🐳 WhalePool Traders Journal
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Bad trading habits make trading like gambling. This channel is for proactive and decerning investors and traders
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#AsiaMarketUpdate
Shares are mostly higher in Asia, with Kospi up 3.7%, while oil prices gain

BANGKOK (AP) β€” Asian shares were mostly higher Wednesday after U.S. stocks slipped a bit further from their records, while oil prices advanced as doubts persisted over when the war with Iran will allow crude to flow freely again.

Tokyo's Nikkei 225 gained 0.8% to 67,524.06.

In South Korea, the Kospi gained 3.7% to 6,579.04 on renewed buying of computer chipmakers. Samsung Electronics gained 6.7% and memory chipmaker SK Hynix was up 5.5%.

Taiwan's Taiex advanced 0.9%.
The Shanghai Composite index added 0.3% to 3,946.68, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong slipped 1% to 25,401.92.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.5% to 9,209.40.

The price of a barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, was up 1% at $89.79 early Wednesday. U.S. benchmark crude oil picked up 1% to $84.07.

https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/world-indices/articles/shares-mostly-higher-asia-kospi-052056331.html
Evening Update: Today’s headlines from The Straits Times on Aug 12, 2026

https://str.sg/maLE
#Soloway.

CPI came in exactly in line β€” every number matched estimates β€” and the market is relieved. Gareth Soloway goes straight to what matters: the dollar is falling into major trend-line support, the 10-Year is coming in, and FedWatch flipped back to favoring no hike in September. Add blowout AI earnings from CoreWeave, SMCI, and NBIS, and the question is whether the S&P breaks out.

πŸ“ TODAY'S GAME PLAN

πŸ”΅ CPI BREAKDOWN β€” Headline +0.1% monthly and +3.4% yearly, core +0.2% and +2.5%, all in line. Shelter's one-tenth uptick was two-thirds of the gain, and airline fares jumped 2.2%.
πŸ”΅ THE FED β€” FedWatch flipped from a coin flip to 55.9% no hike versus 44.1% hike on September 16. Gareth's view has not moved: no hikes. Hiking into a softening labor market is a tough sell, and he sees cuts in 2027.
πŸ”΄ DXY / 10-YR YIELD β€” The dollar is falling into the daily trend line he has flagged for several videos. Break it and he calls it a slippery slope β€” smart money voting no hike. The 10-Year sits at 4.656%, already falling before the print.
🟒 SPY β€” The move off support into resistance and the chop that followed, even with oil in the mid-$80s, reads as bullish consolidation. Falling yields, a falling dollar, and hot AI earnings may trigger the breakout. If it goes, 8,100–8,200 is possible within a couple of months β€” and he believes that is where the major top forms.
🟒 CRWV β€” Up nearly 20% and the big level of the day. A three-factor pivot at $122 stacks a descending trend line, a pivot high, and the 0.618 fib. Trading near $107, so it is a ways off, but he likes it a lot.
🟒 SMCI β€” Guidance came in roughly 35–40% above consensus and the stock is ripping. First day-trade level near $36.75, then $38.15, with the big one at $40.50.
🟒 CAVA / NBIS β€” Cava's guidance points to middle-income customers returning; aggressive traders can eye the $74.40 pivot top, though Gareth watches $76.75. NBIS is up almost 20%; he prefers $240–241 as a day trade, with the $240–$275 gap as the swing level.
🟒 GOLD / GDX / SILVER β€” Gold pushes into a thick band of resistance and GDX runs hard, with resistance near $94. Silver is up but below yesterday's highs and broke its descending trend line β€” a retrace to that line would be a return to the scene of the crime.
πŸ”΅ US OIL / NATGAS β€” Iran and the US are no closer to a deal, and the wedge tells the same story as the news: a holding pattern tightening until something resolves it. Natural gas keeps failing $2.83; a daily close above opens $3.00.
🟒 BITCOIN β€” Two down days after Strategy sold some Bitcoin on Monday, now inching off the lows with risk assets. Gareth stays bullish for one reason: the breakout still holds. Lose the trend line and probability flips.

πŸ”‘ KEY TAKEAWAY: The chart beats the narrative. Gareth is blunt that when he trades the news, emotion takes over and he loses. Charts do not win every time β€” he puts it near 75% β€” but that edge is why the trend line, not the headline, decides his stance.

⏱ TIMESTAMPS (estimated)
00:00​ CPI Hits: Every Number In Line
02:00​ Shelter, Airfares, and Gas
06:00​ FedWatch Flips to No Hike
10:00​ Dollar at Trend-Line Support
14:00​ The 10-Year Was Already Falling
17:00​ S&P Breakout and the 8,200 Top
22:00​ CoreWeave's Three-Factor Pivot
26:00​ SMCI, Cava, NBIS Levels
33:00​ Gold, GDX, Silver's Retrace
37:00​ Oil and Natural Gas
41:00​ Bitcoin: Charts Over News
45:00​ Wrap-Up

#StockMarket​ #Trading​ #CPI​ #Inflation​ #Fed​ #SP500​ #Gold​ #Silver​ #Bitcoin​ #CoreWeave​ #SMCI​ #DayTrading​ #Investing​

https://www.youtube.com/live/rjdPCLf3thQ?is=RtmIKaOH194e4OwI
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