Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Owner and contact for ads: @Elias_MES

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🇮🇷🇮🇱- We have not detected any Iranian movements indicating an attack in the coming hours – Pentagon Spokesman tells Sky News Arabia.
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇷🇮🇱- We have not detected any Iranian movements indicating an attack in the coming hours – Pentagon Spokesman tells Sky News Arabia.
— Trump: 'Iran will attack Israel tonight'

— U.S. State Dept: 'Iran will attack Israel in the coming days'

— Pentagon: 'We have not detected any Iranian movement indicating an attack'

— Bloomberg: 'Attack on Israel is imminent'

Meanwhile, Iran is chilling, enjoying the chaos and panic of its enemies.
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The explosions in Esfahan are part of a pre-planned military exercise of the IRGC Ground Forces.
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🇮🇱/🇮🇷 Israeli media about Iran: 'When the lion is provoked, do not doubt the time it spends stalking its prey' (saying in Hebrew)

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🇺🇲🇮🇷- The US is finding it difficult to determine when the Iranian response will come and what form it will take – CNN.
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🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NOTE: While Iran keeps repeating that it will respond (and it will), it is much harder for Israel, the U.S. and their allies to predict exactly when.

Last time, it was about sending a message. It was a show of force. Iran knew that the 400-500 explosive-laden drones would take many hours to arrive in Israel, and that they would almost all be intercepted on the way to their targets. This also showed the traitors among the Arab nations. It was Iran's first direct attack on Israel and they did not know how Israel would respond.

The point was to show that it would take the entire U.S. Air Force, U.S. Navy, RAF, French Air Force, Jordanian Air Force & the Israeli Air Force to intercept them. As I said, it was a show of force. The missiles also largely consisted of older variants, used as decoys, while the small amount of 'modern' missiles such as the 'Kheybar Shekan' all hit their targets, although purposely avoiding massive damage to the Israeli airbases and striking the runways instead.

This time, Iran likely will not use drones or even cruise missiles. It might be an attack consisting solely of ballistic missiles, which take only 12 minutes to reach Israel and require much less staging / preparation.

Not only is it much more difficult for the United States to know about the exact timing of the attack because Iran refuses to communicate, it will also take U.S. intelligence way longer to detect the signs of an imminent attack; Iran's ballistic missiles can be launched from silos and mobile launch platforms within minutes.

Additionally, some people say that Iran spends too much time telegraphing its response. Iran does this because it doesn't just want to restore deterrence, it wants the world to see.

On April 13th, it took 5 nations to intercept Iran's extremely 'tame' attack; and even then, all of the Iranian advanced missiles got through the defenses & hit their targets.

It doesn't matter how long Israel prepares, Iranian missiles are capable of penentrating defenses as demonstrated on April 13. It's a matter of intent, not capability. People who think it makes a difference whether Iran attacks now or in one week; it doesn't.

If Iran aims to cause casualties and damage, it will. Especially if we see large scale use of advanced missiles such as the Kheybar Shekan & Kheybar Shekan-2 (hypersonic), Khorramshahr-4 and Fattah (hypersonic).

@Middle_East_Spectator
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🇺🇸/🇮🇶 NEW: Several U.S. soldiers were injured in a rocket attack by the Islamic Resistance of Iraq against the American occupation base 'Ayn al-Assad, their condition is unknown – Pentagon

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Gaza Now, one of the largest independent Gaza-based outlets:
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Middle East Spectator — MES
🇺🇸/🇮🇶 NEW: Several U.S. soldiers were injured in a rocket attack by the Islamic Resistance of Iraq against the American occupation base 'Ayn al-Assad, their condition is unknown – Pentagon @Middle_East_Spectator
🇺🇸/🇮🇶 UPDATE: As of now, there is no truth or confirmation about reports that two U.S. soldiers were killed – no official source has stated this – Pentagon says 'wounded', as mentioned in the tagged post

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هموطنان گرامی

در ساعات و روزهای آینده کشور ما لحظات حساسى را تجربه خواهد كرد.

از شما خواهشمندیم از گرفتن عکس یا ویدئو از تجهیزات نظامی در خیابان ها و اماكن نظامى در سراسر کشور خودداری کنید.

با امید پیروزی میهن و اسلام
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🇺🇸/🇮🇶 WATCH: Footage from tonight shows C-RAM air defense within Ayn al-Assad base failing to intercept what seems like Iranian-made Arash 122mm rockets, which can be seen impacting in the base

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سورة الإسراء - ياسر الدو...
فهد العمري
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🇮🇷 Just a thought: The U.S. may not have seen any indications of an impeding attack because Iran is not planning to launch its missiles from mobile launchers, which requires staging that can be picked up by intelligence like satellites etc.

Rather, it plans to use underground missile silos, which can launch several missiles instantaneously without any observable pre-staging; an attack with virtually no warning.
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Even Iranian media makes fun of Biden. This is just getting sad.
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🇮🇱/🇱🇧 NEW: This morning, a Hezbollah suicide drone struck in northern Israel, killing one Israeli directly and injuring others; it passed all defenses undetected

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🇮🇷 NEW: NOTAMs issued in Iran for Wesnesday (11:30-14:30) and Thursday (04:30-07:30) due to military exercises

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🇮🇷 NEW: The IRGC also announces military exercises in Western Iran, near the city of Sarpolzahab, which may be accompanied by the sounds of explosions

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🇺🇸/🇮🇱 U.S. CENTCOM Commander, General Michael Kurilla: 'The United States cares deeply about its national security, and perhaps even more about Israel's security'

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🇮🇷/🇷🇺 NEW: Putin has asked Iran to avoid civilian casualties in its response against Israel, sources say – Reuters

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— Nasrallah started his speech.
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