Monitoring The Situation
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Monitoring High Risk Conflicts, learning with community, Major Updates, with personal frustration & views

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TRUMP: IRAN URANIUM WILL BE BROUGHT TO THE US - CBS
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(Atleast 5 vessels have turned back so far, 20 something started racing towards SoH earlier after FM post) according to MonitoringSituation (our) observation

(They should try iran designated route lol)
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Iran's Foreign Ministry: We don't support what the US officials and their media are proposing regarding the Iranian nuclear dossier.
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Iran FM spox: The option of transferring Iran's enriched uranium abroad is rejected
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Israeli Channel 15 on sources: Arrest of regular servicemen in the Air Force on suspicion of long-term espionage on behalf of Iran

(Lol Mossad is not doing overtime?)
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Trump shocked Netanyahu with post declaring Lebanon strikes "prohibited". Israel asked the White House for clarifications, sources say
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2hrs ago: Iranian lawmaker Mahmoudi said Foreign Minister Araghchi would have faced impeachment over his Hormuz reopening tweet if not for wartime considerations, accusing him of repeatedly making ill-timed remarks that help calm global oil and energy markets: iranintl
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Iran has told mediators it will continue to limit the number of ships allowed to cross the Strait of Hormuz and charge tolls for the remaining period of the cease-fire, officials familiar with the matter said: WSJ
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Q: DID ANTHROPIC HAVE A MEETING AT THE WHITE HOUSE?

TRUMP: WHO?

Q: ANTHROPIC.

TRUMP: I HAVE NO IDEA.

WALKS AWAY
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TRUMP: ANYONE SICK OF WINNING YET?
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U.S. said two days ago it wouldnโ€™t renew a general license easing Russian oil sanctions, the US Treasury did exactly the opposite: renew it today

(no deal happening soon enough for oil?)

(focus on actions not words they say)
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https://x.com/AnnaEconomist/status/2045341027574170055?s=20

She is Chief US Economist for Bloomberg btw

(no hate she is great but why you post this ?)

mb_ghalibaf account is clearly real, it's not fake lol ? )

Iranian State Media all of them quote this mb_ghalibaf account btw

Also their is no change in tone lol, he just confirmed what iranian media was saying the whole time after FM said SOH is opening

And trusting some random research> FT + other well known accounts?
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(this is twitter fck up tbh, X removed the government-affiliated account checkmark from Iranian accounts for politics and now bbg is getting confused, now they will flash red headlines on terminals based on this misinformation, brace for impact?)
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On "Just 20 minutes before ...(Something something) $760 million bet that oil would go down"blah blah

Some context:
- Why oil moved 20min before? Because Axios pushed a potential deal headline lol (exactly at the same time (not surprising, oil moved on that exact headline like perfectly) here https://t.me/MonitoringSituation/4425
- Also before that trump latest press was very +ve and also iran was also signalling +ve tone (market was expecting some deal or potential de-escalation going into ceasefire deadline/weekend) (again not surprising, so oil open down only that day)
- also keplr data pointed that 24 vessels passed SoH in last 24hrs

(Context matters, headlines are always for engagement farming only)

Full Article: https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/traders-place-760-million-bet-falling-oil-ahead-hormuz-announcement-2026-04-17
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Iran has partially opened its airspace over the east of the country, the Civil Aviation Organisation has told Tasnim news agency. Some airports have also reopened as of today, 7 am local time (0330 GMT).
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A convoy of tankers seen departing the Gulf and transiting the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday

(But they all are sanctioned or Shadow fleet And we have US blockade in gulf of Oman)

So if iran allowed, US will block them)
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IRAN SAYS CONTROL OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ RETURNED TO PREVIOUS STATE AFTER U.S. CONTINUED THE BLOCKADE: INFINITYHEDGE
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IRAN MILITARY COMMAND SAYS HAS CLOSED HORMUZ AGAIN OVER US BLOCKADE

STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL REMAIN HEAVILY CONTROLLED IN PREVIOUS STATE UNTIL U.S. ENDS IT'S BLOCKADE
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A ship is currently under attack in the Strait of Hormuz by Iranian gunboats: MartinKelly

It is likely the ship is an Indian Crude Oil tanker (surprising)
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