— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 NEW: Iran most likely coordinated its missile strikes against the Jaish Ul-Adl terrorist group with Pakistan

Iran’s de facto ambassador and special envoy for Afghanistan, Hassan Kazemi Qommi, travelled to Pakistan yesterday evening.

According to the reports, he discussed the upcoming attacks with his Pakistani counterparts, and informed them in advance.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Btw, there is still a lot of confusion about the alleged Iranian strikes in Pakistan.

Some say it didn't even happen, some say it did. We will see how it develops.

🚨🇵🇰⚡️🇮🇷 ~ NEW ~ After 2 hours of silence, pro-Pakistani state accounts are now confirming the Iranian missile strikes on the remote border village between Pakistan and Iran border causing civilian casualties. The narrative also includes 'the right to response at the time, place and manner of its choosing'.

— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 NEW: Pakistan released a press release, condemning Iran's violation of Pakistani sovereignity and air space while striking terrorist groups in Balochistan province

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 There are several options:

1. Iran did not inform nor coordinate with Pakistan. Quite unlikely, due to friendly neighbourly relations, but possible if Iran felt that Pakistan might share the info with Jaish Ul-Adl.

2. Iran informed Pakistan in advance, it was a unilateral action and Pakistan let it happen, but pretends to be outraged to preserve its public image.

3. Iran and Pakistan coordinated it fully and Iran carried out the strike with Pakistan's approval, but Pakistani military higher ups are not happy about it, and might not have been properly informed.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 BREAKING: New Iranian missile attack against terrorists in Pakistan

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— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 BREAKING: Iranian ballistic missiles are striking the city of Torbat, in Pakistani Balochistan, according to preliminary reports

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— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 ❗️BREAKING: Initial reports of large cyber attacks against Pakistani government websites and services

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Still no actual confirmation regarding any of the above.

So, it seems the news of the second attack is false, since I've seen no confirmation after many hours.

— 🇨🇳/🇵🇰/🇮🇷 NEW: China has called on Pakistan to show restraint and to not take any action against Iran that would further increase tensions and create instability

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 NEW: The Chief of the Pakistani Air Force and Chiefs of Staff of the Pakistani military are now holding a meeting

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— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 Iranian Minister of Defense, Mohammad Reza Ashtiyani: 'We do not set any limits in defending our national interests and our people, we will do this with the utmost authority, and we will respond to any threats to the Islamic Republic of Iran from anywhere in the world, and our response will be proportionate, tough and decisive'

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇵🇰/🇮🇷 NEW: Pakistan expels the Iranian Ambassador, who is currently in Tehran, and tells him not to return to Pakistan

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— 🇵🇰/🇮🇷 NEW: Pakistan cancels all high-level Iranian-Pakistani meetings that were set for the next few weeks

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— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 I'm seeing a lot of people say "why wouldn't Iran inform Pakistan? Why would they just do this?":

Well, first of all, nobody actually knows if Iran informed Pakistan or not. Considering the friendly relations the two countries enjoy, it's unlikely and very unexpected that Iran would do this without informing them, especially considering the fact that Pakistan is a nuclear power and a major regional player, unlike Iraq or Syria.

It's possible that the Pakistani government was informed, but that some elements of the Pakistani military are not accepting it, especially the Pakistani Air Force, which holds considerable power in the country, and might push for retaliation, due to reasons like pride and nationalism.

In my opinion, Iran and Pakistan likely mutually agreed on launching the strikes, and the official outrage from Pakistan is orchestrated for public appeasement, and Iran knows this. The chance Pakistan will respond in this case is very small.

However, if the previous scenario is true, and some elements of the Pakistani military / government apparatus are actually angry, then they might be stupid enough to really do something militarily.

Of course, there is also the third (and least likely) scenario, which is that Iran didn't inform Pakistan. If this turns out to be the case, it was definitely because of security considerations.

Sadly, Pakistan and the ISI have been tacitly supporting terrorist groups like Jaish Ul-Adl in Iran for years. Iran might've wanted to avoid the Pakistani government alerting the groups before the strikes.

For now, neither Iran nor the IRGC has yet released an official statement regarding the Pakistan strikes. Until then, it's all just speculation.

Having said that, Iran has the full right and responsibility to act decisively against terrorist groups both within and outside its borders.

@Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇮🇷/🇵🇰 NEW: Iran and Pakistan agreed to expand mutual trade

Head of Iran's Trade Development Organization:

'With the agreement between the presidents of Iran and Pakistan, trade between the two countries will increase from two billion to five billion dollars in the next five years.' – Tasnim

@Middle_East_Spectator