Monitoring The Situation
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Monitoring High Risk Conflicts, learning with community, Major Updates, with personal frustration & views

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IRAN FM: Our powerful Armed Forces are confirmed as 1st to strike down a touted F-35.
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IRAN FM: Months after initiation of war on Iran, US Congress acknowledges loss of dozens of aircraft worth billions.

Our powerful Armed Forces are confirmed as 1st to strike down a touted F-35.

With lessons learned and knowledge we gained, return to war will feature many more surprises
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U.S. SENATE ADVANCES BILL TO HALT IRAN STRIKES WITHOUT CONGRESSIONAL APPROVAL
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South Korea-operated vessel safely transiting Hormuz Strait after consultations with Iranian authorities
Netanyahu and Trump held what Israel’s N12 News described as a “lengthy and dramatic” phone call overnight, amid growing speculation over a possible new strike on Iran.
Netanyahu will skip both the opening of the Knesset session and a key vote on dissolving parliament today: FN
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Three supertankers carrying crude oil to Asia attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday, two days after Iran announced a new authority to oversee shipping through the waterway.

Two ships were carrying Iraqi crude to China while a third was transporting Kuwaiti oil to South Korea, according to shipping data. All three were broadcasting their location and destination publicly

It is most likely that there was a deal done,” with Tehran, said Matthew Wright, lead shipping analyst at data company Kpler.
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Wright cautioned against interpreting Wednesday’s movements as evidence of a broader reopening of Gulf oil flows.

“What we have seen is a handful of negotiated transits. Fundamentally, nothing has changed,” he said. “The real test will be whether we see more Chinese or Korean-bound vessels going forward.”
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CHINA SET TO IMPOSE MINING CONTROLS ON SOME STRATEGIC MINERALS
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The rules set a minimum five-year term for strategic mineral resource reserves kept at their source, with post-term reviews by State Council authorities to determine extensions or adjustments.
They also stipulate that strategic mineral resources ‌reserved ⁠by the state may not be mined or encroached upon without approval from the State Council's natural resources authority.
US INFORMED PAKISTAN THAT IT WILL NOT OFFER CONCESSIONS ON THE NUCLEAR DEMANDS AND THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ
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Monitoring The Situation
BURNING FOOD FOR FUEL India Bans Sugar Exports for Four Months to Protect Supply Funds have almost tripled their net bets on soyabean oil, which is used to produce biodiesel,...In corn, an ingredient in ethanol, they have switched from being positioned for…
Indonesia's move to channel palm oil exports through a central agency could disrupt supplies of the world's most traded edible ‌oil, concentrating pricing power and potentially boosting exports from No. 2 producer Malaysia.

Indonesia accounts for more than half of global palm oil shipments. Its past export-restricting moves to prioritise local sales and boost supplies for biodiesel have lifted prices of palm oil as well ⁠as rival edible oils like soyoil and sunflower oil.

The palm oil market was already facing tighter flows from rising biodiesel demand and dry El Nino-related weather.
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IRAN'S PARLIAMENT SPEAKER SAYS OBVIOUS AND HIDDEN MOVES OF THE 'ENEMY' SHOW THEY ARE SEEKING A NEW ROUND OF WAR
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US total crude inventories fell last week ~17.8 million barrels (that's commercial and SPR stocks combined). On that basis, it's the largest weekly fall since data is available starting in 1982: JB

(Can take 30% impact discount bc world is less dependent on oil but still huge)
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Monitoring The Situation
Video
Fresh New Exclusive from Trump:

"We're in final stages of Iran. We'll see what happens. Either have a deal or we're going to do some things that are a little bit nasty, but hopefully that won't happen."

(President of United States for the first time speaking on Iran War)
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TRUMP: WE MAY HAVE TO HIT IRAN EVEN HARDER, BUT MAYBE NOT
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