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Open Source Intel
Drug boats in the Caribbean keep getting hit. Additional two smugglers were eliminated. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051552646280995033/video/1
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Drug boats in the Caribbean keep getting hit. Additional two smugglers were eliminated. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051552646280995033/video/1
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Open Source Intel
IDF drone strikes two Hezbollah operatives fleeing on a motorcycle in southern Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051553600573206998/video/1
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IDF drone strikes two Hezbollah operatives fleeing on a motorcycle in southern Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051553600573206998/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Iran Parliament Speaker, Ghalibaf:
The new equation of the Strait of Hormuz is in the process of being solidified.
The security of shipping and energy transit has been jeopardized by the United States and its allies through the violation of the ceasefire and the imposition of a blockade; of course, their evil will diminish.
We know full well that the continuation of the status quo is intolerable for America; while we have not even begun yet.
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Iran Parliament Speaker, Ghalibaf:
The new equation of the Strait of Hormuz is in the process of being solidified.
The security of shipping and energy transit has been jeopardized by the United States and its allies through the violation of the ceasefire and the imposition of a blockade; of course, their evil will diminish.
We know full well that the continuation of the status quo is intolerable for America; while we have not even begun yet.
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Open Source Intel
U.S. Southern Command:
"On May 4, at the direction of SOUTHCOM commander Gen. Francis L. Donovan, Joint Task Force Southern Spear conducted a lethal kinetic strike on a vessel operated by Designated Terrorist Organizations. Intelligence confirmed the vessel was transiting along known narco-trafficking routes in the Caribbean and was engaged in narco-trafficking operations. Two male narco-terrorists were killed during this action. No U.S. military forces were harmed."
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U.S. Southern Command:
"On May 4, at the direction of SOUTHCOM commander Gen. Francis L. Donovan, Joint Task Force Southern Spear conducted a lethal kinetic strike on a vessel operated by Designated Terrorist Organizations. Intelligence confirmed the vessel was transiting along known narco-trafficking routes in the Caribbean and was engaged in narco-trafficking operations. Two male narco-terrorists were killed during this action. No U.S. military forces were harmed."
Drug boats in the Caribbean keep getting hit. Additional two smugglers were eliminated. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051552646280995033/video/1 tweet
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OSINTtechnical
Footage of a Ukrainian Flamingo heavy cruise missile slamming into Russia’s VNIIR-Progress military electronics plant last night. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2051558065955336208/video/1
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Footage of a Ukrainian Flamingo heavy cruise missile slamming into Russia’s VNIIR-Progress military electronics plant last night. https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/2051558065955336208/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Footage of a Ukrainian Flamingo heavy cruise missile hitting Russia's VNIIR-Progress military electronics plant. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051558947002191890/video/1
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Footage of a Ukrainian Flamingo heavy cruise missile hitting Russia's VNIIR-Progress military electronics plant. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051558947002191890/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Nick Fuentes campaigning for Florida governor candidate James Fishback:
“My war against Israel is the only thing keeping me going at this point.
Immigration? Who gives a s*it? The country is over. Have you been outside? We’re already a non White country… We live in n**ger heII”
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Nick Fuentes campaigning for Florida governor candidate James Fishback:
“My war against Israel is the only thing keeping me going at this point.
Immigration? Who gives a s*it? The country is over. Have you been outside? We’re already a non White country… We live in n**ger heII”
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Open Source Intel
Trump on Iran:
"We have a war now. So they say, 'What's taking so long?'
We were in Vietnam for 19 years, in Iraq for many years, 10 years, in Korea for 7 years - I won't even mention World War II." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051561280821964812/video/1
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Trump on Iran:
"We have a war now. So they say, 'What's taking so long?'
We were in Vietnam for 19 years, in Iraq for many years, 10 years, in Korea for 7 years - I won't even mention World War II." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051561280821964812/video/1
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Open Source Intel
A U.S. Air Force KC-135 refueling aircraft declared an emergency by transmitting code 7700 before dropping off radar over the Strait of Hormuz.
Interesting. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051561347100377122/photo/1
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A U.S. Air Force KC-135 refueling aircraft declared an emergency by transmitting code 7700 before dropping off radar over the Strait of Hormuz.
Interesting. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051561347100377122/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Lebanese politician Elie Mahfouz:
Hizbullah caused the Israeli occupation. If Lebanon had a real government, it would have "hanged them one by one," starting with Naim Qassem. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051564020658749894/video/1
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Lebanese politician Elie Mahfouz:
Hizbullah caused the Israeli occupation. If Lebanon had a real government, it would have "hanged them one by one," starting with Naim Qassem. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051564020658749894/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Houthi political council member Ali Amad to Tasnim:
"If the American-Zionist war against Iran resumes, our hand will be on the trigger."
He warned Saudi Arabia would "pay a heavy price" if it joins any war against Iran, and called Iran "the commander of the axis of jihad and resistance," saying control of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab is "a divine gift" to the axis.
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Houthi political council member Ali Amad to Tasnim:
"If the American-Zionist war against Iran resumes, our hand will be on the trigger."
He warned Saudi Arabia would "pay a heavy price" if it joins any war against Iran, and called Iran "the commander of the axis of jihad and resistance," saying control of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab is "a divine gift" to the axis.
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Open Source Intel
India's Prime Minister condemned the attacks on the UAE, calling the targeting of civilians and infrastructure unacceptable and stressing that safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz is vital to global energy security. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051567580263960993/photo/1
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India's Prime Minister condemned the attacks on the UAE, calling the targeting of civilians and infrastructure unacceptable and stressing that safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz is vital to global energy security. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051567580263960993/photo/1
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Visioner
❗️From May 5 to 8 inclusive, Russia temporarily closed the airspace over the Kapustin Yar missile range. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2051567739005767985/photo/1
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❗️From May 5 to 8 inclusive, Russia temporarily closed the airspace over the Kapustin Yar missile range. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2051567739005767985/photo/1
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Visioner
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Donald Trump on Iran:
🗣️ "We are at war now. They say: why is it taking so long? We were in Vietnam for 19 years, many years in Iraq, about 10. Seven years in Korea. I won’t even mention World War II. I call this a mini-war because that’s really what it is." https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2051567812288680011/photo/1
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Donald Trump on Iran:
🗣️ "We are at war now. They say: why is it taking so long? We were in Vietnam for 19 years, many years in Iraq, about 10. Seven years in Korea. I won’t even mention World War II. I call this a mini-war because that’s really what it is." https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2051567812288680011/photo/1
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Visioner
🇺🇸 Trump:
🗣️"We thought the price of energy would reach $300. $300 per barrel, but now it is around $100. And I think it will go down even more. I expect a significant drop after all this is over. In my opinion, it will happen very quickly and prices will fall to a level we have never seen before."
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🇺🇸 Trump:
🗣️"We thought the price of energy would reach $300. $300 per barrel, but now it is around $100. And I think it will go down even more. I expect a significant drop after all this is over. In my opinion, it will happen very quickly and prices will fall to a level we have never seen before."
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Open Source Intel
Pakistan PM Shahbaz Sharif:
"Pakistan strongly condemns the missile and drone attacks against civilian infrastructure in the UAE last night. I express full solidarity with Mohammed bin Zayed. Pakistan stands firmly with our Emirati brothers and sisters and with the UAE government at this difficult time. It is absolutely essential to maintain the ceasefire and respect it, in order to allow a diplomatic space for dialogue that will lead to lasting peace and stability in the region."
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Pakistan PM Shahbaz Sharif:
"Pakistan strongly condemns the missile and drone attacks against civilian infrastructure in the UAE last night. I express full solidarity with Mohammed bin Zayed. Pakistan stands firmly with our Emirati brothers and sisters and with the UAE government at this difficult time. It is absolutely essential to maintain the ceasefire and respect it, in order to allow a diplomatic space for dialogue that will lead to lasting peace and stability in the region."
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Visioner
🇺🇦✈️🔥🇷🇺 It's happening!
Cheboksary. A repeated attack on the Progress electronics factory. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2051569549447684114/video/1
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🇺🇦✈️🔥🇷🇺 It's happening!
Cheboksary. A repeated attack on the Progress electronics factory. https://twitter.com/visionergeo/status/2051569549447684114/video/1
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Nuno Felix
RT @BrettErickson28: At this point, it is irrefutable that the blockade has failed. Not from failed enforcement (although that certainly has happened), but due to it being built on a fundamentally flawed premise.
This is something that can clearly be drawn from Trump’s own “3 days until Iran’s oil infrastructure explodes”. CLEARLY, he was operating on a very specific piece of data that indicated this would take place.
It did not.
Eight days later, a full 21 days into the U.S. blockade, Trump is now stating it will be “two weeks”…
35 days in total.
Here’s the problem: He’s wrong.
Data published by Bloomberg via Kpler indicates that Iran had 12-22 days of onshore storage available, that was 8 days ago. 4-14 days. Other experts are putting that number ~13 days.
So 13 days of onshore oil still remains, but there are other factors we need to consider.
Within the perimeter of the U.S. blockade line, Iran has enough vessels to hold ~35M barrels. This will extend the timeline by approximately 28-42 days.
Then, Iran is unmothballing old tankers, old storage, trucking into neighboring countries, utilizing rail. None of these things taken along are substantial, but each of them add to the timeline. Plus 7 days.
But Iran can also manipulate output from their oil wells. They don’t need to be ripping at 100% day after day. The output can be lowered. And this is where it becomes catastrophic. When we factor this in, we go from an aforementioned timeline ~69-83 days, to something that could run well into the triple digits.
How the Secretary of Treasury, who is spearheading “Operation Economic Fury”, and the PRESIDENT of the United States is unable to put this together, or even come to the same conclusion between one another, is beyond me.
What I DO know, is that this blockade has horrendously failed, and for the sake of the global economy, I sure as hell hope Washington still has the cards they say they do.
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RT @BrettErickson28: At this point, it is irrefutable that the blockade has failed. Not from failed enforcement (although that certainly has happened), but due to it being built on a fundamentally flawed premise.
This is something that can clearly be drawn from Trump’s own “3 days until Iran’s oil infrastructure explodes”. CLEARLY, he was operating on a very specific piece of data that indicated this would take place.
It did not.
Eight days later, a full 21 days into the U.S. blockade, Trump is now stating it will be “two weeks”…
35 days in total.
Here’s the problem: He’s wrong.
Data published by Bloomberg via Kpler indicates that Iran had 12-22 days of onshore storage available, that was 8 days ago. 4-14 days. Other experts are putting that number ~13 days.
So 13 days of onshore oil still remains, but there are other factors we need to consider.
Within the perimeter of the U.S. blockade line, Iran has enough vessels to hold ~35M barrels. This will extend the timeline by approximately 28-42 days.
Then, Iran is unmothballing old tankers, old storage, trucking into neighboring countries, utilizing rail. None of these things taken along are substantial, but each of them add to the timeline. Plus 7 days.
But Iran can also manipulate output from their oil wells. They don’t need to be ripping at 100% day after day. The output can be lowered. And this is where it becomes catastrophic. When we factor this in, we go from an aforementioned timeline ~69-83 days, to something that could run well into the triple digits.
How the Secretary of Treasury, who is spearheading “Operation Economic Fury”, and the PRESIDENT of the United States is unable to put this together, or even come to the same conclusion between one another, is beyond me.
What I DO know, is that this blockade has horrendously failed, and for the sake of the global economy, I sure as hell hope Washington still has the cards they say they do.
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