The Spectator Index
The Democratic Party now has a 80% chance of winning the US House of Representatives, according to prediction market @Kalshi. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/2051059093692178779/photo/1
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The Democratic Party now has a 80% chance of winning the US House of Representatives, according to prediction market @Kalshi. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/2051059093692178779/photo/1
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OSINT
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Open Source Intel
U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC):
"Totally agree with President Trump’s decision to launch Project Freedom, whose purpose is to restore freedom of navigation for the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passageway for the world economy that has been locked down by Iranian terrorism.
It is clear to me that Iran is playing games through negotiations as their last offer to end the conflict was absurd. Again, I hope this conflict can end diplomatically, but it is now time to regain freedom of navigation and forcefully respond to Iran if they insist on terrorizing the world.
Enough with this terrorist regime’s behavior."
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U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC):
"Totally agree with President Trump’s decision to launch Project Freedom, whose purpose is to restore freedom of navigation for the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passageway for the world economy that has been locked down by Iranian terrorism.
It is clear to me that Iran is playing games through negotiations as their last offer to end the conflict was absurd. Again, I hope this conflict can end diplomatically, but it is now time to regain freedom of navigation and forcefully respond to Iran if they insist on terrorizing the world.
Enough with this terrorist regime’s behavior."
BREAKING: 🔴
U.S. President Donald Trump: "Countries from all over the World, almost all of which are not involved in the Middle Eastern dispute going on so visibly, and violently, for all to see, have asked the United States if we could help free up their Ships, which are locked up in the Strait of Hormuz, on something which they have absolutely nothing to do with — They are merely neutral and innocent bystanders! For the good of Iran, the Middle East, and the United States, we have told these Countries that we will guide their Ships safely out of these restricted Waterways, so that they can freely and ably get on with their business. Again, these are Ships from areas of the World that are not in any way involved with that which is currently taking place in the Middle East. I have told my Representatives to inform them that we will use best efforts to get their Ships and Crews safely out of the Strait. In all cases, they said they will not be returning until the area becomes safe for navigation, and everything else. This process, Project Freedom, will begin Monday morning, Middle East time. I am fully aware that my Representatives are having very positive discussions with the Country of Iran, and that these discussions could lead to something very positive for all. The Ship movement is merely meant to free up people, companies, and Countries that have done absolutely nothing wrong — They are victims of circumstance. This is a Humanitarian gesture on behalf of the United States, Middle Eastern Countries but, in particular, the Country of Iran. Many of these Ships are running low on food, and everything else necessary for largescale crews to stay on board in a healthy and sanitary manner. I think it would go a long way in showing Goodwill on behalf of all of those who have been fighting so strenuously over the last number of months. If, in any way, this Humanitarian process is interfered with, that interference will, unfortunately, have to be dealt with forcefully. Thank you for your attention to this matter!" - Open Source Inteltweet
OSINT
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Open Source Intel
U.S. oil falls below $100 per barrel after Trump says U.S. will guide ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
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U.S. oil falls below $100 per barrel after Trump says U.S. will guide ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
BREAKING: 🔴
U.S. President Donald Trump: "Countries from all over the World, almost all of which are not involved in the Middle Eastern dispute going on so visibly, and violently, for all to see, have asked the United States if we could help free up their Ships, which are locked up in the Strait of Hormuz, on something which they have absolutely nothing to do with — They are merely neutral and innocent bystanders! For the good of Iran, the Middle East, and the United States, we have told these Countries that we will guide their Ships safely out of these restricted Waterways, so that they can freely and ably get on with their business. Again, these are Ships from areas of the World that are not in any way involved with that which is currently taking place in the Middle East. I have told my Representatives to inform them that we will use best efforts to get their Ships and Crews safely out of the Strait. In all cases, they said they will not be returning until the area becomes safe for navigation, and everything else. This process, Project Freedom, will begin Monday morning, Middle East time. I am fully aware that my Representatives are having very positive discussions with the Country of Iran, and that these discussions could lead to something very positive for all. The Ship movement is merely meant to free up people, companies, and Countries that have done absolutely nothing wrong — They are victims of circumstance. This is a Humanitarian gesture on behalf of the United States, Middle Eastern Countries but, in particular, the Country of Iran. Many of these Ships are running low on food, and everything else necessary for largescale crews to stay on board in a healthy and sanitary manner. I think it would go a long way in showing Goodwill on behalf of all of those who have been fighting so strenuously over the last number of months. If, in any way, this Humanitarian process is interfered with, that interference will, unfortunately, have to be dealt with forcefully. Thank you for your attention to this matter!" - Open Source Inteltweet
Open Source Intel
Ebrahim Azizi, head of Iran’s parliament national security committee:
"⚠ WARNING
Any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire.
The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf would not be managed by Trump's delusional posts!
No one would believe Blame Game scenarios!"
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Ebrahim Azizi, head of Iran’s parliament national security committee:
"⚠ WARNING
Any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire.
The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf would not be managed by Trump's delusional posts!
No one would believe Blame Game scenarios!"
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Disclose.tv
JUST IN - CENTCOM confirms that "U.S. military support to Project Freedom will include guided-missile destroyers, over 100 land and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 service members."
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JUST IN - CENTCOM confirms that "U.S. military support to Project Freedom will include guided-missile destroyers, over 100 land and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 service members."
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Open Source Intel
BREAKING: Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani hospitalized in critical but stable condition, his spokesman says. Circumstances unclear.
Contributed by @AZ_Intel_. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051076341651395021/photo/1
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BREAKING: Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani hospitalized in critical but stable condition, his spokesman says. Circumstances unclear.
Contributed by @AZ_Intel_. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051076341651395021/photo/1
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Nuno Felix
We are at the phase of “not even Albanian State Media circa 1983” would say something like this
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We are at the phase of “not even Albanian State Media circa 1983” would say something like this
The three moves to checkmate:
1) Sustain the blockade and accompanying economic warfare
2) Order the US military to forge a path through the Strait of Hormuz to restore freedom of navigation
3) Remake the world in America’s energy dominance image
https://nypost.com/2026/05/01/opinion/heres-how-to-crush-tehran-in-three-moves/ - Richard Goldbergtweet
Nuno Felix
Basically nothing they could not do themselves. What happens if they hit a mine? If Iran strikes? What then? We will see how this develops but I would not bet on it
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Basically nothing they could not do themselves. What happens if they hit a mine? If Iran strikes? What then? We will see how this develops but I would not bet on it
Trump said the U.S. would start guiding commercial ships out of the Strait of Hormuz. The plan doesn’t involve U.S. warships escorting the vessels. https://on.wsj.com/4f57ejg - The Wall Street Journaltweet
X (formerly Twitter)
The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) on X
Trump said the U.S. would start guiding commercial ships out of the Strait of Hormuz. The plan doesn’t involve U.S. warships escorting the vessels. https://t.co/bRU9t6OPNX
Open Source Intel
U.S. President Donald Trump:
"Our fabulous Rudy Giuliani, a True Warrior, and the Best Mayor in the History of New York City, BY FAR, has been hospitalized, and is in critical condition. What a tragedy that he was treated so badly by the Radical Left Lunatics, Democrats ALL — AND HE WAS RIGHT ABOUT EVERYTHING! They cheated on the Elections, fabricated hundreds of stories, did anything possible to destroy our Nation, and now, look at Rudy. So sad! President DONALD J. TRUMP."
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U.S. President Donald Trump:
"Our fabulous Rudy Giuliani, a True Warrior, and the Best Mayor in the History of New York City, BY FAR, has been hospitalized, and is in critical condition. What a tragedy that he was treated so badly by the Radical Left Lunatics, Democrats ALL — AND HE WAS RIGHT ABOUT EVERYTHING! They cheated on the Elections, fabricated hundreds of stories, did anything possible to destroy our Nation, and now, look at Rudy. So sad! President DONALD J. TRUMP."
BREAKING: Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani hospitalized in critical but stable condition, his spokesman says. Circumstances unclear.
Contributed by @AZ_Intel_. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2051076341651395021/photo/1 - Open Source Inteltweet
OSINTdefender
According to U.S. President Donald J. Trump, “Project Freedom,” a U.S. naval mission to escort vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, will begin on Monday. Per the statement on his Truth Social app, many seafarers are running low on food, store stuffs, and other supplies, and Project Freedom aims to alleviate this situation and introduce safe transits through the Strait of Hormuz. It’s yet unclear if any European countries plan to play a role in any escort operations.
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According to U.S. President Donald J. Trump, “Project Freedom,” a U.S. naval mission to escort vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, will begin on Monday. Per the statement on his Truth Social app, many seafarers are running low on food, store stuffs, and other supplies, and Project Freedom aims to alleviate this situation and introduce safe transits through the Strait of Hormuz. It’s yet unclear if any European countries plan to play a role in any escort operations.
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