Monitoring The Situation
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Monitoring High Risk Conflicts, learning with community, Major Updates, with personal frustration & views

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UAE announces to exit OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026
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UAE ENERGY MINISTER, WHEN ASKED WHETHER SAUDI ARABIA WAS CONSULTED: WE DID NOT CONSULT DIRECTLY WITH ANYONE FOR THE DECISION
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Trump: Iran has just informed us that they are in a “State of Collapse.” They want us to “Open the Hormuz Strait,” as soon as possible, as they try to figure out their leadership situation (Which I believe they will be able to do!). Thank you for your attention to this matter!
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IRAN Mission to UN: Iran is not a party to the 1982 UN Convention on the Law of the Sea. Therefore, it is not bound by its treaty-based provisions.
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Monitoring The Situation
(instead of Axios, they deployed Trump this time Just minute before Market Open)
China is poised to resume exporting jet fuel, gasoline and diesel from May, in a move that could significantly ease the worldwide shortages caused by the Iran conflict.

The country’s large state oil companies have applied for export permits to ship fuel in May, according to several trading sources, signalling that a ban that was introduced at the start of the war to protect domestic supplies may be relaxed.

Before the war began, China was exporting almost 800,000 barrels a day of refined fuels, according to data from Kpler. That total roughly halved in April.
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Monitoring The Situation
(instead of Axios, they deployed Trump this time Just minute before Market Open)
(mr too predictable president the truth social strategy failed, SPX down ~1%, Oil Up, so deploy Axios immediately now!, Thank You)
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Monitoring The Situation
(mr too predictable president the truth social strategy failed, SPX down ~1%, Oil Up, so deploy Axios immediately now!, Thank You)
Mediators in Pakistan expect to receive a revised proposal from Iran in the next few days to end the war, after US President Donald Trump indicated that he would not accept an earlier version, sources close to the mediation process told CNN.

(We got CNN instead)
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Not expecting the UAE to FLOOD the market once the war ends and Hormuz flows resume. But will they will have the flexibility to produce higher than their prewar quota: Amena Bakr (Head of Middle East Energy at Kpler)
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REUTERS, CITING A US SOURCE: THERE ARE MILITARY OPTIONS ON THE TABLE, INCLUDING AIR STRIKES ON IRANIAN MILITARY AND POLITICAL LEADERS
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CHINA SULFUR PRICES HIT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 2009
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Trump: Iran can’t get their act together. They don’t know how to sign a nonnuclear deal. They better get smart soon!
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Monitoring The Situation
JAPANESE TANKER IDEMITSU MARU CROSSED THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ
(this was some evacuation according to PM takaichi)

https://x.com/takaichi_sanae/status/2049371932659953997

(We should only focus on inbound vessels going forward for SOH)
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WTI > 103
BRENT > 115

(SPX ATH, AXIOS, PAKISTAN, TRUTH SOCIAL deployment Failed, mr Too Predictable President now what?)
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TRUMP AND OIL COMPANIES DISCUSSED STEPS TO CONTINUE IRAN BLOCKADE FOR MONTHS IF NEEDED

Also few hours ago: In recent meetings, including a Monday discussion in the Situation Room, Trump opted to continue squeezing Iran’s economy and oil exports by preventing shipping to and from its ports. He assessed that his other options—resume bombing or walk away from the conflict—carried more risk than maintaining the blockade, officials said.
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Monitoring The Situation
Time Is Running Out
Time Is Running Out

And SPX ATH and trump yapping not gonna solve physical reality)

Started with Asia (in process), about to hit EU (next week or so) and then United States (in few weeks)
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Netanyahu is not expected to travel to the United States next week: Israel PM Office
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President of United States of Zimbabwe is *fking* lying

But SPX at ATH
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