OSINT
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Open Source Intel
American sources to MTV Lebanon: Washington relayed urgent intelligence to officials at the Republican Palace warning that Hezbollah is preparing street mobilization that could target state institutions.

(I believe this means potential execution as well)

Iran still has serious leverage and control over Lebanon
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Open Source Intel
WSJ: A rare and deadly “civil war” has broken out between two factions of chimps in Africa. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042379561535471841/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
A massive fire has been reported at the Dos Bocas refinery in Tabasco, Mexico, with workers saying a tower at the coking plant is involved and heavy smoke rising.

@ResistWire https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042386354655408225/video/1
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Open Source Intel
CBS, citing MarineTraffic:

• 6 ships transited the Strait of Hormuz Thursday
2 tankers, 3 cargo ships, 1 bunkering vessel

• Wednesday saw 5 ships, all cargo, zero tankers

• Tuesday, when the ceasefire was announced, 11 ships crossed, including 9 tankers

• Since Feb 28, 212 tankers have passed, about 58% of total traffic

Pre war baseline for comparison: ~100–140 vessels per day

• Total vessels since Feb 28: ~360–370

• At normal rates, that volume would move in about 3–4 days

• Instead, it has taken roughly 40+ days

Bottom line: traffic is running at roughly 5–10% of normal levels.
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
Iranian state media deny reports about the arrival of Iranian delegation in Pakistan for talks with the Americans.

A source tells Tasnim that negotiations won't start as long as Israel continues to bomb Lebanon. https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/2042387598182633963/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Just so we understand who we are dealing with:

These Islamic fanatics are ready to throw away a U.S. off-ramp to end this war. Not for the Iranian people. Not for the Lebanese people. For a radical terror proxy in Lebanon that calls itself Hezbollah.

They will always choose continued destruction over peace. Every time.

For what? A terror group that has nothing to do with the Iranian people.

In no way shape or form should President Trump bow down to this Islamic regime demand.

Separate Lebanon from IRGC immediately.
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The Spectator Index
BREAKING: Ship traffic through Strait of Hormuz is still 'well below 10% of normal volumes' according to Reuters report
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The Spectator Index
The Democratic Party now has a 86% chance of winning the US House of Representatives, according to prediction market @Kalshi. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/2042404350778360058/photo/1
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WarMonitor
Professional therapy might work better, with meds... Strong ones.

BREAKING: Trump "threatened to leave" NATO and "unloaded his frustration" at NATO Secretary-General Rutte in their latest meeting, using the meeting as a "venting session." An EU official says the meeting "went shit," and the "conversation was nothing but a tirade of insults"
- Faytuks Network
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OSINTdefender
Reports of several explosions over the last hour in Northern Tehran, Iran.
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Disclose.tv
JUST IN - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and FED Chair Jerome Powell summoned Wall Street executives to an urgent meeting over concerns that the latest Anthropic PBC AI model will usher in an era of greater cyber risk — Bloomberg https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/2042408937106898970/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
Several "explosion sounds" heard in Tehran, Iran, Vahid Online reports. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042409128748879982/photo/1
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Open Source Intel
.@Vahid and @hey_itsmyturn is reporting explosions in Tehran, Iran.

Several "explosion sounds" heard in Tehran, Iran, Vahid Online reports. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2042409128748879982/photo/1
- Open Source Intel
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OSINTtechnical
China pushed Iran towards a ceasefire in order to score diplomatic capital with the Trump administration, and hopes to use that credit to begin shifting U.S. policy toward the position that Taiwan is a "breakaway province that should reunite with the mainland" -WSJ
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OSINTdefender
On Thursday, a total of six ships traveled through the Strait of Hormuz, a one ship increase since Wednesday but still significantly lower than averages seen prior to the Iran War, with today’s transits including two oil, chemical or liquid natural gas tankers, three cargo ships, and one bunkering tanker, according to data provided to CBS News by the global ship tracking firm MarineTraffic.
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The Spectator Index
BREAKING: China is responsible for 'nudging' Iran to agree for talks with US and now has 'diplomatic capital' with Trump, according to Wall Street Journal report.
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The Spectator Index
BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell called Wall Street leaders to an 'urgent meeting' on concerns that the latest AI model from Anthropic will 'usher in an era of greater cyber risk', according to Bloomberg report. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/2042419895045091522/photo/1
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OSINTtechnical
IDF officials told a closed Knesset briefing that Iran’s new leadership is “more extreme than its predecessor,” -Israeli outlet i24 News
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WarMonitor
The man needs serious help, and he's got the codes to our entire nuclear arsenal.

Trump just posted a video of a woman getting murdered on his Truth Social account https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/116377422440266990
- Aaron Rupar
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