Middle East Spectator
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News & Analysis covering the Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world.

Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

Twitter: https://x.com/spectator_mena?
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🇮🇷 NEW: The Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Khamenei, led the Eid Al-Fitr prayers in Tehran

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🇮🇷 Eid prayers in Shiraz

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🇮🇷/🇮🇱 After Imam Khamenei said Israel must be punished:

A subtle smile appeared on the face of IRGC Aerospace Force General, Amirali Hajizadeh.

Let's hope it's a sign for good things to come. Or maybe he's just happy because it's Eid, we'll see.

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🇮🇱/🇱🇧 NEW: The IDF is destroying old mine fields in the occupied Golan Heights

The Golan could serve as an easy entry point for an Israeli offensive into Lebanon, without having to go through Hezbollah's most heavily fortified areas in the South.

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🌒 Eid Mubarak, dear subscribers 💚

May Allah accept all of your deeds and ours.

عيد مبارك للجميع 💚

تقبل الله منّا و منكم صالح الأعمال
God willing, we have a nice surprise for the people of Gaza today, on the day of Eid.

More to follow later.
🇸🇾 Eid prayers in Damascus, with President Assad in attendance

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🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: The Israeli Air Force has prepared several strike options inside Iran, in case of a direct attack on its territory – Channel 12

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Middle East Spectator
🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: The Israeli Air Force has prepared several strike options inside Iran, in case of a direct attack on its territory – Channel 12 @Middle_East_Spectator
— The escalation ladder, hypothetically, could be as follows:

🇮🇷 Step 1: Iran strikes military targets in the Golan Heights

🇮🇱 Step 2: Israel carries out limited strikes against low-value military targets inside Iran (warehouses etc.)

🇮🇷 Step 3: Iran strikes low-value military targets inside Israel proper, avoiding major strategic targets like ports & air fields

🇮🇱 Step 4: Israel strikes high value targets inside Iran, such as missile bases & oil refineries

🇮🇷 Step 5: Iran strikes high-value military targets across the entirety of Israel, including air fields & ports

🇮🇱 Step 6: Israel strikes Iran's nuclear program & enrichment facilities (at this point, the use of nuclear weapons cannot be ruled out), resulting in a large-scale regional war lasting for years.

During any step in the escalation process, either of the two could decide to show restraint, stopping the escalation ladder.

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