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WarMonitor
If strikes and a blockade of the blockade are the only options left, there are no more exit ramps, only rising costs.

President Trump and his advisers are looking at resuming limited military strikes in Iran in addition to the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as a way to break a stalemate in peace talks, according to officials and people familiar with the situation. https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/trump-weighs-limited-strikes-on-iran-after-talks-collapse-71908883?st=eskYn6
- Alex Ward
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WarMonitor
The blockade plan, if you can call it that, clearly wasn’t thought through.

@Mpolymer Uh. What are we going to do when a Chinese ship defies the blockade? Shoot at it? I think not.
- Malcolm Nance
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Disclose.tv
JUST IN - Israeli media, including Ynet, Channel 12, and Kan, are reporting that the IDF is gearing up for renewed conflict with Iran — Times of Israel
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WarMonitor
RT @lookner: Bloomberg Economics analysts believe the blockade is an attempt by Trump to "escalate to deescalate" but Iran "will see the blockade as an act of war"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2026-04-12/iran-war-live-updates-hormuz-us-blockade?cursorId=69DC239B69700007 https://twitter.com/lookner/status/2043465429113315591/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
U.S. Southern Command:

"Applying total systemic friction on the cartels.

On April 11, at the direction of SOUTHCOM commander Gen. Francis L. Donovan, Joint Task Force Southern Spear conducted two lethal kinetic strikes on two vessels operated by Designated Terrorist Organizations. Intelligence confirmed the vessels were transiting along known narco-trafficking routes in the Eastern Pacific and were engaged in narco-trafficking operations. Two male narco-terrorists were killed, and one narco-terrorist survived the first strike. Three male narco-terrorists were killed during the second strike. Following the engagements, USSOUTHCOM immediately notified U.S. Coast Guard to activate the Search and Rescue system for the survivor. No U.S. military forces were harmed."
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WarMonitor
This is how regional wars become global ones.

For you all who think the US naval blockade will be successful just bc we have US Navy ships in the gulf …

Ask yourself this. Are we going to sink Chinese, Indian and Pakistani merchant ships defying the blockade or just write their names down and cry?

This will be unenforceable and speed up the collapse of the global economy.

This is Madness disguised as a policy.
- Malcolm Nance
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Disclose.tv
JUST IN - Skyhorse Publishing to start a new imprint in partnership with Tucker Carlson, called "Tucker Carlson Books," featuring an inaugural lineup that includes Russell Brand, Milo Yiannopoulos, and Dr. Patrick Soon-Shiong — WSJ
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ELINT News
RT @lookner: Bloomberg Economics analysts believe the blockade is an attempt by Trump to "escalate to deescalate" but Iran "will see the blockade as an act of war"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2026-04-12/iran-war-live-updates-hormuz-us-blockade?cursorId=69DC239B69700007 https://twitter.com/lookner/status/2043465429113315591/photo/1
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The Spectator Index
Reports of sirens sounding in northern Israel's Galilee region.
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WarMonitor
He can demand all he wants, but so far he hasn't accomplished a damn thing.
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WarMonitor
RT @hissgoescobra: @ksadjadpour Uhh Iran has oil on the water plus a cash reserve bc we lifted sanctions. They aren’t even going to feel this necessarily for 30-45 days. They won’t let any non Iranian oil pass Hormuz, so the world oil supply will still be depressed. We inoculated them.
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The Spectator Index
US crude oil price are up over 8%, now trading at $105.

Brent crude also up 8%, trading at $103.
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WarMonitor
Oil surges after blockade warning and failed U.S.-Iran negotiations. https://twitter.com/TheWarMonitor/status/2043489167082922022/photo/1
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OSINTtechnical
President Trump is looking at resuming limited military strikes in Iran as a way to break a stalemate in peace talks -WSJ

The US could also resume a full-fledged bombing campaign, though officials said that was less likely
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Open Source Intel
BREAKING: Eric Swalwell has suspended his campaign for California governor amid sexual assault allegations. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2043490651317125189/photo/1
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The Spectator Index
WTI crude oil price forecast to rise as high as $135 by the end of the year, according to @Kalshi prediction market. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/2043491055245709360/photo/1
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OSINTdefender
According to U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM), yesterday, SOUTHCOM’s Joint Task-Force Southern Spear conducted two strikes on vessels operated by Designated Terrorist Groups in known narco-trafficking routes. Per the release, in the first strike, two narcotics-terrorists were killed while one survived, and in the second strike three narco-terrorists were killed. Following the strikes, U.S. SOUTHCOM notified the U.S. Coast Guard to begin search and rescue operations for the one survivor.
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OSINTtechnical
Israel's military is readying for renewed conflict with Iran after the US-Iranian peace talks collapsed -Times of Israel

Israeli forces have moved to a “heightened state of readiness” and are preparing for a resumption of hostilities, with the potential that Iran strikes first.
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The Spectator Index
Eric Swalwell withdraws from California governor race. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/2043494175031934990/photo/1
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