OSINTdefender
According to the IRGC-affiliated news outlet Tasnim, Iran has provided Pakistani mediators with a 14-point counter proposal to be presented to U.S. decision-makers. Per the report, much of the Iranian demands remain the same, including guarantees that combat operations against Iran will not resume, the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the local region, the cessation of the ongoing U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, releasing frozen Iranian assets, the end of the Israel-Lebanon conflict, and reparations.
tweet
According to the IRGC-affiliated news outlet Tasnim, Iran has provided Pakistani mediators with a 14-point counter proposal to be presented to U.S. decision-makers. Per the report, much of the Iranian demands remain the same, including guarantees that combat operations against Iran will not resume, the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the local region, the cessation of the ongoing U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, releasing frozen Iranian assets, the end of the Israel-Lebanon conflict, and reparations.
tweet
😱1
Nuno Felix
Lots and lots of missiles. Absolutely spot on
tweet
Lots and lots of missiles. Absolutely spot on
Good thread, though I am somewhat less pessimistic about what this means for Germany and Europe.
The number of all-up rounds deployed as part of MDTF to Europe was always going to be low, as was the salvo size generated by the associated strike capabilities. They would no doubt have been useful for warfighting, but the overall operational impact would have been limited.
What Germany and other European governments had really hoped for was that this would constitute some form of escalation management tool, capable of holding sensitive Russian targets at risk. Whether the United States would have been willing to use them in that way was always questionable.
In the end, there is no alternative to a European solution for Europe, independent of American presidential decision-making (whether it should also be independent of NATO command structures going forward is a question European states will have to settle in the near future).
On the kill chain: yes, Germany and Europe need to invest across the board. But Germany's investments in ISR, particularly in space-based systems, are largely satisfactory in my view. With the SPOCK 1 constellation, Germany will achieve ~40 to 60-minute revisit rates over the Baltic theater by 2028 -- that's good enough for Germany's needs.
What Germany and Europe need are missiles, missiles, and more missiles. tweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Fabian Hoffmann (@FRHoffmann1) on X
Good thread, though I am somewhat less pessimistic about what this means for Germany and Europe.
The number of all-up rounds deployed as part of MDTF to Europe was always going to be low, as was the salvo size generated by the associated strike capabilities.…
The number of all-up rounds deployed as part of MDTF to Europe was always going to be low, as was the salvo size generated by the associated strike capabilities.…
Nuno Felix
Not a chance. Russia needs isolation, decay and division.
tweet
Not a chance. Russia needs isolation, decay and division.
@jalle51 After Putin, Russian needs to join the EU and NATO under the condition of 10 years of change: democracy and free markets.
In this way we can much faster help Russia to recover and to pay back for Putin's craziness in Ukraine. tweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Michael Verstraeten (@MichaelVerstrae) on X
@jalle51 After Putin, Russian needs to join the EU and NATO under the condition of 10 years of change: democracy and free markets.
In this way we can much faster help Russia to recover and to pay back for Putin's craziness in Ukraine.
In this way we can much faster help Russia to recover and to pay back for Putin's craziness in Ukraine.
👏2
Nuno Felix
I have worked with @DanDePetris and have huge respect for him. we don’t always agree or see eye to eye, but he is absolutely correct. All the pearl clutching is drama from both sides. Its irrelevant.
tweet
I have worked with @DanDePetris and have huge respect for him. we don’t always agree or see eye to eye, but he is absolutely correct. All the pearl clutching is drama from both sides. Its irrelevant.
That Trump would withdraw 5,000 troops from Germany because Merz hurt his feelings is silly, if not pathetic.
That people are panicking over this very small drawdown and acting like it will open up the route to a Russian blitzkrieg is also silly, if not pathetic. tweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Daniel DePetris (@DanDePetris) on X
That Trump would withdraw 5,000 troops from Germany because Merz hurt his feelings is silly, if not pathetic.
That people are panicking over this very small drawdown and acting like it will open up the route to a Russian blitzkrieg is also silly, if not…
That people are panicking over this very small drawdown and acting like it will open up the route to a Russian blitzkrieg is also silly, if not…
OSINTdefender
U.S. Central Command Commander Admiral Brad Cooper visited the USS Tripoli (LHA 7) today as it was on task in the Arabian Sea. He met with U.S. sailors and Marines, recognized standout performers, and toured the Tripoli’s combat information center (CIC). https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2050693893826420994/photo/1
tweet
U.S. Central Command Commander Admiral Brad Cooper visited the USS Tripoli (LHA 7) today as it was on task in the Arabian Sea. He met with U.S. sailors and Marines, recognized standout performers, and toured the Tripoli’s combat information center (CIC). https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2050693893826420994/photo/1
tweet
OSINTdefender
RT @TheIntelFrogbu: Until I hear back, I will remain here. So whatever bitcoin or porn scams that are being run on the .@TheIntelFrog main account are not me. I will make a post on both accounts if/when I get it back.
Until then, on we go. Thanks for being here. I truly appreciate it.
6/6
tweet
RT @TheIntelFrogbu: Until I hear back, I will remain here. So whatever bitcoin or porn scams that are being run on the .@TheIntelFrog main account are not me. I will make a post on both accounts if/when I get it back.
Until then, on we go. Thanks for being here. I truly appreciate it.
6/6
tweet
Open Source Intel
Reuters: Iran proposed reopening the Strait of Hormuz and ending the U.S. blockade, while delaying nuclear talks; proposal rejected by U.S. President Donald Trump, Iranian official says. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2050704315375927671/photo/1
tweet
Reuters: Iran proposed reopening the Strait of Hormuz and ending the U.S. blockade, while delaying nuclear talks; proposal rejected by U.S. President Donald Trump, Iranian official says. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2050704315375927671/photo/1
tweet
OSINTdefender
U.S. President Donald J. Trump has said that resuming combat operations against Iran remains a possibility. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2050706443263762507/photo/1
tweet
U.S. President Donald J. Trump has said that resuming combat operations against Iran remains a possibility. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2050706443263762507/photo/1
tweet
OSINTdefender
According to Israel’s I24 News, Israel’s security cabinet is set to meet tomorrow amidst ongoing reciprocal Israeli-Lebanese Hezbollah (LH) strikes on their respective territories and infrastructure. Per the report, Israel has refrained from resuming strikes on key LH hubs in Beirut, Lebanon due to U.S. pressure, and in the expected meeting between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. President Donald J. Trump soon, the subject is expected to be discussed.
tweet
According to Israel’s I24 News, Israel’s security cabinet is set to meet tomorrow amidst ongoing reciprocal Israeli-Lebanese Hezbollah (LH) strikes on their respective territories and infrastructure. Per the report, Israel has refrained from resuming strikes on key LH hubs in Beirut, Lebanon due to U.S. pressure, and in the expected meeting between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. President Donald J. Trump soon, the subject is expected to be discussed.
tweet
OSINTdefender
RT @sentdefender: The Pentagon is planning to withdraw roughly 5,000 American troops from Germany in the near future, as part of the Trump Administration’s retaliation against European allies who refused to join or aid in the Iran War, senior defense officials have told CBS News. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2050363045705142527/photo/1
tweet
RT @sentdefender: The Pentagon is planning to withdraw roughly 5,000 American troops from Germany in the near future, as part of the Trump Administration’s retaliation against European allies who refused to join or aid in the Iran War, senior defense officials have told CBS News. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2050363045705142527/photo/1
tweet
👎1👏1
OSINTdefender
RT @sentdefender: Germany hosts over 36,000 American Servicemembers, along with nearly 1,500 reservists and 11,500 civilian employees with the U.S. Department of Defense, according to the latest figures from last December. Additionally, Germany is home to the Headquarters of U.S. European Command (EUCOM) and Africa Command (AFRICOM), and its Ramstein Air Base is a key hub for U.S. operations, including recent military operations against Iran. Landstuhl Regional Medical Center, the largest U.S. military hospital abroad is also located in Germany and has been used to care for dozens of Americans injured in strikes during the Iran War.
tweet
RT @sentdefender: Germany hosts over 36,000 American Servicemembers, along with nearly 1,500 reservists and 11,500 civilian employees with the U.S. Department of Defense, according to the latest figures from last December. Additionally, Germany is home to the Headquarters of U.S. European Command (EUCOM) and Africa Command (AFRICOM), and its Ramstein Air Base is a key hub for U.S. operations, including recent military operations against Iran. Landstuhl Regional Medical Center, the largest U.S. military hospital abroad is also located in Germany and has been used to care for dozens of Americans injured in strikes during the Iran War.
The Pentagon is planning to withdraw roughly 5,000 American troops from Germany in the near future, as part of the Trump Administration’s retaliation against European allies who refused to join or aid in the Iran War, senior defense officials have told CBS News. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2050363045705142527/photo/1 tweet
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Open Source Intel
Reporter: In your letter to Congress, you said that hostilities with Iran have been terminated. How can you say that with the naval blockade still in place?
U.S. President Donald Trump: "Well, it’s a very friendly blockade. Nobody’s even challenging it. Nobody at all is challenging.
Just so you understand, many presidents have been involved in things that are very big. They never had to go through anything with respect to Congress. They considered it to be totally unconstitutional.
And the Democrats in Congress that pushed this, and probably a couple of Republicans, they’re hurting our negotiating ability, which is infinite right now. And they shouldn’t be doing it. It’s never happened before. No other president’s done it. And I’m not going to be the first."
tweet
Reporter: In your letter to Congress, you said that hostilities with Iran have been terminated. How can you say that with the naval blockade still in place?
U.S. President Donald Trump: "Well, it’s a very friendly blockade. Nobody’s even challenging it. Nobody at all is challenging.
Just so you understand, many presidents have been involved in things that are very big. They never had to go through anything with respect to Congress. They considered it to be totally unconstitutional.
And the Democrats in Congress that pushed this, and probably a couple of Republicans, they’re hurting our negotiating ability, which is infinite right now. And they shouldn’t be doing it. It’s never happened before. No other president’s done it. And I’m not going to be the first."
tweet
🤡3
Open Source Intel
U.S. President Donald Trump:
"I will soon be reviewing the plan that Iran has just sent to us, but can’t imagine that it would be acceptable in that they have not yet paid a big enough price for what they have done to Humanity, and the World, over the last 47 years." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2050709819414200320/photo/1
tweet
U.S. President Donald Trump:
"I will soon be reviewing the plan that Iran has just sent to us, but can’t imagine that it would be acceptable in that they have not yet paid a big enough price for what they have done to Humanity, and the World, over the last 47 years." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2050709819414200320/photo/1
tweet
🤡3🤣1