Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (KAORI๐)
โ
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ๏ผ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท ใใฉใณใๅคง็ตฑ้ ใฏใใคใฉใณใจใฎๆฆไบไธญใซ็ฑณๅฝไบบๆญปๅท่ ใใใใใใใๅขๅ ใใใจ่ฟฐในใฆใใ
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ๏ผ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท ใใฉใณใๅคง็ตฑ้ ใฏใใคใฉใณใจใฎๆฆไบไธญใซ็ฑณๅฝไบบๆญปๅท่ ใใใใใใใๅขๅ ใใใจ่ฟฐในใฆใใ
Forwarded from BRICS News
Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (KAORI๐)
โ
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ๏ผ๐ฌ๐ง๐ฎ๐ท ่ฑๅฝใใคใฉใณใจใฎๆฆไบใซๅๅ ใใใจ่ ่ฟซ
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ๏ผ๐ฌ๐ง๐ฎ๐ท ่ฑๅฝใใคใฉใณใจใฎๆฆไบใซๅๅ ใใใจ่ ่ฟซ
Forwarded from BRICS News
Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (KAORI๐)
โ
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ๏ผ๐ฎ๐ท๐ฌ๐ง ใคใฉใณใฎใใญใผใณใใใญใใญในใซใใ่ฑๅฝใฎ่ปไบๅบๅฐใๆปๆ
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ๏ผ๐ฎ๐ท๐ฌ๐ง ใคใฉใณใฎใใญใผใณใใใญใใญในใซใใ่ฑๅฝใฎ่ปไบๅบๅฐใๆปๆ
Forwarded from BRICS News
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Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (KAORI๐)
โ
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ๏ผ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ ็ฑณๅฝใจใคในใฉใจใซใใคใฉใณใงๅคง่ฆๆจกใชๆปๆใ้ๅง
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ๏ผ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ ็ฑณๅฝใจใคในใฉใจใซใใคใฉใณใงๅคง่ฆๆจกใชๆปๆใ้ๅง
Forwarded from Disclose.tv
JUST IN - Trump reveals a potential timeline for the war with Iran: "It's always been a 4 week process. We figured it will be 4 weeks or so. It's always been about a 4 week process so - as strong as it is, it's a big country, it'll take 4 weeks - or less."
Read here: https://www.disclose.tv/id/n4adz9dpzw/
@disclosetv
Read here: https://www.disclose.tv/id/n4adz9dpzw/
@disclosetv
Disclose.tv
Trump breaks silence on US troops killed to the Daily Mail
Breaking news from around the world.
Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (KAORI๐)
โ
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ- ใใฉใณใๅคง็ตฑ้ ใใคใฉใณใจใฎๆฆไบใฎๆฝๅจ็ใชใฟใคใ ใฉใคใณใๆใใ๏ผ
ใๅธธใซ4้ฑ้ใฎใใญใปในใ ใฃใ
4้ฑ้็จๅบฆใจๆณๅฎใใฆใใ
ๅธธใซ็ด4้ฑ้ใฎใใญใปในใ ใใใ
ๅผทๅใงใฏใใใใใคใฉใณใฏๅคงใใชๅฝใ
4้ฑ้ใใใใใฏใใไปฅไธใง็ตใใใ ใใใ
ใ่จณใ
้ๅ ฑ- ใใฉใณใๅคง็ตฑ้ ใใคใฉใณใจใฎๆฆไบใฎๆฝๅจ็ใชใฟใคใ ใฉใคใณใๆใใ๏ผ
ใๅธธใซ4้ฑ้ใฎใใญใปในใ ใฃใ
4้ฑ้็จๅบฆใจๆณๅฎใใฆใใ
ๅธธใซ็ด4้ฑ้ใฎใใญใปในใ ใใใ
ๅผทๅใงใฏใใใใใคใฉใณใฏๅคงใใชๅฝใ
4้ฑ้ใใใใใฏใใไปฅไธใง็ตใใใ ใใใ
Forwarded from TRUMPINTEL LIVANDU OUR FAMILY
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia will join the US operation against the Islamic Republic Regime after the IRI attacked a US base in Saudi Arabia.
Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (KAORI๐)
โ
โป Philใใ่ปข้ๅ
ใ่จณใ
ใตใฆใธใขใฉใใข็ๅฝใฏใใคใฉใณใใตใฆใธใขใฉใใขใซใใ็ฑณๅฝใฎๅบๅฐใๆปๆใใๅพใใคในใฉใ ๅ ฑๅๅฝๆฟๆจฉใซๅฏพใใ็ฑณๅฝใฎไฝๆฆใซๅๅ ใใไบๅฎใ
โป Philใใ่ปข้ๅ
ใ่จณใ
ใตใฆใธใขใฉใใข็ๅฝใฏใใคใฉใณใใตใฆใธใขใฉใใขใซใใ็ฑณๅฝใฎๅบๅฐใๆปๆใใๅพใใคในใฉใ ๅ ฑๅๅฝๆฟๆจฉใซๅฏพใใ็ฑณๅฝใฎไฝๆฆใซๅๅ ใใไบๅฎใ
Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (Yo Sasa)
โไปๆฅใใฉใธใซๅ้ฝๅธใง็ฎ่ฆใใใใฉใธใซ้ไผใ่กใใใพใใ!
ใใใฏใตใณใใฆใญๅธใใฆใชในใฟๅคง้ใใงใฎ14ๆใใใฎๆ ๅใงใ
ๆๆๅคง็ตฑ้ ๅ่ฃใฎใใฉใใชใใใซใฝใใผใญไธ้ข่ญฐๅกใ้งใใคใใพใใ!
็งใใใคใใฎใกใคใณใจใฏๅๅฏพๅดใซ่กใฃใฆใใพใใ
ใใใฏใตใณใใฆใญๅธใใฆใชในใฟๅคง้ใใงใฎ14ๆใใใฎๆ ๅใงใ
ๆๆๅคง็ตฑ้ ๅ่ฃใฎใใฉใใชใใใซใฝใใผใญไธ้ข่ญฐๅกใ้งใใคใใพใใ!
็งใใใคใใฎใกใคใณใจใฏๅๅฏพๅดใซ่กใฃใฆใใพใใ
Forwarded from FreedomNews ๐บ๐ธ๐ง๐ท๐๐๐
Desde terรงa-feira (24), o Brasil passou a empregar os caรงas F-39 Gripen na defesa aรฉrea de Brasรญlia diante de eventuais ameaรงas. A iniciativa faz parte do protocolo permanente de alerta do Planalto Central e marca a entrada oficial das aeronaves em operaรงรฃo โ quase 12 anos apรณs a assinatura do contrato, firmada no fim de 2014.
Atualmente, a Forรงa Aรฉrea Brasileira (FAB) dispรตe de dez unidades do modelo, todas baseadas na Base Aรฉrea de Anรกpolis (GO). De lรก, os Gripen sรฃo operados pelo 1.ยบ Grupo de Defesa Aรฉrea (1.ยบ GDA), o Esquadrรฃo Jaguar, responsรกvel por missรตes que exigem pronta resposta.
A localizaรงรฃo estratรฉgica da base permite uma rรกpida cobertura da capital federal. Em velocidade mรกxima, o F-39 percorre o trajeto entre Anรกpolis e Brasรญlia em cerca de cinco minutos, podendo atingir atรฉ 2.400 km/h, aproximadamente Mach 2, o dobro da velocidade do som.
https://t.me/freedomnewsforyou ๐บ๐ธ๐ง๐ท
Atualmente, a Forรงa Aรฉrea Brasileira (FAB) dispรตe de dez unidades do modelo, todas baseadas na Base Aรฉrea de Anรกpolis (GO). De lรก, os Gripen sรฃo operados pelo 1.ยบ Grupo de Defesa Aรฉrea (1.ยบ GDA), o Esquadrรฃo Jaguar, responsรกvel por missรตes que exigem pronta resposta.
A localizaรงรฃo estratรฉgica da base permite uma rรกpida cobertura da capital federal. Em velocidade mรกxima, o F-39 percorre o trajeto entre Anรกpolis e Brasรญlia em cerca de cinco minutos, podendo atingir atรฉ 2.400 km/h, aproximadamente Mach 2, o dobro da velocidade do som.
https://t.me/freedomnewsforyou ๐บ๐ธ๐ง๐ท
Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (Yo Sasa)
โใใฉใธใซใฏๆๅคง่ญฆๆใซ
ใขใใใชใน็ฉบ่ปๅบๅฐใซๆๆฐใฎๆฆ้ๆฉF-39ใฐใชใใณใใใฉใธใชใขใฎ้ฒ็ฉบ่ญฆๆใฎ็บใซ้ ๅ
ใใฉใธใซใฏ็ซๆๆฅ๏ผ24ๆฅ๏ผใใใใใฉใธใชใขใฎๆฝๅจ็่ ๅจใซๅฏพใใ้ฒ็ฉบๆดปๅใซF-39ใฐใชใใณๆฆ้ๆฉใๅฐๅ ฅใใฆใใพใ
ใใฎๅใ็ตใฟใฏๅคง็ตฑ้ ๅฎ้ธใฎๅธธๆ่ญฆๆใใญใใณใซใฎไธ็ฐใงใใใ2014ๅนดๆซใซ็ท ็ตใใใๅฅ็ดใใ็ด12ๅนดใ็ตใฆใๅๆฉใฎๆญฃๅผใช้็จ้ๅงใจใชใใพใ
็พๅจใใใฉใธใซ็ฉบ่ป๏ผFAB๏ผใฏใใฎๆฉ็จฎใ10ๆฉไฟๆใใฆใใใๅ จใฆใขใใใชใน็ฉบ่ปๅบๅฐ๏ผGO๏ผใซ้ ๅใใใฆใใพใ
ใฐใชใใณใฏใ็ฌฌ1้ฒ็ฉบ่ป็พค๏ผ1st GDA๏ผใฎใธใฃใฌใผ้ฃ่ก้ใซใใฃใฆ้็จใใใ่ฟ ้ใชๅฏพๅฟใๅฟ ่ฆใจใใไปปๅใๆ ใฃใฆใใพใ
ใใฎๅบๅฐใฎๆฆ็ฅ็ใช็ซๅฐใซใใใ้ฃ้ฆ้ฆ้ฝใ่ฟ ้ใซใซใใผใใใใจใๅฏ่ฝใงใ
F-39ใฏๆ้ซ้ๅบฆใงใขใใใชในใจใใฉใธใชใข้ใ็ด5ๅใง้ฃ่กใใๆ้ซ้ๅบฆ2,400km/h๏ผใใใ2ใ้ณ้ใฎ2ๅ๏ผใซ้ใใใใจใใงใใพใ
ใขใใใชใน็ฉบ่ปๅบๅฐใซๆๆฐใฎๆฆ้ๆฉF-39ใฐใชใใณใใใฉใธใชใขใฎ้ฒ็ฉบ่ญฆๆใฎ็บใซ้ ๅ
ใใฉใธใซใฏ็ซๆๆฅ๏ผ24ๆฅ๏ผใใใใใฉใธใชใขใฎๆฝๅจ็่ ๅจใซๅฏพใใ้ฒ็ฉบๆดปๅใซF-39ใฐใชใใณๆฆ้ๆฉใๅฐๅ ฅใใฆใใพใ
ใใฎๅใ็ตใฟใฏๅคง็ตฑ้ ๅฎ้ธใฎๅธธๆ่ญฆๆใใญใใณใซใฎไธ็ฐใงใใใ2014ๅนดๆซใซ็ท ็ตใใใๅฅ็ดใใ็ด12ๅนดใ็ตใฆใๅๆฉใฎๆญฃๅผใช้็จ้ๅงใจใชใใพใ
็พๅจใใใฉใธใซ็ฉบ่ป๏ผFAB๏ผใฏใใฎๆฉ็จฎใ10ๆฉไฟๆใใฆใใใๅ จใฆใขใใใชใน็ฉบ่ปๅบๅฐ๏ผGO๏ผใซ้ ๅใใใฆใใพใ
ใฐใชใใณใฏใ็ฌฌ1้ฒ็ฉบ่ป็พค๏ผ1st GDA๏ผใฎใธใฃใฌใผ้ฃ่ก้ใซใใฃใฆ้็จใใใ่ฟ ้ใชๅฏพๅฟใๅฟ ่ฆใจใใไปปๅใๆ ใฃใฆใใพใ
ใใฎๅบๅฐใฎๆฆ็ฅ็ใช็ซๅฐใซใใใ้ฃ้ฆ้ฆ้ฝใ่ฟ ้ใซใซใใผใใใใจใๅฏ่ฝใงใ
F-39ใฏๆ้ซ้ๅบฆใงใขใใใชในใจใใฉใธใชใข้ใ็ด5ๅใง้ฃ่กใใๆ้ซ้ๅบฆ2,400km/h๏ผใใใ2ใ้ณ้ใฎ2ๅ๏ผใซ้ใใใใจใใงใใพใ
Forwarded from A2Z DREAMZ CHANNEL (A2Z Angela)
A2Z DREAMZ RV Update 3.1.26
Our team does not support or believe in any kind of โthis has to happen firstโ checklist. Not at all. Period.
Whatโs unfolding feels more like a freight train gaining momentum. Only the powers that be truly know how this will roll out. From what we can see, so many variables have been shifted and adjusted along the way โ likely to keep everyone guessing and, most importantly, to throw off those who would try to interfere.
We genuinely believe notifications will come suddenly. For many, it may feel surreal โ even shocking. After being in preparation mode for so long, it might be hard to believe that exchange appointments are actually happening.
Some people place their trust in specific leaders or intel providers as their primary source. And thatโs okay. But we just hope everyone stays open-minded and grounded enough to recognize that this could unfold at any moment โ even if it doesnโt match the timeline or format they expected.
Stay ready. Stay steady.
โค๏ธ A2Z DREAMZ โ ๏ธ
Our team does not support or believe in any kind of โthis has to happen firstโ checklist. Not at all. Period.
Whatโs unfolding feels more like a freight train gaining momentum. Only the powers that be truly know how this will roll out. From what we can see, so many variables have been shifted and adjusted along the way โ likely to keep everyone guessing and, most importantly, to throw off those who would try to interfere.
We genuinely believe notifications will come suddenly. For many, it may feel surreal โ even shocking. After being in preparation mode for so long, it might be hard to believe that exchange appointments are actually happening.
Some people place their trust in specific leaders or intel providers as their primary source. And thatโs okay. But we just hope everyone stays open-minded and grounded enough to recognize that this could unfold at any moment โ even if it doesnโt match the timeline or format they expected.
Stay ready. Stay steady.
โค๏ธ A2Z DREAMZ โ ๏ธ
Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (Nina Sophia Fleyja)
ใ่จณใ
A2Z DREAMZ RV
ใขใใใใผใ 3.1.26
็ง้ใฎใใผใ ใฏใ
ใใพใใใใๅฎ่กใใใชใใใฐใชใใชใใ
ใจใใฃใใใงใใฏใชในใใใๅ จใใใฃใฆใไธๅๆฏๆใไฟกใใใใพใใ
ไป่ตทใใฃใฆใใใใจใฏใใพใใง่ฒจ็ฉๅ่ปใๅขใใๅขใใฆใใใใใชๆใใงใใใใใใฉใฎใใใซๅฑ้ใใฆใใใฎใใ็ใซ็ฅใฃใฆใใใฎใฏๆจฉๅ่ ใ ใใงใ
็ง้ใ่ฆใฆใใ้ใใใใใพใงๅคใใฎๅคๆฐใๅคๅใใ่ชฟๆดใใใฆใใพใใใใใใใ่ชฐใใๅฝๆใใใใใฆไฝใใใใไปๅ ฅใใใใจใใ่ ้ใๆททไนฑใใใใใจใซใชใใงใใใ
็ง้ใฏใ้็ฅใฏ็ช็ถๆฅใใจ็ขบไฟกใใฆใใพใใๅคใใฎไบบใซใจใฃใฆใใใใฏ้็พๅฎ็ใใใใใฏ่กๆ็ใซๆใใใใใใใพใใใ้ทใ้ๆบๅใ็ถใใฆใใๅพใงใฏใไบคๆใฎ็ดๆใๅฎ้ใซ่กใใใใจใฏไฟกใใใใชใใใใใใพใใ
็นๅฎใฎใชใผใใผใๆ ๅ ฑๆไพ่ ใ็ฌฌไธใฎๆ ๅ ฑๆบใจใใฆไฟก้ ผใใไบบใใใพใใใใใฏใใใงๆงใใพใใใ
ใใใใ็ง้ใฏใใ ใใใจใไบๆณใใฆใใใฟใคใ ใฉใคใณใๅฝขๅผใจใฏ้ใฃใฆใใใจใใฆใใใใใใใคไฝๆ่ตทใใใๅใใใชใใจใใใใจใ่ช่ญใงใใใ ใใฎใชใผใใณใใคใณใใจๅท้ใใไฟใฃใฆใใฆใใใใใจใ้กใฃใฆใใพใ
ๆบๅไธ็ซฏใง
ใใฃใใๆงใใฆ
โค๏ธ A2Z DREAMZ โ ๏ธ
A2Z DREAMZ RV
ใขใใใใผใ 3.1.26
็ง้ใฎใใผใ ใฏใ
ใใพใใใใๅฎ่กใใใชใใใฐใชใใชใใ
ใจใใฃใใใงใใฏใชในใใใๅ จใใใฃใฆใไธๅๆฏๆใไฟกใใใใพใใ
ไป่ตทใใฃใฆใใใใจใฏใใพใใง่ฒจ็ฉๅ่ปใๅขใใๅขใใฆใใใใใชๆใใงใใใใใใฉใฎใใใซๅฑ้ใใฆใใใฎใใ็ใซ็ฅใฃใฆใใใฎใฏๆจฉๅ่ ใ ใใงใ
็ง้ใ่ฆใฆใใ้ใใใใใพใงๅคใใฎๅคๆฐใๅคๅใใ่ชฟๆดใใใฆใใพใใใใใใใ่ชฐใใๅฝๆใใใใใฆไฝใใใใไปๅ ฅใใใใจใใ่ ้ใๆททไนฑใใใใใจใซใชใใงใใใ
็ง้ใฏใ้็ฅใฏ็ช็ถๆฅใใจ็ขบไฟกใใฆใใพใใๅคใใฎไบบใซใจใฃใฆใใใใฏ้็พๅฎ็ใใใใใฏ่กๆ็ใซๆใใใใใใใพใใใ้ทใ้ๆบๅใ็ถใใฆใใๅพใงใฏใไบคๆใฎ็ดๆใๅฎ้ใซ่กใใใใจใฏไฟกใใใใชใใใใใใพใใ
็นๅฎใฎใชใผใใผใๆ ๅ ฑๆไพ่ ใ็ฌฌไธใฎๆ ๅ ฑๆบใจใใฆไฟก้ ผใใไบบใใใพใใใใใฏใใใงๆงใใพใใใ
ใใใใ็ง้ใฏใใ ใใใจใไบๆณใใฆใใใฟใคใ ใฉใคใณใๅฝขๅผใจใฏ้ใฃใฆใใใจใใฆใใใใใใใคไฝๆ่ตทใใใๅใใใชใใจใใใใจใ่ช่ญใงใใใ ใใฎใชใผใใณใใคใณใใจๅท้ใใไฟใฃใฆใใฆใใใใใจใ้กใฃใฆใใพใ
ๆบๅไธ็ซฏใง
ใใฃใใๆงใใฆ
โค๏ธ A2Z DREAMZ โ ๏ธ
Forwarded from General Flynn ๏ธ
IRAN SITREP: When euphoria disappears.
Today marks a historic inflection point in the Middle East with global consequences. Military action may achieve tactical objectives, but history teaches that the most consequential phase begins after the initial strikes. When the euphoria fades, strategic reality sets in.
Based on training, experience, and years of studying conflicts and wars, the central question now is not what just happened, but what happens next.
Below are three potential scenarios that frame the path forward.
1. Regime hunkers down and offers a deal (recalibration or IRGCistan). Surviving clerics/IRGC hardliners close ranks around a new figurehead (ie., Ali Larijani or a council). They trade verifiable nuclear/missile/proxy concessions for sanctions relief and breathing room. This is the most likely near-term outcome if internal cohesion holds: a battered but intact theocracy, more pragmatic out of necessity, but still repressive. No full โvictory,โ but threats neutered enough for de-escalation. Oil markets stabilize; region breathes, but the underlying ideology festers.
2. Regime fractures and collapses (the high-reward scenario). This comes w/ decapitation plus sustained degradation sparking mass defections, security forces stand down, and protests (building on recent waves) overwhelm remaining loyalists. This is what Trump explicitly called for: โthe single greatest chance for the Iranian people to take back their Country.โ A potential transition vehicle: Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has positioned himself as a non-permanent transitional figure. His publicly outlined plan covers the first 100-180 days: stabilize currency/economy, form a National Reconciliation Council, seize state media for transparent messaging, amnesty for non-criminal regime elements, humanitarian corridors, and rapid move to a new secular constitution plus internationally supervised elections. He frames it as โmaximum support for the people plus maximum pressure on the regimeโ to trigger internal tipping points.
Upside: A secular, democratic Iran ends 46 years of theocracy, sponsorship of terror, and nuclear roulette. A regional peace dividend (no more Axis of Resistance funding), economic reopening to Western investment, and a historic win for the Iranian people whoโve shown in repeated uprisings they reject the regime.
Downside risks: Power vacuum invites ethnic/sectarian score-settling (Kurds, Baloch, Arabs, Azeris), IRGC remnants turning insurgent, refugee waves, or looting of remaining WMD assets. Without boots on the ground, external influence is limited to aid, broadcasting, and diplomacy.
3. Prolonged mess or state failure. This comes w/ a partial collapse without coherent opposition leadership. Instead, it entails militias, warlordism, or civil strife akin to post-2011 Libya (not a full Iraq 2003 redux since no occupation). Proxies flare; Gulf states get dragged in deeper; China/Russia exploit chaos for influence. This is the nightmare that โeuphoriaโ blinds people to...history shows airpower degrades regimes but rarely installs stable successors alone.
Euphoria is the adrenaline of a necessary and well landed punch. The โwhat thenโ is governance, economics, and reconciliation in a traumatized society. It will be messy, protracted, and must be Iranian led. The strikes bought time and space; whether itโs used for a free Iran or muddled through depends on what happens inside Tehran and on the streets in the coming weeks. History favors the bold who also plan for that day!
https://genflynn.substack.com/p/end-of-euphoria
Today marks a historic inflection point in the Middle East with global consequences. Military action may achieve tactical objectives, but history teaches that the most consequential phase begins after the initial strikes. When the euphoria fades, strategic reality sets in.
Based on training, experience, and years of studying conflicts and wars, the central question now is not what just happened, but what happens next.
Below are three potential scenarios that frame the path forward.
1. Regime hunkers down and offers a deal (recalibration or IRGCistan). Surviving clerics/IRGC hardliners close ranks around a new figurehead (ie., Ali Larijani or a council). They trade verifiable nuclear/missile/proxy concessions for sanctions relief and breathing room. This is the most likely near-term outcome if internal cohesion holds: a battered but intact theocracy, more pragmatic out of necessity, but still repressive. No full โvictory,โ but threats neutered enough for de-escalation. Oil markets stabilize; region breathes, but the underlying ideology festers.
2. Regime fractures and collapses (the high-reward scenario). This comes w/ decapitation plus sustained degradation sparking mass defections, security forces stand down, and protests (building on recent waves) overwhelm remaining loyalists. This is what Trump explicitly called for: โthe single greatest chance for the Iranian people to take back their Country.โ A potential transition vehicle: Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has positioned himself as a non-permanent transitional figure. His publicly outlined plan covers the first 100-180 days: stabilize currency/economy, form a National Reconciliation Council, seize state media for transparent messaging, amnesty for non-criminal regime elements, humanitarian corridors, and rapid move to a new secular constitution plus internationally supervised elections. He frames it as โmaximum support for the people plus maximum pressure on the regimeโ to trigger internal tipping points.
Upside: A secular, democratic Iran ends 46 years of theocracy, sponsorship of terror, and nuclear roulette. A regional peace dividend (no more Axis of Resistance funding), economic reopening to Western investment, and a historic win for the Iranian people whoโve shown in repeated uprisings they reject the regime.
Downside risks: Power vacuum invites ethnic/sectarian score-settling (Kurds, Baloch, Arabs, Azeris), IRGC remnants turning insurgent, refugee waves, or looting of remaining WMD assets. Without boots on the ground, external influence is limited to aid, broadcasting, and diplomacy.
3. Prolonged mess or state failure. This comes w/ a partial collapse without coherent opposition leadership. Instead, it entails militias, warlordism, or civil strife akin to post-2011 Libya (not a full Iraq 2003 redux since no occupation). Proxies flare; Gulf states get dragged in deeper; China/Russia exploit chaos for influence. This is the nightmare that โeuphoriaโ blinds people to...history shows airpower degrades regimes but rarely installs stable successors alone.
Euphoria is the adrenaline of a necessary and well landed punch. The โwhat thenโ is governance, economics, and reconciliation in a traumatized society. It will be messy, protracted, and must be Iranian led. The strikes bought time and space; whether itโs used for a free Iran or muddled through depends on what happens inside Tehran and on the streets in the coming weeks. History favors the bold who also plan for that day!
https://genflynn.substack.com/p/end-of-euphoria
Substack
End of Euphoria
IRAN SITREP: Today was an historic day in the region of the Middle East and around the world.
Forwarded from KAORI๐channel (KAORI๐)
โ
ใ่จณใ
ใคใฉใณใฎ็ถๆณๅ ฑๅ๏ผ่ๅฅฎใๆถใใๆ
ไปๆฅใฏใไธญๆฑใซใจใฃใฆๆญดๅฒ็ใช่ปขๆ็นใจใชใ
่ปไบ่กๅใฏๆฆ่ก็ใช็ฎ็ใ้ๆใใใใใใใชใใใๆญดๅฒใ็คบใใใใซใๆใ้่ฆใชๅฑ้ขใฏๆๅใฎๆปๆใฎๅพใซ่จชใใ
่ๅฅฎใๆถใใๆใๆฆ็ฅ็ใช็พๅฎใ่จชใใ
ใใฌใผใใณใฐใ็ต้จใใใใฆ้ทๅนดใซใใใ็ดไบใๆฆไบใฎ็ ็ฉถใซๅบใฅใใฆใไปใฎ็ฆ็นใฏไฝใ่ตทใใใใงใฏใชใใๆฌกใซไฝใ่ตทใใใใงใใ
ไปฅไธใฏใไปๅพใฎ้็ญใ็คบใ3ใคใฎๆฝๅจใทใใชใชใงใใ
1. ๆฟๆจฉใฏ่บซใๅฎใใๅๅผใๆๆกใใ๏ผๅ่ชฟๆดใพใใฏIRGCไธปๅฐ๏ผ
็ใๆฎใฃใ่่ท่ /IRGCใฎๅผท็กฌๆดพใฏใๆฐใใชๆๅฐ่ ๏ผไพใใฐใใขใชใปใฉใธใฃใคๆฐใ่ฉ่ญฐไผ๏ผใฎๅจใใซ้็ตใใๆค่จผๅฏ่ฝใชๆ ธใปใใตใคใซใปไปฃ็ๆฆไบใฎ่ญฒๆญฉใจๅถ่ฃ็ทฉๅใใใใฆไฝๅฐใฎ็ขบไฟใจๅผใๆใใซใใ
ใใใใๅ ้จ็ใช็ตๆใ็ถญๆใใใฆใใๅ ดๅใฎๆใๅฏ่ฝๆงใฎ้ซใ็ญๆ็ใช็ตๆใงใใ
ๆๆใๅใใใใฎใฎ็กๅทใฎ็ฅๆฟไฝๅถใฏใๅฟ ็ถ็ใซใใๅฎ็จไธป็พฉ็ใซใชใใใฎใฎใไพ็ถใจใใฆๆๅง็ใงใใ
ๅฎๅ จใชใๅๅฉใใฏใชใใใฎใฎใ่ ๅจใฏๅๅใซๆใใใใฆใใใไบๆ ใฏ็ทฉๅใใใ
็ณๆฒนๅธๅ ดใฏๅฎๅฎใใๅฐๅใฏๆฏใใคใใใใใฎ่ๅพใซใใใคใใชใญใฎใผใฏ่ ๆใ็ถใใ
2. ๆฟๆจฉใๅดฉๅฃใใ๏ผ้ซๅ ฑ้ ฌใทใใชใช๏ผ
ใ
ใใใฏใๆๅฐ่ ใฎๆ้คใจๆ็ถ็ใชๅผฑไฝๅใซใใฃใฆๅคง่ฆๆจกใช่ฑ่ตฐใๅผใ่ตทใใใใๆฒปๅฎ้จ้ใ้ไผใใๆ่ญฐ่กๅ๏ผๆ่ฟใฎๆณขใซ็ถใใฆ๏ผใๆฎใใฎๅฟ ๅฎๆดพใๅงๅใใ
ใใใฏใใใฉใณใๆฐใๆ็ขบใซ่ฆๆฑใใฆใใใใฎใงใใ
ใใคใฉใณๅฝๆฐใ่ชๅฝใๅใๆปใใใใฎๆ้ซใฎใใฃใณในใ
ๆฝๅจ็ใช็งป่กๆๆฎต๏ผไบกๅฝใใ็ๅคชๅญใฌใถใปใใใฌใดใฃใฏใ้ๆฐธไน ็ใชๆซๅฎๆๅฐ่ ใจใใฆใฎๅฐไฝใ็ขบไฟใใฆใใ
ๅฝผใฎๅ ฌ้ใใ่จ็ปใฏใๆๅใฎ100๏ฝ180ๆฅ้ใใซใใผใใใใฎใงใ้่ฒจ/็ตๆธใฎๅฎๅฎๅใๅฝๅฎถๅ่งฃ่ฉ่ญฐไผใฎ่จญ็ซใๅฝๅถใกใใฃใขใฎ็ฒๅพใ้็ฏ็ฝช็ใชๆฟๆจฉ่ฆ็ด ใฎๆฉ่ตฆใไบบ้็ใชๅๅปใใใใฆๆฐใใไธไฟๆฒๆณใจๅฝ้็ใซ็ฃ่ฆใใใ้ธๆใธใฎ่ฟ ้ใช็งป่กใๅซใใงใใ
ๅฝผใฏใไบบๆฐใธใฎๆๅคง้ใฎๆฏๆดใจๆฟๆจฉใธใฎๆๅคง้ใฎๅงๅใใๆๅฑใใๅ ้จ็ใช่ปขๆ็นใๅผใ่ตทใใ
ๆ็ใช็น๏ผไธไฟๆฐไธปไธป็พฉใฎใคใฉใณใ46ๅนด้ใฎ็ฅๆฟไฝๅถใใใญๆฏๆดใๆ ธใฎๅฑ้บใ็ตใใใใ
ๅฐๅใฎๅนณๅ้ ๅฝ๏ผๆตๆ่ปธใฎ่ณ้ๆไพใใชใใชใ๏ผใ็ตๆธใ่ฅฟๆดๆ่ณใซๅ้ใใใคใฉใณๅฝๆฐใๆฟๆจฉใๆๅฆใใฆใใใใจใ็คบใใๅไนฑใ็ตใฆๆญดๅฒ็ใชๅๅฉใๅพใ
ไธๆนใชในใฏ๏ผๆจฉๅ็ฉบ็ฝใฏๆฐๆ/ๅฎๆดพใฎๆไบใๆใ๏ผใฏใซใไบบใใใญใไบบใใขใฉใไบบใใขใผใซใใคใธใฃใณไบบ๏ผใIRGCใฎๆฎๅ ใๅไนฑ่ปใซใชใใ้ฃๆฐใฎๆณขใใพใใฏๆฎใใฎๅคง้็ ดๅฃๅ ตๅจใฎ็ฅๅฅช
ๅฐไธ้จ้ใชใใงใฏใๅค้จใฎๅฝฑ้ฟๅใฏๆฏๆดใๆพ้ใๅคไบคใซ้ๅฎใใใ
3. ้ทๆใฎๆททไนฑใพใใฏๅฝๅฎถใฎๅดฉๅฃ
ใใใฏใไธ่ฒซใใๅๅฏพๆดพๆๅฐ่ ใชใใฎ้จๅ็ใชๅดฉๅฃใไผดใ
ไปฃใใใซใๆฐๅ ตใ่ป้ฅใใพใใฏๅ ๆฆใ2011ๅนดไปฅ้ใฎใชใใข๏ผ2003ๅนดใฎใคใฉใฏใฎๅฎๅ จใชๅ็พใงใฏใชใ๏ผใซ้กไผผใใใใฎใซใชใ
ไปฃ็ๆฆไบใๆฟๅใใๆนพๅฒธ่ซธๅฝใใใๆทฑใๅทปใ่พผใพใใไธญๅฝ/ใญใทใขใฏๆททไนฑใใๅฝฑ้ฟๅใๅพใ
ใใใฏใ่ๅฅฎใใไบบใ ใ็ฒ็ฎใซใใๆชๅคขใงใใ...ๆญดๅฒใฏใ็ฉบ็ใงๆฟๆจฉใๅผฑใใใใๅ็ฌใงๅฎๅฎใใๅพ็ถ่ ใ่จญ็ฝฎใใใใจใฏใใฃใใซใชใ
่ๅฅฎใฏใๅฟ ่ฆใง้ฉๅใชไธๆใฎใขใใฌใใชใณใงใใ
ใใใใใใฉใใใใใใฏใใใฉใฆใใซใชใฃใ็คพไผใฎใฌใใใณในใ็ตๆธใใใใฆๅ่งฃใงใใ
ใ
ใใใฏไนฑ้ใงใ้ทๆใซใใใใใฎใงใใใใคใฉใณไธปๅฐใงใชใใใฐใชใใชใ
ๆปๆใฏใๆ้ใจ็ฉบ้ใ่ฒทใฃใ
ใใใ่ช็ฑใชใคใฉใณใซใชใใใๆททไนฑใใใใฏใไปๅพๆฐ้ฑ้ใซใใใฉใณใงไฝใ่ตทใใใใใใใฆ่ก้ ญใงไฝใ่ตทใใใใซใใใฃใฆใใ
ๆญดๅฒใฏๅคง่ใชไบบใ ใๅฅฝใใใใใฎๆฅใฎใใใซ่จ็ปใ็ซใฆใไบบใๅฅฝใ๏ผ
ใ่จณใ
ใคใฉใณใฎ็ถๆณๅ ฑๅ๏ผ่ๅฅฎใๆถใใๆ
ไปๆฅใฏใไธญๆฑใซใจใฃใฆๆญดๅฒ็ใช่ปขๆ็นใจใชใ
่ปไบ่กๅใฏๆฆ่ก็ใช็ฎ็ใ้ๆใใใใใใใชใใใๆญดๅฒใ็คบใใใใซใๆใ้่ฆใชๅฑ้ขใฏๆๅใฎๆปๆใฎๅพใซ่จชใใ
่ๅฅฎใๆถใใๆใๆฆ็ฅ็ใช็พๅฎใ่จชใใ
ใใฌใผใใณใฐใ็ต้จใใใใฆ้ทๅนดใซใใใ็ดไบใๆฆไบใฎ็ ็ฉถใซๅบใฅใใฆใไปใฎ็ฆ็นใฏไฝใ่ตทใใใใงใฏใชใใๆฌกใซไฝใ่ตทใใใใงใใ
ไปฅไธใฏใไปๅพใฎ้็ญใ็คบใ3ใคใฎๆฝๅจใทใใชใชใงใใ
1. ๆฟๆจฉใฏ่บซใๅฎใใๅๅผใๆๆกใใ๏ผๅ่ชฟๆดใพใใฏIRGCไธปๅฐ๏ผ
็ใๆฎใฃใ่่ท่ /IRGCใฎๅผท็กฌๆดพใฏใๆฐใใชๆๅฐ่ ๏ผไพใใฐใใขใชใปใฉใธใฃใคๆฐใ่ฉ่ญฐไผ๏ผใฎๅจใใซ้็ตใใๆค่จผๅฏ่ฝใชๆ ธใปใใตใคใซใปไปฃ็ๆฆไบใฎ่ญฒๆญฉใจๅถ่ฃ็ทฉๅใใใใฆไฝๅฐใฎ็ขบไฟใจๅผใๆใใซใใ
ใใใใๅ ้จ็ใช็ตๆใ็ถญๆใใใฆใใๅ ดๅใฎๆใๅฏ่ฝๆงใฎ้ซใ็ญๆ็ใช็ตๆใงใใ
ๆๆใๅใใใใฎใฎ็กๅทใฎ็ฅๆฟไฝๅถใฏใๅฟ ็ถ็ใซใใๅฎ็จไธป็พฉ็ใซใชใใใฎใฎใไพ็ถใจใใฆๆๅง็ใงใใ
ๅฎๅ จใชใๅๅฉใใฏใชใใใฎใฎใ่ ๅจใฏๅๅใซๆใใใใฆใใใไบๆ ใฏ็ทฉๅใใใ
็ณๆฒนๅธๅ ดใฏๅฎๅฎใใๅฐๅใฏๆฏใใคใใใใใฎ่ๅพใซใใใคใใชใญใฎใผใฏ่ ๆใ็ถใใ
2. ๆฟๆจฉใๅดฉๅฃใใ๏ผ้ซๅ ฑ้ ฌใทใใชใช๏ผ
ใ
ใใใฏใๆๅฐ่ ใฎๆ้คใจๆ็ถ็ใชๅผฑไฝๅใซใใฃใฆๅคง่ฆๆจกใช่ฑ่ตฐใๅผใ่ตทใใใใๆฒปๅฎ้จ้ใ้ไผใใๆ่ญฐ่กๅ๏ผๆ่ฟใฎๆณขใซ็ถใใฆ๏ผใๆฎใใฎๅฟ ๅฎๆดพใๅงๅใใ
ใใใฏใใใฉใณใๆฐใๆ็ขบใซ่ฆๆฑใใฆใใใใฎใงใใ
ใใคใฉใณๅฝๆฐใ่ชๅฝใๅใๆปใใใใฎๆ้ซใฎใใฃใณในใ
ๆฝๅจ็ใช็งป่กๆๆฎต๏ผไบกๅฝใใ็ๅคชๅญใฌใถใปใใใฌใดใฃใฏใ้ๆฐธไน ็ใชๆซๅฎๆๅฐ่ ใจใใฆใฎๅฐไฝใ็ขบไฟใใฆใใ
ๅฝผใฎๅ ฌ้ใใ่จ็ปใฏใๆๅใฎ100๏ฝ180ๆฅ้ใใซใใผใใใใฎใงใ้่ฒจ/็ตๆธใฎๅฎๅฎๅใๅฝๅฎถๅ่งฃ่ฉ่ญฐไผใฎ่จญ็ซใๅฝๅถใกใใฃใขใฎ็ฒๅพใ้็ฏ็ฝช็ใชๆฟๆจฉ่ฆ็ด ใฎๆฉ่ตฆใไบบ้็ใชๅๅปใใใใฆๆฐใใไธไฟๆฒๆณใจๅฝ้็ใซ็ฃ่ฆใใใ้ธๆใธใฎ่ฟ ้ใช็งป่กใๅซใใงใใ
ๅฝผใฏใไบบๆฐใธใฎๆๅคง้ใฎๆฏๆดใจๆฟๆจฉใธใฎๆๅคง้ใฎๅงๅใใๆๅฑใใๅ ้จ็ใช่ปขๆ็นใๅผใ่ตทใใ
ๆ็ใช็น๏ผไธไฟๆฐไธปไธป็พฉใฎใคใฉใณใ46ๅนด้ใฎ็ฅๆฟไฝๅถใใใญๆฏๆดใๆ ธใฎๅฑ้บใ็ตใใใใ
ๅฐๅใฎๅนณๅ้ ๅฝ๏ผๆตๆ่ปธใฎ่ณ้ๆไพใใชใใชใ๏ผใ็ตๆธใ่ฅฟๆดๆ่ณใซๅ้ใใใคใฉใณๅฝๆฐใๆฟๆจฉใๆๅฆใใฆใใใใจใ็คบใใๅไนฑใ็ตใฆๆญดๅฒ็ใชๅๅฉใๅพใ
ไธๆนใชในใฏ๏ผๆจฉๅ็ฉบ็ฝใฏๆฐๆ/ๅฎๆดพใฎๆไบใๆใ๏ผใฏใซใไบบใใใญใไบบใใขใฉใไบบใใขใผใซใใคใธใฃใณไบบ๏ผใIRGCใฎๆฎๅ ใๅไนฑ่ปใซใชใใ้ฃๆฐใฎๆณขใใพใใฏๆฎใใฎๅคง้็ ดๅฃๅ ตๅจใฎ็ฅๅฅช
ๅฐไธ้จ้ใชใใงใฏใๅค้จใฎๅฝฑ้ฟๅใฏๆฏๆดใๆพ้ใๅคไบคใซ้ๅฎใใใ
3. ้ทๆใฎๆททไนฑใพใใฏๅฝๅฎถใฎๅดฉๅฃ
ใใใฏใไธ่ฒซใใๅๅฏพๆดพๆๅฐ่ ใชใใฎ้จๅ็ใชๅดฉๅฃใไผดใ
ไปฃใใใซใๆฐๅ ตใ่ป้ฅใใพใใฏๅ ๆฆใ2011ๅนดไปฅ้ใฎใชใใข๏ผ2003ๅนดใฎใคใฉใฏใฎๅฎๅ จใชๅ็พใงใฏใชใ๏ผใซ้กไผผใใใใฎใซใชใ
ไปฃ็ๆฆไบใๆฟๅใใๆนพๅฒธ่ซธๅฝใใใๆทฑใๅทปใ่พผใพใใไธญๅฝ/ใญใทใขใฏๆททไนฑใใๅฝฑ้ฟๅใๅพใ
ใใใฏใ่ๅฅฎใใไบบใ ใ็ฒ็ฎใซใใๆชๅคขใงใใ...ๆญดๅฒใฏใ็ฉบ็ใงๆฟๆจฉใๅผฑใใใใๅ็ฌใงๅฎๅฎใใๅพ็ถ่ ใ่จญ็ฝฎใใใใจใฏใใฃใใซใชใ
่ๅฅฎใฏใๅฟ ่ฆใง้ฉๅใชไธๆใฎใขใใฌใใชใณใงใใ
ใใใใใใฉใใใใใใฏใใใฉใฆใใซใชใฃใ็คพไผใฎใฌใใใณในใ็ตๆธใใใใฆๅ่งฃใงใใ
ใ
ใใใฏไนฑ้ใงใ้ทๆใซใใใใใฎใงใใใใคใฉใณไธปๅฐใงใชใใใฐใชใใชใ
ๆปๆใฏใๆ้ใจ็ฉบ้ใ่ฒทใฃใ
ใใใ่ช็ฑใชใคใฉใณใซใชใใใๆททไนฑใใใใฏใไปๅพๆฐ้ฑ้ใซใใใฉใณใงไฝใ่ตทใใใใใใใฆ่ก้ ญใงไฝใ่ตทใใใใซใใใฃใฆใใ
ๆญดๅฒใฏๅคง่ใชไบบใ ใๅฅฝใใใใใฎๆฅใฎใใใซ่จ็ปใ็ซใฆใไบบใๅฅฝใ๏ผ
Forwarded from General Flynn ๏ธ
Israeli media reports that Iranโs acting supreme leader, Ayatollah Arafeh, was killed in new strikes on Tehran. He was appointed today following the death of Khamenei in previous joint military operations.
That said, what is emerging now even more than President Trumpโs first term and his 2nd termโs first year of operations is a:
Trump War Doctrine (like it or not):
It is:
Precise, lethal, and decisive. Without question, deadly.
A big question that must be asked is, โwhat will be the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th order consequences?โ
That said, what is emerging now even more than President Trumpโs first term and his 2nd termโs first year of operations is a:
Trump War Doctrine (like it or not):
It is:
Precise, lethal, and decisive. Without question, deadly.
A big question that must be asked is, โwhat will be the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th order consequences?โ