🐳 WhalePool Traders Journal

#Weekahead
June 16 May be a Big Day for the Stock Market and Set the Stage for What Happens Next.

https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/june-16-may-big-day-223000567.html

Yahoo Finance

June 16 May be a Big Day for the Stock Market and Set the Stage for What Happens Next.

All eyes will be on new Fed chair Kevin Warsh.

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🐳 WhalePool Traders Journal

SpaceX to release results on website, X only, bypassing wire services
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/spacex-release-financial-results-website-212115356.html

#QuarterChart

https://vt.tiktok.com/ZSQbVVHd9/

Yahoo Finance

SpaceX to release results on website, X only, bypassing wire services

SpaceX will release quarterly and annual financial results, besides other material ‌news, only through its website and social ‌media account on X and not through wire distribution services, it said in a filing on Monday. The move marks a departure from…

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US.Day.Ahead-2026.06.15-Mon.pdf

US.Day.Ahead-2026.06.16-Tue.pdf

888.9 KB

#WeekAhead by Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Reuters
#Calendar by Investing.com
#Earnings by Earnings Whisper
#USMarketUpdate by Reuters, Investopedia, CNBC and Yahoo Finance
#TradingDay #MarketMind by Reuters
#MarketsWrap by Bloomberg
#SgMarketUpdate by Business Times
#HKMarketUpdate by Reuters and Trading Economics

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🐳 WhalePool Traders Journal

In this video, #AndreiJikh analyzes the current economic climate and the strategy of new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Worsh to manage the U.S. economy amid a "supercycle" of shifting financial trends (0:35, 21:46).

The "Worsh Plan" for the Economy:
Lowering Interest Rates: The primary goal is to stimulate growth, particularly for Trump's economic agenda, by reducing short-term borrowing costs (3:29, 3:42).

Steepening the Yield Curve: By shrinking the Federal Reserve's balance sheet while simultaneously lowering short-term rates, the plan aims to create a larger spread between short and long-term rates, which is highly profitable for banks (3:50, 4:13).

Deregulation (SLR): A core strategy involves loosening the Supplemental Leverage Ratio (SLR) to allow banks to hold more Treasury bonds without impacting their capital requirements, essentially using the commercial banking system to conduct "stealth" quantitative easing (4:36, 6:50).

The Role of AI: Worsh views AI as a long-term disinflationary force, believing it will boost productivity and help manage the national debt (7:50).

Key Challenges & External Factors:
The Iran Conflict: The war with Iran has caused significant economic disruption by impacting oil prices and threatening the Strait of Hormuz, which is inflationary (10:13, 10:28).

Bond Market Instability: A flattened yield curve due to the conflict has made Treasury bonds less attractive, complicating Scott Bessant’s goal of refinancing $8 trillion in debt (11:24, 15:31).

Strategic Petroleum Reserve: The impending depletion of the reserve creates an "80-day" ticking time bomb for oil prices, adding further risk (16:09).

What to Watch For (Wednesday's Fed Meeting):
Language on Inflation: Listen for keywords like "transitory"; if Worsh uses such language, the market may perceive it as dovish (19:44).

Bond Market Support: Indications that the Fed will intervene to support the bond market will likely signal impending liquidity (20:16).

The Dollar (Dixie Index): A weakening dollar after the press conference would likely favor risk assets like Gold and Bitcoin (20:44).

The "Supercycle" Perspective:
Jikh emphasizes that we are currently in a 15–20 year cycle where real assets (commodities, oil, gold, Bitcoin) are expected to outperform traditional paper assets like stocks and bonds, a trend driven by de-globalization and deficit spending (21:46, 22:19).

https://youtu.be/HIBozcOlQPY?is=a8HemVOrxGUGP1Jz

YouTube

How I’m Preparing For The “Supercycle”

The Fed's Plan For The U.S. Economy
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