#MarketMind
#TradingDay: Peace fog
Aug 11 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell and oil rose on Tuesday, price moves driven by deepening pessimism around the prospect of a U.S.-Iran peace deal, while major currency and bond markets were largely steady as investors awaited the release of U.S. inflation figures on Wednesday.
In my column today, โI look at the tug-of-war going on in U.S. rates markets. A relatively dovish Fed would please President Donald Trump but risk pushing long-dated โyields up, to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's irritation. On the other hand, Fed rate hikes would likely bring down the 10-year yield, infuriating Trump, but easing Bessent's worries about the 10-year yield. It's a conundrum.
Today's Talking Points:
Circular thinking
Nvidia has struck a $500 billion "deal" with the world's top private credit and equity firms to essentially help them fund the purchases of its chips. It points to plenty of institutional demand still out there for "compute", which Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang on Monday said is now an "investible asset class."...
CPI on the prize
U.S. rates market pricing right now for the Fed's September meeting is essentially a coin flip, between no change and a 25-basis-point rate hike. The July CPI inflation report to be released on Wednesday morning may go a long way to deciding how the coin lands...
Re-emerging markets?
Is the exodus from emerging markets over, and if so, does that point to an upswing across EM in the second half of the year? Flows data from the IIF on Tuesday showed that non-residents plowed nearly $19 billion into EM securities in July, snapping two straight months of โ outflows. But bonds did all the heavy lifting, with $26.7 billion of inflows, against a $7.8 billion equity outflow...
What could move markets tomorrow?
What could move markets tomorrow?
Developments in the Middle East
Germany CPI inflation (July, final)
U.S. Treasury โsells $42 billion of 10-year notes at auction
U.S. CPI inflation (July)
U.S. earnings, including Cisco Systems
Jamie McGeever
https://www.reuters.com/commentary/reuters-open-interest/global-markets-trading-day-graphic-2026-08-11/
#TradingDay: Peace fog
Aug 11 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell and oil rose on Tuesday, price moves driven by deepening pessimism around the prospect of a U.S.-Iran peace deal, while major currency and bond markets were largely steady as investors awaited the release of U.S. inflation figures on Wednesday.
In my column today, โI look at the tug-of-war going on in U.S. rates markets. A relatively dovish Fed would please President Donald Trump but risk pushing long-dated โyields up, to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's irritation. On the other hand, Fed rate hikes would likely bring down the 10-year yield, infuriating Trump, but easing Bessent's worries about the 10-year yield. It's a conundrum.
Today's Talking Points:
Circular thinking
Nvidia has struck a $500 billion "deal" with the world's top private credit and equity firms to essentially help them fund the purchases of its chips. It points to plenty of institutional demand still out there for "compute", which Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang on Monday said is now an "investible asset class."...
CPI on the prize
U.S. rates market pricing right now for the Fed's September meeting is essentially a coin flip, between no change and a 25-basis-point rate hike. The July CPI inflation report to be released on Wednesday morning may go a long way to deciding how the coin lands...
Re-emerging markets?
Is the exodus from emerging markets over, and if so, does that point to an upswing across EM in the second half of the year? Flows data from the IIF on Tuesday showed that non-residents plowed nearly $19 billion into EM securities in July, snapping two straight months of โ outflows. But bonds did all the heavy lifting, with $26.7 billion of inflows, against a $7.8 billion equity outflow...
What could move markets tomorrow?
Developments in the Middle East
Germany CPI inflation (July, final)
U.S. Treasury โsells $42 billion of 10-year notes at auction
U.S. CPI inflation (July)
U.S. earnings, including Cisco Systems
Jamie McGeever
https://www.reuters.com/commentary/reuters-open-interest/global-markets-trading-day-graphic-2026-08-11/
#AsiaMarketUpdate
Shares are mostly higher in Asia, with Kospi up 3.7%, while oil prices gain
BANGKOK (AP) โ Asian shares were mostly higher Wednesday after U.S. stocks slipped a bit further from their records, while oil prices advanced as doubts persisted over when the war with Iran will allow crude to flow freely again.
Tokyo's Nikkei 225 gained 0.8% to 67,524.06.
In South Korea, the Kospi gained 3.7% to 6,579.04 on renewed buying of computer chipmakers. Samsung Electronics gained 6.7% and memory chipmaker SK Hynix was up 5.5%.
Taiwan's Taiex advanced 0.9%.
The Shanghai Composite index added 0.3% to 3,946.68, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong slipped 1% to 25,401.92.
In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.5% to 9,209.40.
The price of a barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, was up 1% at $89.79 early Wednesday. U.S. benchmark crude oil picked up 1% to $84.07.
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/world-indices/articles/shares-mostly-higher-asia-kospi-052056331.html
Shares are mostly higher in Asia, with Kospi up 3.7%, while oil prices gain
BANGKOK (AP) โ Asian shares were mostly higher Wednesday after U.S. stocks slipped a bit further from their records, while oil prices advanced as doubts persisted over when the war with Iran will allow crude to flow freely again.
Tokyo's Nikkei 225 gained 0.8% to 67,524.06.
In South Korea, the Kospi gained 3.7% to 6,579.04 on renewed buying of computer chipmakers. Samsung Electronics gained 6.7% and memory chipmaker SK Hynix was up 5.5%.
Taiwan's Taiex advanced 0.9%.
The Shanghai Composite index added 0.3% to 3,946.68, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong slipped 1% to 25,401.92.
In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.5% to 9,209.40.
The price of a barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, was up 1% at $89.79 early Wednesday. U.S. benchmark crude oil picked up 1% to $84.07.
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/world-indices/articles/shares-mostly-higher-asia-kospi-052056331.html
Yahoo Finance
Shares are mostly higher in Asia, with Kospi up 4%, while oil prices gain
Asian shares were mostly higher Wednesday after U.S. stocks slipped a bit further from their records, while oil prices advanced as doubts persisted over when the war with Iran will allow crude to flow freely again. Samsung Electronics gained 7.7% and memoryโฆ
Taiwan's Foxconn reports 35% rise in Q2 profit on AI demand, beats forecasts
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/taiwans-foxconn-reports-35-rise-062345360.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/taiwans-foxconn-reports-35-rise-062345360.html
Yahoo Finance
Taiwan's Foxconn reports 35% rise in Q2 profit, beats forecasts
At Yahoo Finance, you get free stock quotes, up-to-date news, portfolio management resources, international market data, social interaction and mortgage rates that help you manage your financial life.
Tech stocks are getting cheaper even as earnings stay strong: Chart of the Day
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/tech-stocks-are-getting-cheaper-even-as-earnings-stay-strong-chart-of-the-day-100000044.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/tech-stocks-are-getting-cheaper-even-as-earnings-stay-strong-chart-of-the-day-100000044.html
Yahoo Finance
Tech stocks are getting cheaper even as earnings stay strong: Chart of the Day
Tech investors are paying a lot less for growth โ the growth itself is still showing up.
Singapore shares slip as STI sheds 0.6% on bank losses
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/singapore-shares-slip-sti-sheds-0-6-bank-losses
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/singapore-shares-slip-sti-sheds-0-6-bank-losses
The Business Times
Singapore shares slip as STI sheds 0.6% on bank losses
UOL Group leads the gainers on the blue-chip index Read more at The Business Times.
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: CoreWeave, Super Micro Computer, Coherent & more
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/12/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-premarket-crwv-smic-cohr.html?__source=androidappshare
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/12/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-premarket-crwv-smic-cohr.html?__source=androidappshare
CNBC
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: CoreWeave, Super Micro Computer, Nebius, Cava & more
These are the stocks posting the largest moves premarket.
World's largest sovereign wealth fund posts record profit, reveals SpaceX stake
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/12/norway-sovereign-wealth-fund-spacex-nvidia-apple-nbim.html?__source=androidappshare
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/12/norway-sovereign-wealth-fund-spacex-nvidia-apple-nbim.html?__source=androidappshare
CNBC
World's largest sovereign wealth fund posts record $184 billion profit as it reveals SpaceX stake for the first time
The fund โ currently valued at around $2.34 trillion โ is an investor in more than 7,000 companies across 60 countries.
Singapore commercial property deals on track to hit record in 2026
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/property/singapore-commercial-property-deals-track-hit-record-2026
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/property/singapore-commercial-property-deals-track-hit-record-2026
The Business Times
Singapore commercial property deals on track to hit record in 2026
US$10.3 billion of transactions closed in H1, with another US$6 billion in the pipeline: MSCI Read more at The Business Times.
July inflation eased up, despite recent energy shocks
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/article/july-inflation-eased-up-despite-recent-energy-shocks-182926153.html
#QuarterChart
https://vt.tiktok.com/ZS4Kft6Ta/
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/article/july-inflation-eased-up-despite-recent-energy-shocks-182926153.html
#QuarterChart
https://vt.tiktok.com/ZS4Kft6Ta/
Yahoo Finance
July inflation eased up, despite recent energy shocks
The closely watched Consumer Price Index rose 3.4% in July from a year ago, matching expectations from economists surveyed by Bloomberg, and down slightly from June's 3.5% annual increase.
Here's the biggest risk to America's data center building boom
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/article/heres-the-biggest-risk-to-americas-data-center-building-boom-121942236.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/article/heres-the-biggest-risk-to-americas-data-center-building-boom-121942236.html
Yahoo Finance
Here's the biggest risk to America's data center building boom
To build data centers, you need skilled humans.
Goldman Sachs to buy ETF provider Neos in $2.3 billion deal
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/options/articles/goldman-sachs-buy-etf-provider-121032422.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/options/articles/goldman-sachs-buy-etf-provider-121032422.html
Yahoo Finance
Goldman looks to expand active-ETF presence with $2.3 billion Neos deal
Goldman Sachs will acquire exchange-traded funds provider Neos Investments for as much as $2.25 billion, as the investment โbank looks to bolster its presence in active asset management. Neos manages $30 โbillion in assets across 19 ETFs that cover a suiteโฆ
CoreWeave stock soars 20% after earnings and 'an important inflection point'
https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/article/coreweave-stock-soars-20-after-earnings-and-an-important-inflection-point-193036479.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/article/coreweave-stock-soars-20-after-earnings-and-an-important-inflection-point-193036479.html
Yahoo Finance
CoreWeave stock soars 20% after earnings and 'an important inflection point'
AI cloud provider CoreWeave reported its Q2 earnings after the bell on Tuesday, narrowing its losses per share and meeting expectations on revenue for the quarter.
Cooler CPI inflation reading bolsters case for Fed to hold rates in September
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/article/cooler-cpi-inflation-reading-bolsters-case-for-fed-to-hold-rates-in-september-125312469.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/article/cooler-cpi-inflation-reading-bolsters-case-for-fed-to-hold-rates-in-september-125312469.html
Yahoo Finance
Cooler CPI inflation reading bolsters case for Fed to hold rates in September
A cooler July inflation reading is likely to take expectations of a September rate hike off the table.
๐1
#USMarketUpdate
S&P 500 rises after tame inflation data; AI-related shares jump:
Live updates
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/11/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?__source=androidappshare
S&P 500 rises after tame inflation data; AI-related shares jump:
Live updates
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/11/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?__source=androidappshare
CNBC
Stock futures inch higher ahead of Wednesday's big inflation report: Live updates
Investors are bracing for an important inflation report that could determine the near-term direction for interest rates.
#Soloway.
CPI came in exactly in line โ every number matched estimates โ and the market is relieved. Gareth Soloway goes straight to what matters: the dollar is falling into major trend-line support, the 10-Year is coming in, and FedWatch flipped back to favoring no hike in September. Add blowout AI earnings from CoreWeave, SMCI, and NBIS, and the question is whether the S&P breaks out.
๐ TODAY'S GAME PLAN
๐ต CPI BREAKDOWN โ Headline +0.1% monthly and +3.4% yearly, core +0.2% and +2.5%, all in line. Shelter's one-tenth uptick was two-thirds of the gain, and airline fares jumped 2.2%.
๐ต THE FED โ FedWatch flipped from a coin flip to 55.9% no hike versus 44.1% hike on September 16. Gareth's view has not moved: no hikes. Hiking into a softening labor market is a tough sell, and he sees cuts in 2027.
๐ด DXY / 10-YR YIELD โ The dollar is falling into the daily trend line he has flagged for several videos. Break it and he calls it a slippery slope โ smart money voting no hike. The 10-Year sits at 4.656%, already falling before the print.
๐ข SPY โ The move off support into resistance and the chop that followed, even with oil in the mid-$80s, reads as bullish consolidation. Falling yields, a falling dollar, and hot AI earnings may trigger the breakout. If it goes, 8,100โ8,200 is possible within a couple of months โ and he believes that is where the major top forms.
๐ข CRWV โ Up nearly 20% and the big level of the day. A three-factor pivot at $122 stacks a descending trend line, a pivot high, and the 0.618 fib. Trading near $107, so it is a ways off, but he likes it a lot.
๐ข SMCI โ Guidance came in roughly 35โ40% above consensus and the stock is ripping. First day-trade level near $36.75, then $38.15, with the big one at $40.50.
๐ข CAVA / NBIS โ Cava's guidance points to middle-income customers returning; aggressive traders can eye the $74.40 pivot top, though Gareth watches $76.75. NBIS is up almost 20%; he prefers $240โ241 as a day trade, with the $240โ$275 gap as the swing level.
๐ข GOLD / GDX / SILVER โ Gold pushes into a thick band of resistance and GDX runs hard, with resistance near $94. Silver is up but below yesterday's highs and broke its descending trend line โ a retrace to that line would be a return to the scene of the crime.
๐ต US OIL / NATGAS โ Iran and the US are no closer to a deal, and the wedge tells the same story as the news: a holding pattern tightening until something resolves it. Natural gas keeps failing $2.83; a daily close above opens $3.00.
๐ข BITCOIN โ Two down days after Strategy sold some Bitcoin on Monday, now inching off the lows with risk assets. Gareth stays bullish for one reason: the breakout still holds. Lose the trend line and probability flips.
๐ KEY TAKEAWAY: The chart beats the narrative. Gareth is blunt that when he trades the news, emotion takes over and he loses. Charts do not win every time โ he puts it near 75% โ but that edge is why the trend line, not the headline, decides his stance.
โฑ TIMESTAMPS (estimated)
00:00โ CPI Hits: Every Number In Line
02:00โ Shelter, Airfares, and Gas
06:00โ FedWatch Flips to No Hike
10:00โ Dollar at Trend-Line Support
14:00โ The 10-Year Was Already Falling
17:00โ S&P Breakout and the 8,200 Top
22:00โ CoreWeave's Three-Factor Pivot
26:00โ SMCI, Cava, NBIS Levels
33:00โ Gold, GDX, Silver's Retrace
37:00โ Oil and Natural Gas
41:00โ Bitcoin: Charts Over News
45:00โ Wrap-Up
#StockMarketโ #Tradingโ #CPIโ #Inflationโ #Fedโ #SP500โ #Goldโ #Silverโ #Bitcoinโ #CoreWeaveโ #SMCIโ #DayTradingโ #Investingโ
https://www.youtube.com/live/rjdPCLf3thQ?is=RtmIKaOH194e4OwI
CPI came in exactly in line โ every number matched estimates โ and the market is relieved. Gareth Soloway goes straight to what matters: the dollar is falling into major trend-line support, the 10-Year is coming in, and FedWatch flipped back to favoring no hike in September. Add blowout AI earnings from CoreWeave, SMCI, and NBIS, and the question is whether the S&P breaks out.
๐ TODAY'S GAME PLAN
๐ต CPI BREAKDOWN โ Headline +0.1% monthly and +3.4% yearly, core +0.2% and +2.5%, all in line. Shelter's one-tenth uptick was two-thirds of the gain, and airline fares jumped 2.2%.
๐ต THE FED โ FedWatch flipped from a coin flip to 55.9% no hike versus 44.1% hike on September 16. Gareth's view has not moved: no hikes. Hiking into a softening labor market is a tough sell, and he sees cuts in 2027.
๐ด DXY / 10-YR YIELD โ The dollar is falling into the daily trend line he has flagged for several videos. Break it and he calls it a slippery slope โ smart money voting no hike. The 10-Year sits at 4.656%, already falling before the print.
๐ข SPY โ The move off support into resistance and the chop that followed, even with oil in the mid-$80s, reads as bullish consolidation. Falling yields, a falling dollar, and hot AI earnings may trigger the breakout. If it goes, 8,100โ8,200 is possible within a couple of months โ and he believes that is where the major top forms.
๐ข CRWV โ Up nearly 20% and the big level of the day. A three-factor pivot at $122 stacks a descending trend line, a pivot high, and the 0.618 fib. Trading near $107, so it is a ways off, but he likes it a lot.
๐ข SMCI โ Guidance came in roughly 35โ40% above consensus and the stock is ripping. First day-trade level near $36.75, then $38.15, with the big one at $40.50.
๐ข CAVA / NBIS โ Cava's guidance points to middle-income customers returning; aggressive traders can eye the $74.40 pivot top, though Gareth watches $76.75. NBIS is up almost 20%; he prefers $240โ241 as a day trade, with the $240โ$275 gap as the swing level.
๐ข GOLD / GDX / SILVER โ Gold pushes into a thick band of resistance and GDX runs hard, with resistance near $94. Silver is up but below yesterday's highs and broke its descending trend line โ a retrace to that line would be a return to the scene of the crime.
๐ต US OIL / NATGAS โ Iran and the US are no closer to a deal, and the wedge tells the same story as the news: a holding pattern tightening until something resolves it. Natural gas keeps failing $2.83; a daily close above opens $3.00.
๐ข BITCOIN โ Two down days after Strategy sold some Bitcoin on Monday, now inching off the lows with risk assets. Gareth stays bullish for one reason: the breakout still holds. Lose the trend line and probability flips.
๐ KEY TAKEAWAY: The chart beats the narrative. Gareth is blunt that when he trades the news, emotion takes over and he loses. Charts do not win every time โ he puts it near 75% โ but that edge is why the trend line, not the headline, decides his stance.
โฑ TIMESTAMPS (estimated)
00:00โ CPI Hits: Every Number In Line
02:00โ Shelter, Airfares, and Gas
06:00โ FedWatch Flips to No Hike
10:00โ Dollar at Trend-Line Support
14:00โ The 10-Year Was Already Falling
17:00โ S&P Breakout and the 8,200 Top
22:00โ CoreWeave's Three-Factor Pivot
26:00โ SMCI, Cava, NBIS Levels
33:00โ Gold, GDX, Silver's Retrace
37:00โ Oil and Natural Gas
41:00โ Bitcoin: Charts Over News
45:00โ Wrap-Up
#StockMarketโ #Tradingโ #CPIโ #Inflationโ #Fedโ #SP500โ #Goldโ #Silverโ #Bitcoinโ #CoreWeaveโ #SMCIโ #DayTradingโ #Investingโ
https://www.youtube.com/live/rjdPCLf3thQ?is=RtmIKaOH194e4OwI
YouTube
Earnings Surge, Inflation Data Release, S&P Bull Flag About To Breakout, Here Is The Target
๐ Trade alongside the Verified Pro Traders in the Apex Live Day Trading Room: https://verifiedinvesting.com/products/apex-live-day-trading-room
๐ NEW โ MILLION DOLLAR LONG-TERM INVESTOR: A transparent $1,000,000 portfolio from Lawton Ho and Gareth Soloway:โฆ
๐ NEW โ MILLION DOLLAR LONG-TERM INVESTOR: A transparent $1,000,000 portfolio from Lawton Ho and Gareth Soloway:โฆ
๐1
AI infrastructure stocks surge after strong earnings from CoreWeave, Supermicro
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/ai-infrastructure-stocks-surge-after-strong-earnings-from-coreweave-supermicro-142304399.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/ai-infrastructure-stocks-surge-after-strong-earnings-from-coreweave-supermicro-142304399.html
Yahoo Finance
AI infrastructure stocks surge after strong earnings from CoreWeave, Supermicro
AI infrastructure stocks jumped, with shares of AI server makers, optical-products companies, and neocloud providers moving higher.
Nvidia's $70 billion bet on OpenAI, Anthropic, and others could pay off big for shareholders
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/article/nvidias-70-billion-bet-on-openai-anthropic-and-others-could-pay-off-big-for-shareholders-150039868.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/article/nvidias-70-billion-bet-on-openai-anthropic-and-others-could-pay-off-big-for-shareholders-150039868.html
Yahoo Finance
Nvidia's $70 billion bet on OpenAI, Anthropic, and others could pay off big for shareholders
Nvidia has a robust investment portfolio.
Why fast food chains like McDonald's and Starbucks are going all in on energy drinks
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/why-fast-food-chains-like-mcdonalds-and-starbucks-are-going-all-in-on-energy-drinks-140403330.html
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/why-fast-food-chains-like-mcdonalds-and-starbucks-are-going-all-in-on-energy-drinks-140403330.html
Yahoo Finance
Why fast food chains like McDonald's and Starbucks are going all in on energy drinks
Fast food chains are looking for an energized P&L.