🐳 WhalePool Traders Journal
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Bad trading habits make trading like gambling. This channel is for proactive and decerning investors and traders
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From #Kelwin&Roy
#SgMarketUpdate
Singapore shares end higher; STI up 0.7%

Singapore stocks ended higher on Thursday (Jun 18), as the benchmark Straits Times Index (STI) gained 0.7 per cent or 36.38 points to finish at 5,212.84.

Sats : S58 +4.07% led the gainers on Singapore’s blue-chip index, rising 4.1 per cent or S$0.17 to S$4.35.

The worst performer among STI constituents was DFI Retail Group : D01 -5.87%, which fell 5.9 per cent or US$0.22 to US$3.53.

The three local banks ended higher.

DBS : D05 +1.52% gained 1.5 per cent or S$0.99 to S$66.00, OCBC : O39 +1.87% rose 1.9 per cent or S$0.46 to S$25.08, and UOB : U11 +0.89% was up 0.9 per cent or S$0.35 at S$39.70.

Across the broader market, gainers outnumbered losers 372 to 242, after 1.3 billion securities worth S$2.2 billion changed hands.

Key regional indices were mixed on Thursday.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index lost 1.6 per cent, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.6 per cent, South Korea’s Kospi was up 2.3 per cent and the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI inched up 0.1 per cent.

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/singapore-shares-end-higher-sti-0-7
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DoubleLine CEO and CIO #JeffreyGundlach joins CNBC's Scott Wapner following Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's debut FOMC press conference, calling it the start of a new era. Gundlach's key takeaway is unmistakable — Warsh repeated "we will deliver price stability" more than anything else, and his decision to buy time through five task forces rather than move rates suggests no action until at least the fall. Gundlach reads the inflation framework task force with some skepticism, noting it could open the door to new measurement techniques that conveniently engineer a path to declaring price stability. On the dot plot, with nine members projecting a hike, he sees it primarily as jawboning — but effective jawboning. He also raises the possibility that Warsh may prove more Volcker-like in his independence from the two-year Treasury, rather than slavishly following it as his predecessors have done for two decades.

On markets, Gundlach sees the hawkish tone as net positive for long-term Treasuries, arguing that a credible commitment to price stability actually provides better support for the long bond than the over-easing that had been driving yields higher. He remains cautious on US equities — now approaching 50% concentration in just ten names — and sees the funding burden of the AI CapEx cycle as the back side of the earnings story markets have been celebrating. He remains most constructive on non-US markets, particularly emerging market equities and local currency EM bonds, which have been the best performing asset class for dollar-based investors year to date. He closes with a pointed quip on Fed independence — thanking the stars that Donald Trump is not running the Federal Reserve.

https://youtu.be/FGxLLLoQeWA?is=dc8pxXKT2QlnZ-Su
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I thought “oligarchy” meant Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, and Mark Zuckerberg. But those guys are just the tip of the iceberg. I had no idea what a massive phenomenon oligarchy really is.


-- VIDEO CHAPTERS --
0:00 The Briefcase
6:30 Defense
14:20 The Maze
21:32 The Army
24:10 The Pyramid
31:23 The Gilded Age
36:29 Source Code
42:36 Now What

About:
#JohnnyHarris is an Emmy-winning independent journalist and contributor to the New York Times. Based in Washington, DC, Harris reports on interesting trends and stories domestically and around the globe, publishing to his audience of over 5 million on Youtube. Harris produced and hosted the twice Emmy-nominated series Borders for Vox Media. His visual style blends motion graphics with cinematic videography to create content that explains complex issues in relatable ways.

https://youtu.be/4S25FfbFw4M?is=RY87dDTm8Eq_6X1G
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🔴 #Soloway

Welcome back to My Trading Game Plan. Action-packed morning already. It started yesterday with a much more hawkish Kevin Warsh than the markets expected — more Fed governors voting for hikes this year than anticipated — and the market sold off sharply, the Nasdaq down 1.5-2% and the S&P down about 1.5%. Then came the kicker: the US-Iran deal signing, originally slated for Friday, got bumped up to after hours last night. Oil came down, and today the markets are lifting and erasing the entire Fed-driven drop.

Gareth breaks down the playbook of distraction: the early Iran signing, an officially announced Apple-Intel deal (the same news the rumor mill ran twice already), and AI chip stocks ripping. It's a masterclass in how the tape is being steered from the negative to the positive — and the one chart that tells Gareth when the bubble finally cracks.

📌 What's covered today:
🔵 S&P 500 (ES futures) — Erased the entire Fed-decision drop. Gareth wanted a third down day to solidify a lower high; instead he's watching how today closes (triple witching, last trading day of the week)
🟢 INTC (Intel) — Gapping up on the official Apple deal, the third time this rumor has lifted the stock. Watching the 136 level on the logarithmic chart, currently below 131
🔵 AAPL (Apple) — Quiet; the deal matters far more for Intel as the AI chip player than for a 4.5T safe-haven name
🔵 10-Year Yield — Pulling back again as oil falls
🟢 Oil (WTI) — Around 74 into a major gap fill after the early Iran deal signing
🟢 STX (Seagate) & WDC (Western Digital) — Both at new all-time highs
🟢 MU (Micron) — Near all-time highs just under 1,100; watching a trendline around 1,125
🔴 IBM — Down sharply pre-market; software and data-center weakness
🟢 MSFT (Microsoft) — Bouncing off the lows with heavy technical support lower near 373; a contrarian software bounce candidate
🔵 IGV (software ETF) — Sitting at support; software the clear laggard versus semis
🟢 CAT (Caterpillar) — Trading like an AI name on the data-center buildout; a swing level just above 1,000
🟢 NFLX (Netflix) — Potential double bottom around 75
🟢 BABA (Alibaba) — Gap-fill double bottom near 104 (trading 106.65), RSI near 20 (extreme oversold); on the swing-long radar
🔴 Gold — Flattish; Gareth is short from about a day and a half ago, watching a new wedge pattern
🔴 Silver — Down again, diverging from risk assets, with dollar strength a factor
🔵 US Dollar — Rallying into major resistance
🔵 Natural Gas — Nothing of intrigue yet
🟢🔴 BTC (Bitcoin) — Flat; must hold the 63,500-63,700 support on a daily closing basis to keep the bullish bias intact

The question Gareth keeps coming back to: as the bubble expands, when does it collapse? That's why the S&P's higher-high-versus-lower-high decision is the chart to watch.

👇 Higher high or lower high on the S&P? Drop your call in the comments. Like, subscribe, and turn on notifications to never miss a Game Plan.

https://www.youtube.com/live/xfcSUkgd3QI?is=4PAD_KH9s8iGsB0E
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Wall St indexes advance with boost from chips, Iran optimism

June 18 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes rallied on Thursday, with the Nasdaq's 1.9% advance boosted by ​gains in semiconductor shares, while inflation fears eased after the U.S. and Iran signed a peace agreement, although investors still priced in interest rate hikes this year from the Federal Reserve.

The ‌Philadelphia semiconductor index (.SOX), opens new tab sharply outperformed the rest of the market with a 6.4% rally as Intel's (INTC.O), opens new tab shares jumped to a record high and finished up 10.6%. U.S. President Donald Trump said iPhone maker Apple (AAPL.O), opens new tab had agreed to work with Intel to design and manufacture its chips in the U.S.

Early in the session, oil prices had slid to their lowest levels since early March after the U.S. and Iran signed an interim agreement that extends the April ceasefire by another 60 ​days to allow the sides time to reach a final deal. Inflation has been a huge worry for investors as oil prices had soared since the war began in late February.

Although ​Trump threatened to resume attacks if Iran failed to honor its commitments, the first ships started sailing through the Strait of Hormuz, where transportation of oil, ⁠gas, fertilizer and other cargoes had been disrupted since the start of the war.

On Wednesday, all three of Wall Street's major indexes tumbled, with investors pricing in the likelihood of Fed rate hikes after the central bank's ​new Chair Kevin Warsh underscored the need to curb inflation and other policymakers signaled higher borrowing costs ahead...

Traders were betting on a roughly 50% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike as soon as September and a roughly 20% probability for a 50-basis-point hike, according to CME Group's FedWatch, opens new tab tool.

Investors were still assessing Warsh's indication that the ​Fed would provide less guidance on future policy moves and his stated focus on price stability. Eric Johnston, chief equity and macro strategist at Cantor, said, "The conclusion today is that the Fed has ​more credibility around inflation."...

With the ⁠market due to be closed on Friday for the Juneteenth holiday marking the emancipation of enslaved Black Americans, the S&P 500 marked a 0.93% weekly gain compared with the Nasdaq's 2.43% advance and the Dow's 0.71% increase....

On the day, five out of 11 major S&P 500 industry sectors finished higher.
Technology (.SPLRCT), opens new tab led gains with a 2.7% advance, followed by consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD), opens new tab, which closed up 1.8%.

Consumer stocks were boosted by the travel segment as the prospect of lower fuel prices supported rallies in cruise-line companies and airline stocks. The Dow Jones Transport average index (.DJT), opens new tab finished up 0.5%.

The small-cap Russell 2000 index (.RUT), opens new tab ​rose 2% and marked a record closing high.

On ​the data front, Labor Department data showed the ⁠number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits fell last week as layoffs remained low.

The S&P 500 software and services sector (.SPLRCIS), opens new tab finished down 0.7% after falling to the lowest in more than two months. The sector came under pressure as shares of Accenture (ACN.N), opens new tab tumbled 18% after the company trimmed the top end of ​its annual revenue forecast. Peers including Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH.O), opens new tab, Gartner (IT.N), opens new tab and IBM (IBM.N), opens new tab fell between 4.5% and 10.5%...

Shares in Elon Musk's SpaceX(SPCX.O), opens new tab lost 3.6% in their second straight day of declines, after the space and AI company had rallied sharply for the first few days of trading after its market debut last Friday.

https://www.reuters.com/business/wall-st-futures-bounce-back-us-iran-deal-optimism-balances-hawkish-fed-intel-up-2026-06-18/

Wall St indexes advance with boost from chips, Iran optimism
https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wall-st-indexes-advance-with-boost-from-chips-iran-optimism