Monitoring The Situation
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Monitoring High Risk Conflicts, learning with community, Major Updates, with personal frustration & views

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The U.S. had pushed for a permanent end to Iran’s enrichment program but last week was open to accepting a 20-year Iranian suspension of the program. For Trump, going any lower would make a deal appear similar to the 2015 nuclear deal that he has long lambasted. That accord prevented Iran from producing enriched uranium above 3.67% for 15 years.

Officials close to the talks say that some flexibility has appeared over the issue in recent days, with Tehran exploring if Washington would be open to it carrying out some enrichment-related work after 10 years. One proposal under consideration among the mediators would see Iran suspend enrichment for a decade and then permit Tehran to produce a modest amount of low-enriched uranium for at least another 10 years.
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A senior adviser to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Tehran said the paramilitary force isn’t opposed in principle to a resumption of talks but it wants Iran to go into those talks with greater leverage

An Arab official in the region said the Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, is seeking to secure a grand pact with the U.S. that would ultimately normalize relationships between the two countries
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Iranian parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf: Vibe-trading digital oil is like vibe-hedging in treasuries during Hormuz risk-off. Both share one house of cards that works on paper.
Difference: oil at least has Dated Brent. Treasuries? Vibes all the way down.
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Iran-US Negotiations Will Happen This Week?
Anonymous Poll
57%
Yes
43%
No
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Two giant U.S. C-17 cargo planes landed at an air base on Sunday afternoon, carrying security equipment and vehicles in preparation for the U.S. delegation's arrival, two Pakistani ⁠security sources said. A U.S. team of security staff and officials arrived overnight in Islamabad, officials said. Nearly 20k security personnel have been deployed, with hotels and hostels around the talks venue and routes cleared, and public transport suspended in Islamabad: reuters
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Iran FM Spox: We submitted a 10-point proposal to Pakistan

Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman: We will make the appropriate decision regarding the negotiations precisely while taking our interests into consideration (No decision made yet, (ofc)
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IRAN: FORCES AVOIDED IMMEDIATE RETALIATION FOR ALLEGED US SHIP ATTACK DUE TO FAMILIES ON BOARD, VOWS FUTURE RESPONSE
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U.S. officials say that despite the public bluster, the US and Iran have made strides toward a deal since the first round of negotiations on April 12th: NYT- FN
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30min ago: Iran willing to attend second round of talks with US, Pakistan officials say: AP

Iran’s refusal of second round of US peace talks was β€˜posturing’: Pakistani sources: NYP

Also for the first time Chinese President Xi Jinping has publicly called for the reopening of the SoH
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TEHRAN TACO
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Iran reopens main airports in capital Tehran: aviation authority.

Additionally, ten other airports across the country will reopen on Saturday.
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Trump: if Iran’s new leaders (Regime Change!) are smart, Iran can have a great and prosperous future!
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Monitoring The Situation
(you guys forgot what he said few days ago so quickly??)
9am: Trump says Vance already left for Pakistan

10am: CNN says Vance not left Pakistan yet

10:30am: Trump says vance will leave later on Monday

11am: CNN, NYT says Vance will for Pakistan on Tuesday

xAM: waiting for Trump reply....
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India: 10 of our ships safely crossed Strait of Hormuz following coordination with Iran.
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An Iranian delegation is making plans to travel to Islamabad on Tuesday for negotiations with the United States, according to two senior Iranian officials familiar with the plans. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf leading the talks, will attend if VP Vance also attends: NYT
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TRUMP: THE DEAL THAT WE ARE MAKING WITH IRAN WILL BE FAR BETTER THAN THE JCPOA, COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS β€œTHE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL,” PENNED BY BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA AND SLEEPY JOE BIDEN, ONE OF THE WORST DEALS EVER MADE HAVING TO DO WITH THE SECURITY OF OUR COUNTRY
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TRUMP: I AM UNDER NO PRESSURE TO MAKE A DEAL. THIS IS NOT TRUE! I AM UNDER NO PRESSURE WHATSOEVER
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Trump wants it done. He doesn't like Iran holding [its control of the strait] over the Middle East. He doesn't like them holding this over our heads. He doesn't want to fight anymore. But he will if he feels he has to," an administration official told Axios
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TRUMP DOESN'T WANT TO FIGHT ANYMORE
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Iranian parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf: We do not accept negotiations under the shadow of threats, and in the past two weeks, we have prepared to reveal new cards on the battlefield.

(Tldr: Tommorow/Wednesday he will be there in Pakistan for talks) Unless Vance Cancels the Trip to Pakistan not expected but ...yk)
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