🐳 WhalePool Traders Journal
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Bad trading habits make trading like gambling. This channel is for proactive and decerning investors and traders
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PPI beat expectations a day after CPI landed in line, and the door to no September hike keeps opening. Gareth Soloway ties it together: the S&P is building a bull flag under resistance, the dollar may be building the inverse, and oil and yields are falling together. Then he goes stock by stock through the earnings damage and the setups worth trading — under one rule. Be the casino, not the gambler.

📐 TODAY'S GAME PLAN

🔵 PPI AND THE FED — Headline PPI printed 0.0% against +0.2% expected, 4.7% yearly versus 4.9%, and core monthly came in a tenth better. Only core yearly was merely in line. The rotation away from a September 16 hike continues.
🟢 SPY — Futures sit near session highs. The daily is a tight bull flag under a resistance trend line, and Jake, one of the desk's top options traders, flagged in the 8am meeting that options were heavily skewed to an upside day. Support beneath is the big parallel off the COVID lows and 2021 highs. That 8am meeting goes live on YouTube starting mid-September.
🔴 DXY / 10-YR YIELD — The dollar holds a trend line from January through the May pivot low and may be building a bear flag — the mirror of the S&P. Yields ease with oil lower, and both falling together is a tailwind for stocks.
🔴 CSCO — Good numbers, but guidance showed margins contracting, and a half-trillion-dollar company up 150% in a year cannot afford that. The weekly is striking: a parallel off the dot-com bubble high tagged the recent high and printed a topping tail, so Gareth sees it lower for months. Day trade only, $107.50–$109.
🔵 COHR / CBRS — Coherent's after-hours low at $327 was the exact daily gap fill, making a double bottom there a possible day trade, with $315 beneath. Cerebras, an AI chip name that IPO'd May 14, is getting hammered; first day-trade level is the $204 pivot low.
🔴 SPACEX — Back to the scene of the crime. The $150 IPO open held as support three times before breaking, and price has now retraced into it from below, making it resistance. It is already fading pre-market, and probability favors rejection.
🟢 DELL — At all-time highs, barely pulling back while other AI names collapsed. A long-term ascending trend line should cap it near $505.
🔵 US OIL / NATGAS — Gareth is out of the short he took off the high pivot and sidelined: the wedge is too tight for the risk-reward, and the stalemate may last past the midterms. Natural gas is down nearly 2%, rejecting former support turned resistance.
🟢 GOLD / SILVER — Gold stalls at the long-term trend line, with major resistance between $4,400 and $4,500 and a retrace expected; he would buy near $3,900 spot. Silver rejected at its line, but a pullback into it is a swing long.
🟢 BITCOIN — Still holding the breakout, and still dead while gold, silver, and stocks rip. Gareth reads that as the calm before the storm, and the negativity makes him more bullish near term.

🔑 KEY TAKEAWAY: Be the casino, not the gambler. The casino does not win every hand, it just wins more than it loses — that is the point of trading technicals. Emotion is the tool institutions use against retail, so stripping it out is how you end up on their side of the trade.

TIMESTAMPS (estimated)
00:00​ PPI Beats Expectations
03:00​ The September Hike Door Opens Wider
06:00​ S&P Bull Flag and the Options Skew
13:00​ Dollar's Bear Flag, Yields Easing
17:00​ Cisco: Margins and the Topping Tail
24:00​ Coherent's Gap Fill and Cerebras
30:00​ SpaceX and the Scene of the Crime
34:00​ Dell at All-Time Highs
37:00​ Oil's Stalemate, Natural Gas
40:00​ Gold, Silver, Bitcoin's Calm

https://www.youtube.com/live/UCsrErLf6w4?is=3myHIcVOXmY-XbWC
#JohnnyHarris

We explore How the first economies were created, how they've changed over the last 100 years, and what they look like today.

We start with the magic of gold - and what it tells us about how collective belief is such a key part of any type of money.

We look at more recent history - how our generation is worse off than our parents and grandparents. And into how people are being hit with the rising cost of groceries and the price of being poor.

We end with looking at what rising extreme wealth of both multi-millionaires and billionaires really looks like.

-- VIDEO CHAPTERS --
0:00 Gold Explained, Finally
34:26 1955 vs 2025 - who really has it better
56:22 25,000 vs 25 million
1:23:44 The Business of Keeping People Poor
1:57:52 Why Groceries are So Expensive now
2:21:43 What Being a Billionaire Really Looks Like

https://youtu.be/XXpqejgnaB0?is=DdJVmm5FyVoWNG7d
👍1
#USMarketUpdate
S&P 500 notches record-high close as rate-hike worries ease

SUMMARY
Dell, HP gain after robust earnings from Lenovo
July producer inflation data softer than expected
S&P 500 +0.65%, Nasdaq +0.81%, Dow +0.13%

Aug 13 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 notched a record-high close on Thursday, fueled by advances in ​Sandisk and other heavyweight technology stocks, as tame producer price inflation data supported expectations the Federal Reserve ‌will not raise interest rates at its September meeting.

Memory chip makers Sandisk (SNDK.O), opens new tab and Micron Technology (MU.O), opens new tab surged 13.7% and 4.2%, respectively, while Microsoft added almost 1% and Meta Platforms (META.O), opens new tab rose 2.8%.

Shares of AI cloud company CoreWeave (CRWV.O), opens new tab dipped 1.3%. The stock surged 19% a day earlier after the ​company lifted its annual capital spending forecast.

Strong forecasts in recent weeks from companies including Microsoft and Amazon (AMZN.O), opens new tab have ​reduced investors' concerns about massive spending on AI data centers...

Seven of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes rose, led by communication services (.SPLRCL), opens new tab, up 1.56%, followed by a 1.34% gain in real estate (.SPLRCR), opens new tab.

The S&P 500 is up about 14% in 2026, while the Nasdaq has ​gained about 15%.

Cisco Systems (CSCO.O), opens new tab dropped 8.4% after the networking equipment maker's upbeat revenue forecast did not satisfy investors with ​high expectations.

Iran and the United States remain at loggerheads over efforts to agree on a permanent end to the Iran war, according to a ‌senior ⁠Iranian source, while traffic through the vital Strait of Hormuz remained severely curtailed.

Fresh data showed U.S. producer prices were unchanged in July as goods prices fell and the cost of services increased marginally, while the number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits increased moderately last week, pointing to a stable jobs market.

Traders are pricing in a 63% chance that the Fed will ​keep interest rates unchanged at ​its meeting next month, ⁠according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Brent crude oil futures closed about 2% lower at $87.07 a barrel.

Netflix (NFLX.O), opens new tab climbed 5.4% after billionaire investor Bill Ackman unveiled a new holding in the streaming company as ​part of Pershing Square's biggest portfolio overhaul in years.

Tapestry (TPR.N), opens new tab shares plunged more than 16% after ​the Coach owner ⁠forecast muted annual revenue growth.

Dell Technologies (DELL.N), opens new tab rose 2.1% and HP (HPQ.N), opens new tab added 6.9% after quarterly results from China's Lenovo (0992.HK), opens new tab beat expectations.


https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/wall-st-futures-tick-higher-oil-retreats-ahead-inflation-data-2026-08-13/

S&P 500 notches record-high close as US rate-hike worries ease
https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-notches-record-high-close-as-rate-hike-worries-ease
#MarketMind
#TradingDay: Hiking pressure eases

Aug 13 (Reuters) - Stocks and bond prices rose on Thursday, with the S&P 500 barreling to a fresh high, as investors cheered another relatively benign snapshot of U.S. inflation that reduces the pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

In my column today, I look at what's driving gold's revival. Uncertainty ​around the U.S. rate outlook, Fed independence and credibility, just as the U.S.-Iran war is flaring up again, has drawn investors ‌back to gold, especially one group — central banks.

Today's Talking Points:
Battle lines drawn

If you were hoping this week's CPI and PPI reports would give some degree of clarity on the U.S. inflation outlook, you'd be disappointed. Both were relatively benign, especially the PPI data, raising the likelihood that the Fed sits on its hands a little bit longer. A rate hike isn't fully priced now until December.

Another OpenAI ‌departure
OpenAI's chief ⁠revenue officer Denise Dresser is leaving less than a year after joining, "to pursue other opportunities." She will be replaced by Dali Rajic, who joins from Wiz, and brings "deep expertise in running disciplined, metrics-led revenue organizations that scale globally and selling to both large enterprises and technical customers," OpenAI said on its website, opens new tab.

Brit-pop higher
Britain's economy unexpectedly grew in June, boosted by the World Cup, hot weather and respite from the Middle East energy shock. The leap in June meant GDP rose by 0.4% in the second quarter, following 0.6% ​in the first. This means Britain is on course for the strongest growth in the G7 over the ​first half of the ⁠year.

What could ⁠move markets tomorrow?
Taiwan ​GDP (Q2, revised)
Germany producer price inflation (July)
Euro zone GDP (Q2, flash estimate)
U.S. retail sales (July)
U.S. University of Michigan consumer, ​inflation expectations (August, prelim)

https://www.reuters.com/commentary/reuters-open-interest/global-markets-trading-day-graphic-2026-08-13/