Several key on-chain indicators are pointing to one important possibility...
Here's what the data is showing:
In previous cycles, Bitcoin typically traded below the Long-Term Holder Realized Price before forming a major market bottom
So far, BTC has not fallen beneath this level
The MVRV ratios of Long-Term Holders and Short-Term Holders have not yet converged
Historically, these metrics moving toward each other has often occurred near important cycle bottoms
Bitcoin's overall Realized Price sits near $53K
This represents the average on-chain cost basis of the market and remains one of the most important support zones to monitor
Long-Term Holders have started realizing losses...
But the magnitude of those losses is still well below the capitulation levels seen at previous major cycle lows
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As of July 4, 2026, Bitcoin is trading around $62,818
That means BTC is currently trading at only about 71% of its 100-week MA
The 100-week Moving Average is one of Bitcoin's most important long-term trend indicators
When price trades significantly below it, the market is often considered to be in a deep-value or high-fear zone, where long-term sentiment is much weaker than usual
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An interesting shift is taking place beneath Bitcoin's price action...
This convergence typically happens when Bitcoin is moving from weak hands to strong hands
Emotional traders exit the market...
While long-term investors continue accumulating and absorbing supply
At the current pace, these two cost-basis lines could converge in approximately 3 to 4 months
Historically, similar structures have appeared near the final stages of bear markets and before the beginning of new bullish cycles
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Closing another profitable day in Nitro VIP 📊 🔥
📈 July 5th Results:
XMR +15%💵
MAGMA +20%💵
MAGMA +14%💵
H +68%💵
TAC +272% Full Target😮
ALLO +68%💵
XMR +18%💵
SPX +18%💵
MAGMA -28%❌
AR +43%💵
MAGMA Break-even❗️
💸 PnL: +508% Futures! 🔥
The market gave us the opportunities, we just had to execute. Another strong session for the Nitro Family💎
Tomorrow brings a new set of setups. Make sure you're ready💰
Send VIP and join us👇
🛫 @NitroContact
XMR +15%
MAGMA +20%
MAGMA +14%
H +68%
TAC +272% Full Target
ALLO +68%
XMR +18%
SPX +18%
MAGMA -28%
AR +43%
MAGMA Break-even
The market gave us the opportunities, we just had to execute. Another strong session for the Nitro Family
Tomorrow brings a new set of setups. Make sure you're ready
Send VIP and join us
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Who told you that feeling tired means you should stop and rest?
Some of the best moments in life come right after you say, "I can’t do this anymore"!
When you think you’ve given your all and still see no results, just know, that was only 10% of your real effort
If it was enough, you would’ve already seen the results, you would’ve felt the success
Take one more step… that’s where the magic happens
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Morning folks ☀️
He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass🤦♂
He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass
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Nitro Signals
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Toobit is great for folks who want a good reliable exchange, with no KYC requirement
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ZEC - Bullish Range Reversal Setup
ZEC is trading inside a well-defined range and appears to be preparing for a move back toward the midline of the channel
460.00
466.00
A confirmed close below 447.00 invalidates the setup.
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We don’t just send signals—we build the perfect trading setup for you!
We're even confident enough to offer refunds if you're unhappy for any reason! That's how sure we are that you'll profit with us
Send the word VIP to learn more
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DASH - Spot Buy Opportunity
DASH is showing a solid structure on the 4H timeframe
The $29 zone stands out as a strong accumulation area and could provide an attractive spot entry if price reaches it
Suggested Futures Leverage: 3X – 5X
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JASMY - Bullish Long Setup
JASMY is maintaining a healthy structure on the 2H timeframe, and the current price area offers a solid opportunity for a potential long position
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BTC - Resistance Rejection Setup
Bitcoin still has room to push higher and test our key resistance zone before making its next major move
If price reaches the highlighted resistance and shows signs of rejection, it could present a high-probability short opportunity with a meaningful downside move
Wait for BTC to tap the resistance zone, then look for bearish confirmation before considering a short position
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Nearly 87% of all stablecoins are currently issued and circulating on the Ethereum ecosystem
That means the vast majority of crypto liquidity is still concentrated on Ethereum
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Gram - Scalp Short Setup
GRAM has rallied back into the upper boundary of its descending trendline, a key area where sellers may step in
This zone offers a potential scalp short opportunity if bearish rejection is confirmed
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Nitro Signals
JASMY - Perfect Entry, Strong Reaction! 😍
JASMY triggered our entry exactly as planned and made a beautiful move to the upside🔝 💯
With our suggested leverage, the trade has already delivered +24% profit🥃 💵
JASMY triggered our entry exactly as planned and made a beautiful move to the upside
With our suggested leverage, the trade has already delivered +24% profit
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According to recent on-chain analysis, Bitcoin could still experience one last correction of around 15% before completing its bottoming process
At the moment, BTC is testing its 200-week Moving Average, a level that has historically acted as one of Bitcoin's strongest long-term support zones
On-chain data suggests that the $50K–$54K range could become the market's most important decision zone
This is where one of two things may happen:
In previous cycles, major bottoms often formed only after a period of maximum uncertainty and final capitulation
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Gold Spot — 5M Timeframe
Gold has reached a major higher-timeframe key zone, an area that could act as temporary support or resistance and trigger a meaningful market reaction
Based on the lower timeframe structure, we've identified the most likely trading scenario to capitalize on the next move
Wait for price to react inside the highlighted zone, then follow the mapped scenario for confirmation before opening a position
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Another solid session wrapped up in Nitro VIP ⚡️ 📊
📈 Today's Results:
MAGMA +38%💵
LIT +169% Full Target😮
GRAM -28%❌
4 +157% Full Target😮
💸 PnL: +336% Futures! 🔥
Another day of staying patient, following the plan, and making the most of what the market gave us😎 💎 👊
We'll be back on the charts tomorrow👊 🔥
Send VIP and join our premium trading channel👇
🛫 @NitroContact
MAGMA +38%
LIT +169% Full Target
GRAM -28%
4 +157% Full Target
Another day of staying patient, following the plan, and making the most of what the market gave us
We'll be back on the charts tomorrow
Send VIP and join our premium trading channel
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