๐Ÿณ WhalePool Traders Journal
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AI stocks are in freefall. The KOSPI dumped nearly 10% overnight - triggering circuit breakers - as its two largest AI chipmakers collapsed over 12%, the Nikkei fell 5%+, and the Nasdaq is down as much as 3% pre-market. Chief Market Strategist Gareth #Soloway breaks down whether this is the beginning of the end for the crowded AI trade, why a wave of far cheaper Chinese AI models could commoditize the whole space and crush hyperscaler margins, and how the president's habit of propping the market with headlines keeps creating dangerous air pockets underneath it. Then he gets to the charts that matter.

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๐Ÿ“Š COVERED IN THIS EPISODE:
๐Ÿ”ด KOSPI, Nikkei & Nasdaq - A global AI selloff; the KOSPI's textbook RSI negative divergence ("three peaks to a valley") warned of the drop before it happened
๐Ÿ”ต S&P 500 & Nasdaq - The lower low is in; Gareth is watching for the lower high to finally confirm lower-highs and lower-lows
๐Ÿ”ด NVIDIA (NVDA) - A bear flag forming on top of a possible double-top / head-and-shoulders; watch the neckline for the breakdown
๐Ÿ”ด Micron (MU) - Earnings tomorrow after the bell with sky-high expectations after a ~287% run since March; a possible intraday gap-fill bounce near $1,042, but earnings decide the next move
๐Ÿ”ด Intel (INTC) - Down ~10% from yesterday's high after the Intel-Apple deal headline
๐Ÿ”ด SpaceX - Back to its $150 IPO open price, leaving every public buyer underwater; insiders bought near $135, where institutions may defend
๐ŸŸข Microsoft (MSFT) - Bouncing on rotation even with the Nasdaq down; Gareth still sees a path back toward $400 (~10% upside)
๐ŸŸข Netflix (NFLX) - A clean trendline bounce level triggering today; a 10-15% swing setup
๐Ÿ”ด SanDisk (SNDK) - Collapsing toward $2,000 after closing near $2,273; Gareth isn't a buyer until it corrects much more
๐Ÿ”ด Citigroup (C) - A beautiful trendline in the upper range Gareth likes for a short on a pullback
๐Ÿ”ด Gold - Still near-term bearish (the right call); first support in the $3,900-$4,000 area within days
๐Ÿ”ด Silver - The support line is weakening; $54 is likely within a few weeks
๐Ÿ”ต Oil & Natural Gas - Oil fading on Iran headlines; nat gas still building a possible cup-and-handle Gareth is watching
๐Ÿ”ด Bitcoin (BTC) - A break and confirm below ~$59,900-$60,000 opens a trap door toward $50,000

๐Ÿ”‘ KEY TAKEAWAY: The AI trade is now more concentrated than the dot-com bubble, and at some point it has to unwind - it doesn't mean the technology isn't incredible, but when hedge funds are all-in, retail usually gets stuck. Cheaper Chinese AI models threaten hyperscaler margins, and Gareth is watching for the lower high to confirm the trend change. Be careful here.

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๐Ÿ’ฌ Comment: do buyers step in, or do we close near the lows?

#MyTradingGamePlan #VerifiedInvesting #GarethSoloway #AIStocks #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Nasdaq #KOSPI #Nikkei #NVDA #Micron #Intel #SpaceX #Bitcoin #Gold #Silver #AIBubble #StockMarket2026

https://www.youtube.com/live/V7HJqzV1xlc?is=yC4a6cPifaYNsB88
#USMarketUpdate
Stock market today: S&P 500, Nasdaq sink as AI trade cools off, semiconductor stocks retreat
Live

US stocks slid on Tuesday as a sell-off in memory chipmakers on Wall Street spurred doubts about the AI trade.

The tech-exposed Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) sank roughly 2.1%, leading Wall Street down. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) lost 1.4%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), which includes fewer tech names, fell just below the flat line.

The Nasdaq took another hammering on Tuesday after Monday saw Big Tech players take a hit as SpaceX (SPCX) notched its third day of losses in a row. Shares in Elon Musk's space company briefly wiped out all of its post-IPO gains but then turned higher in afternoon trading, ending the day slightly in the green.

Piling on the pressure, a sell-off in memory chip giants SK Hynix (000660.KS) and Samsung Electronics (005930.KSSSNLF) in South Korea underscored growing questions about overstretched AI valuations. Both saw their shares sink by over 12%, dragging the benchmark Kospi Composite (^KS11) stock index to a 10% loss.

The rout turns up the focus on Micron (MU) earnings due for release on Wednesday, watched for a read on how strong the demand for memory remains. Shares in the memory chipmaker dropped over 13%, after surging to a record close on Monday.


https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/live/stock-market-today-nasdaq-sp-500-fall-as-global-chip-sell-off-spurs-ai-doubts-230258084.html
#USMarketUpdate
Wall Street ends lower on semiconductor selloff as AI spending concerns mount | Reuters

SUMMARY
Indexes down: Dow 0.09%, S&P 1.44%, Nasdaq 2.21%
Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index falls 7.9%
CBOE Volatility Index at an over-one-week high

June 23 (Reuters) - The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 closed at more โ€‹than one-week lows on Tuesday, dragged down by sharp losses in semiconductor stocks as investors scrutinized growing debt-funded โ€ŒAI spending and braced for a more hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve.
The Dow ended slightly lower.

The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index (.SOX), opens new tab tumbled 7.9% and the S&P 500 information technology sector index (.SPLRCT), opens new tab slipped 3.7%.

Nvidia (NVDA.O), opens new tab dropped 4.1% and Alphabet (GOOGL.O), opens new tab fell 1% while chipmakers Intel (INTC.O), opens new tab, Marvell Technology (MRVL.O), opens new tab and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.O), opens new tab lost between โ€‹5.8% and 9.4%...

Concerns over hyperscalers' debt-funded AI spending have contributed to the selloff. Elon Musk's SpaceX (SPCX.O), opens new tab, which debuted this month, has joined โ€‹a list of megacaps tapping the bond market to raise capital.

Shares of SpaceX rose 1%, following losses in the last three sessions.

Memory chipmakers โ€‹Micron Technology (MU.O), opens new tab and SanDisk (SNDK.O), opens new tab, among the best performers on the S&P 500 this year, both fell around 13%.

Micron's earnings on Wednesday could offer clues on the outlook for the memory and AI chip sector after a searing rally this year...

The CBOE Volatility Index (.VIX), opens new tab, Wall Street's fear gauge, hit an over-one-week high, climbing 2.23 points to 19.52.

Six of the 11 major โ€ŒS&P 500 โ sectors moved higher, with consumer staples(.SPLRCS), opens new tab rising the most at 1.8%. With highly priced tech shares coming under pressure recently, investors have shifted focus to other areas of the market.

Traders are increasingly betting on a second interest rate hike by the Fed by December, according to LSEG data, compared to expectations of just one 25-basis-point hike two weeks ago, as investors price in hawkish โ€‹monetary policy under new Chair โ€‹Kevin Warsh.

Personal Consumption Expenditures Price โ Index data, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, is expected on Thursday...

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.31-to-1 ratio on the NYSE. There were 120 new highs and 187 new lows on the NYSE. On the Nasdaq, 2,181 stocks rose and 2,636 fell as declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.21-to-1 ratio.
The S&P 500 โ posted 12 โ€‹new 52-week highs and five new lows while the Nasdaq Composite recorded โ€‹132 new highs and 182 new lows.
Volume on U.S. exchanges was 24.1 billion shares, compared with the 22.53 billion average for the full session over the โ€‹last 20 trading days.

https://www.reuters.com/business/nasdaq-futures-fall-2-tech-worries-fed-hike-bets-2026-06-23/

Wall Street ends lower on semiconductor selloff, as AI spending concerns mount
https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wall-street-ends-lower-on-semiconductor-selloff-as-ai-spending-concerns-mount
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"Did The AI Bubble Just Burst? Technical Analysis Deep Dive With Gareth #Soloway".

๐Ÿ”’ SAFETY NOTICE: Gareth #Soloway and the Verified Investing team will NEVER reach out to you on Telegram, WhatsApp, Discord, or YouTube comments asking for money or offering trades. Any account claiming otherwise is an impersonator โ€” report and block it.

Did the AI bubble just burst? After a brutal AI-led selloff on Wall Street, Chief Market Strategist Gareth Soloway breaks down the technical damage on Trading The Close. The KOSPI fell 10% overnight (triggering circuit breakers), the Nasdaq dropped over 3%, and Micron got hammered into tomorrow's make-or-break earnings. Gareth's answer: not officially - not yet. He walks through exactly what would confirm a market top, why a wave of cheaper AI models threatens future margin compression across chips and memory, and where money is quietly rotating as the dust settles.

๐Ÿ“Š COVERED IN THIS EPISODE:
๐Ÿ”ด The AI Selloff & Semis - Micron down 13% on the day; the bubble isn't confirmed burst until the semis put in a confirming down move, and Micron earnings tomorrow after the bell are the trigger
๐Ÿ”ด KOSPI, Nikkei & Concentration Risk - The KOSPI's 10% drop (two stocks make up over half the index) - and a reminder that ~10 stocks drive the Nasdaq 100; a KOSPI gap fill ~5% lower is the bounce zone Gareth is watching tonight
๐Ÿ”ต S&P 500 & Nasdaq (QQQ) - Lower lows are in (stage one); Gareth wants to see a lower high (stage two) to call a market top, and is holding off until Micron earnings
๐Ÿ”ด NVIDIA (NVDA) - Down 4%; even at a ~21 forward PE, cheaper AI models raise the risk of margin compression down the line
๐Ÿ”ด FedEx (FDX) - Falling after hours on earnings, with a major multi-year trendline now at risk of breaking down
๐Ÿ”ด Cerebras - The new IPO semi reports at 7PM ET; opened to the public at $350 and has traded down near $197, with a bear flag keeping it suspect even on a bounce
๐Ÿ”ต US Dollar (DXY) - Soaring on safe-haven flows and a hawkish Warsh, now into major resistance at 101.50-101.60; Gareth is skeptical it breaks out given US debt
๐ŸŸข Microsoft (MSFT) & Defensives - Money rotating into MSFT (up ~2%), Netflix, ConAgra, and Kraft Heinz; an oversold bounce in Microsoft could target ~$400
๐Ÿ”ด Gold - Still bearish; first support at $3,900-$4,000, and a break opens the door to $3,500
๐Ÿ”ด Silver - A nasty breakdown to its lowest close since the move to $120; $54 could come within days, with $50 the longer-term target
๐Ÿ”ต Oil & Natural Gas - Oil a range-bound non-event today; nat gas stuck in a tight range with a possible bullish cup-and-handle
๐Ÿ”ด Bitcoin (BTC) - Sitting on a double bottom; if the AI and Nasdaq correction continues, it likely heads toward $50,000 or below

๐Ÿ”‘ KEY TAKEAWAY: It was a brutal AI-led day, but Gareth says the bubble hasn't officially burst - the lower lows are in, and a lower high (likely confirmed by Micron's earnings tomorrow) would complete the top. The bigger story is the threat of margin compression from cheaper AI models; for now, money is rotating into defensives and the dollar while metals and Bitcoin stay heavy.

โฑ TIMESTAMPS (estimated)
0:00โ€‹ - Intro: Did the AI Bubble Just Burst?
1:30โ€‹ - The S&P Intraday: A Weak, Lower-High Day
4:00โ€‹ - KOSPI, Nikkei & the Concentration Risk
6:30โ€‹ - Nasdaq: Watching for the Lower High
8:00โ€‹ - The Dollar Soars Into Major Resistance
10:30โ€‹ - FedEx & Cerebras: Earnings Red Flags
13:00โ€‹ - NVIDIA, Micron & the Margin-Compression Threat
15:00โ€‹ - Rotation Into Microsoft & Defensives
16:30โ€‹ - Gold & Silver Break Down
18:00โ€‹ - Oil, Natural Gas & Bitcoin
19:30โ€‹ - What to Watch Tonight & Tomorrow

#TradingTheCloseโ€‹ #VerifiedInvestingโ€‹ #GarethSolowayโ€‹ #AIBubbleโ€‹ #StockMarketโ€‹ #TechnicalAnalysisโ€‹ #Nasdaqโ€‹ #Micronโ€‹

https://www.youtube.com/live/0ZB-g6GYLDg?is=1m9UnXIzzlLW_uOM