Monitoring The Situation
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Monitoring High Risk Conflicts, learning with community, Major Updates, with personal frustration & views

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Iran State Media: New details of the Strait of Hormuz management plan, According to Chairman of the Parliament's Civil Commission:

1. The passage of any vessel or cargo belonging to or related to the israel through the Strait of Hormuz is absolutely prohibited

2. The passage of vessels from hostile countries is prohibited as determined by the authority.

3. The passage of vessels or cargo from countries that take hostile actions against the Resistance Front is prohibited.

4. Other vessels are allowed to pass if they obtain a permit and pay the "guidance, supervision, and security" fees.

5. Payments must be made in Iran's national currency (rial).

6. Any country that participated to any extent in the imposed war, after paying compensation for damages, will be allowed to pass.

7. Any country or individual or legal entity that imposes unilateral sanctions against Iran or takes any hostile action will be banned from passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

8. The passage of fleets from countries that use forged names other than the name Persian Gulf in their documents and statements is prohibited through the Strait of Hormuz.

9. The financial resources obtained from the fees will be used in three areas: strengthening the country's defense capabilities and the livelihood of the armed forces; reconstruction and development of the country's infrastructure; and providing for the people's livelihood.

10. Non-compliance with these laws will result in the seizure of the violating vessel and a fine and confiscation of 20% of the value of its cargo.

(Again take with πŸ§‚, maybe just a political statement, they expanding restrictions wildly, don't take it too seriously for now, context: https://t.me/MonitoringSituation/4409)

(Tldr: parliament member lol, might happen, might not, maybe who knows, we will see, also not new info, SoH is red line so I don't see it more than a political statement for domestic posturing for now)

(Sharing just in case it hits like red hot potato soon near your headline doors)
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TWO U.S. OFFICIALS DIE IN A CAR ACCIDENT IN MEXICO WHILE SUPPORTING LOCAL EFFORTS TO COMBAT CARTEL OPERATIONS, EMBASSY SAYS
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The U.S. had pushed for a permanent end to Iran’s enrichment program but last week was open to accepting a 20-year Iranian suspension of the program. For Trump, going any lower would make a deal appear similar to the 2015 nuclear deal that he has long lambasted. That accord prevented Iran from producing enriched uranium above 3.67% for 15 years.

Officials close to the talks say that some flexibility has appeared over the issue in recent days, with Tehran exploring if Washington would be open to it carrying out some enrichment-related work after 10 years. One proposal under consideration among the mediators would see Iran suspend enrichment for a decade and then permit Tehran to produce a modest amount of low-enriched uranium for at least another 10 years.
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A senior adviser to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Tehran said the paramilitary force isn’t opposed in principle to a resumption of talks but it wants Iran to go into those talks with greater leverage

An Arab official in the region said the Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, is seeking to secure a grand pact with the U.S. that would ultimately normalize relationships between the two countries
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Iranian parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf: Vibe-trading digital oil is like vibe-hedging in treasuries during Hormuz risk-off. Both share one house of cards that works on paper.
Difference: oil at least has Dated Brent. Treasuries? Vibes all the way down.
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Iran-US Negotiations Will Happen This Week?
Anonymous Poll
57%
Yes
43%
No
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Two giant U.S. C-17 cargo planes landed at an air base on Sunday afternoon, carrying security equipment and vehicles in preparation for the U.S. delegation's arrival, two Pakistani ⁠security sources said. A U.S. team of security staff and officials arrived overnight in Islamabad, officials said. Nearly 20k security personnel have been deployed, with hotels and hostels around the talks venue and routes cleared, and public transport suspended in Islamabad: reuters
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Iran FM Spox: We submitted a 10-point proposal to Pakistan

Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman: We will make the appropriate decision regarding the negotiations precisely while taking our interests into consideration (No decision made yet, (ofc)
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IRAN: FORCES AVOIDED IMMEDIATE RETALIATION FOR ALLEGED US SHIP ATTACK DUE TO FAMILIES ON BOARD, VOWS FUTURE RESPONSE
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U.S. officials say that despite the public bluster, the US and Iran have made strides toward a deal since the first round of negotiations on April 12th: NYT- FN
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30min ago: Iran willing to attend second round of talks with US, Pakistan officials say: AP

Iran’s refusal of second round of US peace talks was β€˜posturing’: Pakistani sources: NYP

Also for the first time Chinese President Xi Jinping has publicly called for the reopening of the SoH
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TEHRAN TACO
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Iran reopens main airports in capital Tehran: aviation authority.

Additionally, ten other airports across the country will reopen on Saturday.
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Trump: if Iran’s new leaders (Regime Change!) are smart, Iran can have a great and prosperous future!
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Monitoring The Situation
(you guys forgot what he said few days ago so quickly??)
9am: Trump says Vance already left for Pakistan

10am: CNN says Vance not left Pakistan yet

10:30am: Trump says vance will leave later on Monday

11am: CNN, NYT says Vance will for Pakistan on Tuesday

xAM: waiting for Trump reply....
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India: 10 of our ships safely crossed Strait of Hormuz following coordination with Iran.
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An Iranian delegation is making plans to travel to Islamabad on Tuesday for negotiations with the United States, according to two senior Iranian officials familiar with the plans. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf leading the talks, will attend if VP Vance also attends: NYT
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TRUMP: THE DEAL THAT WE ARE MAKING WITH IRAN WILL BE FAR BETTER THAN THE JCPOA, COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS β€œTHE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL,” PENNED BY BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA AND SLEEPY JOE BIDEN, ONE OF THE WORST DEALS EVER MADE HAVING TO DO WITH THE SECURITY OF OUR COUNTRY
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TRUMP: I AM UNDER NO PRESSURE TO MAKE A DEAL. THIS IS NOT TRUE! I AM UNDER NO PRESSURE WHATSOEVER
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Trump wants it done. He doesn't like Iran holding [its control of the strait] over the Middle East. He doesn't like them holding this over our heads. He doesn't want to fight anymore. But he will if he feels he has to," an administration official told Axios
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