Recon is finding MSLP values of ~1005mb as well as a more defined and tighter surface circulation. #PTC2 #tropics

TD likely in the next few NHC advisories. https://t.co/YTlScaSlxM

#BREAKING: Today five armed IRGC vessels in the Persian Gulf unsuccessfully attempted to seize a British oil tanker according to two US officials with direct knowledge of the incident-CNN via @HamdiAlkhshali

https://t.co/lriQ5JZQ5y

NOAA WP-3D N42RF NOAA42 departed Lakeland Linder at 2003Z - Gulf of Mexico mission #PTC2

Plus side to those looking to head to the gulf coast later this month. https://t.co/07EhrENGLs

Potential Tropical Cyclone 2 is in quite a favorable environment with an anticyclone over it and very warm SSTs. No reason why this storm can't strengthen, potentially rapidly, over the next 60-72 hours. #tropics

I'm concerned about the ability of Barry to rapidly intensify late Friday into Saturday prior to landfall -- as it takes the northward turn into the Louisiana coast.

Even with the "eastward shift", NHC is on the left edge of the other guidance spaghetti.

Reminder, when using spaghetti guidance, almost always u see the Previous Model output e.g. 00z GFS hasn't arrived yet. NHC updated their advisory using info from 18z GFS, HWRF, HMON and new consensus / statistical tools. The NHC 5 AM advisory will incorporate…

"Bringing-in of the Fighters would prove to be an extremely dangerous action which will trigger our reaction - We, on our part, have no other choice but to develop and test the special armaments to completely destroy the lethal weapons reinforced in South…

“It will be my pleasure and my honour to host an event in Parliament where our friends from Hezbollah will be speaking, I’ve also invited friends from Hamas to come and speak as well” https://t.co/dmckPnZX3e https://t.co/uSooLAK7EF

The same person who apparently today ‘supports’ Israel’s right to exist was only a few years ago making a speech where he invited his “friends” from internationally designated terrorist organisations Hezbollah & Hamas hellbent on the destruction of the Jewish…

Makes sense? Nah, don’t worry, I don’t think so either.

Russian airborne troops landing ops probably started.

A 0243z ASCAT pass shows #PTC2's low-level center is better defined than earlier, though still broad. It is also focused close to where deep convection has developed over the past few hours. Tropical cyclone designation is not far off.

Nice catch Cody! That image overlay suggests northerly shear is also diminishing even if the resolution of the ASCAT pass isn't good enough to better show the trough axis/center https://t.co/0gA8GJyYUt

USAF RC-135W 62-4125 RONIN71 departed Kadena at 0030Z - South China Sea mission

Joint Forces Operation Press Center: yesterday Russian forces opened fire 42 times. 1 soldier was killed, 9 wounded https://t.co/aQrojOa5tr

North Korea calls arrival of South Korea's F-35 jets "extremely dangerous action", says "no other choice but to develop and test the special armaments to completely destroy" them https://t.co/Pkm6wP9mPg

North Korea has previously used South Korea's defense buildups as a justification for boosting its own defenses, including recent short-range missile tests https://t.co/YyyiphtMXE