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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @glcarlstrom: A temporary moratorium on enrichment is probably a workable compromise. You just have to haggle over the duration: Iran won't accept 20 years; Trump can't sell five years.
But you have a bunch of other issues beyond that:
- the HEU is of course the big one. Iran wants to downblend rather than ship it out, which doesn't seem like a dealbreaker (it loses the stockpile either way). But who's going to monitor that process, on what timetable will it occur, etc.
- then you have other issues around enrichment and weaponization: can Iran continue to develop centrifuges? What about other aspects of R&D? Does it have to dismantle any nuclear facilities or refrain from building new ones? Again, how is all this monitored?
Also notable that there's no mention at all of missiles and proxies. These were supposedly red lines for America in the February talks. But they don't feature at all in any of the reporting (including mine) about the current negotiations.
That's probably realistic. Iran won't negotiate around missiles, and even if Iran agreed to concessions around proxies, they were always going to be hard to verify. Still, notable that they've disappeared. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/us/politics/us-iran-deal.html
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RT @glcarlstrom: A temporary moratorium on enrichment is probably a workable compromise. You just have to haggle over the duration: Iran won't accept 20 years; Trump can't sell five years.
But you have a bunch of other issues beyond that:
- the HEU is of course the big one. Iran wants to downblend rather than ship it out, which doesn't seem like a dealbreaker (it loses the stockpile either way). But who's going to monitor that process, on what timetable will it occur, etc.
- then you have other issues around enrichment and weaponization: can Iran continue to develop centrifuges? What about other aspects of R&D? Does it have to dismantle any nuclear facilities or refrain from building new ones? Again, how is all this monitored?
Also notable that there's no mention at all of missiles and proxies. These were supposedly red lines for America in the February talks. But they don't feature at all in any of the reporting (including mine) about the current negotiations.
That's probably realistic. Iran won't negotiate around missiles, and even if Iran agreed to concessions around proxies, they were always going to be hard to verify. Still, notable that they've disappeared. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/us/politics/us-iran-deal.html
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: ❗️🇺🇦🇷🇺More than a week ago, SBS drones, together with other AFU units, struck the port of Novorossiysk, according to Dnipro Osint.
▪️ Based on the latest satellite images of the Sheskharis terminal, 3 out of 7 oil loading berths have resumed or continue operations.
▪️ Another 2 berths appear visually undamaged.
▪️ Only 2 oil tanker berths remain under repair, with the floating crane “Barbaros-3” deployed on site, as seen in the imagery.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: ❗️🇺🇦🇷🇺More than a week ago, SBS drones, together with other AFU units, struck the port of Novorossiysk, according to Dnipro Osint.
▪️ Based on the latest satellite images of the Sheskharis terminal, 3 out of 7 oil loading berths have resumed or continue operations.
▪️ Another 2 berths appear visually undamaged.
▪️ Only 2 oil tanker berths remain under repair, with the floating crane “Barbaros-3” deployed on site, as seen in the imagery.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇦🇩🇪 Volodymyr Zelensky is set to visit Germany tomorrow, according to Ukraine Context.
▪️ Several European countries are preparing for meetings with leaders, where security initiatives already adopted in the Middle East will be discussed.
▪️ Talks are also expected to cover joint military production efforts.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇦🇩🇪 Volodymyr Zelensky is set to visit Germany tomorrow, according to Ukraine Context.
▪️ Several European countries are preparing for meetings with leaders, where security initiatives already adopted in the Middle East will be discussed.
▪️ Talks are also expected to cover joint military production efforts.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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Michael A. Horowitz
RT @NeilPHauer: The war in Iran may have reached an uneasy ceasefire. But for Iranians themselves, stuck under a suffocating comms blackout and a regime that shows no signs of falling, nothing is clear.
I spoke to some Iranians in the country for @CBCNews: https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/iran-war-us-internet-blackout-9.7161918
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RT @NeilPHauer: The war in Iran may have reached an uneasy ceasefire. But for Iranians themselves, stuck under a suffocating comms blackout and a regime that shows no signs of falling, nothing is clear.
I spoke to some Iranians in the country for @CBCNews: https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/iran-war-us-internet-blackout-9.7161918
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Open Source Intel
Senator Graham on Iran:
Their reason for being in life is death, they want to die as martyrs.
They want to bring back the Mahdi - the twelfth Imam - who will return and save the world. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043940164288852448/video/1
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Senator Graham on Iran:
Their reason for being in life is death, they want to die as martyrs.
They want to bring back the Mahdi - the twelfth Imam - who will return and save the world. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043940164288852448/video/1
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Bloomberg reports that the United States and Iran are considering holding another round of direct talks aimed at reaching a long-term ceasefire agreement.
▪️ The discussions follow the recent Islamabad negotiations led by J.D. Vance, which ended without a deal.
▪️ Officials say both sides hope the next meeting could take place next week — before the current two-week ceasefire expires — possibly again in Islamabad or another location.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Bloomberg reports that the United States and Iran are considering holding another round of direct talks aimed at reaching a long-term ceasefire agreement.
▪️ The discussions follow the recent Islamabad negotiations led by J.D. Vance, which ended without a deal.
▪️ Officials say both sides hope the next meeting could take place next week — before the current two-week ceasefire expires — possibly again in Islamabad or another location.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: ☢️ According to The New York Times, during talks in Islamabad, the United States demanded a full halt to Iran’s uranium enrichment for 20 years, while Iran proposed a shorter suspension of up to 5 years.
▪️ The U.S. also pushed for the removal of enriched uranium from Iran, whereas Tehran insisted on keeping it, but with dilution measures.
❗️ Vance: “I wouldn’t say everything went badly. I also think some things went well. We made significant progress…”
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: ☢️ According to The New York Times, during talks in Islamabad, the United States demanded a full halt to Iran’s uranium enrichment for 20 years, while Iran proposed a shorter suspension of up to 5 years.
▪️ The U.S. also pushed for the removal of enriched uranium from Iran, whereas Tehran insisted on keeping it, but with dilution measures.
❗️ Vance: “I wouldn’t say everything went badly. I also think some things went well. We made significant progress…”
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇸🇭🇺😂 “We certainly didn’t go to Hungary expecting Viktor Orbán to easily win the election. We went there because we believed it was the right decision.”
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231 https://twitter.com/NSTRIKE1231/status/2043942646897344870/photo/1
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇸🇭🇺😂 “We certainly didn’t go to Hungary expecting Viktor Orbán to easily win the election. We went there because we believed it was the right decision.”
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231 https://twitter.com/NSTRIKE1231/status/2043942646897344870/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Iran estimates $270 billion in war losses so far. Says the figure is not final. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043943047583375399/photo/1
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Iran estimates $270 billion in war losses so far. Says the figure is not final. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043943047583375399/photo/1
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇸🇭🇺 J.D. Vance on Orbán:
“I’m sorry he lost. He was one of the few European leaders willing to stand up to EU bureaucracy, which has had a very harmful impact on the United States.”
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231 https://twitter.com/NSTRIKE1231/status/2043943111504585147/photo/1
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: 🇺🇸🇭🇺 J.D. Vance on Orbán:
“I’m sorry he lost. He was one of the few European leaders willing to stand up to EU bureaucracy, which has had a very harmful impact on the United States.”
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231 https://twitter.com/NSTRIKE1231/status/2043943111504585147/photo/1
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Visioner
🇺🇦🇷🇺More than a week ago, drones from SBS, along with other units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU), attacked the port of Novorossiysk, reports Dnipro Osint.
According to the latest satellite images of the damaged port of Novorossiysk, out of 7 oil loading stations, 3 are still continuing or have already resumed oil loading. Another 2 stations appear visually undamaged.
Only 2 oil tanker stations remain under repair, for which the floating crane "Barbaros-3" was brought to the site, as can also be seen in the images.
tweet
🇺🇦🇷🇺More than a week ago, drones from SBS, along with other units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU), attacked the port of Novorossiysk, reports Dnipro Osint.
According to the latest satellite images of the damaged port of Novorossiysk, out of 7 oil loading stations, 3 are still continuing or have already resumed oil loading. Another 2 stations appear visually undamaged.
Only 2 oil tanker stations remain under repair, for which the floating crane "Barbaros-3" was brought to the site, as can also be seen in the images.
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Open Source Intel
Spanish PM Pedro Sánchez:
"International law is being violated mainly by one country, which is the government of Israel. There is also an absolutely illegal response on the part of the Iranian regime." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043943508247970054/video/1
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Spanish PM Pedro Sánchez:
"International law is being violated mainly by one country, which is the government of Israel. There is also an absolutely illegal response on the part of the Iranian regime." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043943508247970054/video/1
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Open Source Intel
North Korea test-fired five missiles from its new 5,000-ton destroyer off the west coast, 2 strategic cruise missiles and 3 anti-ship missiles. State media claimed all hit their targets. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043944263482818667/photo/1
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North Korea test-fired five missiles from its new 5,000-ton destroyer off the west coast, 2 strategic cruise missiles and 3 anti-ship missiles. State media claimed all hit their targets. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043944263482818667/photo/1
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WarTranslated
RT @BogataTimar: okay I guess I have to talk about Péter Magyar here.
Let me just start with saying, in a very unladylike way, that you guys seem to have zero clue what happened in Hungary in the last two years, you completely miss the point, and you're a disappointing bunch.
Let's go.
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RT @BogataTimar: okay I guess I have to talk about Péter Magyar here.
Let me just start with saying, in a very unladylike way, that you guys seem to have zero clue what happened in Hungary in the last two years, you completely miss the point, and you're a disappointing bunch.
Let's go.
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Open Source Intel
JUST IN 🔴
U.S. and Iranian negotiation teams to return to Islamabad for peace talks later this week. Four sources told Reuters.
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JUST IN 🔴
U.S. and Iranian negotiation teams to return to Islamabad for peace talks later this week. Four sources told Reuters.
AP: Pakistan has proposed hosting a second round of talks between the United States and Iran in Islamabad in the coming days before the ceasefire ends, two Pakistani officials say. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043920995409367343/photo/1 tweet
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: ❗️🇺🇸🗣️ U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said oil prices are expected to rise further, with a peak likely in the coming weeks, depending on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231 https://twitter.com/NSTRIKE1231/status/2043950900461367758/video/1
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: ❗️🇺🇸🗣️ U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said oil prices are expected to rise further, with a peak likely in the coming weeks, depending on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231 https://twitter.com/NSTRIKE1231/status/2043950900461367758/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Xi Jinping to Spanish PM Sánchez:
"China and Spain are both principled and reasonable countries. We are willing to stand on the right side of history. We should oppose the law of the jungle and together maintain true multilateralism and protect world peace and development." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043953834918035768/video/1
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Xi Jinping to Spanish PM Sánchez:
"China and Spain are both principled and reasonable countries. We are willing to stand on the right side of history. We should oppose the law of the jungle and together maintain true multilateralism and protect world peace and development." https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043953834918035768/video/1
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: ❗🇸🇮 Slovenia is discussing a possible exit from NATO:
▪️ The country’s new parliamentary speaker, Zoran Stevanović, said he plans to organize a referendum on leaving the alliance.
▪️ He argued that Slovenia should pursue an independent policy and avoid involvement in external conflicts.
▪️ Stevanović also noted plans to visit Moscow, stating his position is not “pro-Russian” but focused on protecting Slovenia’s interests.
▪️ No final decision on holding the referendum has been made, and any actual withdrawal from NATO would be a lengthy process.
▪️ Earlier, Donald Trump also did not rule out the possibility of the United States leaving NATO.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: ❗🇸🇮 Slovenia is discussing a possible exit from NATO:
▪️ The country’s new parliamentary speaker, Zoran Stevanović, said he plans to organize a referendum on leaving the alliance.
▪️ He argued that Slovenia should pursue an independent policy and avoid involvement in external conflicts.
▪️ Stevanović also noted plans to visit Moscow, stating his position is not “pro-Russian” but focused on protecting Slovenia’s interests.
▪️ No final decision on holding the referendum has been made, and any actual withdrawal from NATO would be a lengthy process.
▪️ Earlier, Donald Trump also did not rule out the possibility of the United States leaving NATO.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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