🐳 WhalePool Traders Journal
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Wall Street rallies, Dow ends with record on US-Iran deal, oil price slide | Reuters

SUMMARY
Indexes up: Dow 0.92%, S&P 500 1.65%, Nasdaq 3.07%
Nasdaq marks biggest gain since late March
Chip sector outperforms with 5.5% rally
Fox stumbles after $22 billion deal for Roku
CBOE Volatility Index falls to over one-week low
June 15 (Reuters) - Wall Street rallied on Monday, with the Nasdaq climbing 3% and the Dow marking a record-high ​close after the United States and Iran struck a preliminary agreement to end the Middle East war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, leading to ‌an easing of inflation fears as crude oil prices dropped.

The deal framework — expected to be formally signed in Switzerland on Friday — did not address key issues such as Tehran's nuclear program and the Israel-Lebanon conflict.


https://www.reuters.com/business/wall-st-futures-advance-over-1-markets-cheer-iran-deal-2026-06-15/


https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wall-street-rallies-dow-ends-with-record-on-us-iran-deal-oil-price-slide
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In this video, #AndreiJikh analyzes the current economic climate and the strategy of new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Worsh to manage the U.S. economy amid a "supercycle" of shifting financial trends (0:35, 21:46).

The "Worsh Plan" for the Economy:
Lowering Interest Rates: The primary goal is to stimulate growth, particularly for Trump's economic agenda, by reducing short-term borrowing costs (3:29, 3:42).

Steepening the Yield Curve: By shrinking the Federal Reserve's balance sheet while simultaneously lowering short-term rates, the plan aims to create a larger spread between short and long-term rates, which is highly profitable for banks (3:50, 4:13).

Deregulation (SLR): A core strategy involves loosening the Supplemental Leverage Ratio (SLR) to allow banks to hold more Treasury bonds without impacting their capital requirements, essentially using the commercial banking system to conduct "stealth" quantitative easing (4:36, 6:50).

The Role of AI: Worsh views AI as a long-term disinflationary force, believing it will boost productivity and help manage the national debt (7:50).

Key Challenges & External Factors:
The Iran Conflict: The war with Iran has caused significant economic disruption by impacting oil prices and threatening the Strait of Hormuz, which is inflationary (10:13, 10:28).

Bond Market Instability: A flattened yield curve due to the conflict has made Treasury bonds less attractive, complicating Scott Bessant’s goal of refinancing $8 trillion in debt (11:24, 15:31).

Strategic Petroleum Reserve: The impending depletion of the reserve creates an "80-day" ticking time bomb for oil prices, adding further risk (16:09).

What to Watch For (Wednesday's Fed Meeting):
Language on Inflation: Listen for keywords like "transitory"; if Worsh uses such language, the market may perceive it as dovish (19:44).

Bond Market Support: Indications that the Fed will intervene to support the bond market will likely signal impending liquidity (20:16).

The Dollar (Dixie Index): A weakening dollar after the press conference would likely favor risk assets like Gold and Bitcoin (20:44).

The "Supercycle" Perspective:
Jikh emphasizes that we are currently in a 15–20 year cycle where real assets (commodities, oil, gold, Bitcoin) are expected to outperform traditional paper assets like stocks and bonds, a trend driven by de-globalization and deficit spending (21:46, 22:19).

https://youtu.be/HIBozcOlQPY?is=a8HemVOrxGUGP1Jz
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