-Progress military electronics plant. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051558947002191890/video/1
- Open Source Intel
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Disclose.tv
JUST IN - Romanian government collapses after socialists join far right to topple PM Ilie Bolojan. MAGA-linked George Simion is widely considered to be the organizer behind Bolojanโ€™s fall โ€” Politico https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/2051632190627234223/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
French President Macron:

Any escalation or unilateral strike against tankers, container ships, or third countries is a mistake.

Weak. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051632615933751528/video/1
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WarMonitor
Iranโ€™s parliament speaker Ghalibaf says the current situation isnโ€™t sustainable for the U.S., warning a new reality is emerging in the Strait of Hormuz. (I24)
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Nuno Felix
And people treat this as serious without even batting an eye to how difficult and time consuming it is to setup this properly to challenge an entrenched regime.

๐—ง๐—›๐—˜๐—ฌ ๐—ก๐—˜๐—˜๐—— ๐—ง๐—ข ๐—•๐—˜ ๐—”๐—ฅ๐— ๐—˜๐——!

Trump during May 4 Salem News interview:

"The people of Iran, if they had weapons, which they do not, would confront the government. You cannot expect an unarmed crowd to resist people with Kalashnikovs, even if they number 250,000. They lost 42,000 in about two weeksโ€ฆ I donโ€™t really want to see that. They have to have guns. ๐™„ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™  ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ฎโ€™๐™ง๐™š ๐™œ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™จ๐™ค๐™ข๐™š ๐™œ๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™จ. As soon as they have weapons, theyโ€™ll fight as good as anybody."

#OSINT #Iran #OperationEpicFury
- OSINT Intuitโ„ข
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Visioner
RT @LIGHTNING5T: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท In the Arabian Sea, near the Strait of Hormuz, within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility, the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush is currently operating (alongside the USS Abraham Lincoln).

Video is generated by grok AI https://twitter.com/LIGHTNING5T/status/2051634151057490078/video/1
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Open Source Intel
U.S. Secretary of Defense Hegseth and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine hold a briefing on Iran.
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Open Source Intel
Pentagon chief Hegseth says Operation Project Freedom is separate from Epic Fury and is temporary.
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Open Source Intel
US Secretary of War Hegseth:

We're not looking for a fight
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