Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: At this point, it is irrefutable that the blockade has failed. Not from failed enforcement (although that certainly has happened), but due to it being built on a fundamentally flawed premise.
This is something that can clearly be drawn from Trump’s own “3 days until Iran’s oil infrastructure explodes”. CLEARLY, he was operating on a very specific piece of data that indicated this would take place.
It did not.
Eight days later, a full 21 days into the U.S. blockade, Trump is now stating it will be “two weeks”…
35 days in total.
Here’s the problem: He’s wrong.
Data published by Bloomberg via Kpler indicates that Iran had 12-22 days of onshore storage available, that was 8 days ago. 4-14 days. Other experts are putting that number ~13 days.
So 13 days of onshore oil still remains, but there are other factors we need to consider.
Within the perimeter of the U.S. blockade line, Iran has enough vessels to hold ~35M barrels. This will extend the timeline by approximately 28-42 days.
Then, Iran is unmothballing old tankers, old storage, trucking into neighboring countries, utilizing rail. None of these things taken along are substantial, but each of them add to the timeline. Plus 7 days.
But Iran can also manipulate output from their oil wells. They don’t need to be ripping at 100% day after day. The output can be lowered. And this is where it becomes catastrophic. When we factor this in, we go from an aforementioned timeline ~69-83 days, to something that could run well into the triple digits.
How the Secretary of Treasury, who is spearheading “Operation Economic Fury”, and the PRESIDENT of the United States is unable to put this together, or even come to the same conclusion between one another, is beyond me.
What I DO know, is that this blockade has horrendously failed, and for the sake of the global economy, I sure as hell hope Washington still has the cards they say they do.
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RT @BrettErickson28: At this point, it is irrefutable that the blockade has failed. Not from failed enforcement (although that certainly has happened), but due to it being built on a fundamentally flawed premise.
This is something that can clearly be drawn from Trump’s own “3 days until Iran’s oil infrastructure explodes”. CLEARLY, he was operating on a very specific piece of data that indicated this would take place.
It did not.
Eight days later, a full 21 days into the U.S. blockade, Trump is now stating it will be “two weeks”…
35 days in total.
Here’s the problem: He’s wrong.
Data published by Bloomberg via Kpler indicates that Iran had 12-22 days of onshore storage available, that was 8 days ago. 4-14 days. Other experts are putting that number ~13 days.
So 13 days of onshore oil still remains, but there are other factors we need to consider.
Within the perimeter of the U.S. blockade line, Iran has enough vessels to hold ~35M barrels. This will extend the timeline by approximately 28-42 days.
Then, Iran is unmothballing old tankers, old storage, trucking into neighboring countries, utilizing rail. None of these things taken along are substantial, but each of them add to the timeline. Plus 7 days.
But Iran can also manipulate output from their oil wells. They don’t need to be ripping at 100% day after day. The output can be lowered. And this is where it becomes catastrophic. When we factor this in, we go from an aforementioned timeline ~69-83 days, to something that could run well into the triple digits.
How the Secretary of Treasury, who is spearheading “Operation Economic Fury”, and the PRESIDENT of the United States is unable to put this together, or even come to the same conclusion between one another, is beyond me.
What I DO know, is that this blockade has horrendously failed, and for the sake of the global economy, I sure as hell hope Washington still has the cards they say they do.
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🤯1
Visioner
RT @LIGHTNING5T: 🇺🇦 🇷🇺 Ukraine’s Armed Forces have denied the fake claims spread by the Russian side about the capture of Myropillia in Sumy Oblast and five villages in Kharkiv Oblast.
Control over the border settlements remains fully in Ukrainian hands. https://twitter.com/LIGHTNING5T/status/2051574638602326511/photo/1
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RT @LIGHTNING5T: 🇺🇦 🇷🇺 Ukraine’s Armed Forces have denied the fake claims spread by the Russian side about the capture of Myropillia in Sumy Oblast and five villages in Kharkiv Oblast.
Control over the border settlements remains fully in Ukrainian hands. https://twitter.com/LIGHTNING5T/status/2051574638602326511/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Explosions and heavy black smoke at the VNIIR-Progress plant in Cheboksary, Russia. At least three strikes reported.
The factory builds Kometa antenna arrays and GNSS navigation systems fitted to Shahed drones, Iskander missiles, Kalibr cruise missiles, and guided bombs, components designed to resist electronic warfare jamming.
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Explosions and heavy black smoke at the VNIIR-Progress plant in Cheboksary, Russia. At least three strikes reported.
The factory builds Kometa antenna arrays and GNSS navigation systems fitted to Shahed drones, Iskander missiles, Kalibr cruise missiles, and guided bombs, components designed to resist electronic warfare jamming.
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Nuno Felix
I don’t have words for this nonsense….
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I don’t have words for this nonsense….
There is no need for boots on the ground in Iran.
Instead, a Second Amendment Solution stands a real chance of giving the Iranian people a genuine path back to freedom. https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/2051482010833854612/video/1 tweet
Nuno Felix
RT @TheresaAFallon: Persistence pays off. After trying on four separate occasions to meet her favorite politician, this young Armenian student called out in perfect French that she so wanted to meet President Macron and have a photo taken with him. Among the scrum of photographers covering the European Political Committee Summit and hundreds of onlookers crowding around Macron he heard her. His bodyguards made way, and she got her photo. Why don’t you make her day and give her a retweet.
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RT @TheresaAFallon: Persistence pays off. After trying on four separate occasions to meet her favorite politician, this young Armenian student called out in perfect French that she so wanted to meet President Macron and have a photo taken with him. Among the scrum of photographers covering the European Political Committee Summit and hundreds of onlookers crowding around Macron he heard her. His bodyguards made way, and she got her photo. Why don’t you make her day and give her a retweet.
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Open Source Intel
One potential UAE response would be to target some of the roughly 20 Iranian vessels currently or about to be used as floating oil storage.
This would help expedite the Iranian oil wells going offline. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051581975182401722/photo/1
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One potential UAE response would be to target some of the roughly 20 Iranian vessels currently or about to be used as floating oil storage.
This would help expedite the Iranian oil wells going offline. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051581975182401722/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
U.S. Ambassador to the Holy See on Rubio's meeting with Pope Leo:
A "frank conversation" about U.S. policy is expected.
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U.S. Ambassador to the Holy See on Rubio's meeting with Pope Leo:
A "frank conversation" about U.S. policy is expected.
State Department:
Sec Rubio will travel to Rome, Italy, and the Vatican May 6-8 to advance bilateral relations and align on global challenges. The Secretary will meet with Italian government counterparts and Holy See leadership to discuss topics including Middle East developments and shared security interests. tweet
Open Source Intel
2 U.S. Army soldiers went missing around 9 PM on May 2 in southern Morocco near the Cap Draa training area by Tan Tan during the African Lion 2026.
• The incident happened off duty during a recreational hike near coastal cliffs.
• One soldier fell into the Atlantic. A second jumped in to rescue him.
• A third attempted to help using a belt chain, then entered the water but made it back to shore safely.
• The 2 who went into the water remain missing.
• Officials say no foul play is suspected. Strong currents and waves are believed to be the cause.
•. A large multinational search involving U.S. and Moroccan forces with aircraft, drones, ships, and divers is ongoing as of May 5.
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2 U.S. Army soldiers went missing around 9 PM on May 2 in southern Morocco near the Cap Draa training area by Tan Tan during the African Lion 2026.
• The incident happened off duty during a recreational hike near coastal cliffs.
• One soldier fell into the Atlantic. A second jumped in to rescue him.
• A third attempted to help using a belt chain, then entered the water but made it back to shore safely.
• The 2 who went into the water remain missing.
• Officials say no foul play is suspected. Strong currents and waves are believed to be the cause.
•. A large multinational search involving U.S. and Moroccan forces with aircraft, drones, ships, and divers is ongoing as of May 5.
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Open Source Intel
Netanyahu has asked the court to postpone his testimony from 1:30 PM to 4:00 PM due to an urgent security-diplomatic schedule. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051583860333306338/photo/1
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Netanyahu has asked the court to postpone his testimony from 1:30 PM to 4:00 PM due to an urgent security-diplomatic schedule. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051583860333306338/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
IDF: Hezbollah operatives launched an anti-tank guided missile at Israeli forces in southern Lebanon. No injuries were caused. The IDF struck the launch site shortly after. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051585477816332712/video/1
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IDF: Hezbollah operatives launched an anti-tank guided missile at Israeli forces in southern Lebanon. No injuries were caused. The IDF struck the launch site shortly after. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051585477816332712/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Aaron Rose Philip, an Antiguan American model and activist signed to a major agency, arrived at the Met Gala. She uses a wheelchair due to quadriplegic cerebral palsy and identifies as a Black transgender woman. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051587702110261339/video/1
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Aaron Rose Philip, an Antiguan American model and activist signed to a major agency, arrived at the Met Gala. She uses a wheelchair due to quadriplegic cerebral palsy and identifies as a Black transgender woman. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051587702110261339/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Operations under “Epic Fury” are ongoing, currently in a temporary pause.
Press conference in 3 hours. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051588150460322023/photo/1
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Operations under “Epic Fury” are ongoing, currently in a temporary pause.
Press conference in 3 hours. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051588150460322023/photo/1
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Faytuks News
There might have been strikes in southern Iran earlier today. Unclear to what extent and who was behind it.
Will update.
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There might have been strikes in southern Iran earlier today. Unclear to what extent and who was behind it.
Will update.
What I have regarding the strikes on southern Iran earlier today:
1. Shib Deraz port was hit earlier today.
2. 3 explosions in Bandar Abbas at 0049Z (Was heard in Qeshm Island as well)
Hormozgan Province, #Iran tweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Shin (@hey_itsmyturn) on X
What I have regarding the strikes on southern Iran earlier today:
1. Shib Deraz port was hit earlier today.
2. 3 explosions in Bandar Abbas at 0049Z (Was heard in Qeshm Island as well)
Hormozgan Province, #Iran
1. Shib Deraz port was hit earlier today.
2. 3 explosions in Bandar Abbas at 0049Z (Was heard in Qeshm Island as well)
Hormozgan Province, #Iran
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WarTranslated
The Ukrainian Defense Forces struck JSC "VNIIR-Progress" in Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic. This research institute and production facility manufactures relay protection systems, automation, and low-voltage equipment. Located over 1,000 km from the Ukrainian state border, the plant is a key supplier of navigation components for the Russian Navy, Air Force, and armored vehicles.
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The Ukrainian Defense Forces struck JSC "VNIIR-Progress" in Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic. This research institute and production facility manufactures relay protection systems, automation, and low-voltage equipment. Located over 1,000 km from the Ukrainian state border, the plant is a key supplier of navigation components for the Russian Navy, Air Force, and armored vehicles.
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Open Source Intel
RT @Osint613: French President Macron: "We are respected by the Iranian people and we give them confidence. We are not against the Iranian people, but we are not at war with them either." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051243023959220332/video/1
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RT @Osint613: French President Macron: "We are respected by the Iranian people and we give them confidence. We are not against the Iranian people, but we are not at war with them either." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051243023959220332/video/1
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Visioner
🇰🇷🇮🇷 BIG | South Korea is considering joining Operation "Freedom"
After yesterday's attack on a South Korean ship, the President's office in Seoul is examining the possibility of approving military participation in Operation "Freedom" led by Trump.
Video is made Grok AI https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2051592383716839694/video/1
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🇰🇷🇮🇷 BIG | South Korea is considering joining Operation "Freedom"
After yesterday's attack on a South Korean ship, the President's office in Seoul is examining the possibility of approving military participation in Operation "Freedom" led by Trump.
Video is made Grok AI https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2051592383716839694/video/1
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