No joke: U.N.'s "Human Rights Council" held panel just now to condemn Western sanctions on dictatorships. On the dais: 🇻🇪 Venezuela Foreign Minister Jorge Arreaza, Chair of NAM 🇮🇷 Iran's UN rep 🇺🇳 UNHRC's Jean Ziegler, founder of the Qaddafi Prize 🇺🇳 UNHRC's…

Lots of changes happening w/ #95L. Models are shifting wildly as they figure out where a surface low will consolidate within the broad disturbance. More changes possible. A storm could develop in Bahamas on Friday and potentially approach Florida, so keep…

Tucked into a pocket of 10-20 kts of wind shear, 20-30 kts of wind shear not far away for #95L. However, look closer towards Florida. A more favorable environment. You can see where the two ULLs have created a larger, more favorable environment. One west…

Even though the GFS/euro have completely different solutions for #95L, they have a very similar upper pattern. We will have a trough that could pull 95L OTS, but the storm may be too late and miss the trough. If it misses, a ridge will then build in and force…

"Death to America" billboards pop up in Baghdad. It's a message from Iran. https://t.co/f8XOAZHyuo

With #95L, a major uncertainty continues to be where the center of circulation will truly form and how/if it will react to the environment around it. Model guidance is struggling even in a 48hr time window. The UKMet and ECMWF have both shifted to the right…

There is a lot more yet to be determined, including intensity and organization of the system. If you live in the Bahamas or along the SE US coast, just keep an eye on the forecast. NHC will likely initiate advisories on this as a “potential tropical cyclone”…

Process has already started in the Western Atlantic and should propagate across the basin in the coming days. The post #Dorian quiet period appears to have ended #herewegoagain https://t.co/ivwEEXTMxd

Pictures of the new #Russia’n base in Til Rifat. Russian soldiers began patrolling in the area.

We’re getting ready for our latest mission, Invest 95L, located in the Caribbean. #ReserveCitizenAirmen #ReserveReady #403WG #WC130J #SuperHercules #HurricaneHunters #WeatherReady #NWSNHC https://t.co/KxqlfigjHr

Brexit extension chatter

President Donald Trump's nominee to be secretary of the Army, Ryan McCarthy says it was the right decision to step back from the negotiating table with the Taliban.

You can see what is helping create these outflow channels in the large upper air gyre sitting in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. #95L https://t.co/6NRUiMnYTH

Here's a track map of the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season thus far (using python). Invest #95L in the Bahamas is attempting to develop in roughly the same portion of the Atlantic that was recently decimated by #Dorian & is nearly where Tropical Depression…

There's a more obvious trough axis on visible imagery currently, which suggests #95L may have some lower pressures near the axis than yesterday. There is also an interface of SE winds on the northern end of the trough, where convection also exists.

While satellite and surface data indicate that the system does not have a closed circulation, it will bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Bahamas through Friday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft will investigate the disturbance…

BREAKING EXCLUSIVE: In first interview since stepping down 5 months ago, US Cyber Command (ex) deputy chief warns West and Israel of cyber 'dirty' bomb from al-Qaeda, ISIS: https://t.co/eFg1Bb78nn

BREAKING: #Bahrain Crown Prince to meet Trump on Wednesday. Discussions include Maritime security & Iran . Manama expected to host meeting on issue in October

#Bahrain crown prince to visit @WhiteHouse next Monday.

US State Department offers a $5 million reward for information on leaders of the al Qaeda affiliate in Syria, a group that was recently targeted by the US military in an airstrike in Northwest Syria https://t.co/Oq1Dr3JPiy

U.S. special envoy for Venezuela, Elliott Abrams: “I worry about the presence of the ELN and the FARC in #Venezuela... I worry about the intentions of the Maduro regime with the military exercises that Maduro has ordered in the border area.” https://t.co/bVTuU8GrjB