OSINT
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Open Source Intel
RT @Osint613: French President Macron: "We are respected by the Iranian people and we give them confidence. We are not against the Iranian people, but we are not at war with them either." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051243023959220332/video/1
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Visioner
🇰🇷🇮🇷 BIG | South Korea is considering joining Operation "Freedom"

After yesterday's attack on a South Korean ship, the President's office in Seoul is examining the possibility of approving military participation in Operation "Freedom" led by Trump.

Video is made Grok AI https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2051592383716839694/video/1
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Open Source Intel
UK PM Keir Starmer:

“The UK condemns the drone and missile strikes targeting the United Arab Emirates.

As I set out during my visit to the region last month, stability in the Gulf directly affects the UK.

We stand in solidarity with the UAE and will continue to support the defence of our partners in the Gulf.”
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Open Source Intel
U.S. Air Force tanker, a KC 46A, has declared an emergency by transmitting code 7700 over the Persian Gulf a few minutes ago.

This is the second USAF refueling tanker operating over the Persian gulf declaring a general emergency. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051593419613524052/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Trump on Zelensky:

"He's a tricky guy. They are losing territory, but it's at a big cost to Russia and to them. I like Zelensky. I've always sort of gotten along with him, other than the one moment in the White House, which I thought was a little aggressive on his behalf." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051595503859650801/video/1
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OSINT
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Nuno Felix
RT @citrinowicz: The Myth of the “Imminent Iranian Bomb”

The most persistent justification for the current campaign against Iran is also the most misleading: the claim that Iran was on the verge of acquiring a nuclear weapon and had to be stopped.

This narrative collapses under scrutiny.

For years, U.S. and allied intelligence assessments have been consistent on one key point: Iran’s nuclear program, while advanced, is not equivalent to an active decision to build a bomb. The critical threshold has always been political, not technical. Tehran would first have to make a deliberate choice to weaponize, a decision that, by all credible accounts, had not been made prior to the conflict.

Yet this distinction has been blurred, if not erased, in public discourse. The hypothetical, “Iran could have built a bomb”, has been repackaged as an imminent threat. It is a subtle but consequential shift, one that transforms uncertainty into urgency and speculation into justification.

More troubling is what this framing obscures.

The nuclear issue was never the sole, or even primary, driver of the campaign. It functioned as a convenient rationale for a broader strategic objective: reshaping the Iranian regime itself. By centering the narrative on nuclear urgency, policymakers have sidestepped a more honest debate about aims, risks, and long-term consequences.

And those consequences are already coming into view.

If the goal was to eliminate Iran’s nuclear potential, the evidence so far suggests the opposite outcome. This war has underscored a hard truth: there is no clean military solution to the Iranian nuclear challenge. Airstrikes and coercion can delay, disrupt, and degrade — but they cannot erase knowledge, dismantle intent, or resolve the underlying strategic calculus.

In fact, they may accelerate it.

By raising the perceived threat to the regime, the conflict increases the incentive for Tehran to reconsider its nuclear posture. What was once a conditional and deferred decision meaning “if we choose to”, may become a more urgent strategic imperative. In trying to prevent a nuclear Iran through force, we may be creating the conditions that make it more likely.

This is the paradox at the heart of the current approach: the nuclear threat has been inflated to justify the war, and the war itself may ensure that the threat becomes real.

Absent a credible diplomatic framework, this cycle will only deepen. The question is no longer whether Iran could pursue a bomb. It is whether our own actions are pushing it closer to deciding that it should.

#iran

What “nuclear arsenal”? Come on, @nytimes this is a misleading headline to say the least.

Iran has no “nuclear arsenal.” According to U.S. intelligence, Iran wasn’t weaponizing and was at least 9-12 months away from getting a bomb. https://twitter.com/RKelanic/status/2051463833751863632/photo/1
- Rosemary Kelanic
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Open Source Intel
President Trump on arming the Iranian people:

“The Iranian people have to have guns and I think they’re getting some guns.

As soon as they have guns, they’ll fight like as good as anybody there is.” https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051596191406735736/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Iranian Report: Iranian President Pezeshkian was furious with IRGC Commander Ahmad Vahidi over the attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, UAE, and Oman, which were carried out without the government's knowledge. Pezeshkian called for an urgent meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei to stop the escalation, calling the attacks "madness" and "total irresponsibility" that could lead to irreversible consequences.

- Iran International.
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Open Source Intel
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is traveling to Beijing today to meet Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051597176459972867/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Trump on Iran:

"When I first did this, I thought maybe the market would go down 20% or 25%, and I was okay with that because I knew it would come back up. And I thought oil could hit $200, $250. Well, oil's at $100, $102." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051599810742890798/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Fox News, quoting U.S. officials: "We are closer to resuming large-scale fighting in Iran than we were 24 hours ago."
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Open Source Intel
Trump:

"I think it's better to get along with China than it is to fight with China. And they feel the same thing. And don't kid yourself, they watch what happened in Venezuela. They watch what happened in Iran, because militarily Iran is essentially over." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051600908153188527/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Trump: "I think the Pope is endangering a lot of Catholics and a lot of people. He thinks it's just fine for Iran to have a nuclear weapon." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051601335938674805/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Trump on the Iranian people:

"They have to have guns and I think they're getting some guns. As soon as they have guns, they'll fight like as good as anybody there is." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051602261680267470/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Israeli Foreign Ministry:

A USAID Inspector General investigation confirms UNRWA staff involved with Hamas and the Oct. 7 massacre - including teachers and a social worker part of hostage-taking.

This isn’t a lapse. It’s a system that allowed terror to embed itself inside a “humanitarian” agency.

How long will the UN stay silent?
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WarTranslated
Russian media report that Colonel General Stanislav Petrov, former commander of the Russian Armed Forces' Radiological, Chemical, and Biological Defense Troops, was found shot dead in Moscow. A pistol was discovered next to his body. In recent years, Petrov served as a chief researcher in a department specializing in chemical warfare agents - a unit linked to the poisoning of Alexei Navalny.
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WarTranslated
Kovalenko, Head of the Center for Countering Disinformation, on Putin's threats: https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2051607351996678639/photo/1
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Visioner
🇺🇦 The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense has codified and put into operation the Air Baby interceptor drone from Strix Air.

The maximum speed of the device is 280 km/h, and its operational ceiling is up to 5 km. It can carry a warhead weighing 0.5 kg, and the maximum flight duration under combat load is 15 minutes.

It is noted that the cost of one unit with a daytime camera is 36,000 hryvnias, and with a thermal imaging camera it is 58,000 hryvnias.

Video is made Grok AI
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Open Source Intel
Prime Minister Netanyahu met with Board of Peace Director General Nickolay Mladenov and his team today at the Prime Minister's Office in Jerusalem. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051608691166576930/photo/1
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