Monitoring The Situation
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Monitoring High Risk Conflicts, learning with community, Major Updates, with personal frustration & views

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TRUMP: [IRAN] HAS MADE STRIVES [TOWARDS A DEAL], BUT I'M NOT SURE THEY'LL EVER GET THERE. IRAN HAS 2-3 GROUPS, MAYBE 4, ITS A VERY DISJOINTED LEADERSHIP
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TRUMP: HORMUZ STRAIT IS 100% SHUT DOWN
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TRUMP ON POTENTIAL IRAN STRIKES : WHY WOULD I TELL YOU
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Trump on Friday told congressional leaders that "hostilities" with Iran have "terminated," addressing a critical 60-day deadline under a law meant to limit the unauthorized use of military force.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Thursday said that the ceasefire stopped the clock on the 60-day deadline to get congressional authorization.

During military strikes in Somalia in 1993, President Bill Clinton's administration argued it did not need approval from Congress because the hostilities were not "sustained." During Clinton's second term, the administration continued its bombing campaign in Kosovo past the 60-day deadline, arguing that lawmakers had authorized the operations by approving funding for them.

"Despite the success of United States operations against the Iranian regime and continued efforts to secure a lasting peace, the threat posed by Iran to the United States and our Armed Forces remains significant," the president added in the letter, promising to keep congressional leaders updated on further developments in Iran.

The letters come as congressional leaders this week faced mounting questions about whether they planned to schedule votes on a formal war authorization from Congress.
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2hrs ago: The new Iranian proposal takes a step toward the U.S. by offering to discuss Tehran’s conditions for opening the Strait of Hormuz at the same time as U.S. guarantees to end its attacks and unwind its blockade of Iranian ports, people familiar with the details said.

The new proposal then calls for discussing the issues around Iran’s nuclear file in exchange for U.S. sanctions relief, the people said

Iran has indicated to mediators that it would be ready to sit down for talks in Pakistan by early next week if Washington is open to the new proposal, the people said: WSJ
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TRUMP: I THOUGHT THE STOCK MARKET WOULD GO DOWN BY 25%
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YEMENI COAST GUARD: KIDNAPPING OF AN OIL TANKER OFF THE COAST OF SHABWA GOVERNORATE
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CHINA ORDERED COMPANIES NOT TO COMPLY WITH US SANCTIONS ON FIVE DOMESTIC REFINERS LINKED TO IRANIAN OIL TRADE

China invoked the blocking statute for the first time, ordering all firms not to recognise, enforce, or comply with US sanctions imposed under EO 13902 & 13846 targeting 5 Chinese teapot refineries for their involvement in Iranian oil transactions.

More info as context: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/09/business/china-rules-trump-biden-sanctions.html
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TANKERTRACKERS: KUWAIT EXPORTED ZERO BARRELS OF CRUDE OIL IN APRIL 2026, THE FIRST TIME SINCE THE END OF THE GULF WAR
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Trump: I will soon be reviewing the plan that Iran has just sent to us, but can’t imagine that it would be acceptable in that they have not yet paid a big enough price for what they have done to Humanity, and the World, over the last 47 years. Thank you for your attention to this matter!
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The world’s largest container carrier plans a new service linking Europe with isolated Middle East ports, using trucking across Saudi Arabia and smaller vessels in the Persian Gulf instead of transiting the blocked Strait of Hormuz.
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Channel photo updated
IRGC INTERCEPTS AND STOPS A NUMBER OF SHIPS NEAR RAS AL KHAIMAH, UAE: IRANIAN MEDIA

IRGC FORCES ALSO ATTACKED A CARGO VESSEL NEAR SIRIK, IRAN AS IT TRANSITED THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ
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IRANIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESPERSON: US RESPONDED TO IRAN'S 14-POINT PLAN VIA PAKISTAN, WE ARE REVIEWING IT - IRANIAN STATE MEDIA
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PRESIDENT TRUMP TELLS TO KAN NEWS: IRANIAN PROPOSAL IS UNACCEPTABLE
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TRUMP ON IRAN PROPOSAL: IT’S NOT ACCEPTABLE TO ME. I’VE STUDIED IT, I’VE STUDIED EVERYTHING – IT’S NOT ACCEPTABLE
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Trump: Countries from all over the World, almost all of which are not involved in the Middle Eastern dispute going on so visibly, and violently, for all to see, have asked the United States if we could help free up their Ships, which are locked up in the Strait of Hormuz, on something which they have absolutely nothing to do with — They are merely neutral and innocent bystanders! For the good of Iran, the Middle East, and the United States, we have told these Countries that we will guide their Ships safely out of these restricted Waterways, so that they can freely and ably get on with their business. Again, these are Ships from areas of the World that are not in any way involved with that which is currently taking place in the Middle East. I have told my Representatives to inform them that we will use best efforts to get their Ships and Crews safely out of the Strait. In all cases, they said they will not be returning until the area becomes safe for navigation, and everything else. This process, Project Freedom, will begin Monday morning, Middle East time. I am fully aware that my Representatives are having very positive discussions with the Country of Iran, and that these discussions could lead to something very positive for all. The Ship movement is merely meant to free up people, companies, and Countries that have done absolutely nothing wrong — They are victims of circumstance. This is a Humanitarian gesture on behalf of the United States, Middle Eastern Countries but, in particular, the Country of Iran. Many of these Ships are running low on food, and everything else necessary for largescale crews to stay on board in a healthy and sanitary manner. I think it would go a long way in showing Goodwill on behalf of all of those who have been fighting so strenuously over the last number of months. If, in any way, this Humanitarian process is interfered with, that interference will, unfortunately, have to be dealt with forcefully. Thank you for your attention to this matter!
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Monitoring The Situation
Trump: Countries from all over the World, almost all of which are not involved in the Middle Eastern dispute going on so visibly, and violently, for all to see, have asked the United States if we could help free up their Ships, which are locked up in the Strait…
(60day deadline ended on may1 and trump legally cannot continue war so now this new twist, and If Iran attacks, Iran starts the new conflict not trump and then U.S. can respond with full force and it will trigger a new 60day deadline (?) and he also added Humanitarian factor.

So now either iran end blockade or trump starts again

12-dimensional chess move by Mr president)

(Just a thought guys)
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(so U.S. will NOT escort ships!)

The new effort, which Trump dubbed “Project Freedom,” is a process through which countries, insurance companies and shipping organizations can coordinate moving traffic through the Strait, according to a senior U.S. official. It doesn’t currently involve U.S. Navy warships escorting vessels through the strait, the official said: WSJ

This Project Freedom will tell US-flagged ships and others the safe lanes to navigate the Strait of Hormuz (aka no mines, etc.) according to WSJ

(But they already know about safe lanes so?, finding safe lanes is not the issue here imo lol, but IRGC)

(So Not a 12d move then, sorry guys) Mr President is just hoping for the best here)
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IRGC: WE WARN THAT ANY FOREIGN FORCE, ESPECIALLY THE US MILITARY, WILL BE ATTACKED IF IT APPROACHES HORMUZ
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