Monitoring The Situation
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Monitoring High Risk Conflicts, learning with community, Major Updates, with personal frustration & views

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A U.S. defense official claims the IRGC has conducted at least three attacks on commercial ships in the strait of Hormuz since Saturday morning: Axios
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TRUMP: I DON'T HAVE TIME TO BE DEPRESSED. YOU KNOW, IF YOU STAY BUSY ENOUGH, MAYBE THAT WORKS TOO. THAT'S WHAT I DO
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TRUMP ON IRAN: TO HAVE SOME INFORMATION BY END OF DAY
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TRUMP: THERE IS A REGIME CHANGE NOW IN IRAN. WE ARE TALKING TO THEM, THEY WANTED TO CLOSE THE HORMUZ AGAIN BUT THEY CAN'T BLACKMAIL US. WE WILL HAVE INFORMATION BY THE END OF THE DAY, WE ARE TALKING TO THEM
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The U.S. military is preparing in coming days to board Iran-linked oil tankers and seize commercial ships in international waters, according to U.S. officials, expanding its naval crackdown beyond the Middle East.

The Trump administration’s decision to step up the economic pressure on Tehran is intended to force the regime to re-open the strait and make concessions on its nuclear program, which has been the focus of negotiations between the U.S. and Iran.
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The move, which Caine said would be carried out in part by the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, will implement a new phase of the U.S. pressure campaign against Tehran, which Trump administration officials have dubbed “Economic Fury.”
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OPERATION ECONOMIC FURY
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Different Prices of Oil
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IRAN PARLIAMENT SPEAKER QALIBAF SAYS TEHRAN CONFRONTED U.S. MINE-CLEARING ATTEMPT IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ, CONSIDERS IT CEASEFIRE VIOLATION
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IRANIAN PARLIAMENT SPEAKER QALIBAF SAYS U.S. MINE-CLEARING VESSEL RETREATED AFTER IRAN THREATENED TO FIRE
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IRANIAN PARLIAMENT SPEAKER QALIBAF WARNS IF U.S. DOES NOT LIFT BLOCKADE TRAFFIC IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL DEFINITELY BE RESTRICTED
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IRGC NAVY ANNOUNCES STRAIT OF HORMUZ BLOCKED FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL U.S. LIFTS NAVAL BLOCKADE OF IRANIAN VESSELS AND PORTS

IRAN WARNS NO VESSEL SHOULD MOVE FROM ANCHORAGE IN PERSIAN GULF OR SEA OF OMAN, APPROACHING HORMUZ CONSIDERED COOPERATION WITH ENEMY
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On the rescue mission of downed pilots

"Trump screamed at aides for hours..........Aides kept the president out of the situation room as they got minute-by-minute updates because they believed his impatience wouldn’t be helpful, instead updating him at meaningful moments, a senior administration official said"........Six hours later, the chest-thumping president was back with another audacious gamble to loosen Iran’s grip on its most powerful point of leverage, the Strait of Hormuz. “Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell,” he blasted on social media Easter morning from the White House residence, adding an Islamic prayer to the post........
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Trump on why he said “Praise be to Allah” on Easter morning:

He said he wanted to seem as unstable and insulting as possible, believing it could bring the Iranians to the table, senior administration officials said

Rubio told others privately it was language that might actually bring the Iranians to negotiate. (On whole civilization would die and Praise be to Allah, etc I assume)
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Trump: My Representatives are going to Islamabad, Pakistan — They will be there tomorrow evening, for Negotiations
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Trump: We’re offering a very fair and reasonable DEAL, and I hope they take it because, if they don’t, the United States is going to knock out every single Power Plant, and every single Bridge, in Iran. NO MORE MR. NICE GUY! They’ll come down fast, they’ll come down easy and, if they don’t take the DEAL, it will be my Honor to do what has to be done, which should have been done to Iran, by other Presidents, for the last 47 years. IT’S TIME FOR THE IRAN KILLING MACHINE TO END!
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U.S. VICE PRESIDENT VANCE TO LEAD AMERICAN DELEGATION FOR TALKS WITH IRAN IN PAKISTAN - ABC NEWS, CITING U.S. AMBASSADOR TO U.N.
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Iran State Media citing reporter info (not official): Iran currently has no decision to send a negotiating delegation; as long as there is a naval blockade, no negotiations will take place

(But imo they will negotiate, and will go to Pakistan, don't read much into this Iranian statement, made similar statement last time also but eventually end up in islamabad for talks yk)
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1hr ago: An Iranian delegation will arrive in Pakistan on Tuesday for talks with the US, Iranian sources familiar with the negotiations say: cnn

The sources expect the team will be the same as in the last round, which included Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf.

The Iranians are expecting that there will be a symbolic joint announcement of an extension to the ceasefire on Wednesday.
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