Open Source Intel
Reuters reports that four bulk carriers transited the Strait of Hormuz over the past 24 hours, citing shipping data. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042562709510611102/photo/1
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Reuters reports that four bulk carriers transited the Strait of Hormuz over the past 24 hours, citing shipping data. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042562709510611102/photo/1
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OSINT
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Open Source Intel
OSINTYB: Isfahan: Iran appears to be sealing off its nuclear tunnels.
Latest satellite imagery shows all 3 tunnel entrances blocked, with added barriers including earth berms, debris, fencing, and access obstacles designed to slow or prevent entry.
Assessment: not reopening the site, but locking it down against intrusion.
According to the IAEA, the complex may hold a significant portion of Iran’s 60% enriched uranium, potentially enough for multiple weapons, and possibly a hidden enrichment facility.
Ground access is being deliberately complicated. Activity on site continues, including vehicles, checkpoints, and equipment, indicating tight security.
Overall signal: the regime is securing a highly sensitive site it expects could be targeted.
@TheGoodISIS @OsintYB
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OSINTYB: Isfahan: Iran appears to be sealing off its nuclear tunnels.
Latest satellite imagery shows all 3 tunnel entrances blocked, with added barriers including earth berms, debris, fencing, and access obstacles designed to slow or prevent entry.
Assessment: not reopening the site, but locking it down against intrusion.
According to the IAEA, the complex may hold a significant portion of Iran’s 60% enriched uranium, potentially enough for multiple weapons, and possibly a hidden enrichment facility.
Ground access is being deliberately complicated. Activity on site continues, including vehicles, checkpoints, and equipment, indicating tight security.
Overall signal: the regime is securing a highly sensitive site it expects could be targeted.
@TheGoodISIS @OsintYB
Looks like Iran established makeshift roadblocks outside the three tunnel entrances to the underground facility at the Esfahan Nuclear Complex. This provides an additional obstacle for any potential ground operation to seize the enriched uranium. Essentially an effort to limit freedom of movement and slow down any incursion. The roadblocks can be cleared, it would just be an additional consideration. Good catch, @SarahBurkhard! Stay tuned for more analysis. tweet
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Open Source Intel
Reports say impeachment proceedings targeting Minnesota Governor Tim Walz are set to begin next week. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042564879198916777/video/1
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Reports say impeachment proceedings targeting Minnesota Governor Tim Walz are set to begin next week. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042564879198916777/video/1
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Open Source Intel
NEW 🔴
Iran says it will reopen the Strait of Hormuz only after the war with the U.S. and Israel ends, according to a representative of the Supreme Leader. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042565060929663267/photo/1
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NEW 🔴
Iran says it will reopen the Strait of Hormuz only after the war with the U.S. and Israel ends, according to a representative of the Supreme Leader. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042565060929663267/photo/1
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
The Russians installed a North Korean-made Type 75 107mm multiple rocket launcher on the Kurier unmanned ground vehicle to use it in combat against the Ukrainians.
Curious combo, though the efficiency might be questionable. https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/2042565443882279334/video/1
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The Russians installed a North Korean-made Type 75 107mm multiple rocket launcher on the Kurier unmanned ground vehicle to use it in combat against the Ukrainians.
Curious combo, though the efficiency might be questionable. https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/2042565443882279334/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Lebanese University confirms the death of Dr. Ali Zeaiter, director of its Social Sciences Institute (Branch 1).
Sources say he was affiliated with Hezbollah and was killed in Bint Jbeil alongside multiple fighters during ongoing Israeli military operations.
@LebOSINT https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042567222850118020/photo/1
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Lebanese University confirms the death of Dr. Ali Zeaiter, director of its Social Sciences Institute (Branch 1).
Sources say he was affiliated with Hezbollah and was killed in Bint Jbeil alongside multiple fighters during ongoing Israeli military operations.
@LebOSINT https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042567222850118020/photo/1
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OSINTdefender
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky posted a series of readouts from his comments to press on his 𝕏 account today. In two of these posts he detailed the 10-year agreements made with a number of Gulf nations on cooperation to protect the critical infrastructure of these nations in the future. In return, Ukraine is expected to receive interceptors to aid in air defense efforts against Russian missile attacks on the nation, crude oil trades, and financial arrangements.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky posted a series of readouts from his comments to press on his 𝕏 account today. In two of these posts he detailed the 10-year agreements made with a number of Gulf nations on cooperation to protect the critical infrastructure of these nations in the future. In return, Ukraine is expected to receive interceptors to aid in air defense efforts against Russian missile attacks on the nation, crude oil trades, and financial arrangements.
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Open Source Intel
Sources say Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Majid Takht-Ravanchi stated that a temporary ceasefire and talks in Islamabad will be based on the Islamic Republic’s 10-point plan. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042568575848694187/photo/1
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Sources say Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Majid Takht-Ravanchi stated that a temporary ceasefire and talks in Islamabad will be based on the Islamic Republic’s 10-point plan. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042568575848694187/photo/1
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WarTranslated
The site of the explosion in Vladikavkaz. It's reportedly a pyrotechnics warehouse. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2042570182174863775/video/1
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The site of the explosion in Vladikavkaz. It's reportedly a pyrotechnics warehouse. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2042570182174863775/video/1
A massive explosion just rocked the Russian city of Vladikavkaz, Exilenova+ reports. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2042533976493982122/video/1 tweet
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WarTranslated
In Odesa, a hitman tried to kill a senior Navy officer outside his home, posing as a cyclist. He threw his bike under the car and went for his gun but was grabbed on the spot. A 37-year-old Balkan national working for a Russian handler, the SBU said. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2042571148773195980/video/1
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In Odesa, a hitman tried to kill a senior Navy officer outside his home, posing as a cyclist. He threw his bike under the car and went for his gun but was grabbed on the spot. A 37-year-old Balkan national working for a Russian handler, the SBU said. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2042571148773195980/video/1
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🤬1
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OSINTdefender
Less than 10 vessels have transited the Strait of Hormuz in the last 24 hours, according to automatic identification system (AIS) information on http://MarineTraffic.com, more than 48 hours after President Donald J. Trump announced a 2-week ceasefire if Iran opened the Strait. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2042571150249619784/video/1
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Less than 10 vessels have transited the Strait of Hormuz in the last 24 hours, according to automatic identification system (AIS) information on http://MarineTraffic.com, more than 48 hours after President Donald J. Trump announced a 2-week ceasefire if Iran opened the Strait. https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/2042571150249619784/video/1
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Open Source Intel
IRAN WAR 2026
What was achieved. What wasn’t.
The nuclear threat was pushed back. Not eliminated. Pushed back.
Iran’s ability to launch sustained mass ballistic missile barrages at Israel as an existential threat has been completely degraded.
The regime’s missile industry took a major hit. Mass production capability likely cut by at least ~80%.
Hezbollah has been severely weakened. Israel is now shaping what could become a ~1000 km security buffer in Lebanon.
Gulf states may want to work closer with Israel, potentially paving the way for more peace and normalization.
Iranian economy was completely decimated before going into this, imagine where it is now, we will see how this plays out going forward.
WHAT WASN’T ACHIEVED
The IRGC still holds leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. That remains the biggest unresolved pressure point. Watch it closely.
The regime is still standing. Still in control of Iran. Iranians are still in danger.
LESSONS LEARNED
Interceptor production needs to scale fast. Not marginally. At least 10x. This war exposed it clearly.
It doesn’t take much. A relatively small mix of drones and missiles can threaten ~20% of global oil supply.
Alternative energy routes are no longer optional. They’re urgent.
NATO, the UK, and Europe expect U.S. backing on Ukraine and Russia. When the U.S. needed support on Iran and reopening Hormuz, most said they would step in only after the war. That gap matters.
Gulf economies proved more exposed than many assumed.
But one key point: some Gulf states, especially the UAE, performed far better than expected. Their missile and drone defense systems held up under real pressure. Far more prepared than publicly known.
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IRAN WAR 2026
What was achieved. What wasn’t.
The nuclear threat was pushed back. Not eliminated. Pushed back.
Iran’s ability to launch sustained mass ballistic missile barrages at Israel as an existential threat has been completely degraded.
The regime’s missile industry took a major hit. Mass production capability likely cut by at least ~80%.
Hezbollah has been severely weakened. Israel is now shaping what could become a ~1000 km security buffer in Lebanon.
Gulf states may want to work closer with Israel, potentially paving the way for more peace and normalization.
Iranian economy was completely decimated before going into this, imagine where it is now, we will see how this plays out going forward.
WHAT WASN’T ACHIEVED
The IRGC still holds leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. That remains the biggest unresolved pressure point. Watch it closely.
The regime is still standing. Still in control of Iran. Iranians are still in danger.
LESSONS LEARNED
Interceptor production needs to scale fast. Not marginally. At least 10x. This war exposed it clearly.
It doesn’t take much. A relatively small mix of drones and missiles can threaten ~20% of global oil supply.
Alternative energy routes are no longer optional. They’re urgent.
NATO, the UK, and Europe expect U.S. backing on Ukraine and Russia. When the U.S. needed support on Iran and reopening Hormuz, most said they would step in only after the war. That gap matters.
Gulf economies proved more exposed than many assumed.
But one key point: some Gulf states, especially the UAE, performed far better than expected. Their missile and drone defense systems held up under real pressure. Far more prepared than publicly known.
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WarMonitor
With ratings in the toilet and Americans largely opposed to the war, it’s hard not to see this "leak" as an effort to paint Vance as the “voice of reason” ahead of 2028.
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With ratings in the toilet and Americans largely opposed to the war, it’s hard not to see this "leak" as an effort to paint Vance as the “voice of reason” ahead of 2028.
Vance tried to stop the war, but Trump didn’t listen
The New York Times reports that Vice President J.D. Vance was the strongest opponent of the war with Iran within Trump’s circle. He openly called the operation a gamble and warned about the consequences.
Vance argued that the war could destabilize the Middle East, lead to heavy casualties, and politically damage Trump — voters had expected “no new wars.”
It also created risks for the U.S.: ammunition shortages, an unpredictable Iranian response, and a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which would immediately impact fuel prices.
Tucker Carlson also tried to dissuade Trump, warning that the war could ruin his presidency. But Trump responded simply: “Everything will be fine. It always is.” tweet
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Open Source Intel
The IDF says Hezbollah operatives fired rockets from a school in southern Lebanon, releasing drone footage of the incident.
According to the military, video from Shihabiyah (Tayr Zibna) shows "the thermal signature of the launcher can be clearly seen, as well as its transfer in real time into the school grounds."
It adds the use of the school "constitutes a violation of international law," and says the site was struck "to remove the threat to the State of Israel."
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The IDF says Hezbollah operatives fired rockets from a school in southern Lebanon, releasing drone footage of the incident.
According to the military, video from Shihabiyah (Tayr Zibna) shows "the thermal signature of the launcher can be clearly seen, as well as its transfer in real time into the school grounds."
It adds the use of the school "constitutes a violation of international law," and says the site was struck "to remove the threat to the State of Israel."
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