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#Soloway

Oil ripped through the $90 barrel level as Middle East escalation intensified β€” and the moment it did, the futures rolled over. Add the lowest jobless claims in years, the 10-Year Yield breaking above 4.7%, the dollar screaming higher, and the dollar-yen at 40-year highs, and the risk picture is stacking up fast. Then there's earnings: Tesla and Alphabet both getting crushed after turning cash-flow negative on soaring AI CapEx. On today's Trading Game Plan, Gareth Soloway maps oil's next Fibonacci target, the swing-trade level on Tesla, and why the dollar-yen is the risk nobody's watching.

πŸ“ TODAY'S GAME PLAN

πŸ”΄ US OIL β€” Blows through the $87–$88 resistance to $91.50 as escalation intensifies. Next Fib target is the 50% retrace near $93.40. Gareth is adding to his short into strength, playing the retrace off the highs.
πŸ”΄ SPY / ES FUTURES β€” Down about 1% as oil above $90 flips the tape. Still inside the bullish-consolidation wedge; a breakout favors upside, but a failed breakout is where things get wild.
πŸ”΄ TSLA β€” Misses earnings, turns cash-flow negative, and gaps below the major trend line. Day-trade level near $337; the parallel channel points to a swing-trade target around $290 within a month.
πŸ”΄ GOOGL β€” Fantastic earnings undone by cash-flow-negative status and CapEx headed past $200B. Now over 20% off its May highs. Day-trade level just below $320 at the gap fill and ascending trend line.
πŸ”΄ GOLD / SILVER β€” Slammed as the dollar rips. Gold down about 2% off the wedge's upper band; silver gives back roughly half its four-day run. Gareth still watching the $54 level on silver.
πŸ”΅ 10-YR YIELD / DXY / USD-JPY β€” Yields soar above 4.7% on strong data and rising oil; dollar tests resistance near 101.80; dollar-yen at levels unseen since 1986 β€” the carry-trade intervention risk that shocked markets in August 2024.
πŸ”΅ TXN / NOW / IBM β€” Texas Instruments testing a key trend line, ServiceNow's bounce too weak to trade, and IBM's $195–$197 pivot zone on watch.
🟒 RTX / LMT β€” Defense names bid higher on earnings amid military spending. Resistance near $551 on Lockheed and a double top near $215 on Raytheon.
🟒 NATGAS β€” Catching a bid; data-center demand could put $5 in play within a year.
πŸ”΅ BITCOIN β€” Pulling back after kissing the key pivot. A break there targets the inverse head-and-shoulders objective.

πŸ”‘ KEY TAKEAWAY: One catalyst can flip the whole tape. The market was neutral overnight until oil cracked $90 β€” proof that watching the right macro lever matters more than any single stock. Trade the levels, not the panic.

⏱ TIMESTAMPS (estimated)
00:00​ Oil Breaks $90 β€” The Whole Tape Rolls Over
03:00​ Jobless Claims, Yields, and the Rate-Hike Risk
06:00​ US Oil: The $93.40 Fibonacci Target
09:00​ Dollar and the 1986-High Dollar-Yen Risk
12:00​ S&P Daily: The Make-or-Break Wedge
14:00​ Tesla: Trend Line Breaks, $290 Swing Target
19:00​ Alphabet: Great Earnings, Cash-Flow Problem
22:30​ TXN, ServiceNow, and IBM Levels
25:00​ Defense Bid: RTX and Lockheed Martin
27:00​ Gold and Silver Slammed as Dollar Rips
29:30​ Natural Gas and Bitcoin
31:30​ Wrap-Up

#StockMarket​ #Trading​ #TechnicalAnalysis​ #Oil​ #Tesla​ #Alphabet​ #Gold​ #Silver​ #Bitcoin​ #Earnings​ #Yields​ #DayTrading​ #Investing​

https://www.youtube.com/live/Z5bPRuEwpn8?is=t_-C0tQviie53vXl
#USMarketUpdate
Wall St falls as tech earnings spark AI spending worries and oil hits $100 | Reuters

SUMMARY
Indexes down: Dow 0.97%, S&P 500 1.21%, Nasdaq 2.15%Oil prices surge, fueling worries about inflationTesla tumbles after result; Alphabet falls after hiking FY capex guidanceLockheed Martin rallies after lifting 2026 forecasts

July 23 (Reuters) - Wall Street indexes closed lower on Thursday with Nasdaq sinking more than 2% as the latest earnings ​updates from large technology companies revived concerns about heavy AI spending, while soaring oil prices amped up inflation worries, lifting bond yields.

The S&P 500 fell β€Œmore than 1% as losses were broad-based after investors were unimpressed by second-quarter results from Alphabet (GOOGL.O), opens new tab and Tesla (TSLA.O), opens new tab, the first of the heavyweight "Magnificent Seven" companies to report results this season.

Stocks came under additional pressure as Brent crude oil futures settled above $100 a barrel for the first time since May, and U.S. oil futures settled above $92.

Intensifying Middle East hostilities fanned worries about global oil supplies. The U.S. military launched another round of ​air strikes on Iran, and Iran fired at U.S. bases in nearby countries. U.S. President Donald Trump vowed "major military punishment" for Iran and Houthis, after the Yemeni fighters ​struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea.

The resulting surge in oil prices prompted worries about inflation days before the next ⁠Federal Reserve policy meeting...

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/wall-st-futures-ease-big-tech-results-revive-ai-spending-worries-oil-jumps-2026-07-23/

Wall St falls as tech earnings spark AI spending worries and oil hits US$100
https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wall-st-falls-as-tech-earnings-spark-ai-spending-worries-and-oil-hits-100
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#MarketMind
#TradingDay: Burn, baby, burn |
Reuters

July 23 (Reuters) - European and U.S. stocks slumped while bond yields shot higher on Thursday, with global markets rocked by oil's surge above $100 a barrel and earnings reports from two U.S. "Big Tech" companies that showed they are burning through cash at an alarming rate.

If you have more time to read, here are a few articles ​I recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets today.


STOCKS: South Korea +4%, Japan +0.5%. Europe -1.3%, UK -0.7%. S&P 500 -1.2%, Nasdaq -2.2%.
SECTORS/SHARES: "Mag 7" shares, consumer discretionaries -5%, biggest falls since April last year. Industrials +1.8%. Tesla -15%, T-Mobile -11%, Alphabet -7%, Amazon -5%. Lockheed Martin +10%, Intel +12% after the bell.
FX: Dollar/yen shoots up towards ​164.00, a new 40-year high. Euro 3-week low after ECB, South African rand world's worst performer, -3%, after central bank keeps rates on hold.
BONDS: 2-year JGB yield hits 1.50%, ​highest since 1995. 2-year German yield highest in two years. U.S. yields hit highest in 18 months, 30-year U.S. real yield highest ⁠since 2008. Ugly 10-year TIPS auction β€” highest yield since 2008.
COMMODITIES/METALS: Oil leaps 6-7%, now +40% y/y. Brent tops $100, WTI over $90. Gold -2%.


What could ​move markets tomorrow?
PMIs for Japan, euro zone, UK, U.S. (July)Japan CPI inflation (June)UK retail sales (June)European Central Bank chief economist ​Philip Lane speaksU.S. earnings, including American Express, Verizon

https://www.reuters.com/commentary/reuters-open-interest/global-markets-trading-day-graphic-2026-07-23/