Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

Introduction: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4

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🇮🇷/🇵🇰 I'm seeing a lot of people say "why wouldn't Iran inform Pakistan? Why would they just do this?":

Well, first of all, nobody actually knows if Iran informed Pakistan or not. Considering the friendly relations the two countries enjoy, it's unlikely and very unexpected that Iran would do this without informing them, especially considering the fact that Pakistan is a nuclear power and a major regional player, unlike Iraq or Syria.

It's possible that the Pakistani government was informed, but that some elements of the Pakistani military are not accepting it, especially the Pakistani Air Force, which holds considerable power in the country, and might push for retaliation, due to reasons like pride and nationalism.

In my opinion, Iran and Pakistan likely mutually agreed on launching the strikes, and the official outrage from Pakistan is orchestrated for public appeasement, and Iran knows this. The chance Pakistan will respond in this case is very small.

However, if the previous scenario is true, and some elements of the Pakistani military / government apparatus are actually angry, then they might be stupid enough to really do something militarily.

Of course, there is also the third (and least likely) scenario, which is that Iran didn't inform Pakistan. If this turns out to be the case, it was definitely because of security considerations.

Sadly, Pakistan and the ISI have been tacitly supporting terrorist groups like Jaish Ul-Adl in Iran for years. Iran might've wanted to avoid the Pakistani government alerting the groups before the strikes.

For now, neither Iran nor the IRGC has yet released an official statement regarding the Pakistan strikes. Until then, it's all just speculation.

Having said that, Iran has the full right and responsibility to act decisively against terrorist groups both within and outside its borders.

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🇮🇷/🇵🇰 NEW: Iran and Pakistan agreed to expand mutual trade

Head of Iran's Trade Development Organization:

'With the agreement between the presidents of Iran and Pakistan, trade between the two countries will increase from two billion to five billion dollars in the next five years.' – Tasnim

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Politics is funny sometimes.
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🇮🇷/🇵🇰 NEW: 'We bombed terrorists of the Jaish Ul-Adl terrorist group hiding among the Iran-Pakistan border' – Iranian Foreign Minister

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IROP
🚨🇵🇰⚡️🇮🇷 ~ This is not new, its 48 hours old. Pakistan has suspended trade talks that were supposed to be held in Chahbahar today. https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/4665
Thanks for the heads up. I reported it because Tasnim reported it just now.

As our collegue said, it might be delayed reporting related to events prior to today.
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Forwarded from IROP
🚨🇮🇷⚡️🇵🇰 ~ Iran FM speaking at the World Economic Forum annual meeting: "Our drones never targeted any place in the friendly, brother and neighboring country of Pakistan. Our target was the Jaish-al-Adl terrorist group, which resides in Iran-Pakistan's borders."

🔗 Saeed Azimi
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Forwarded from Fotros Resistance
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🛑| 🇮🇷 Iran’s FM Amir Abdollahian in the Davos Summit:

We respect the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Pakistan & Iraq, but we won't allow Iran's security to be jeopardized. We don’t play when it comes to our national security.

We don’t tolerate terrorist presence in Pakistan & zionist presence in Erbil. We consider the security of Iraq and Pakistan as part of Iran's security.
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🇮🇷/🇮🇶 Iraqi Foreign Minister: 'Iran does not want to or cannot attack Israel, so they are searching for victims around them and they are attacking Erbil'

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Middle East Spectator — MES
🇮🇷/🇮🇶 Iraqi Foreign Minister: 'Iran does not want to or cannot attack Israel, so they are searching for victims around them and they are attacking Erbil' @Middle_East_Spectator
If it was not for Iran, your country would no longer exist. ISIS was about to be at the gates of Baghdad before Iran and the PMU saved you from total disaster.

Now, after several warnings, and repeatedly sheltering Mossad agents on your soil, you blame Iran for acting?

Have some self respect.
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🇺🇸/🇾🇪 NEW: Biden designates the Houthis as a terrorist group, less then 4 years after the Biden administration took the group off the terror list

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🇵🇰/🇮🇷 NEW: Pakistan allegedly arrested two Iranian agents in Karachi, according to Pakistani media

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Any reports of explosions in Iranian Balochistan, allegedly near Chabahar, are 99% sure to be false.

Not a single reliable Iranian media outlet is reporting it so far. Only Pakistani ones.
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CONFIRMED: No explosions in Chabahar or anywhere else in Iran, contrary to some Pakistani reports.

Situation is calm, with no special events. Our local source, a dockyard worker from Chabahar who lives in the outskirts of the city, has also confirmed this.
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🇮🇷/🇵🇰 At night, Pakistan targeted an Iranian village in Balochistan province, killing 9 civilians

This will most likely be the end of the tensions, and both countries will pretend like nothing happened.

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🇵🇰/🇮🇷 The village that Pakistan targeted, Saravan, is about the same distance from the border as Panjgur, the village where Iran targeted terrorists two days ago

This was clearly a symbolic move from the Pakistani side. Clearly, neither of the two countries wants war. This will be the end of it.

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I also humbly request the Pakistanis to stop hyping up this silly conflict. Just because of pride and stupid nationalism, you guys are cheering for war with a brotherly Muslim country.

While the Pakistani government & media keeps using inflammatory language and posture, the Iranian side is trying hard to be mature and de-escalate the situation.

The amount of excitement I see on Pakistani media when an Iranian village gets hit is actually disturbing. Nationalism is a toxic disease, and makes you lose your moral compass.

The way Pakistanis cheer and hype up their country's tensions with Iran is just utter cringe.

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