🐳 WhalePool Traders Journal
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Forwarded from TradeWithSonic
$400 billion has been wiped out from the Japanese stock market today.

This comes as Finance Minister Katayama says Japan is "ready to act on currency moves wherever necessary."

USD/JPY is trading at 162, despite multiple rounds of intervention already this year.

In April, Japan sold an estimated $70 billion worth of dollars when the pair first crossed 160. It worked for a few days. Then the yen resumed weakening anyway.

Intervention itself is now adding to the volatility, not fixing it.

Every time Tokyo hints at stepping in, traders who are heavily short the yen scramble to cover, causing sharp, violent swings in both directions.

When no actual intervention follows, the yen snaps back to its downtrend even harder, since the market now treats the threat as empty.

Each cycle of threat-and-no-action makes the next selloff more volatile, not less.

This connects to a bigger problem we've flagged before.

Japan's public debt sits near 230% of GDP, the highest of any developed economy.

Defending the yen and adjusting to higher domestic bond yields has already pushed Japan to reduce its US Treasury holdings, one of the largest sources of foreign demand for US debt.

If Japan keeps pulling back while intervention keeps failing to hold the yen, the pressure doesn't stay contained to Tokyo.

It shows up in US Treasury yields next.

Crd Internet
<Full-day Takeaway>HSI Down 446 pts; HSTI Down 211 pts; TENCENT Down over 4%; MEITUAN Down over 4%; BABA Down over 3%; ABLE DIGITAL Hit New Highs; Market Turnover Rises
https://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/aafn-con/NOW.1533855/top-news/AAFN
#HKMarketUpdate
<H Shrs>HSI Slumps 446 pts for Day as SMIC Dives 10%; Z.AI Crashes 28%+; TENCENT and MEITUAN-W Sag 4%+

The HSI closed at 24,562, down 446 pts or 1.78%, with main board turnover reaching HKD347.325 billion. The HSCEI closed at 8,136, down 181 pts or 2.18%, while the HSTECH closed at 4,623, down 211 pts or 4.37%.

https://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/aafn-con/NOW.1533865/top-news/AAFN
#SgMarketUpdate
Singapore stocks fall on Friday as local banks take a hit; STI down 0.5%
Jul 17, 2026 Β· 06:10 PM

Singapore stocks ended lower on Friday (Jul 17), amid the city-state’s three banks experiencing declines in the day’s session.

The benchmark Straits Times Index (STI) lost 0.5 per cent or 29.95 points to finish at 5,509.43. Across the broader market, losers outnumbered gainers 365 to 226, after 1.2 billion securities worth S$2.1 billion changed hands.

UOB : U11 +0.45% led the losses among the local banks, and was down by as much as 3.8 per cent in intraday trading. The counter closed 2.4 per cent or S$1.03 lower at S$42.47.

DBS : D05 -0.08% lost 0.7 per cent or S$0.52 to S$71.96, while OCBC : O39 +0.46% shares fell 0.8 per cent or S$0.22 to S$28.56

Thai Beverage : Y92 -1.1% led the gainers on Singapore’s blue-chip index, rising 3.4 per cent or S$0.015 to end at S$0.455.

The worst performer among STI constituents was ST Engineering : S63 -0.38%, which lost 2.5 per cent or S$0.27 to close at S$10.43...

Key regional indices were mixed. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index lost 1.8 per cent, Japan’s Nikkei 225 index fell 4 per cent and the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI was up 0.5 per cent...

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/singapore-stocks-fall-friday-local-banks-take-hit-sti-down-0-5
#USMarketUpdate
S&P 500 closes lower, Nasdaq falls more than 1% as chip stocks suffer: Live updates

Stocks fell again on Friday, with Wall Street posting a weekly decline, as traders weighed the latest moves in semiconductor names along with recent quarterly reports.

The broad market index lost 1.01% to end at 7,457.69, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.4% to 25,520.24 as tech stocks came under scrutiny. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 406.55 points, or 0.77%, to close at 52,146.42.

The major stock benchmarks notched weekly losses, with the S&P 500 off 1.6%, while the Nasdaq slid 2.9%. The Dow fell 0.9% on the week.

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) posted its third weekly decline in four weeks, dropping almost 9% in the period. Semiconductors were hit especially hard earlier in the session after Chinese startup Moonshot AI unveiled a new model that it said narrows the gap with the top offerings in the U.S.


https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/16/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?__source=androidappshare
No B.S. Just Charts.

Crash alert - and the first real buy levels. In today's Game Plan, Chief Market Strategist Gareth #Soloway breaks down the semiconductor collapse he's been warning about for months - now near major swing-buy levels on Micron, SanDisk, and Marvell. He's covered most of his shorts and is starting to nibble longs. Plus the Nasdaq's line in the sand at 25,000, Netflix and Oracle after earnings, and gold and silver nearing support.

πŸ“Š COVERED IN THIS EPISODE:
πŸ”΄ Semiconductors (overview) - The collapse Gareth warned about has arrived; he expects an eventual ~70-75% drawdown, but big 20-25% bounces come first - and he's scoping buy levels now
πŸ”΅ S&P 500 - Down ~1%, testing the 2021 bull-market trendline; the more it's hit the weaker it gets. A break below would be a failed breakout - a bad sign for the broader market
πŸ”΄ Nasdaq 100 - Down ~2% (~585 pts), dragged by the semis; the line in the sand is 25,000 (a major pivot). Break it and 24,000 is next
πŸ”΄ Micron (MU) - A huge support zone from ~$815 down to the ~$750 gap fill; Gareth got out of his short and may start nibbling a long below $800
πŸ”΄ SanDisk (SNDK) - Down $1,000+ from its highs; major support ~$1,285 down to ~$1,200 (the textbook broke-retraced-now-lower play)
πŸ”΄ Marvell (MRVL) - A 40%+ drop into good support - one of his favorites for a bounce
πŸ”΄ Netflix (NFLX) - Blew through $68.70 on weak earnings; next level ~$64 for a possible day-trade bounce
πŸ”΅ Oracle (ORCL) - Support ~$120 (two trendlines); Gareth likes it as the inverse of the memory names - extreme fear vs. earlier extreme greed
πŸ”΄ SpaceX - Nasty drop after a scrubbed launch; Gareth stays on the sidelines unless it hits the $100 psychological level
πŸ”΅ Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) - Down on guidance; no interest unless the ~$330 gap fill
πŸ”΅ Alcoa (AA) - A bear-flag break lower; possible swing-trade support ~$41 as the metals near support
πŸ”΄ Gold - Hammered (low ~$3,959) as the dollar bounces; support just below $3,900 where Gareth starts nibbling longer-term
πŸ”΄ Silver - Within $0.77 of his $54 target; he'll accumulate $54 down to $46. The first bearish retail comments are appearing - an early psychological tell
🟒 Crude Oil - Upticking on Middle East degradation; $87 is his short level (the buy call worked), expecting a pullback toward $70 or sub-$70
πŸ”΅ Natural Gas - A tiny bid, but forming a bear flag; needs to lift off the mat soon or he'd favor a breakdown by mid next week
πŸ”΅ Bitcoin (BTC) - Slipped back below the inverse-H&S neckline (never confirmed above); still a top performer since early July - watch if a Nasdaq bounce lifts it

πŸ”‘ KEY TAKEAWAY: The semiconductor crash Gareth called is here, and he's flipped from short to scoping longs - Micron (below $800), SanDisk ($1,285-$1,200), and Marvell into support for 20-25% bounces, even though he sees an eventual ~70-75% cycle drawdown. The Nasdaq's 25,000 is the line in the sand, and the psychological tells (bearish silver comments, crushed hype names) are exactly what he watches to time the turns.

⏱ TIMESTAMPS (estimated)
0:00​ - Intro: The Semi Collapse & Scoping Buy Levels
1:30​ - S&P 500: The Failed-Breakout Risk
3:00​ - Nasdaq: The 25,000 Line in the Sand
5:00​ - Netflix: Blew Through Support on Earnings
7:00​ - Intuitive Surgical, Alcoa & SpaceX
9:30​ - Oracle: Extreme Fear as the Inverse Trade
11:00​ - Micron, SanDisk & Marvell: The Buy Zones
14:00​ - Gold & Silver: Nearing Support & the Psychology
17:00​ - Oil, Natural Gas & Bitcoin
19:30​ - Wrap-Up

#MyTradingGamePlan​ #VerifiedInvesting​ #GarethSoloway​ #StockMarket​ #TechnicalAnalysis​ #Semiconductors​ #Micron​ #SanDisk​ #Marvell​ #Netflix​ #Oracle​ #Gold​ #Silver​ #Bitcoin​ #StockMarket2026​


https://www.youtube.com/live/ohUEVe7tW6w?is=2bxOxXTquW_etjxC