Open Source Intel
I’m glad Israel and Lebanon are sitting down. That’s an important first step.

But I have some questions:

Hezbollah isn’t some rogue outside militia Lebanon is fighting. It’s part of the Lebanese political system. For over 20 years, Lebanon has tried to disarm them and failed completely.

Even the claim that Hezbollah was disarmed by Lebanon south of the Litani was a fake. Everyone knew it.

So what exactly are we negotiating?

Without real disarmament, this isn’t peace. It’s a pause. A few years for Hezbollah to rearm, regroup, and reset.

Diplomacy with a government that has a powerful terror army it cannot control may end up masking Hezbollah rearming.
Especially if Israel and the Lebanese army cannot coordinate, which is the likely case.
And even if they try, it risks pushing Lebanon toward civil war.

At the end of the day, real disarmament will only happen in one of two ways. Either Israel degrades Hezbollah to that point militarily, or Lebanon goes through internal collapse to remove it, aka civil war.

Neither is clean. But pretending a signed agreement changes reality is how you end up right back here.

I hope I’m wrong. Tell me how.
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Open Source Intel
RT @Osint613: RARE FOOTAGE 🔴

Jerusalem: An ultra-Orthodox Jewish man and a Muslim woman stand side by side during Israel's Holocaust Remembrance Day siren. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2044017084795961761/video/1
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇩🇪🇺🇦 Volodymyr Zelensky:

🗣️ “Together with Friedrich Merz, we held intergovernmental consultations for the first time in over 20 years.

Our relations have now reached the level of a true strategic partnership. The main focus is on the documents signed today, many of which are aimed at strengthening Ukraine’s defense capabilities and resilience, advancing the bilateral drone cooperation agreement proposed by Ukraine to Germany, and addressing issues related to Ukraine’s future EU membership.”

See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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The Spectator Index
European nations are 'putting together a plan for a broad coalition of countries' to facilitate shipping through the Strait of Hormuz 'without the US', according to Wall Street Journal.
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The Spectator Index
IMF projection for economic growth in 2026.

🇦🇷 Argentina: 3.5%
🇺🇸 United States: 2.3%
🇪🇸 Spain: 2.1%
🇧🇷 Brazil: 1.9%
🇲🇽 Mexico: 1.6%
🇨🇦 Canada: 1.5%
🇬🇧 United Kingdom: 0.8%
🇩🇪 Germany: 0.8%
🇮🇹 Italy: 0.5%
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WarMonitor
Farm country largely backed Trump, and now a new update from the AFBF says many growers are being priced out of the fertilizer they need to plant this season.

You reap what you sow.
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Open Source Intel
WSJ: European nations are assembling a broad coalition to secure shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, potentially without U.S. involvement. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2044140211467157741/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Good luck guys!

WSJ: European nations are assembling a broad coalition to secure shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, potentially without U.S. involvement. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2044140211467157741/photo/1 - Open Source Intel
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Open Source Intel
The Trump administration is intensifying its economic pressure campaign on Iran, targeting banks that handle illicit Iranian funds. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2044140319302692973/video/1
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Open Source Intel
NEW 🔴

The U.S. has set 2 key conditions for restarting talks with Iran in Pakistan, according to diplomatic sources.

First, the Strait of Hormuz must be fully reopened before negotiations resume.

Second, Iran’s delegation must have full authority from the IRGC to finalize a deal.
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WarTranslated
A Russian FPV drone flew into the open window of a UAF pickup truck, but by some miracle, it didn't detonate. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2044141724511981798/video/1
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Open Source Intel
You know who has been super quiet today?

Brigadier General Ebrahim Zolfaghari, the military spokesman for Iran.

Why? https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2044142244488212840/photo/1
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WarMonitor
If Iran drags this out, the current war runs into a hard deadline. Under the War Powers Resolution, Trump can’t legally continue military operations in Iran past 60 days without Congress. But he may try to redefine the operation to reset the clock if push comes to shove.

Under the War Powers Act of 1973, presidents must terminate military operations after 60 days unless Congress has voted to declare war or passed legislation to authorize the use of force. https://time.com/article/2026/04/14/republicans-face-crucial-test-on-iran-war-as-60-day-deadline-looms/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_content=140426 - TIME
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Open Source Intel
French Rafale intercepts an Iranian drone over northern Iraq. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2044143145747632569/video/1
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The Spectator Index
Over 20 commercial vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz over the past 24 hours, according to Wall Street Journal report.
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Open Source Intel
Britain scrambled two Typhoon jets after a Russian military plane headed toward UK airspace. The aircraft changed course before reaching British territory. - The Telegraph
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇧🇾 Alexander Lukashenko called for urgent mobilization, warning about uncertainty:

🗣️ “We must mobilize — immediately — to survive this difficult period. These are unclear times. As president, I don’t even know what exactly to prepare you for.”

See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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Open Source Intel
NEW 🔴

U.S. reveals the face of the Kata'ib Hezbollah leader for the first time and offers $10 million for his head. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2044146121526632830/photo/1
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇪🇺🇫🇷🇺🇦 According to Intelligence Online, the European consortium MBDA is likely assisting Ukraine in the development and improvement of FP-5 “Flamingo” cruise missiles.

▪️ The FP-5 incorporates key Western components, including inertial navigation systems and jam-resistant GPS modules similar to those used in Storm Shadow missiles.

▪️ Engineers with experience in MBDA structures have helped rapidly adapt the missile’s digital control system for real-time integration with intelligence data, while also resolving a number of initial technical issues.

▪️ The FP-5 can be seen as part of broader French-Ukrainian industrial integration.

▪️ This is further reflected in France’s interest in developing its own аналог under the “Chorus” project, involving companies such as Renault and Turgis Gaillard.

See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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Open Source Intel
US State Department Farsi Account:

Trump on Iran's nuclear ambitions:

"Iran will NEVER acquire a nuclear weapon under my presidency." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2044148396525502538/photo/1
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The Spectator Index
The US stock market has now added $6 trillion in market value since the 30th of March. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/2044148518848475466/photo/1
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