If you look closely this whole crash was engineered to wipe out leverage.
Bitcoin still above $115k
ETH above $4,000
High caps almost recovered
Mid-Low caps down -30%
No major Bull market structure was broken just pure $19 Billion leverage liquidations. Total crypto mcap is still $3.91T and climbing up to ATH of $4.3T.
This shows us the flash crash was just a massive shakeout before the monster pump of Q4.
Drop a 👍 if you are still bullish on Q4
Bitcoin still above $115k
ETH above $4,000
High caps almost recovered
Mid-Low caps down -30%
No major Bull market structure was broken just pure $19 Billion leverage liquidations. Total crypto mcap is still $3.91T and climbing up to ATH of $4.3T.
This shows us the flash crash was just a massive shakeout before the monster pump of Q4.
Drop a 👍 if you are still bullish on Q4
TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP UPDATE
✅ The overall bull market structure remains intact.
✅ The total market cap has retested support multiple times and continues to close successfully above it.
✅ Most Federal Reserve officials agree on easing monetary policy.
✅ More rate cuts are on the way.
✅ Since January 2025, gold is up 53%, silver 74%, and Bitcoin 23%. Fund flows from gold and silver are likely to shift into Bitcoin and Ethereum soon.
We will see a parabolic Q4. Don’t get shaken out in these manipulation dumps.
✅ The overall bull market structure remains intact.
✅ The total market cap has retested support multiple times and continues to close successfully above it.
✅ Most Federal Reserve officials agree on easing monetary policy.
✅ More rate cuts are on the way.
✅ Since January 2025, gold is up 53%, silver 74%, and Bitcoin 23%. Fund flows from gold and silver are likely to shift into Bitcoin and Ethereum soon.
We will see a parabolic Q4. Don’t get shaken out in these manipulation dumps.
ALaTs MCAP VS Russell 2000
Same Cycle, Same Breakout Point
- Both Russell 2000 and ALTS MCAP peaked in Nov 2021, marking the cycle top.
- Both entered a long bear market (2022–2023).
- Now, both are retesting their Nov 2021 highs, a key resistance zone.
- A breakout above these levels confirms the start of a major bull run in 2025–2026.
History shows that 🇺🇸 US markets (Russell 2000) and crypto ALTS often move in sync. If Russell breaks out, ETH and alts will follow it.
Today Russel jumped 1% against Nasdaq which shows it’s gaining momentum.
The crypto market is in a state of fear following the 10/10 flash crash and All leverage is flushed which means It’s perfect scenario for parabolic pump to start.
Same Cycle, Same Breakout Point
- Both Russell 2000 and ALTS MCAP peaked in Nov 2021, marking the cycle top.
- Both entered a long bear market (2022–2023).
- Now, both are retesting their Nov 2021 highs, a key resistance zone.
- A breakout above these levels confirms the start of a major bull run in 2025–2026.
History shows that 🇺🇸 US markets (Russell 2000) and crypto ALTS often move in sync. If Russell breaks out, ETH and alts will follow it.
Today Russel jumped 1% against Nasdaq which shows it’s gaining momentum.
The crypto market is in a state of fear following the 10/10 flash crash and All leverage is flushed which means It’s perfect scenario for parabolic pump to start.
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Fed's Miran says that a 50BPS cut should happen this month.
The bull run isn't over yet.
The bull run isn't over yet.
THE MOST IMPORTANT EVENT OF THIS WEEK 🚨
On 24th October, US CPI data will be released despite the US government shutdown.
The expectations for US CPI is 3.1%, while the previous data came at 2.9%.
Why is this important?
As we know, the Fed decides its monetary policy based on inflation and unemployment.
The jobs market is already screwed and calling for more rate cuts.
Also, the FOMC meeting is happening next week, which means the Fed will be closely watching the CPI data.
If CPI comes lower than expected, expect a rate cut along with dovish Fed language.
If CPI comes higher than expected, the rate cut could still happen, but Fed language will be cautious.
On 24th October, US CPI data will be released despite the US government shutdown.
The expectations for US CPI is 3.1%, while the previous data came at 2.9%.
Why is this important?
As we know, the Fed decides its monetary policy based on inflation and unemployment.
The jobs market is already screwed and calling for more rate cuts.
Also, the FOMC meeting is happening next week, which means the Fed will be closely watching the CPI data.
If CPI comes lower than expected, expect a rate cut along with dovish Fed language.
If CPI comes higher than expected, the rate cut could still happen, but Fed language will be cautious.
BTC WEEKLY: BE READY FOR THE NEXT PARABOLIC MOVE 🚀
✅RSI: A bullish RSI divergence is forming on the chart.
✅MACD: After 8 weeks of a bearish MACD crossover, BTC may turn bullish in the coming weeks.
✅MA50: The weekly MA50 near $102K is providing strong trend support.
✅FED: The Fed could end QT in the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Support: $100K
Resistance: $116K and $127K
Possible Bull Cycle Target: $170K–$200K within the next 6 months.
✅RSI: A bullish RSI divergence is forming on the chart.
✅MACD: After 8 weeks of a bearish MACD crossover, BTC may turn bullish in the coming weeks.
✅MA50: The weekly MA50 near $102K is providing strong trend support.
✅FED: The Fed could end QT in the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Support: $100K
Resistance: $116K and $127K
Possible Bull Cycle Target: $170K–$200K within the next 6 months.
🇺🇸 US CPI will be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET.
The market expectations are at 3.1%, while last month's CPI was at 2.9%.
Here are different scenarios:
1⃣ CPI > 3.1%
This will be bearish for markets.
This is because it'll mark the highest CPI print since June 2024.
2⃣ CPI = 3.1%
This will be in line with the expectations but still somewhat bearish.
This is because it'll show a 0.2% MoM CPI increase, which is 2.4% annualized CPI.
And the Fed target inflation is 2%, which means Powell could become a bit hawkish.
3⃣ CPI < 3.1%
A perfect scenario for risk-on assets.
Rate cuts will happen, and also the MoM increase in CPI will be just 0.1% or 1.2% annualized.
This will also boost chances of more rate cuts and will cause liquidity to flow into risk-on assets.
The market expectations are at 3.1%, while last month's CPI was at 2.9%.
Here are different scenarios:
1⃣ CPI > 3.1%
This will be bearish for markets.
This is because it'll mark the highest CPI print since June 2024.
2⃣ CPI = 3.1%
This will be in line with the expectations but still somewhat bearish.
This is because it'll show a 0.2% MoM CPI increase, which is 2.4% annualized CPI.
And the Fed target inflation is 2%, which means Powell could become a bit hawkish.
3⃣ CPI < 3.1%
A perfect scenario for risk-on assets.
Rate cuts will happen, and also the MoM increase in CPI will be just 0.1% or 1.2% annualized.
This will also boost chances of more rate cuts and will cause liquidity to flow into risk-on assets.
Total Mcap: Market is filtering the panic sellers before the next parabolic phase starts. We have seen this happen before 2017 and 2021 Altseason.
If you look at chart, The Bull trend is intact and we should see parabolic pump in next 4-6 months due to these bullish factors
• M2 money supply is exploding
• The FED will end QT and potentially begin quantitative easing (QE).
• 3-4 rate cuts in next 6 months
• US stocks hitting new highs
• Gold hits $30 Trillion and historically, when gold reaches its peak, a portion of that capital tends to flow into Bitcoin. This can lead to a sharp, parabolic rally in Bitcoin once gold stabilizes.
• US Govt will pass many crypto-friendly regulations
• 155 altcoin ETFs files which should be approved once shutdown ends
Trust the Data, Ignore the FUD.
If you look at chart, The Bull trend is intact and we should see parabolic pump in next 4-6 months due to these bullish factors
• M2 money supply is exploding
• The FED will end QT and potentially begin quantitative easing (QE).
• 3-4 rate cuts in next 6 months
• US stocks hitting new highs
• Gold hits $30 Trillion and historically, when gold reaches its peak, a portion of that capital tends to flow into Bitcoin. This can lead to a sharp, parabolic rally in Bitcoin once gold stabilizes.
• US Govt will pass many crypto-friendly regulations
• 155 altcoin ETFs files which should be approved once shutdown ends
Trust the Data, Ignore the FUD.
New week, same playbook.
A weekend bounce to play with people's emotions, then a reversal or bearish continuation during the week.
Big ideas take time to play out.
Some people think analysis should materialize immediately, but that only happens with intraday setups on lower timeframes.
My analysis, especially, is based on the big picture, so it uses higher timeframes (unless I'm looking for quick trades or confirmations on smaller ones).
That means it must take time to unfold, and that’s a good thing.
It gives you time to prepare for what's coming, to adjust, and to perfect your plan. Then it gives you time to rest and enjoy life.
Despite my current strong bearish bias, I'm actually a very optimistic person.
That’s what helps me seek truth and face it, whatever it may be, and to look for solutions where others prefer to look away because truth can sometimes be blinding.
Not everything is good. Not everything is bad. Things simply are.
Through contrast, through duality, we learn.
That's why I don’t see negative situations as purely negative, but as opportunities to learn, adapt, and appreciate the opposite when it arrives. And it will arrive eventually.
But until then, we cannot ignore what lies ahead.
We have to face it, look it in the eye, and make the best possible decisions, always with the right attitude: with integrity, firmness, and calmness.
Whatever comes, I'm prepared for it, and my goal is to help you prepare too so we can navigate these times in the best way possible.
A weekend bounce to play with people's emotions, then a reversal or bearish continuation during the week.
Big ideas take time to play out.
Some people think analysis should materialize immediately, but that only happens with intraday setups on lower timeframes.
My analysis, especially, is based on the big picture, so it uses higher timeframes (unless I'm looking for quick trades or confirmations on smaller ones).
That means it must take time to unfold, and that’s a good thing.
It gives you time to prepare for what's coming, to adjust, and to perfect your plan. Then it gives you time to rest and enjoy life.
Despite my current strong bearish bias, I'm actually a very optimistic person.
That’s what helps me seek truth and face it, whatever it may be, and to look for solutions where others prefer to look away because truth can sometimes be blinding.
Not everything is good. Not everything is bad. Things simply are.
Through contrast, through duality, we learn.
That's why I don’t see negative situations as purely negative, but as opportunities to learn, adapt, and appreciate the opposite when it arrives. And it will arrive eventually.
But until then, we cannot ignore what lies ahead.
We have to face it, look it in the eye, and make the best possible decisions, always with the right attitude: with integrity, firmness, and calmness.
Whatever comes, I'm prepared for it, and my goal is to help you prepare too so we can navigate these times in the best way possible.
BTC WEEKLY: BE READY FOR THE NEXT PARABOLIC MOVE 🚀
BTC jumped 5.40% last week and checked resistance at $116k. Closing above $116k will make bullish momentum reignite again.
✅RSI: A bullish RSI divergence is forming on the chart.
✅MACD: After 8 weeks of a bearish MACD crossover, BTC may turn bullish in the coming weeks.
✅MA50: The weekly MA50 near $102K is providing strong trend support.
✅FED: The Fed could end QT in the upcoming FOMC meeting.
✅Can expect a US-China trade deal.
Support: $100K
Resistance: $116K and $127K
Possible Bull Cycle Target: $150k-$180k in Q4
BTC jumped 5.40% last week and checked resistance at $116k. Closing above $116k will make bullish momentum reignite again.
✅RSI: A bullish RSI divergence is forming on the chart.
✅MACD: After 8 weeks of a bearish MACD crossover, BTC may turn bullish in the coming weeks.
✅MA50: The weekly MA50 near $102K is providing strong trend support.
✅FED: The Fed could end QT in the upcoming FOMC meeting.
✅Can expect a US-China trade deal.
Support: $100K
Resistance: $116K and $127K
Possible Bull Cycle Target: $150k-$180k in Q4
🇺🇸 The FED FOMC rate cut decision will be released tomorrow at 2pm ET.
The market is expecting a 25 bps rate cut at this meeting, so it won't impact the market much.
What's even more important is Powell's speech, which will start at 2:30pm ET.
The job market is already cooked, and last week's CPI also came lower than expected.
Along with that, US economic activity is also slowing down due to the government shutdown.
All these things are enough for Powell to be dovish, but there's more to it.
For the first time in 2025, bank reserves at the Fed have fallen below $3 trillion.
This means the Fed will also be thinking about ending its QT program.
Even JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs are expecting that the Fed QT program will end at October's FOMC meeting.
This will probably be the first major risk-on signal since Q3 2019, when the Fed ended the QT program.
I'm expecting this FOMC meeting to be more dovish, which will provide the fuel for the next rally.
The market is expecting a 25 bps rate cut at this meeting, so it won't impact the market much.
What's even more important is Powell's speech, which will start at 2:30pm ET.
The job market is already cooked, and last week's CPI also came lower than expected.
Along with that, US economic activity is also slowing down due to the government shutdown.
All these things are enough for Powell to be dovish, but there's more to it.
For the first time in 2025, bank reserves at the Fed have fallen below $3 trillion.
This means the Fed will also be thinking about ending its QT program.
Even JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs are expecting that the Fed QT program will end at October's FOMC meeting.
This will probably be the first major risk-on signal since Q3 2019, when the Fed ended the QT program.
I'm expecting this FOMC meeting to be more dovish, which will provide the fuel for the next rally.
People are too scared of a pump now.
If a coin is pumping for 2 or more days, everyone is talking about taking a short position.
People have forgotten the concept of HODLing and selling the right coins very soon.
And this is all due to memecoins casino.
They have made people really impatient, as the average holding time for a memecoin is less than 10 seconds.
But this could turn out to be a good thing.
If alts gain some momentum from here, 99% of people will either sell too early or will short it all the way up.
This will provide the fuel for a rally that will last for weeks or months rather than a few days.
If a coin is pumping for 2 or more days, everyone is talking about taking a short position.
People have forgotten the concept of HODLing and selling the right coins very soon.
And this is all due to memecoins casino.
They have made people really impatient, as the average holding time for a memecoin is less than 10 seconds.
But this could turn out to be a good thing.
If alts gain some momentum from here, 99% of people will either sell too early or will short it all the way up.
This will provide the fuel for a rally that will last for weeks or months rather than a few days.
For everyone saying this Bitcoin crash from $126k to $80k is not manipulation please read this.
So since the October 10th flash crash which wiped out $19 billion, the biggest liquidation event in the history of crypto:
- U.S. Stocks are up 8%, they recovered and many even hit new all-time highs.
- But Bitcoin is still down -29% and it never recovered since that day. Every pump we see is getting destroyed by relentless dumping.
- Almost every other day we see $500 million getting liquidated from the market.
If it was just a leverage it should have been a very short term and the market should have bounced pretty fast but instead we kept dumping without any major bounce.
So since the October 10th flash crash which wiped out $19 billion, the biggest liquidation event in the history of crypto:
- U.S. Stocks are up 8%, they recovered and many even hit new all-time highs.
- But Bitcoin is still down -29% and it never recovered since that day. Every pump we see is getting destroyed by relentless dumping.
- Almost every other day we see $500 million getting liquidated from the market.
If it was just a leverage it should have been a very short term and the market should have bounced pretty fast but instead we kept dumping without any major bounce.
This is not normal. This looks like a few big institutions are playing with the market and liquidating both longs and shorts.
Another rumor in town is that many big funds blew up on October 10th and they are selling BTC to cover their losses.
I really hope we see bullish Q1 - Q2 2026 with QT ending, rate cuts and multiple other factors which shows we will see a massive amount of liquidity entering the market.
What Do you think
Manipulation or normal correction ?
Another rumor in town is that many big funds blew up on October 10th and they are selling BTC to cover their losses.
I really hope we see bullish Q1 - Q2 2026 with QT ending, rate cuts and multiple other factors which shows we will see a massive amount of liquidity entering the market.
What Do you think
Manipulation or normal correction ?
❤1
Can we really see an alt season in 2026?
Read this until the end.
Every major altcoin bull run has started with the same shift:
👉 The Fed stops QT
👉 Liquidity comes back
👉 Altcoins move fast
Here’s the part most people forget:
Before every big altseason, the market hurts.
-It retests support again and again.
-It triggers liquidations.
-It forces weak hands out.
2020 looked like this:
-Fed ended QT
-Alt market cap retested -support multiple times
- liquidation wicks scared everyone
-Then altcoins ran over 1,000%
2025–2026 is starting to rhyme:
-Fed is ending QT again
-Alt market cap is sitting on the same multi-year support
-Liquidations already happening
Structure looks very similar , just on a larger scale
The market hasn’t changed.
It scares you before it rewards you. It cleans leverage before it trends.
Read this until the end.
Every major altcoin bull run has started with the same shift:
👉 The Fed stops QT
👉 Liquidity comes back
👉 Altcoins move fast
Here’s the part most people forget:
Before every big altseason, the market hurts.
-It retests support again and again.
-It triggers liquidations.
-It forces weak hands out.
2020 looked like this:
-Fed ended QT
-Alt market cap retested -support multiple times
- liquidation wicks scared everyone
-Then altcoins ran over 1,000%
2025–2026 is starting to rhyme:
-Fed is ending QT again
-Alt market cap is sitting on the same multi-year support
-Liquidations already happening
Structure looks very similar , just on a larger scale
The market hasn’t changed.
It scares you before it rewards you. It cleans leverage before it trends.
❤1
It shakes people out right before the real move. Most will sell on the liquidation wick and watch the next cycle from the sidelines.
If liquidity truly flips, this won’t be a slow rally. It’ll be explosive.
And it might be the biggest altcoin run we see for a long time.
If liquidity truly flips, this won’t be a slow rally. It’ll be explosive.
And it might be the biggest altcoin run we see for a long time.
We waited for altseason like it was a promise.
Years of holding.
Years of believing.
Years of saying “next cycle will be different.”
Bitcoin pumped 8.5x from the bottom of $15.4K, ETH pumped 5.5 from the bottom of $900. Gold & silver hitting new all time highs
And us?
We stayed, and hoped.
Every dip was accumulation.
Every delay was just patience.
But here we are. Another year-end, another reset.
Still waiting. No euphoria, no rotation,
no moment where alts finally get their turn.
Conviction right now is tiring and frustrating.
And this community asking the same question:
Did we wait too long… or was the promise never real?
To be honest, this is the worst Q4 in last 7 years.
Maybe this is when the 4 year structure breaks and we see a massive Altcoin rally in Q1-Q2 2026 ?
This is our last line of hope but it also aligns with data + facts like QT has ended, Soft QE started, and more rate cuts in 2026.
But honestly no body knows at this point because market have detached from stocks, golds and every other assets since the October 10th crash.
No bullish news can make the market doesn’t matter how bullish it is.
We have the BEST fundamentals i have even seen in the history of crypto but charts are not acting like it because it’s being manipulated heavily.
So now either crypto will pump and catch up with stocks and gold in Q1 2026 as all the algos will reset
Or stocks will dump hard catch up with crypto. One of this is definitely happening.
What do you think ? Crypto will catch up or stocks will dump hard ?
Years of holding.
Years of believing.
Years of saying “next cycle will be different.”
Bitcoin pumped 8.5x from the bottom of $15.4K, ETH pumped 5.5 from the bottom of $900. Gold & silver hitting new all time highs
And us?
We stayed, and hoped.
Every dip was accumulation.
Every delay was just patience.
But here we are. Another year-end, another reset.
Still waiting. No euphoria, no rotation,
no moment where alts finally get their turn.
Conviction right now is tiring and frustrating.
And this community asking the same question:
Did we wait too long… or was the promise never real?
To be honest, this is the worst Q4 in last 7 years.
Maybe this is when the 4 year structure breaks and we see a massive Altcoin rally in Q1-Q2 2026 ?
This is our last line of hope but it also aligns with data + facts like QT has ended, Soft QE started, and more rate cuts in 2026.
But honestly no body knows at this point because market have detached from stocks, golds and every other assets since the October 10th crash.
No bullish news can make the market doesn’t matter how bullish it is.
We have the BEST fundamentals i have even seen in the history of crypto but charts are not acting like it because it’s being manipulated heavily.
So now either crypto will pump and catch up with stocks and gold in Q1 2026 as all the algos will reset
Or stocks will dump hard catch up with crypto. One of this is definitely happening.
What do you think ? Crypto will catch up or stocks will dump hard ?
Merry Christmas to everyone🎄
I know things have been tough in 2025, but I’m expecting a relief rally in early 2026 as the market is pretty oversold right now.
Bitcoin will retest the 50W MA, which is at $108k, and we can see some nice relief bounce in ETH and altcoins with it.
With the S&P 500, silver, and gold hitting all-time highs, I do expect Bitcoin to follow soon, but since the October 10th crash, the market has really stopped reacting to any bullish news.
So, logically, with all other assets hitting new highs, more rate cuts, and QE in 2026, I expect Bitcoin to hit $130k - $150k in the next 6 months. We have the strongest fundamentals we have ever seen, but somehow, it has 0 impact on the price. But I’m hopeful; sooner or later, Bitcoin will catch up.
So don’t give up yet because historically Bitcoin always follows hold and silver with some lag. If we believe in charts, it shows that in coming months money will rotate to risk assets like crypto and Bitcoin will explode.
I know things have been tough in 2025, but I’m expecting a relief rally in early 2026 as the market is pretty oversold right now.
Bitcoin will retest the 50W MA, which is at $108k, and we can see some nice relief bounce in ETH and altcoins with it.
With the S&P 500, silver, and gold hitting all-time highs, I do expect Bitcoin to follow soon, but since the October 10th crash, the market has really stopped reacting to any bullish news.
So, logically, with all other assets hitting new highs, more rate cuts, and QE in 2026, I expect Bitcoin to hit $130k - $150k in the next 6 months. We have the strongest fundamentals we have ever seen, but somehow, it has 0 impact on the price. But I’m hopeful; sooner or later, Bitcoin will catch up.
So don’t give up yet because historically Bitcoin always follows hold and silver with some lag. If we believe in charts, it shows that in coming months money will rotate to risk assets like crypto and Bitcoin will explode.