Monitoring The Situation
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Monitoring High Risk Conflicts, learning with community, Major Updates, with personal frustration & views

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And SPX ATH AS EXPECTED
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The state of the Iran MOU talks according to WSJ:

1) Collate multiple docs into one-page, 14-point MOU

2) MOU would guide further talks, maybe in Islamabad

3) Iran showed more openness to discuss nuclear issues in ways closer to US position

4) Uranium enrichment remains sticking point (but both sides are negotiating on length)

5) Both sides are also discussing the possible removal of some of the high-enriched stockpiles abroad, though Iran remains opposed to any such transfer to the U.S., the Iranian official said.
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Reports of an Israeli strike in Beirut. This would be the first IDF attack in this area since the ceasefire started: FN
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With the authorization of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz, the IDF has just carried out a strike in Beirut against the commander of Hezbollahโ€™s Radwan Force in order to neutralize him.
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The White House wants a diplomatic breakthrough in Iran Talks by the time Trump wraps his China trip next Friday, officials say. If no deal is in hand by then, the president could again consider ordering military action: Axios
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IRAN ISSUES MESSAGE TO COMMERCIAL VESSELS IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ SAYING IRAN'S PORTS FULLY PREPARED TO PROVIDE GENERAL MARITIME SERVICES AND SUPPORT TO THE VESSELS -IRNA
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GHALIBAF: OPERATION TRUST ME BRO FAILED. NOW BACK TO ROUTINE WITH OPERATION FAUXIOS
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https://x.com/i/status/2052153078426567170

Imo: Barak is right Axios memes are good and fun, but cmon at the end of the day, this guy is a journalist for Axios and CNN. Why are people trusting some random fake engagement account that regularly posts fake news? How stupid. And why is Barak even responding to such nonsense posts directed at Elon bucks?

FYI, oil started dumping like 1hr before the headline, the reason could be anything from 'trump post' some hrs before axios headline to hegseth saying operation is over to ceasefire is not over to Iran denying attacking UAE', etc. So many headlines are flying everywhere right now, it could literally be anything. And if the market has already decided that Axios is fake, then why did the market react to it at all??

If multiple people are engaged in a discussion this big, maybe it could get leaked, again not very surprising. But blaming a journalist for that is just crazy. Blame Trump or Pakistan sources, they probably leaked it, not Axios.

Article clearly said "U.S. expect a response from Tehran in the next 24-48 hours. "We are not far, but there is no deal yet" like discussions are taking place but can happen or not depending on Iran obv or trump not like axios declared SOH opened or declared war is over or something

things leak like "we expect this might happen"- not like "this is definitely happening." And "axios releasing article get ready" Oil was weak the whole time after Trump anyway. This is the exact same timeline as last time, when everyone was crying over the oil dump 20minutes before the Trump announcement about ceasefire But you know what happened, maybe there was some headline on some terminal, who knows. But please don't trash a journalist over some fake copy-pasta from a so-called "citizen journalist" working for Elon bucks. (And yes real deal and discussions takes time maybe trump administration is lying to Axios who knows but how could axios know about this? Maybe pakistan, Bloomberg, WSJ, Trump officials and Trump all are planning this theatre and even iran bc they also said we have received the new 14 point plan so maybe everyone is insider trading but yeah just blame a journalist and we all should trust a fking engagement fake account yeah right? Get your shit together guys don't spread such nonsense

Major Problem: people just don't read beyond headlines and then trust such baseless engagement baits over reading the articles, pls start reading long form text

Ref1: https://t.me/MonitoringSituation/4336

Ref2: https://t.me/MonitoringSituation/4482

Thank You
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US LOOKING TO RESTART "PROJECT FREEDOM" TO UNBLOCK STRAIT OF HORMUZ, ACCORDING TO THE US OFFICIALS - WSJ

SAUDI ARABIA AND KUWAIT HAVE LIFTED RESTRICTIONS ON THE U.S. MILITARYโ€™S USE OF THEIR BASES AND AIRSPACE

It isnโ€™t clear when that could happen though Pentagon officials gave a timeline of as early as this week
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Some Sources: Explosion sounds in Bandar Abbas and Qeshm are related to the operations of the IRGC Navy to warn some ships about unauthorized passage through the Strait of Hormuz: Iran's Tasnim
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Monitoring The Situation
Some Sources: Explosion sounds in Bandar Abbas and Qeshm are related to the operations of the IRGC Navy to warn some ships about unauthorized passage through the Strait of Hormuz: Iran's Tasnim
AN ISRAELI SOURCE TO I24NEWS: ISRAEL HAS NO CONNECTION TO THE EXPLOSIONS IN IRAN

IRAN FORCES EXCHANGED FIRE WITH ENEMY NEAR BANDAR ABBAS: FARS

IRAN'S FARS CITES INVESTIGATION ON BLASTS NEAR BANDAR ABBAS

BUT A THOROUGH INVESTIGATION ONGOING
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Monitoring The Situation
AN ISRAELI SOURCE TO I24NEWS: ISRAEL HAS NO CONNECTION TO THE EXPLOSIONS IN IRAN IRAN FORCES EXCHANGED FIRE WITH ENEMY NEAR BANDAR ABBAS: FARS IRAN'S FARS CITES INVESTIGATION ON BLASTS NEAR BANDAR ABBAS BUT A THOROUGH INVESTIGATION ONGOING
Some sources say that the sound of several explosions in Bandar Abbas was related to air defense countering two drones.

Also, some sources report hostile action by the UAE government at Bahman Qeshm Dock.

This reports not yet been officially confirmed: Tasnim
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United Arab Emirates has now attacked Iran: Iran's Mehr
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Monitoring The Situation
United Arab Emirates has now attacked Iran: Iran's Mehr
(imo not confirmed yet) but who knows; atleast not officially confirmed yet
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SENIOR IRANIAN MILITARY OFFICIAL: US ATTACKED IRANIAN OIL TANKER

SENIOR IRANIAN MILITARY OFFICIAL: IRANIAN MISSILES HIT US UNITS IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ, DAMAGED US UNITS FORCED TO FLEE - IRIB

EXPLOSION NOISES IN QESHM TRIGGERED BY AIR DEFENSES TARGETING MULTIPLE SMALL DRONES - IRAN'S MIZAN NEWS AGENCY, CITING SOURCES

NO EXPLOSIONS OR CLASHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN SIRIK

(Looks like was just drones and some tanker fighting in SOH btw Iran and US)
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US MILITARY JUST CARRIED OUT STRIKES ON IRANโ€™S QESHM PORT AND BANDAR ABBAS -FOX NEWS
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BUT THIS IS NOT A RESTARTING OF THE WAR: FOX
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[Sources close to White House reports that Washington โ€˜peace bombedโ€™ Iranian ports as a way to celebrate the end of the war]

This was follow up on the iranian tradition, trump was inspired by it, very well done mr President)
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Fyi: UAE explosion report is about iran claims of targeting U.S warship (not like explosion in Abu Dhabi); more like near cost of Abu Dhabi
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IRGC: U.S. violated the ceasefire by targeting an Iranian oil tanker, as well as another ship that was entering the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, they launched airstrikes. In response, the armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran immediately attacked American military ships east of the Strait of Hormuz and south of the port of Chabahar, causing significant damage to them.

(Sort of stopped from threatening a retaliation strike imo, maybe can take a win with launching missiles at US warships maybe it was peace strikes from both sides)

US retaliated for UAE strikes and Iran for US strikes, show over gn)
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TRUMP SAYS RETALIATORY STRIKES AGAINST IRANIAN TARGETS ARE JUST A "LOVE TAP."
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